HI-Sen: Inouye Not Particularly Vulnerable

On November 4, Hawaii gave it's native son Barack Obama a greater share of the vote -- 72 percent -- than any other state in the nation. Perhaps it should come as no surprise, then, that Dan Inouye, who has represented Hawaii in the House or the Senate for the entirety of its time as a state, is looking fairly strong in his 2010 reelection bid, even against popular Republican Governor Linda Lingle.

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 12/15-17. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)

Dan Inouye (D): 53 percent
Linda Lingle (R): 42 percent

Hawaiians give Lingle fairly good marks, with 53 percent of voters rating her favorably and 42 percent rating her unfavorably. But that isn't enough to enable her to knock off Inouye, whose lowest reelection showing was 57.3 percent in 1992, and who other than that has never received less than 69 percent of the vote in a Senate election. Inouye's strength, then, isn't too much of a surprise -- though the fact that Lingle isn't polling within 10 points of Inouye is at least slightly unexpected.

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HI-Sen: Akaka vs. Thielen

From the Star-Bulletinbreaking news:

Hawaii's Republican Party has chosen state Rep. Cynthia Thielen to run against U.S. Sen. Daniel Akaka in the Nov. 7 general election.
[...]
The Republicans were able to pick a candidate after Jerry Coffee won the GOP primary in the Senate race. Coffee, former Navy pilot and Vietnam prisoner of war, had withdrawn from the race over the summer because of a heart attack and heart surgery.

Thielen, a 16-year legislative veteran who represents Windward Oahu, is known as a strong environmentalist who was endorsed by the Sierra Club this year. Thielen ran unopposed this year and was automatically re-elected, so she will not have to give up her House seat to run against Akaka.

The Advertisernotes that:

Thielen is considered a moderate who could appeal to supporters of Akaka's Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep. Ed Case, who lost Saturday's primary.

FYI, Thielen has been a strong advocate for medical marijuana and the hemp industry. Her son Peter is a hemp activist.

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Hawaii Returns Thread

It is 1:30 a.m. in Philly. Swing State Project says to not expect retruns until 3:30 am eastern, so there is no way I am staying up for this one. However, please use this thread to discuss the results of the HI-Sen and HI-02 primaries. You can follow the returns on the Channel 8 website in Hawaii. Screw the Secretary of State website. It told me I had to register to watch the returns. Since when do you have to register on an SoS website? But I registered anyway. After I did so, it told me I had insufficient privileges to view the returns. Worst official elections returns site ever. Whoever is in charge of that website should be fired.

Anyway, two big primaries tonight. Follow the returns, post results in the comments. I am going to bed. Enjoy the end of primary season.

P.S. Has either Akaka or Case prepared signatures to run as the "Hawaii for Akaka" or "Hawaii for Case" candidate? I didn't think so. That alone shows that whoever wins is a better man than Joe Lieberman.

P.P.S The Honolulu Advertiser also has a results page.

MyDD Conversation with HI Sen. Daniel Akaka

Bumped back up -- Jonathan

Last night I had the opportunity to speak with Senator Daniel Akaka, a Democrat running for reelection in Hawaii. On Saturday, Akaka will face Congressman Ed Case in the Democratic Party primary. A call to invite Rep. Case to be interviewed for this site was not returned.

Although the race between Akaka and Case has been overlooked by both the national media and, to an extent, the political blogosphere, it represents an interesting situation: Case is basically challenging Akaka from the right (though he focuses on the need to pass on power to a new generation of Hawaiians). While Senator Akaka opposed the Bush administration on policies such as Iraq and the bankruptcy reform bill, Rep. Case has supported the White House on these measures.

I am generally loath to advocate supporting one candidate over another before I am able to hear from both. Yet due to the time constraints and clear differences in ideology between the two candidates, I believe it is important for the Netroots to show support for Sen. Akaka, the candidate who will more clearly demand accountabilty on Iraq and a range of issues.

The latest polling shows Sen. Akaka up by more than 10 points, but given the possibility that this race will continue to tighten as election day nears (remember, the Honolulu Advertiser polling from 2004 was at least a bit suspect), Sen. Akaka needs our help today. If you agree now (or after having read this interview), go to Sen. Akaka's website and make a financial contribution on his behalf and help put him over the top before Saturday's primary.

Jonathan Singer: Let's get started. Hawaii has had five Senators in its history and just three in the last 30 years. Your primary opponent, Rep. Ed Case, says it's time for you to pass the baton on to the next generation. Why do you disagree?

Daniel Akaka: I think that Hawaii can still gain with the seniority that I have and that he won't have, that it will take him years to get to the seniority and also the kind of ranking positions that I'm now in and can help Hawaii and the whole country much more than he can in this point in time.

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Hi-Sen: Advertiser Poll Slightly Bogus

First let me begin by saying I am an avid Akaka supporter and will be voting for him this Sat.  Also I wrote this in the comments section but felt it warranted further review.  The Hawaii Democratic Primary for Senate is far from over.  I, like many others, felt relieved when the Honolulu Advertiser recently endorsed Akaka and released a poll showing him up by about ten points over Case.  However, there are many problems with this poll and more attention needs to be put on this race.  

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