What will Rezko do if Convicted

What will Rezko Do if Convicted?

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2008 DNC Delegate Selection Rules (FL & MI info)

2008 DNC Delegate Selection Rules

2008delegateselectionrules.pdf
http://a9.g.akamai.net/7/9/8082/v001/dem ocratic1.download.akamai.com/8082/pdfs/2 008delegateselectionrules.pdf

see:

Rule 11.A (page 12 of the document; page 16 pdf)
Rule 20.C.1.a (page 20 of the document, page 24 of pdf)
Rule 20.C.1.b (page 20 of the document, page 24 of pdf)
Rule 9 (page 10 of the document, page 14 of pdf)

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Based upon the rules as I read them ---

All the pledged delegates from Florida and Michigan should be seated according to the certified primary votes.  This however should include the undecided pledged delegates from Michigan being seated as undecided, and the pledged delegates for Obama in Florida being stripped for his campaign's violation of the no campaigning agreement, provided the committee agrees that such violation occurred and was material.  The pledged delegates should only receive half a vote as further sanction for the states' violation of the primary calendar rules (the delegate issue not being resolved until this committee's decision has also been a punishment to these states and to the candidates campaigns' momentum).  All super delegates should be seated and receive a full vote (apparently they are differently designated than the pledged and un-pledged delegates although this remains somewhat unclear).  The other states, which also violated the calendar rules, should receive a written warning which indicates that in the future one state's violation of the rules will not absolve another state's similar reactionary violation.  Any popular vote argument could be made based upon the full, certified popular vote from each state or any other metric, for whatever merit such arguments may or may not be worth.

At best, this would seem to add seventy-five or so pledged delegates to the Clinton campaign and would not likely change the race dynamic.  It is also the most correct outcome by the rules as I understand them, and would be unassailable by either campaign and the Clinton campaign in particular.

Please comment on any misunderstanding of the rules.

Please add a more definitive estimate of the Clinton campaign's increase in pledged delegates based upon this solution.

Thanks.

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Florida & Michigan by the rules as I understand them.

All the pledged delegates from Florida and Michigan should be seated according to the certified primary votes.  This however should include the undecided pledged delegates from Michigan being seated as undecided, and the pledged delegates for Obama in Florida being stripped for his campaign's violation of the no campaigning agreement, provided the committee agrees that such violation occurred and was material.  The pledged delegates should only receive half a vote as further sanction for the states' violation of the primary calendar rules (the delegate issue not being resolved until this committee's decision has also been a punishment to these states and to the candidates campaigns' momentum).  All super delegates should be seated and receive a full vote.  The other states, which also violated the calendar rules, should receive a written warning which indicates that in the future one state's violation of the rules will not absolve another state's similar reactionary violation.  Any popular vote argument could be made based upon the full, certified popular vote from each state or any other metric, for whatever merit such arguments may or may not be worth.

At best, this would seem to add seventy-five or so pledged delegates to the Clinton campaign and would not likely change the race dynamic.  It is also the most correct outcome by the rules as I understand them, and would be unassailable by either campaign and the Clinton campaign in particular.

Please comment on any misunderstanding of the rules.

Please add a more definitive estimate of the Clinton campaign's increase in pledged delegates based upon this solution.

Thanks.

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DNC Lawyers: Fla., Mich. can't be fully restored

According to this AP article, a memo released today states that even if they wanted to, they couldn't seat the full delegates in FL and MI.

WASHINGTON - A Democratic Party rules committee has the authority to restore delegates from Michigan and Florida but not fully seat the two states at the convention as Hillary Rodham Clinton wants, according to a party analysis.

Party rules require that the two states lose at least half of their convention delegates for holding elections too early, Democratic National Committee lawyers wrote in a 38-page memo.

The memo was sent late Tuesday to the 30 members of the party's Rules and Bylaws Committee, which plans to meet Saturday to consider the fate of convention delegates from the two states. The party is considering plans to restore at least some of the delegates to make sure the two important general election battlegrounds will be included at the nominating convention in August

I guess this will make for a more subdued meeting this weekend.

Don't shoot me, I'm only the messenger.

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Listen Up - The Superdels are deciding

As an HOMAGE to a diarist who loves to call upon the superdelegates to LISTEN UP and as a means of updating everyone about what the superdelegates have done lately, here's some information:

This weekend's delegate choices
Obama 7
Clinton 0

Obama's superdelegate % over time
29%     January 13
40%     February 17
46%     March 16
48%     April 27
53%     May 25

Number of delegates needed to clinch
[under the rules adopted by the DNC, including Clinton staffer Harold Ickes]
Obama     49
Clinton   246

Look's like there's been a whole lot of deciding going on!

All data from: http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/

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Diaries

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