Mexican Elections... Not yet over.

The fat lady has yet to sing in the Mexcian elections.

According to an LA Times story they "found" 2.5 million more votes that tended toward Obrador. The margin between Calderon of the business-oriented PAN and Obrador of the more leftist/populist PRD has shrunk from 400,000 to 250,000 votes or 0.6% by percentage. In addition, there are still 900,000 votes coming in slowly from rural, Southern districts, which is a region favorable to Obrador.

The missing ballots were from districts with supposed irregularities which were processed, but not counted. There are also accusations of double-counting of precincts in certain PAN-favorable precincts.

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July 2 Mexican Election: AMLO as Revolutionary

Cross-posted to Calitics

The Mexican general election will be held this Sunday, July 2.  It will have an enormous impact on America and more specifically California.  The two candidates who are believed to have a chance are Felipe Calderón(Spanish) and Andrés Manuel López Obrador (Spanish).  By the way, those are some spiffy websites.  Calderon has a cool soccer game on the top of his.  The campaign practically came to a halt for the Mexican soccer matches, but the attention of the Mexican media is squarely on this election after the Mexican squad fell in a thrilling battle with the powerhouse that is the Argentian national squad.


More on the flip

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Hot Button Politics Travel South to Mexico

July 2, 2006 Mexicans will be going to the poll to elected a new President. The race pits candidates from five different parties against each other. Current polls have conservative candidate Felipe Calderon of President Vicente Fox's National Action Party (PAN) and Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) in a dead heat. Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) candidate Roberto Madrazo lags behind in third place in the polls. Patricia Mercado of Alternative Social Democrat and Campesina Party (PASC); and Roberto Campa (New Alliance Party) are the other two candidates.

Mexican's Conservative Catholics are following the lead of American's Conservative Christians as portraying leftist candidates as anti-family, pro-abortion, and wanted to banning religion.

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Mexico To Follow Leftist Latin Trend?

The second most important election this year undoubtedly takes place one week from today. Meixco, which is among the top ten nations in the world in terms of population, gross national income, and land area, would be the piece de resistance (pun intended) on the general Latin American trend to the left already witnessed in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Peru and Venezuela. The election looks close:A week before they go to the polls to pick a new president, Mexican voters are sharply divided between a firebrand populist who promises to lift up the poor and an establishment conservative who embraces free markets and U.S.-style capitalism.

For the first time in modern history, the once dominant PRI, or Institutional Revolutionary Party, is running a distant third and appears to have little chance of recapturing the presidency.

Opinion surveys released Friday -- the last day political polls legally could be published here ahead of next Sunday's balloting -- showed a statistical dead heat between leftist Andrés Manuel López Obrador and conservative Felipe Calderón.

The Reforma and Universal newspapers, perhaps the capital's most influential, each gave López Obrador 36 percent to Calderón's 34 percent, with the PRI's Roberto Madrazo getting just a quarter of the vote.

Averaging 14 major polls conducted in June, political analyst Rafael Gimenez Valdés calculated that just a half percentage point separates the top two candidates. ``I think the election is absolutely up in the air,'' Gimenez Valdés said.

Other analysts, including María de Las Heras, who projected President Vicente Fox's upset victory in 2000, give the edge to López Obrador. At a gathering of pollsters Friday at the Colegio de Mexico here, de las Heras predicted López Obrador would win by five points, in part because he has racked up a significant surplus of independent voters.

Only a few more big rallies are planned: By law, all campaigning and advertising must cease after Wednesday. Calderon's final rally is scheduled for today at Mexico City's Azteca Stadium. López Obrador's final event is Wednesday in Mexico City's main square, the Zócalo. In Latin America, a wholesale rejection of both neo-conservatism and neo-liberalism appears to be under way (again, pun intended). As more and more governments in Latin America turn to the left, it is becoming possible to envision an entirely different direction for the region, one where, among other things, the United States has significantly less economic influence. That this has taken place under the watch of an administration filled with people determined to create "a new American century," goes to show exactly what the Bush administration has really done to the reputation of America in other counties. That voters are rejecting neo-liberal trade policies that we were all told would lift Latin America out of poverty I think goes to show that those policies did not benefit the majority of people in Latin America after all.

For more information on this election, check out Technorati and Google News.

Mexico: Presidential Election Alert

Election day is on July 2 and the Times has a profile today of Andrés Manuel López Obrador (or AMLO for short, apparently), lefty heart-throb and PRD candidate, whose lead over Felipe Calderón (of PAN, Vicente Fox's party) has apparently turned into a statistical dead heat.

I'm afraid I've paid no attention to the race up till now - I'd kind of got the impression that it would be a walkover for López Obrador - but it looks as if it may have some juice for the cognoscenti coming into the stretch.

I don't think that, for all his popular support, the guy is within a country mile of Bolivia's Evo Morales for radicalism (nor do I expect him to compete for the post of Chávez's #1 buttmonkey).

But even the pantywaists at State can't be thrilled at the prospect of losing a reasonably loyal ally without an acceptable replacement - a MX prez is barred from serving a second term, even a nonconsecutive one.

Fox didn't support the US second resolution on Iraq, of course. But, then, he didn't return PEMEX to its rightful owners, either.

Even a gringo-friendly resident of the Casa Rosada has to playact a little Zapata for the masses.

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