Huckabee Rising

Amazing what 2500 non-binding votes at a Republican Party fundraiser will get you. According to the latest ARG poll (600 Republican LVs, August 26-29, MoE+/- 6%), Mike Huckabee is on fire in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina:

CandidateIowaN.H.S.C.
Romney27279
Giuliani172326
Huckabee1499
Thompson13821
Gingrich746
McCain51212
Hunter1--
Paul132
Brownback - 12
Tancredo---
Undecided151312

(Showing last month's numbers makes the handy table very cluttered so you can check out the histories by clicking each of the state names above.)

To put Huckabee's standing in context, in the last ARG poll, taken in July prior to Huckabee's second place finish at the Iowa Straw poll earlier this month, he was polling at 1% in Iowa and New Hampshire and at 3% in South Carolina. Today he is competitive with the "top tier" in all three states. By contrast, the only appreciable bump Romney, who actually won the straw poll, got was a 6 point boost in Iowa (sadly Brownback's 3rd place straw poll finish actually resulted in a drop in support in Iowa from 1% in July to -- now.)

Pointing to perhaps the real reason Fred Thompson finally announced today that he intends to get into the race next Thursday, while Huckabee surged 6 points in South Carolina, Thompson dropped 6 points; and in New Hampshire, while Huckabee surged 8 points, Thompson dropped 5. Interestingly, Thompson remained unmoved in Iowa by Romney's and Huckabee's surges there; the same can not be said for Giuliani and McCain who plummeted 5 points and 12 points (!) respectively.

So, how's that whole skipping the straw poll thing working out for you, guys?

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Weekend Calendar Preview (August 24-26, 2007)

It's a slow weekend at the end of August, and the calendar is a bit slow.

Barack Obama...

  • Obama campaigns in Tallahassee, FL today and Miami, FL tomorrow. Sunday he spends the morning in New Orleans before heading off to Lexington, KY for a kick off rally that evening.

Bill Richardson...

  • Richardson campaigns all weekend in New ampshire, breaking only tomorrow morning to head down to New York to fundraise.

Dennis Kucinich...

  • Kucinich spends tomorrow and Sunday in Maine, leading a protest tomorrow in Kennebunkport, and having a breakfast with LGBT members of the community on Sunday

Hillary Clinton...

  • Clinton has several fundraisers scheduled this weekend in Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard. Bill Clinton will be making appearances in at least some of the fundraisers.

Joe Biden...

  • Biden campaigns through Tuesday morning in Iowa.

John Edwards...

  • Edwards and his wife wrap up their bus tour in New Hampshire Sunday. He does break this evening for a fundraiser in Massachusetts.

Fred Thompson...

  • Fred Thompson addresses the Midwest Leadership Conference tomorrow.

Mike Huckabee...

  • Huckabee fundraises in Indianapolis today before addressing the Midwest Leadership Conference this evening and the Southern Governor's Association tomorrow. Sunday he has a fundraiser scheduled just outside of DC.

Mitt Romney...

  • Romney addresses the Florida Medical Association this morning, and is the keynote speaker to the Midwest Leadership Conference this evening.

Ron Paul...

  • Paul has an event scheduled in his district on Sunday to celebrate his birthday.

Rudy Giuliani...

  • Giuliani is holding a forum on taxes tomorrow in New Hampshire in which his supporters former Mass. Gov. Paul Cellucci and Steve Forbes will take part.

Visit our up-to-date campaign calendar section for complete schedules.

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Pay No Attention To This "Controversy"

Visitors to the Drudge Report right now are greeted with a large headline that Michelle Obama criticized Hillary Clinton for the way she ran her house. It's taken from this article in the Chicago Sun-Times which is incredibly complimentary towards her. The paragraph in question was almost an aside, saying:

At another stop, in Atlantic, Michelle said she travels with her husband in part "to model what it means to have family values," adding "if you can't run your own house, you can't run the White House." She didn't elaborate, but it could be interpreted as a swipe at the Clintons.

I would not have read Clinton into these comments had I read them without the commentary. It justs seems really out of place for what I've seen from Michelle Obama, who often talks about her own home life on the trail. Sure enough, Barack Obama said as much as soon as anyone asked him if the comments were about Clinton:
In a just-concluded conference call, Obama responded to the suggestion that his wife was slamming the Clintons. "She wasn't making any reference to that," he said. "If anybody who's been listening to Michelle on the stump, she's talked about the importance of family, and the need for our family to make sure that we're thinking about our kids during the process of this campaign. And she's repeated that in every stump speech. So, you know, there are no references beyond her point that we've had an administration that talks a lot about family values, but doesn't follow through on it, and part of the challenge for us in this campaign is making sure that we are talking the talk but also walking the walk. That's all it was referring to, and as I said, that's been a standard aspect of her speech for a long time.

TPM Cafe has the transcript of the line in question:
That one of the most important things that we need to know about the next President of the United States is, is he somebody that shares our values? Is he somebody that respects family? Is a good and decent person? So our view was that, if you can’t run your own house, you certainly can'’t run the White House. So, so we’'ve adjusted our schedules to make sure that our girls are first, so while he’s traveling around, I do day trips. That means I get up in the morning, I get the girls ready, I get them off, I go and do trips, I’'m home before bedtime. So the girls know that I was gone somewhere, but they don’t care. They just know that I was at home to tuck them in at night, and it keeps them grounded, and, and children, the children in our country have to know that they come first. And our girls do and that’s why we’re doing this. We’re in this race for not just our children, but all of our children.

The facts seem to be in alignment that this isn't about how Hillary Clinton runs her house.

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Will any Republicans run hard against Bush? (w/poll)

Over at Century of the Common Iowan, Noneed4thneed put up a video clip of David Brooks talking about how Republicans privately can't stand Bush, think he's incompetent, blame him for destroying the party and so on.

I don't doubt that this is true. They were happy to puff up Bush and smear his detractors when his approval ratings were high, but now that he's been below 40 percent for almost two years, he is a little embarrassing. Even the White House has given up on salvaging Bush's presidency (at least that's how I interpret Karl Rove's departure to work on other GOP projects).

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Watch Mike Huckabee

When I first watched the MSNBC Debate, I remember Mike Huckabee.  Why?  Because he was the most measured, thoughtful, speaker on that stage.  While everyone else was shouting glorified words about "Ronald Reagan", you really would think the man was still "alive", Huckabee stood out for me.

While watching him, I kept saying to myself, this is the Republican candidate, right here.  Then he was the one who threw out the "reminder of the Edwards haircut", "that cost more than John Edwards 400.00 haircut at a beauty parlor".  The way he said it was in a complete flow.

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