Obama Slurs Small-Town PA and the Midwest

Obama has once again revealed his elitist disdain for Reagan/lunch-bucket Democrats, and Midwesterners. While speaking at one of his San Francisco fundraisers he had this to say about small-town PA and the midwest in general:

"You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them...And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not.

And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion, or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations."

In one fell swoop Obama basically characterized small-town PA and the Midwest as racist, xenophobic, gun toting, fanatically religious, Archie Bunkers. And why are they like this all-knowing Obama? Well it's because they don't have jobs.

So, gun owners only own guns because they are bitter over job loss, not because they believe in their Second Amendment rights, are seeking to protect themselves, or perhaps enjoy a good hunting excursion? People turn to religion due to bitterness over job loss, not because they feel a spiritual connection and moral conviction to some higher power? And every body in small-town PA and the Midwest is a racist, xenophobe?  

Obama clearly does not understand nor connect with the individuals who make up the backbone of America: working class, small town people. These are the people who need a president who will be a steward of the economy, who offers policy specifics, who will provide affordable and universal health care. Wealthy elites can afford to buy into empty rhetoric, platitudes and vague promises; working class people can't. Hope isn't going to put food on the table. Hope isn't going to pay the hospital bills. Hope won't fill up the gas tank.

When these people hear his vague message of "change", they think he's talking about nickels and dimes. These individuals Obama chose to slur, like so many of us, are the ones who need a president who will look out for them the most...and he wonders why he will not be getting their vote.

Update [2008-4-11 19:7:1 by Mdm Prz 08]:Hillary gets it:

"It's being reported that my opponent said that the people of Pennsylvania who face hard times are bitter," Clinton said during a campaign event in Philadelphia. "Well that's not my experience. As I travel around Pennsylvania. I meet people who are resilient, optimist positive who are rolling up their sleeves.""Pennsylvanians don't need a president who looks down on them," she said. "They need a president who stands up for them, who fights hard for your future, your jobs, your families."

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Obama Must Win Pennsylvania

Cross posted at texasdarlin.wordpress.com

Let's get real. It's mid April and Obama hasn't closed the deal. Sure, he's got a slight delegate lead, but he's also failed three times to end the primaries: first in New Hampshire; next on Super Tuesday, particularly California, Massachusetts, and New Jersey; and yet again on Super Tuesday 2, notably Texas and Ohio.

(Of course we're not supposed to talk about Florida, but he lost there too despite being the only candidate who broke the campaign pledge and advertised in that state. Source)

And now Obama's campaign is lowering expectations yet again, this time for Pennsylvania, another key battleground state. Surrogate Claire McCaskill recently predicted that Obama would lose Pennsylvania by "double digits." Which means, I guess, that if he loses by 9%, Obama will try to claim success.  Another surrogate, Sen. Bob Casey, didn't help the expectations game much when he said:

"President Clinton and Senator Clinton, either in terms of campaigning or governing, have been in this state for 15 years...Hillary Clinton chaired health-care hearings in 1993. She has a good base here, but I think we can cut into it." (emphasis added.) Source

In fact, it appears that the reverse will be true, according to SUSA, the most reliable pollster this election season. Their new poll says Clinton has actually cut into Obama's lead among white men recently.

What's wrong with this picture?

Has there ever been a Democratic nominee who lost the primaries in California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida? (Obama would definitely still lose Florida if there were a re-vote, which is why he opposes one.)

Howard Wolfson was right when he said during a conference call on Monday:

"[Obama is] doing everything he can to win in Pennsylvania, and if he can't, it'll be a serious defeat...We all know the road to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue runs through Pennsylvania."Source

A while ago I wrote a diary called Hillary's Winning Coalition in which I discussed the reason for Hillary's success in the key battleground states, not only in the primaries, but more importantly for the general election:

Clinton leads among the groups that comprise the greater percentage of voters: women, blue collar workers, older voters, whites, and Hispanics. A Pew poll predicts that substantial numbers of whites, seniors, and lower-income Democrats could cross over to vote for McCain in the General Election if Obama were the nominee.

Hispanics may only make up approximately 7% of the electorate in November, according to a December 2007 Pew report, but their geographic distribution creates an opportunity:
Hispanics loom as a potential "swing vote" in (the) presidential race. That's because they are strategically located on the 2008 Electoral College map. Hispanics constitute a sizable share of the electorate in four of the six states that President Bush carried by margins of five percentage points or fewer in 2004 -New Mexico (where Hispanics make up 37% of state's eligible electorate); Florida (14%); Nevada (12%) and Colorado (12%). All four are expected to be closely contested once again in 2008.

Source

(Polls have indicated that McCain has a good chance of capturing Hispanic voters, against Obama.)

The bottom line is crystal clear. Obama has had pitch-perfect success in caucus states; he's done well with liberals and cross-over voters; and he's definitely sealed the deal with African Americans. But he does not bring home the Democratic base.

Time and again, he has failed to cut into Clinton's fundamentals. And without a candidate who has locked up Democratic women, lunch-bucket workers, people over 50, Hispanics, and a majority of white people -- we cannot win in November. The demographics for each candidate are solidified now; the patterns are predictable. Obama does not have a winning coalition.

Howard Wolfson was right on the money. Hillary does not need to win Pennsylvania by 20 points, contrary to Camp Obama's mantra.

It is Obama who needs to win Pennsylvania. It's his last chance to prove to the super delegates that he can carry the critical Democratic base required for victory in November.

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Time Poll Puts Clinton Up 6 Points in Pennsylvania

Here's Time's Michael Duffy:

Backed by more than half of all white female Democrats, Hillary Clinton holds a six point lead over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania, a new statewide poll by TIME reveals.

Clinton leads Obama overall 44% to 38% among all Democrats in the TIME survey, but enjoys a notably broader margin of support among white Democratic women: 56% to Obama's 25%. More evenly split, by contrast, are white male Democrats, who prefer Clinton by a narrower margin of 44% to 36%. The survey, conducted by Abt SRBI from April 2-6 of 676 Democratic primary voters, comes less than two weeks before the crucial April 22 primary.

[...]

Though Obama won majorities of white voters earlier in the primary season, he has struggled more recently to maintain those margins, and that trend appears to be holding in Pennsylvania. Obama is getting the votes of 80% of the state's black Democrats but only 30% of white voters. Clinton is winning only 8% of blacks, but is backed by 51% of the white voters. Some 8% of whites and 12% of blacks are undecided.

A similar pattern can be seen in how Keystone Democrats of differing incomes regard the two candidates. Some 55% of white Democrats who make less than $55,000 back Clinton in Pennsylvania, while only 22% in that financial bracket favor Obama. Above $50,000, the state's white Democrats split almost evenly: 45% support Clinton and 41% are backing Obama.

When SRBI pushed leaners, Hillary Clinton's lead is 8 points, 49 percent to 41 percent. This is not too far off from the consensus of other polls, with the Pollster.com trend estimate placing Clinton's lead over Barack Obama in the state at 49.6 percent to 42.6 percent, and the Real Clear Politics average putting Clinton on top 49.1 percent to 41.3 percent. It's worth noting, also, that this is the sixth poll out of nine in the field this month that puts the race in Pennsylvania within the margin of error. Does this mean that the race is tied? Both Pollster and RCP are in pretty close agreement that Clinton holds a lead in the high single-digits. But more and more, this is not looking like the type of blowout it appeared to be headed towards just a couple of weeks ago.

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Super D for Hillary!

Sophie Masloff, former Pittsburh Mayor and Superdelegate, will endorse Hillary Clinton tonight:

"It's been very difficult for me to sit on the sidelines and fail to support a woman," said Mrs. Masloff, a Democratic superdelegate who had been neutral in the presidential race. "For a long time, I was convinced I shouldn't make a public choice. We have two wonderful candidates. But finally, I just couldn't sit on the fence."

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08101/872 022-457.stm

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To Hell With Them

via Ben Smith:

There's a real crowd at Radio City, complete with scalpers, and lines around the block for Elton John and the Clintons.

"What I want you to know is, I'm still standing," Hillary told the crowd. I believe that this country is worth fighting for, so we're taking our campaign to Pennsylvania and to all the states that haven't voted."

Elton John was a bit edgier:

"I never cease to be amazed at the misogynist attitude of some of the people in this country," he said. "I say to hell with them."

Oh, yeah.  $2.5 million.

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