Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Peter Daou, (blogging guru and) Hillary's Internet Director posted the following on the campaign/s official blog earlier today.  What follows is his post in its entirety...

Three Myths About the Democratic Race
by Peter Daou3/24/2008 11:26:17 AM

MYTH: Barack Obama is running a positive campaign that will unite Americans.

FACT: Barack Obama and his advisers have conducted a divisive "full assault" on Hillary's character.

While talking a lot about the politics of hope, change and unity, Sen. Obama and his campaign have been conducting a relentless and singularly personal assault on Hillary's character. They have blanketed big states with false negative mailers and radio ads and have described Hillary and her campaign as
"disingenuous,"
"divisive,"
"untruthful,"
"dishonest,"
"polarizing,"
"calculating,"
"saying whatever it takes to win,"
"attempting to deceive the American people,"
"one of the most secretive in America,"
"deliberately misleading,"
"literally willing to do anything to win," and
"playing politics with war."

This "full assault" on Hillary's integrity and character has reached a new peak since Hillary's victories on March 4th.  One of Sen. Obama's top surrogates equated President Clinton with Joe McCarthy; another called Hillary a "monster;" and his campaign manager held an angry conference call claiming that Hillary is "deeply flawed" and has "character issues." That's neither unifying nor hopeful.  If Sen. Obama really is the prohibitive favorite some say he is, these negative attacks make absolutely no sense.

Why would a frontrunner seek to attack and divide?  If Sen. Obama can't unify Democrats in a primary, how can he unify Americans in a general election?

MYTH: The delegate "math" works decisively against Hillary.

FACT: The delegate math reflects an extremely close race that either candidate can win.

"The Math" is actually very simple: with hundreds of delegates still uncommitted, NEITHER candidate has reached the number of delegates required to secure the nomination. And EITHER candidate can reach the required number in the coming weeks and months. That is indisputable. No amount of editorials, articles, blog posts, charts, graphs, calculations, formulas, or projections will change the basic fact that either candidate can win. Pundits who confidently proclaim that Hillary has no hope of winning because of "the math," have counted Hillary out of this race three times before. Each time they based their sober assessments on 'facts' and 'realities' -- and each time they were wrong.

In a campaign with dozens of unexpected twists and turns, bold prognostications should be viewed with a healthy dose of skepticism. Look no further than Sen. Obama's "full assault" on Hillary's character to judge whether he thinks this election is over. The fact is this: Hillary and Sen. Obama are locked in a very close, hard-fought campaign and Hillary is demonstrating precisely the strength of character required of a president. Her resilience in the face of adversity, her faith in the voters, her capacity to rise to every challenge, are part of the reason she is the best general election candidate for Democrats. And it is why she is increasingly strong against John McCain in the polls at the same time that Sen. Obama is dropping against Sen. McCain.

MYTH: For Hillary to win, super delegates must "overturn the will of the people."

FACT: The race is virtually tied, the "will of the people" is split, and both candidates need super delegates to win.

The Obama campaign and Sen. Obama's surrogates have engaged in a sustained public relations effort to convince people that the election is over and that if super delegates perform their established role of choosing a candidate who they believe will make the best nominee and president, they are somehow "overturning the will of the people." They have the audacity to make this argument while quietly and systematically courting those very same super delegates. They are courting them because they know that Sen. Obama needs super delegates to win. The Obama spin is being parroted daily by pundits, but it is patently false. The race is virtually tied; the "will of the people" is split. By virtually every measure, Hillary and Sen. Obama are neck and neck -- separated by less than 130 of the more than 3,100 delegates committed thus far and less than 1% of the 27 million+ votes cast, including Florida and Michigan. Less than 1%.

An incremental advantage for one candidate or the other is hardly a reason for super delegates to change the rules mid-game. Despite the Obama campaign's aggressive spin and pressure, the RULES require super delegates to exercise their best independent judgment, and that is what they will do. Even Sen. Obama's top strategist agrees they should. If not, then why don't prominent Obama endorsers like Senators Kerry (MA) and Kennedy (MA), and Governors Patrick (MA), Napolitano (AZ)  and Richardson (NM) follow the will of their constituents and switch their support to Hillary? After all, she won their states. And if this is truly about the "will of the people," then Sen. Obama's short-sighted tactic to run out the clock on a revote in Florida and Michigan accomplishes exactly two things: it disenfranchises Florida and Michigan's voters; and it hurts Democrats in a general election. Apparently, for the Obama campaign, the "will of the people" is just words.

In case you missed that link in the last paragraph, here's David Axelrod saying what we've been saying for ages - that the Super Delegates should exercise their best judgment and choose the candidate they feel will make the best president and represent our party best in the general election...

Tags: 2008 elections, Barack Obama, delegates, Hillary Clinton, negative campaigning, president (all tags)

Comments

52 Comments

Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

He really knows how to cut through the bullshit and lay the facts out there for everyone to see.

Unfiltered.

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:06PM | 0 recs
Peter Daou

is a very clear and persuasive writer.

by Beltway Dem 2008-03-24 06:16PM | 0 recs
The race is over

Hillary can't win. Let's move forward with Obama to the general election now.

by Quarterbackjoe 2008-03-24 10:34PM | 0 recs
To the contrary....

Obama can't win. Let's move forward with Hillary to the general election now.

by KnowVox 2008-03-24 11:37PM | 0 recs
Re: To the contrary....

Isn't the word "can't" possibly a little unrealistic?  I understand supporting your candidate but even Hilary's advisors privately rate her chances of nomination at about 10%, according to the Clinton-supporting New York Times.  Some of those same aides have said that her chances are nil without Michigan and Florida.  Her only realistic chance to win is with a major superdelegate coup, which DNC bigwigs deem highly unlikely and suicidal for the party, or a scandal so large that it forces Obama out.  "Obama can't win [the nomination]" would seem to be ignoring reality to an alarming extent.  Unless maybe you know something the rest of us do not?

by semiquaver 2008-03-25 04:21PM | 0 recs
At this point Hillary is only helping McCain

It's a shame.

by Lefty Coaster 2008-03-25 12:14AM | 0 recs
eam On

If you'd bothered to read the diary you'd know just how silly your assertion is.

by alegre 2008-03-25 05:24AM | 0 recs
Dream On

If you'd bothered to read the diary you'd know just how silly your assertion is.

by alegre 2008-03-25 05:24AM | 0 recs
Get a grip

I read your diary. You are purposefully ignoring about delegate math. When Daou says that either candidate can reach 2025, that is certainly a mathematical possibility, in the order of maybe 1 and 100,000. Neither one will reach 2025 by the convention. But Obama will be significantly ahead. The superdelegates are not going to be able to ignore that lead. The superdelegates will be stupid to cast aside the AA vote and the youth vote by ignoring that lead.

You're the one who's dreaming.

by Quarterbackjoe 2008-03-25 05:45AM | 0 recs
You messed up your comment.

You meant to say: He really knows how to cut through the facts and lay the bullshit out there for everyone to see.

by bobdoleisevil 2008-03-24 07:30PM | 0 recs
Re: You messed up your comment.

You're confusing Peter Daou with David Axelrod.

by KnowVox 2008-03-24 11:41PM | 0 recs
already diaried today...

...by you.

And, of course, completely laughable, as I said in your other (very similar) diary on this subject.

You're beating a dead horse.  In fact, the horse is not only dead, it's a fossil.

by hekebolos 2008-03-24 11:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

This is essentially the same diary you posted yesterday and the day before.

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 06:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Not quite.  

I wrote about Michigan and Florida last night.  

You can see for yourself - it's still on the Rec List here.

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:14PM | 0 recs
Actually,

I am willing we could check grammar, vocabulary, and style, and conclude based upon our analysis that the writer of your diary from last night is not the writer of Peter Daou's diary.

by Beltway Dem 2008-03-24 06:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Actually,

What does this mean?  Are you accusing her of writing Peter Daou's diary, or visa versa.  This is the kind of accusation that gets people in trouble.  Just so you know that.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Whoa...

Hold on! He's saying just the opposite.

by KnowVox 2008-03-24 06:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Actually,

Apologies.  I thought your post was a continuation of the above attempt to relate the two as being the same.  Sorry.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Oh, so you skipped a day and wrote about something else...it's still a repeat.

And tell me why I should care that Obama's people criticized Clinton? This is what every candidate does.

And please don't say, "Oh, but Obama said he was different" because he really didn't say that.

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 06:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Well you do care or you wouldn't be in this thread.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Actually, no. I'm here to say I don't care about the issue. But that doesn't mean i don't care to comment about it!

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 07:01PM | 0 recs
My god Alegre

you are the biggest egomaniac, you can check it's still on the Rec list!  You're on the rec list here because you and your gang choose to live in my pretty pony land, rather then face the facts of Clintons doomed candidacy.

by munodi 2008-03-24 08:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Peter Daou is spot on with his analysis.  Thanks, Alegre, for sharing this with us.

by Beltway Dem 2008-03-24 06:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Hey when I said he's a pro / guru I wasn't exagerating.  He used to have his own column at Salon.

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

He is completely wrong.  I do not thank you for this post as it is divisive and not helpful.

by Socks The Cat 2008-03-24 06:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Umm... did you even read the diary?

OR follow any of the links?

His stuff is ALWAYS sourced - go look.

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Thanks for posting this here. The truth needs to be out there- no matter who doesn't like it.

by ProudMilitaryMom 2008-03-24 06:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Glad to help! :)

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

why don't prominent Obama endorsers like Senators Kerry (MA) and Kennedy (MA)... and Richardson (NM) follow the will of their constituents and switch their support to Hillary?

Maybe because they're 3 men who have all lost races for the Presidency before, and can't handle an intelligent, gutsy lady in the White House.

by KnowVox 2008-03-24 06:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

More victim feminism.  As a life-long feminist who worked for years with grassroots feminist organizations, I have to say how strongly I dislike this.  It implies that anyone against Hillary doesn't like strong women.  I am a strong woman and I am for Obama.

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 06:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

There is no victimization here.  It is very possible to have that mindset among his voters without all of his supporters  having that mindset.  Politicians, I would say especially male politicians, have large egos that hate being shown up by others especially someone like Hillary Clinton.  Kennedy, for instance, was supposedly pissed into supporting Obama because Clinton said a sentance that he didn't think gave his brother large enough credit in the civil rights movement.  If that is believable then I think Knowvox's reasoning is just as possible.  Both are based on poor ego strength.  Although, I think Richardson just plain wants a job, and thinks he has a better chance with Obama.  Don't for a moment think that any of these people are altruistic and don't have their own selfish personal agenda.  

It also puts me in mind of the saying "Just because you're paranoid, doen't mean someone is not after you".  Just because you are voting for Obama for your own nonsexist reasons, doesn't mean everyone is.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

Wowzer - you got all THAT from someone pointing out that those three guys LOST their own bid for the presidency????

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

"can't handle an intelligent, gutsy lady in the White House"

I'm guessing that was the part that elicited the strong response... and rightfully so.

by thatpurplestuff 2008-03-24 06:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's an answer

Excellent point!!!!

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Peter forgot to mention the attempts to label the Clintons as racists through distortion of the meaning of what they have said.  There was even a memo in which they listed quotes that had the best possibility of being successfully distorted in their judgement.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Good point.

I've noticed thought that any time someone OUTSIDE BO's circle brings up the issue of race, they're called a racist all over again :(

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

We can't be afraid of displeasing them.  They are doing it hands down. They can do it all they want and when we don't cowar from it, they will be upset.

by Scotch 2008-03-24 06:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Obama blocking revote attempts in Florida and Michigan is also very divisive. Imagine if Hillary comes close enough to Barack in pledged delegates and popular vote such that Florida and Michigan would have pulled her over the top on both pledged delegates and popular vote.

by Zzyzzy 2008-03-24 06:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

No, maybe popular vote. Delegate count is almost impossible even with FL/MI. She would have to win both by 65/35. Also, when FL/MI are added to the equation, the required amount goes up from 2025 to 2200(and change). So the target increases.

This is why we (Obama supporters) say we need to end this asap because we are hurting ourselves.

by comingawakening 2008-03-24 07:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

I'm starting to get that deja vu feeling -- Lots of rehashing of the same lines.  It's like being trapped in a play that keeps starting every few hours - It's Groundhog Day.

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 06:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Talk to Obama then.  He's the one who's trotting all these attacks against Hillary & Bill over and over again.

You think YOU're caught in groundhog day - sheesh!

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

I'm talking about blog "dialogue."

by politicsmatters 2008-03-24 06:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

You rock alegre!!

by durendal 2008-03-24 06:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Thanks!  So do you! :)

by alegre 2008-03-24 06:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

Can I add another myth?

Obama will carry the blue states when he is DEM nominee.

He will lost the typical white people vote, so all red states are out of reach.  Then OH,PA,MA come into play for GOP.   He can't win Latino votes.  He is probably going to lose FL & MI.

Fact: Obama won't automatically carry the blue states.  He can't win them over.   The blue states will come into play for GOP.

by JoeySky18 2008-03-24 07:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

What about the kitchen sink?

by poserM 2008-03-24 07:27PM | 0 recs
by poserM 2008-03-24 07:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/24/2210 36/336

Please view tis it is not what you think!

by RedstateLib 2008-03-24 07:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

I hate looking at that ass Axelrod in the video but otherwise I love this diary.

by Fleaflicker 2008-03-24 08:02PM | 0 recs
Seriously folks

    Hillary could shoot Chelsea, and Alegre would write a whole diary on why Chelsea deserved it. She's not an objective poster, she's a pathetic hero-worshipper.
by southernman 2008-03-24 08:56PM | 0 recs
Truth is a defense

Let's look at these nasty accusations:

"disingenuous,"

Here's an example. The Clinton campaign keeps demanding that Obama produce state records when he has already said they don't exist. Disingenuous? Check.

"divisive,"

Hillary argues that McCain is more qualified to be president than Obama, a member of her political party. Divisive? Check.

"untruthful,"

Got sniper fire? Check.

"dishonest,"

Got more sniper fire? Check.

"polarizing,"

Hmmm. 47% negatives? That's pretty polarizing. Check.

"calculating,"

The Clinton triangulators? Check.

"saying whatever it takes to win,"

Important states? Unimportant states? Winning the big states? First Florida and Michigan aren't going to count, then they must be counted? Check.

"attempting to deceive the American people,"

Got sniper fire? Check.

"one of the most secretive in America,"

Where is that list of library donors?

"deliberately misleading,"

Got sniper fire? Check.

"literally willing to do anything to win," and

Approaching pledged delegates? Check.

"playing politics with war."

"I voted for the AUMF but I didn't think he'd use it without asking again." Check.

So, what does Daou really have to complain about, alegre?

by Quarterbackjoe 2008-03-24 10:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Three Myths About the Dem. Race (Peter Daou)

How many alegre diaries can we put on the rec list at the same time?  We've already got 3 out of 5, let's go for the full sweep!  Shouldn't be too hard, just repost this diary under a different title in a few hours.  Again.

by Skaje 2008-03-25 12:10AM | 0 recs

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