Demoralizing Republicans by blogging about why their Party is history

Here's a strategy we Democrats can use to seriously demoralize the Republican base leading up to the midterm elections so as to maximize our prospects for winning three to seven Senate seats and additional House seats on November 2nd 2010.  

As I explain in greater detail below, there is substantial and growing evidence that the Republican Party, as it has existed over the last century, is on its last legs.  The strategy I'm suggesting calls upon Democrat bloggers to publish an avalanche of well-researched and detailed pieces on the damaging factors that are converging on the Republican Party; factors that are expected to intensify as we move through the next two decades.  I present a general thesis for this kind of attack below, and am confident that in the hands of professional bloggers, the strategy will depress Republican voter turnout in 2010, and let all of the steam out of Teabaggers' and other Republican groups' attack engine long before they can mount a midterm elections offensive.

For their 2002 book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira examined demographic, geographic and social trends during the last several decades, and concluded that "Democrats are likely to become the majority Party of the early twenty-first century." In March 2009, Teixeira updated his 2002 thesis in a 51 page report for the Center for American Progress titled New Progressive America; Twenty Years of Demographic, Geographic, and Attitudinal Changes Across the Country Herald a New Progressive Majority, and the trends and dynamics he reported seven years earlier remain essentially unchanged.

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Nonprofit Tech: Facebook Demographics

The last big news from Facebook was that, were it considered a country, its population would be larger than that of all the countries in the world, save China, India, the United States, and Indonesia.  (It stands at 200 million.)

Diving into those demographics a bit, we recently learned that what was once, by design, the exclusive domain of college students, now counts its largest age group as those 35 to 54.  Remarkably, the second largest age group are those 24 to 34-year olds (25.2%).

Those of approximately college age, 18-24, come in today at 25.1%—remarkably down from 40.8% from just this past January.

This just underscores important role Facebook can play in advocacy.  It reaches an astounding number of people, but looking specifically at fundraising, it's reaching those people most likely to have the means to give and not simply those in college already struggling to stretch their limited income.

As further evidence of this, the popular Facebook fundraising application, Causes, recently announced that they've raised $10 million in a little over two years.  Interestingly, they've raised half of that, a full $5 million, in the past six months alone.  Though it'd be very hard to report causality, this certainly corresponds to older users overtaking young college and grad school aged users as the primary users of Facebook.

Although we need to remember that Facebook doesn't reach everyone, it's increasingly becoming a more and more useful tool.

Read more at The Opportunity Agenda website.

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Red California Death Watch

In 2007, right-wing political operatives tried to place a measure on the June 2008 ballot that - if successful - would have awarded California's electoral votes by Congressional District.  Democrats and progressives strongly opposed it, because everyone assumed it would give the G.O.P. presidential nominee an extra 19 votes.  California is a deep blue state, but parts of Orange County and the Central Valley are still reliably Republican.  New data from last November's election, however, suggests that "Red California" is becoming less and less relevant.  Barack Obama carried eight Congressional Districts that had long voted for Republican presidential candidates, and John McCain came close to losing three more.  All these districts are currently represented in Congress by Republicans, but a few incumbents came close last year to losing to Democratic challengers.  It's only a matter of time before some of these districts will eventually flip.  None of this is a surprise, however, because the state's Republican base is older, whiter and shrinking in size.  But the rate of this change is quite staggering, which explains why Republicans in the state legislature have clung to the "two-thirds rule" for passing a budget.  After all, it's the only reason they have any power left in the state.

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Rising American Electorate

The groups that are changing America demographically changed America politically in 2008. By virtue of higher turnout or higher margins, four key groups spearheaded the progressive victory in November: unmarried women, African Americans, younger voters and Latinos.  This Rising American Electorate overwhelming supported Barack Obama by a 69 to 30 percent margin.  

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2% black

I heard the story on NPR that there are significant differences in the demographics of the two conventions.  One that stood out is that 36 delegates to the Republican convention are black, or less than 2%.  

Here's the story I found from a local Chicago ABC affiliate.  

The Republican National Committee is not releasing any official numbers about the demographics of its delegates, but some staff called from the Joint Economic Center for Information say there are about 1,900 delegates, and 36 of them are African American. That's about 1.5 percent. In 2004, at the Republican convention, seven percent were African American.
At the Democratic convention in Denver this year, 44 percent of the delegates were minorities, including all minorities, not just African Americans. And also a majority of those delegates were women.
At the RNC, the men outnumber the women 2-1 on the delegate floor. The average age for both parties' convention delegates is 54.

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