What makes you a tool? Talking about "delegate math."

So let's touch on an argument which came up after Ohio and Texas and seems (for whatever reason) to be getting a lot of play once again. It usually goes something like this:

Hillary's wins in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, while embarrassing for Obama, don't actually change the likely outcome of the election. During February Obama was able to acquire a substantial lead in pledged delegates and, because the Democratic primaries grant delegates proportionally, Hillary won't be able to overcome that advantage. Since Obama will have the lead in pledged delegates, super-delegates will feel obligated (both by moral and by political reasons) to respect the popular will and support Obama.

The argument here assumes a link between a lead in pledged-delegates and an eventual rally of super-delegates (without which, neither candidate can win the nomination). The link is made plausible with a pair of claims:

  • Super-delegates are politicians and are unlikely to buck the popular will. Popular support is demonstrated by a lead in pledged delegates.

  • A lead in pledged delegates bolsters claims of electablity, and super delegates want to support the candidate who can win in the general election.

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Media Project: Need Help

[Cross-posted at DailyKos. Edited slightly to reflect differences between DailyKos and MyDD.]

Hi, everyone.

I infrequently post here, and usually to Breaking Blue, so I don't know how many of you are going to see this. I have been thinking for a while now that one of the things that'd be a really useful tool for the liberal, progressive and Democratic movements (I consider all three to be different, although not necessarily discrete or distinct) is a site listing all the publications, major and minor, relating to our movement and to politics, along with submissions guidelines.

More on TEH FL1P! (Sorry, feeling very internet humourish today.)

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A Framework for Progressive Values

For years now, progressives have lamented the apparent monopoly that the Right has on framing the public debate.  There have been a variety of attempts to remedy this situation, from books like George Lakoff's Don't Think of an Elephant, to blogs like Jeffrey Feldman's Frame Shop.  This is an important discussion, and vital to the future success of progressive ideas.  At The Opportunity Agenda we'd like to offer our own contribution to this effort.

We have outlined a frame that we believe can promote progressive ideas and recapture our national values discussion from the Right.  We call it the Opportunity Frame.  In collaboration with The SPIN Project, we have produced a communications toolkit that outlines this frame and provides concrete tools and case studies to help implement it.  Click here to read American Opportunity: A Communications Toolkit, or continue reading about this frame and take our poll after the jump.

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