The Delegates WILL BE Seated. MI/FL
by a gunslinger, Sun Mar 23, 2008 at 05:26:43 AM EDT
The ongoing discussion regaridng the Michigan and Florida delegates is slightly elevated and really should be toned down a touch. The fact of the matter is that the delegates WILL BE seated at the convention. The credentials committee will certainly seat them as neither the DNC nor the nominee would be so stupid so as to NOT seat them.
Some have continued to maintain that the delegates need to be recognized before the nominee "is determined". For those people I pose the following:
I'm a little confused. I thought the nominee wasn't selected until the party votes on the floor of the convention...what's the hurry? Do you really mean that the delegates should be re-voted prior to any point that HRC's campaign is forced to recognize the hard math?
So the oft repeated mantra about how the delegates need to be seated (as a function of "counting the votes")is not about seating the delegates out of concern for actually assuring they are seated, inasmuch as it is about a vieled attempt to try to lend another lifeline to the HRC campaign.
Do I have that right?
Here's the problem. The only remaining vehicle IS a change of the rules, which the DNC will have to approve. Moreover, this change of the rules will need to occurr within 2 weeks to ensure the states involved would be able to have time to get the re-votes done. Not going to happen.
What's more, I think Hillary and her surrogates will be well-advised to forget about purusing a rule change (in the media at least) in the remaining time between now and the 22nd, if they want to generate the 35 point blowout they need to justify marshalling on. If they concentrate on THAT over reaching out for voters, mark my words, Obama will pull closer her and finish inside of a 20-point margin.
The only REAL avenue left that is in the books on the current and accepted schedule of events IS seating them before the nomination is actually given in late July, early august. Hillary, should she choose to go on (and it is up to her, I am through asking for pressure to get her out)is going to have to wait for this event to further help her.
I have always respected the Clintons, and I'll not suggest that anyone...especially blogging hacks like us... tell them what to do. I do think that their PEERS will likely try to send them a message over time (see Dodd & Richardson), but we should be sure to be patient here in the blogosphere. However, HRC and her supporters should probably consider being patient themselves as the "seat the delegates" narrative is a non-starter, IMO.