by Jonathan Singer, Tue Dec 11, 2007 at 05:23:43 PM EST
It looks like this one is just about done, with Republican Bob Latta winning by about the same margin by which Paul Gillmor won last fall. What does this mean? I'm with Markos. When we're looking ahead to November 2008, with a relatively small investment the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was able to head fake the National Republican Congressional Committee to spend close to $500,000 to defend a district George W. Bush won by a wide margin in 2004.
In case you think that I'm overstating the issue or spinning or something, take a look at the latest campaign finance filings from the party committees. A lot of folks like to focus on the fact that the more than $400,000 the NRCC invested in the race represented at least a sixth of the committee's available cash-on-hand. Far more important, though, is the fact that still as of the last filing period the NRCC was well in the red -- by more than $1 million, in fact -- and getting duped by the DCCC, which has more than $27 million in the bank even after debts and obligations are considered, into spending a huge chunk of money in a district it didn't really need to spend the money in isn't likely to help out much.
Simply put, regardless of the results of this election, the DCCC thoroughly outmaneuvered the NRCC.
Update [2007-12-11 22:33:35 by Jonathan Singer]: To be clear, would I have liked to see a win? Yes. But the Republicans' victory was definitely a pyrrhic one, hurting them more in the long term than it helped them in the short run.