the problem with Judis is he's taking exit polls as a factual basis. No one knows what the real numbers were in 2004. They are in fact, no better then the latest r2k or Rasmussen poll.
But I digress. The U.S. is 13% black and over 15% latino now. If we can't break 21% shame on the Democratic party and our ground game.
In fact, while r2k is perhaps overreaching in their minority sample size, those numbers are not entirely bogus or far fetched. Latinos are more politically energized then ever and blacks have a chance to vote for an African American for the first time in their lives.
considering how well the Dems did in '06, it's hard to believe that these breakdowns are at all accurate at a national level. Especially considering the age breakdown would have been very kind to the GOP.
then again, CNN seems to have had the black vote in N.Carolina off by about 5% (overcount) in the 2004 presidential election.
these numbers really don't mean much actually. They're the equivalent of a Zogby poll.
If anything we should be discussing if her being the Veep is good for the GOP's senate chances whether Stevens sticks around (rallying GOP straight ticket ballots) or drops out (taking her out as a possible senate candidate).