by Chicago225, Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 04:54:45 PM EST
by Jonathan Singer, Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 04:01:36 PM EST
Mike Huckabee wins Iowa according to at least two cable news networks...
by Todd Beeton, Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 12:13:11 PM EST
Kelly O'Donnell reported on MSNBC today that the Huckabee campaign has conducted its first internal polling of the campaign and, she says:
They think they may be as many as seven points up from Governor Romney. That's based on their internal polling and what they're telling me.
This would appear to track with the other polling trends we're seeing, namely the Zogby tracking poll, which has him up 6 above Romney (he was up just 2% yesterday,) ARG, which shows Huckabee turning a 9 point deficit a week ago into a 5 point lead today and Insider Advantage, which shows Huckabee up 6%, a 9% net improvement over Romney since mid-December.
To give a sense of the expectations spin the campaign is employing, here's Huck himself, per The Hill:
Huckabee insisted that a top-three finish of any kind would be a remarkable achievement for such an under-funded campaign and that his campaign has enough money to push forward regardless of the outcome.
The former governor said he has more than $2 million cash on hand, and he will head to New Hampshire after tonight's caucuses. Though many pundits have said he must win Iowa to overcome his dearth of funds, Huckabee is now at or near the top of the polls in several other states, including the early South Carolina primary, even though he lags far behind in New Hampshire, which holds is first-in-the-nation primary on Tuesday.
"What I'm saying is that we don't have to finish first here in order to feel like we've been successful," Huckabee said. "But if we finish first here, I think we've exceeded everyone's expectations, and we've certainly exceeded all of the conventional wisdom standards."
"A lot of the campaigns are broke; they're not sure how they're going to go on," Huckabee said later in a television interview. "We're going to go on" because of our financial discipline.
In other words, Huckabee needs a win over Romney to still be reported as stunning (not merely conventional wisdom) in order to maximize the impact in New Hampshire where he's still polling in 3rd at best. Hmm, could Huckabee actually be the key to taking down McCain?
by Nautilator, Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 06:40:42 PM EST
A shocking story has just broken through the blogosphere: an Obama advertisement appeared on the Drudge Report!
by Todd Beeton, Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 12:15:10 PM EST
TPM is reporting that Hillary Clinton will be a surprise guest on tonight's episode of Late Night With David Letterman, the first new episode since the WGA strike began in November.
We've just heard from an in-the-know TPM reader that Hillary will be making an appearance on David Letterman's show tonight, which is an interesting move given that it's right on the eve of the Iowa caucuses.
The Hillary campaign confirmed the appearance to us.
On Monday, it was announced that Mike Huckabee would be traveling to Los Angeles today to tape The Tonight Show With Jay Leno.
For Clinton, being on Letterman is a huge get (although not surprising since she does represent New York City and lives quite close) since that show is the only one of the top late night talkers returning to the air tonight to have worked out a special deal with the writers; in other words it's the only top show a politician could go on without crossing a picket line.
From The AP:
NBC's Leno and Conan O'Brien and ABC's Jimmy Kimmel all said they were coming back reluctantly with the writers strike still on, and will be putting on shows unlike any they've done before.
Letterman's production company worked out a separate deal with writers for his CBS "Late Show" and Craig Ferguson's "Late Late Show."
In yet another demonstration of his cluelessness on just about every issue, Mike Huckabee does not seem to be aware of the fact that such a deal was not reached by The Tonight Show.
"My understanding is that there was a special arrangement made for the late-night shows, and the writers have made this agreement to let the late night shows to come back on, so I don't anticipate that it's crossing a picket line," Huckabee told reporters traveling with him Wednesday from Fort Dodge to Mason City.
"I support the writers, by the way. Unequivocally, absolutely. They're dead right on this one. And they ought to get royalties off the residuals and the long-term contracts." [...]
Told he was mistaken and that writers had cleared only Letterman's show, Huckabee protested: "But my understanding is there's a sort of dispensation given to the late-night shows, is that right?"
Told again that he was wrong, Huckabee murmured, "Hmmm," and, "Oh," before answering another question.
Awesome. This guy gives Huck more credit:
Crossing a picket line in such a public manner could be seen as a way for the governor of Arkansas to assert his conservative credentials with millions of potential voters.
I look forward to seeing video of Huck crossing the line. More on this one later.