Exit Poll Analysis Suggests Obama Victory Due to Surge in Youth and Minority Voting

The United States saw dramatic increases in voting from traditionally underrepresented groups, including minorities and young voters, according to a new analysis released this week by Project Vote. If borne out by systematic analysis of the voter rolls, this change in the electorate is evidence of the power of successful voter registration drives and an indication of the strong inclination of voters to participate in the process when candidates address their issues.

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Mapping the Vote: New Mexico County by County (Congress Edition)

See also the Presidential edition.

Sen 2008 New Mexico MapWhile much of the attention was on the presidential election during the past few months, all political eyes are now on Minnesota, Alaska and Georgia's U.S. Senate races. Alaska and Minnesota are in the middle of recounts that could last weeks still counting ballots, while Georgia is readying itself for a special election next month. Here in New Mexico, there was not as much drama in the race for Senate or even, ultimately, any of the open House seats.

When Republican Sen. Pete Domenici retired after decades of service in the U.S. Senate, all three New Mexico representatives jumped at the chance to enter the race. After a brutal Republican primary, conservative Steve Pearce prevailed over moderate Heather Wilson and went on to face Democrat Tom Udall. Udall had no primary opposition.

And Udall did very well (see right), especially in his home 3rd Congressional District. Udall won all but four of the 16 full and partial counties (five counties in New Mexico are split between two or three congressional districts). Conservative Roosevelt, Curry and San Juan counties went to Pearce. Pearce won none of these counties by more than 5 percent.

In Pearce's 2nd Congressional District, Udall won 10 of the 18 full or partial counties. Even eliminating the partial counties of Bernalillo (just 1,100 voters from the 2nd Congressional District) and McKinley (1,900) leaves Udall taking eight of 16 counties.

And Udall held down the margins of victory in counties that even bedeviled Barack Obama. Obama won the state presidential race by over 14 percent, but had tough times in the southeastern counties. While Pearce racked up big victories in Chaves (where he won by 21.75 percent), Eddy (16.43 percent), Lea (48.33 percent) and Catron (25.80 percent), he was never to match the 69.06-percent victory by Udall in Santa Fe County or the 66-percent victory in San Miguel County. Udall even went into Dona Ana County, admittedly the most Democratic-friendly area of southern New Mexico, and scored a 22-percent victory, eclipsing Obama's 17 percent victory in the same county.

All this added up to a victory of 61 percent to 39 percent by Udall over Pearce.

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Mapping the Vote: New Mexico County by County

Pres 2008 MapCrossposted at New Mexico FBIHOP.

President-elect Barack Obama won New Mexico easily on Tuesday. Obama  received 120,000, or 14.6 percent, more votes than his Republican counterpart, John McCain in New Mexico. This landed Obama five more electoral votes on his way to a provisional 365-173 victory in the Electoral College. This also shows New Mexico blue in the various election results maps from different news sources.

But it doesn't tell the whole story. Not all of New Mexico went equally to Obama and McCain. Some areas were more favorable to the Democratic candidate, and some to the Republican. There are 33 counties in New Mexico, and Barack Obama won 18, or 54 percent of them. (See right)

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Going Blue

Nothing ever stays exactly the same.  Each election, states change their partisan outlook.  Some move left and some move right, many stay quite far on the Democratic or Republican side.  

President-elect Obama certainly used a strategy that included more states and was rewarded by winning states that hadn't been carried by a Democratic presidential candidate in years--Indiana and Virginia.  However, some credit (particularly in Virginia) has to come from the "blueing" of the state.  Virginia has moved rapidly towards the Democratic party.  

There are several other states that are going blue.  This reflects well on the future of presidential elections, as long as the current Electoral College is in force.

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Road to 60: Draft Udall a Success in New Mexico

CNN has called the New Mexico Senate race for Tom Udall, the fourth pick-up so far for Senate Democrats. Big props to the MyDD community for its role in the Draft Udall effort, helping to raise close to $5k to cajole the Congressman to enter the race after he had previously said no.

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