by Jerome Armstrong, Sun Aug 08, 2004 at 04:00:10 PM EDT
There are two primaries this week. If anyone wants to predict the outcome, and you nail it, I'll mention it in a followup post on the results. In Georgia, there is a run-off between Democrats Oxford and Majette. Oxford has been un on the air a lot ("Tractor" is his run-off ad), and Majette has not been up on the air, relying on her plurality showing in the primary, and an Atlanta turnout. The latest filing by Majette, on July 21st, showed Majette only had $70K cash on hand. Meanwhile, Oxford had put $1M of his own money into the race as of June 30th, and has a million and more where that came from. If anything, an Oxford win, and the money he'd pump into the race, would force Chuck Todd to flip Georgia and Illinois in the National Journal Senate Rankings.
Also on Tuesday, the CO primaries. Coors had the Tarrance Group(R) release a poll done in mid-July showing him with a 53-43 lead over Schaffer for the Republican nomination. As the recent Denver post poll shows, it's likely much closer:A Denver Post poll published Friday showed Coors was favored by 45 percent of 400 likely GOP voters while Schaffer was backed by 41 percent. The lead falls within the poll's margin of error of 5 percentage points. Salazar, meanwhile, was favored by 67 percent to just 21 percent for Miles, according to a similar poll of Democrats. Miles surprised Salazar by winning top billing on the primary ballot at the state Democratic Party convention in June. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee turned around and surprised Miles by refusing to back him -- or even acknowledge he was in the race... Salazar has raised the most money in the race, $2.9 million, compared with $321,367 for Miles... Coors has a big financial advantage, raising $2.2 million to $769,000 for Schaffer, which allowed Coors to splash his face on television ads across the state. btw, the DSCC finally did get around to at least mentioning Mike Miles on the DSCC webpage profile of the contest.