BruinKid's Senate race rankings

So with less than half a year to go, it's time for another look at all the 2008 Senate races.  There are 35 seats up for election because of a scenario in Wyoming and Mississippi where both seats are up, due to the passing of Craig Thomas and the resignation of Trent Lott, respectively.  Now obviously, quite a few of the races are considered "safe" for the incumbent.  So I'll rank these in terms of tiers.  The top tier will be the races where the party holding the seat has a real shot of switching.  The second tier are races that could become top tier races, but are not at this point.  Tier III are ones where a major event would need to happen for the seat to come into play.  And the safe seats?  Well, Mike Gravel has a better shot at winning the presidency than those incumbents have of losing their races.

Follow me below the fold for all the races.  This is meant to be a primer for both newcomers and political junkies alike, so some of the information may seem repetitive for you junkies out there.  Also see my previous March diary to see what things have changed since my last update.

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BruinKid's Senate race rankings

So with less than half a year to go, it's time for another look at all the 2008 Senate races.  There are 35 seats up for election because of a scenario in Wyoming and Mississippi where both seats are up, due to the passing of Craig Thomas and the resignation of Trent Lott, respectively.  Now obviously, quite a few of the races are considered "safe" for the incumbent.  So I'll rank these in terms of tiers.  The top tier will be the races where the party holding the seat has a real shot of switching.  The second tier are races that could become top tier races, but are not at this point.  Tier III are ones where a major event would need to happen for the seat to come into play.  And the safe seats?  Well, Mike Gravel has a better shot at winning the presidency than those incumbents have of losing their races.

Follow me below the fold for all the races.  This is meant to be a primer for both newcomers and political junkies alike, so some of the information may seem repetitive for you junkies out there.  Also see my previous March diary to see what things have changed since my last update.

There's more...

Full Senate rankings: The map expands for Democrats

The presidential primaries are heading towards a not so climactic conclusion and so the time has come to focus some attention on the congressional races. I haven't updated the  rankings since January and a lot has changed in the past 5 months, starting with the resolution of contested primaries in Oregon, Nebraska, North Carolina and probably Minnesota. Both parties have gone through final recruitment pushes, with the GOP playing a tragicomedic farce in New Jersey and suffering through one more round of failures in South Dakota and Iowa.

The full rankings are available here, on my blog at Campaign Diaries.

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A Primary Distraction -- Meet Our UDogs

Cross-posted at TomUdall.com/udogs.  Let us know in the TomUdall.com blog comments if you have a video of your Udall supporting pooch you'd like to share.

The Tom Udall for Senate campaign headquarters is a dog friendly zone, to say the least.  We've put together a video for your viewing pleasure, the first of many in a series of 'UDogs' posts.  We hope you'll get acquainted with our pooches, and share videos of your Udall supporting pooches as well.

Without further ado...

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NM-Sen: Tom Udall Up 25 Points on Either GOP Competitor

For those 138 people who contributed nearly $5,000 in the fall to draft Tom Udall to run for the United States Senate in New Mexico should feel good that their investment is paying off. Take a look at these numbers from SurveyUSA:

General Election: Democrat Udall Beats Either Republican and Flips Domenici's Seat From Red to Blue: In a hypothetical General Election for U.S. Senator from New Mexico today, 25 weeks to the vote, Democrat Tom Udall defeats either Republican Pearce or Republican Wilson by a nearly identical margin. Today, against Pearce, Udall wins 60% to 36%. Against Wilson, Udall wins 61% to 35%. Udall leads among both men and women, young and old, white and Hispanic, regardless of opponent. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over and vote Democrat; 1 in 10 Democrats cross over to vote Republican.

It's never a good thing to count ones chickens before they have hatched. There's still a long time between now and November, and anything can happen. Moreover, there's a lot of work to do. Yet it's very clear that Udall is as strong a candidate for the Senate as anyone could hope for from New Mexico, leading two established incumbent members of Congress by remarkably wide margins. What's more, Udall is a solid progressive who would be an important voice for change in the upper chamber of Congress is elected. If you want to help ensure that we get more and better Udalls in the Senate this year, head over to Act Blue today and make your voice heard.

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