Hillary will lose Iowa to Obama
by American1989, Fri Oct 05, 2007 at 03:29:24 PM EDT
I am a Hillary supporter and have no intention of changing sides. However, I am growing wary to see Hillary not visit Iowa as often as others; if she won't campaign there as much as Edwards or Obama, how are people going to vote for her?
I also think that Obama is doing a very good job in terms of organization and enthusiasm and I am surprised to see his campaign not perturbed after all the poll numbers not increase nationally in his favor. These national numbers will not matter at all once the caucuses are over on that cold January night.
The latest Newsweek poll shows that RV in Iowa favor Hillary, but LV favor Obama; likely voters are those that are going to matter.
Then, it will be Obama out of the floodgates, Hillary's front-runner status will be diminished and all those independents in NH will come out and vote for him.
Obama has 31 field offices in Iowa, way more than Hillary and their plan to get college students and possibly high school seniors seems that it might work; it didn't work for Dean, but Obama is NO Dean. That is for sure.
Obviously, as a Hillary supporter, I am not pleased to write this, but the truth is always bitter.