Road to 60 Blocked: Wicker Wins Mississippi

It's a very good night for Senate Democrats, picking up several seats tonight, though 60 is not in the works as Roger Wicker has defeated Ronnie Musgrove in Mississippi. Still a chance to get to the high-50s, however.

Update [2008-11-4 22:8:5 by Jonathan Singer]: For at least the second time tonight, Fox News -- which, by the way, looks like a wake -- has had to pull back a call. The Mississippi Senate race has been uncalled. Nice work.

There's more...

Election Eve: The 2008 Senate races

Bumped - Todd

This is it.  It's time for my final look at all the 2008 Senate races.  There are 35 seats up for election because of a scenario in Wyoming and Mississippi where both seats are up, due to the passing of Craig Thomas and the resignation of Trent Lott, respectively.  Obviously, quite a few of the races are considered "safe" for the incumbent.  So what are the competitive races?

Again, just to be clear, I don't do predictions.  Every time I do, horrible things happen.  So I won't even make an actual prediction on the Virginia Senate race, because doing so would effectively jinx Mark Warner.  And with the election tomorrow, tiers no longer matter, so I'll simply rank the competitive races where party control of the seat may switch.  All others are deemed safe seats, which now include all of the Tier II and III seats from last time.

There's more...

My 2008 White House and Senate Predictions

With barely 48 hours until polls all over this country finally close on the 2008 presidential election, I figured it time to make my White House and Senate predications. I'm going to stick them here in the diaries rather than on the front page because my educated guesses are hardly worth that level of attention; all of us are arm-chair prognosticators.

I believe that Barack Obama will win the White House with 364 electoral votes and that the Democrats will pick up 7 Senate seats, giving them 57 (58, but I expect Lieberman to fly the coop). These predictions are based on polls from RealClearPolitics, statistical analysis from FiveThirtyEight, and my own understanding of history, geography, and culture.

There's more...

A look at the 2008 Senate races, mid-October edition

Bumped - Todd

With the election less than 3 weeks away from us, it's time for another look at all the 2008 Senate races.  There are 35 seats up for election because of a scenario in Wyoming and Mississippi where both seats are up, due to the passing of Craig Thomas and the resignation of Trent Lott, respectively.  Obviously, quite a few of the races are considered "safe" for the incumbent.  So what are the competitive races?

Again, just to be clear, I don't do predictions.  Every time I do, horrible things happen.  So I won't even make an actual prediction on the Virginia Senate race, because doing so would effectively jinx Mark Warner.  So, I'll rank these in terms of tiers.  The top tier will be the races where the party holding the seat has a legitimate chance of switching (but I ain't guaranteeing anything).  The second tier are races that could become top tier races, but are not at this point.  Tier III are ones where a major event would need to happen for the seat to come into play.  And the safe seats?  Well, Mike Gravel has a better shot at winning the presidency than those incumbents have of losing their races.

There's more...

MS-SEN: 2002 special election listed near top of ballot

I wrote a diary that went over this briefly yesterday.  However this is too important not to highlight again.  The way this dispute has broken down, you have the Democrats led by AG Jim Hood citing a 2000 state law that is very specific about where races go on the ballot but says nothing about special elections being placed at the bottom of the ballot, while Haley Barbour and his lackeys are claiming that the precedent is set for special elections to go at the bottom of the ballot.  A law that does not mention special elections specifically versus precendence is how the GOP is framing this.  Too bad for them their frame is not based on facts. (surpised? I did not think so)

There's more...

Diaries

Advertise Blogads