Biggest Headache for LATINO Activists

As some of you know, I am a strong pro-Clinton supporter.

However, I am ready to support Senator Obama in November if he is indeed the nominee. I am confident that he will be a great President given the opportunity.

Let me now update you on the state of some Latino political activists. (Although we are technically suppose to be Non-Partisan, its no secret that these groups are Democratic leaning in political views.)

Just came off a conference call with over 270 Latino leaders, activists, local & county elected officials representing 29 states. Many of the participants are also members of  organizations like NALEO, NCLR which is the Largest Latino Civil Rights Org in America, HBLA(Hispanics Business Leaders of America),LEAP, VIVA Latino Voter Mobilization, etc.

There was a strong presence of leaders from states like NM,CA,CO,MO,FL,NJ,NY,TX,PA,NV,OH,VA,MD,A Z.

Main Agenda: It is evident that Senator Barack Obama will very likely be the Democratic Nominee for President.
With that being the case, what unified action can we take to ensure the highest participation of Latino voters

But there is one FACT facing Latino activists this November.
( Base on multiple pollings & surveys completed by different Latino orgs in the last 60 days)

That fact is:

A) GOP John McCain is now poised to be the first Republican Presidential Candidate to ever win the Latino vote for President.

(multiple surveys show McCain polling at a range of 50% to as high as 58% among registered Latino voters against Obama who is ranging between 40% to 49% .)

B) Obama Latino campaign surrogates have repeatedly emphasizedto Latino politicians & activists, that Sen. Obama will need anywhere from 67% to 70% of Latino voters in the General Election in order to offset the expected drop of support from White voters in the General election.

Note: Kerry got 53% of Latino votes
      Gore got  62% of Latino votes
      B.Clinton got 72% of Latino votes

( CNN official 2004,2000,1996 national exit polls )

Actions Needed:

Heavy Latino Mobilization of voters across the country.

Target: Heavy emphasis on New 1st time voters, Latino Senior Citizens, & young Latino voters.

Solutions: In all past National & Statewide elections, VOTER MOBILIZATION was & has always been the answer for latino voters. Education of New Voters & assistance in transporting voters on election day.

But their is a Unique Problem facing Latinos in 2008 :

Various polling estimates have it at 33% to 46% of Latino democrats & latino leaning democrats will Not support Obama in the fall. ( This is why GOP McCain is poised to win the Latino vote for the first time )

Among this group of latino democrats : it is pretty much accepted that they are SPLIT between two groups.

Group A - Plans to Stay Home on election day
Group B - Plans to Vote for McCain in November

Here's the BIG HEADACHE that Latino activists across America right now. This will be the heavy discussion in the next two months.

The dilemma is:

If We Latinos go all out & Mobilize, convince, push,call, force, pressure Latino voters to come out on November 4th & exercise their priviledge & right to Vote.

One MAJOR UNINTENDED consquence is what SCARES & CONCERNS democratic latino activists.

We may unintentionally Add to the Damage on Obama by forcing these Latinos who were planning to Stay at Home, to actually Vote on election day & end up voting for John McCain.

Remember, the 'Stay at home" voters are at 15%-20% of All latino voters.Since they are democrats, these people have voted for Kerry, Gore & Bill Clinton in the past.

But of course, this group has no plans whatsoever in supporting Obama.

Will we be adding injury to our nominee by forcing hundreds of thousands of these voters to the polling booth just to vote for McCain anyway???

The argument of some on the call is these people will Definitely vote for the Democratic Down Ticket & thus, it is worth reaching out to them.

But others argue that they would rather have these large number of people just stay home rather than vote for McCain

This discussion will continue in the next two months.

Either way, speaking as a neutral observer.

So many Latino activists Do Not See how Obama can possibly win in November. They will support him. But his problem with Whites & Latino voters is real & not make believe.

Many Latino politicians "privately" ridiculed & called Donna Brazile's logic as "Pure Stupity".

No Democrat in 2008 or 2012 can win the white house without solid support from Latinos & Working Class whites. Its impossible.

There's more...

Talking Heads (Media) Know Hillary Can Be The Nominee

It just dawned on me this morning as I was switching channels to get away from these talking heads on these Morning Shows. You do realize, they don't call them Morning News, because then they might acutally be expected to report NEWS as opposed to gracing us with their opinions and entertainment (if that's what you call it), however biased they may be.  Even they have come to realize the truth, that Hillary can become the Democratic nominee.

The talking heads went with the Obama theme that we were hearing for so many weeks by the Obama surrogates, asking Hillary to drop out of the Presidential campaign to turn it over to Obama, instead of him having to campaign and fight for the nomination, the night Hillary won Indiana.  A funny thing to do when someone wins a primary election and there are still so many more states yet to vote.

There's more...

Obama Campaign in PA Refused to Do Latino Outreach

The refusal of the Obama campaign to do any Latino outreach was the main reason I fell away from the Obama campaign. I work for the largest Latino non-profit in the state, (not speaking as a spokesperson for them), and could have delivered many more votes to Obama as well as have worked to register many marginalized Latinos. This would have also gained the campaign more inroads into Philly's low-income white neighborhoods. Obama was only interested in registering upper income college students who, as a whole, only turned out 25% of their registrants.

To let you Obama people know other reasons why I dropped away, I delivered evangelical organizers from the center of the state, in places Obama lost, to the Obama campaign; these organizers were shunned. These organizers were from Christian colleges in Pennsylvania as well as from formidable, formerly Republican-oriented church communities. This gives you an on-the-ground idea of how the 'bitter' comments played out.

Lastly, when I learned of Obama's history with the LGBT community  - not just in Pennsylvania but in Chicago, (http://www.gaywired.com/article.cfm?sect ion=163&id=18614) where he has refused interviews with the local gay press, I completely fell away from the Obama campaign.

During this time that Obama's campaign was being criticized by the Philadelphia Gay News, there was a 15 year old Latina from Edison high school who committed suicide because she was allegedly teased about her sexual orientation. This compounded the insult to injury when Obama's campaign dually would not answer to it's snub of the Latino community and the LGBT community.

I have asked the chair of the Obama campaign in Philadelphia to to take out two ads. One which apologizes for the refusal of Obama's PA campaign to do outreach to Latinos the second which distances the coalition in Philadelphia from Senator Obama's refusal to do interviews with local gay press and asks Senator Obama to engage both Latino leadership and local gay constituencies.

The National Council of La Raza has already been engaged about this refusal to organize in Latino communities. If we recall the Illinois primary, Obama lost 50% of the Latino vote.

Latinos and LGBT constituencies have fought long and hard to be counted and we take this lack of respect very personally.

I have also asked the PA for Obama chair, in these advertisements, to apologize for the behavior of certain student organizers on the Obama campaign and the other ugly 'by any means necessary' behavior that his adherents took on during the last few weeks.

I gave him until Monday. I doubt we will see anything because when it comes down to it, Obama's adherents are more elitist than many Republicans. Let's see if they understand this challenge and meet it.

There's more...

Obama Campaign in PA Refused to Do Latino Outreach

The refusal of the Obama campaign to do any Latino outreach was the main reason I fell away from the Obama campaign. I work for the largest Latino non-profit in the state, (not speaking as a spokesperson for them), and could have delivered many more votes to Obama as well as have worked to register many marginalized Latinos. This would have also gained the campaign more inroads into Philly's low-income white neighborhoods. Obama was only interested in registering upper income college students who, as a whole, only turned out 25% of their registrants.

To let you Obama people know other reasons why I dropped away, I delivered evangelical organizers from the center of the state, in places Obama lost, to the Obama campaign; these organizers were shunned. These organizers were from Christian colleges in Pennsylvania as well as from formidable, formerly Republican-oriented church communities. This gives you an on-the-ground idea of how the 'bitter' comments played out.

Lastly, when I learned of Obama's history with the LGBT community  - not just in Pennsylvania but in Chicago, (http://www.gaywired.com/article.cfm?sect ion=163&id=18614) where he has refused interviews with the local gay press, I completely fell away from the Obama campaign.

During this time that Obama's campaign was being criticized by the Philadelphia Gay News, there was a 15 year old Latina from Edison high school who committed suicide because she was allegedly teased about her sexual orientation. This compounded the insult to injury when Obama's campaign dually would not answer to it's snub of the Latino community and the LGBT community.

I have asked the chair of the Obama campaign in Philadelphia to to take out two ads. One which apologizes for the refusal of Obama's PA campaign to do outreach to Latinos the second which distances the coalition in Philadelphia from Senator Obama's refusal to do interviews with local gay press and asks Senator Obama to engage both Latino leadership and local gay constituencies.

The National Council of La Raza has already been engaged about this refusal to organize in Latino communities. If we recall the Illinois primary, Obama lost 50% of the Latino vote.

Latinos and LGBT constituencies have fought long and hard to be counted and we take this lack of respect very personally.

I have also asked the PA for Obama chair, in these advertisements, to apologize for the behavior of certain student organizers on the Obama campaign and the other ugly 'by any means necessary' behavior that his adherents took on during the last few weeks.

I gave him until Monday. I doubt we will see anything because when it comes down to it, Obama's adherents are more elitist than many Republicans. Let's see if they understand this challenge and meet it.

There's more...

Thoughts on the African-American and Latino vote

Though I have been reading here for some time, I have finally figured out how to do diaries and post. I'm a 60 year old who is just making a transition to blogs and blogging in the last few months, so please excuse any errors of netiquette on my part.

I am becoming alarmed at the increasing level of hostile rhetoric in the campaign, as more and more surrogates for Senator Clinton, including her husband, seem to be applauding and encouraging the uninformed and hostile attacks on Senator Obama, via his Pastor's remarks, taken out of context and run Ad nauseum on Fox and other outlets.  

There's more...

Diaries

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