Arianna Huffington, How Sincere Is She?

 

The question needs to be asked.   This women is not without means.   She is also the former wife of a Republican.    She is not friendly to Democrats in DC in the least.   Granted bashing Democrats in DC these days is like shooting fish in a barrel. It is popular sport.   But what are her motives?   How committed to Democrats is she?  How committed to Republicans? 

 

 

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A move to Texas

 On June 1, my job transfers from Carlsbad, CA to Garland, TX.  I have some nervousness about moving from blue (except on taxes) to red Texas.  Plus I have lived all but about 6 years of my life in my native state.

I'm hoping Bill White can pull it out against Rick Perry, though I think Perry's machine may be too much, as Texas
still has too big a percentage of conservatives for Democrats to win statewide.  Maybe if it was another (less-GOPish) year, White would have a good chance.  But the state is slowly changing, so there is some hope down the road.  My estimate of White's chances--35%.

So why is the GOP having a revival in California?  Because of a lame Democratic party which has neglected the grassroots, forgotten about building a bench, and offering up bad candidates like Jerry Brown.  Jerry Brown has no campaing and no message right now.  Plus Meg Whitman (who reminds me a lot of Margaret Thatcher) has used her fortune
on an effective media campaign.  I think she will win going away.  California is in a lot trouble, and the budget problems have to be fixed.  Whitman will destroy a lot of what makes California great, but where's the progressive alternative?  Where's our solution to making government services more efficient?  Chance of a Jerry Brown win--less than 10%.

Meanwhile, while Carly Fiorina will likely not be the nominee, her ads are driving up Barbara Boxer's negatives (51% unfavorable in the latest Field Poll).  Barbara Boxer's style has always turned off swing voters, but she has benefitted from weak opposition.  In this environment, with reduced AA & Latino turnout, Boxer is in trouble.  A lot will depend on whether health care reform passes and how well it's received.   Boxer's chances of reelection--45%.

I may be pessimistic, but this not a good year for Democrats in California.  Maybe after I move, I may have a new username.

 

 

 

 

 

Demon Sheep: The Sequel

If you thought Demon Sheep was bad, here's Carly Fiorina's latest, Boxer Blimp. H/T Ben Smith:

Given the way the Senate works, it's extremely dishonest and misleading to say that Boxer has only passed three bills. No, she's not the author of the major Appropriations and Authorization bills, but that doesn't mean her amendments to such bills, or language she wrote for other Members' bills, shouldn't be counted as legislative accomplishments. Here's one example: if Carly Fiorina is to believed, the tuberculosis section of Henry Hyde's Global Leadership Against HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria Reauthorization Act of 2008 doesn't exist. Let's also remember that it's not just the passage of bills that matters, but also critical actions like stopping drilling in ANWR or speaking out against the Taliban four years before 9/11.

Anyway, I am so glad I don't live in California.

The Insanity of the Lambs

With former GOP Congressman Tom Cambell switching from the race for Governor to the race for the Senate seat in California, he clearly poses more of a challenge for Carly Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and sometimes registered voter, than he does for State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, who is the darling of the Tea Party set. Well, she's not leaving anything to chance apparently. In an Internet-only ad that could only be described as insane, Carly Fiorina has yet again demonstrated that she's ready to set new lows for the California GOP. And here, I thought that Chuch DeVore was the lunatic of the bunch or should I say flock.

But these are desperate times for Carly the billionairness and destroyer of corporate valuations. According to a Public Policy Institute of California (pdf.) poll conducted in mid January, Tom Campbell is leading both Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore in the race to win the Republican nomination for the right to challenge Senator Barbara Boxer in the fall.

Campbell polls 27 percent among likely voters compared to 16 percent for Fiorina and 8 percent for DeVore. But there's still 48 percent who haven't focused or made up their minds. The margin of error for primary voters is 5 points.

 

 

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The Insanity of the Lambs

With former GOP Congressman Tom Cambell switching from the race for Governor to the race for the Senate seat in California, he clearly poses more of a challenge for Carly Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and sometimes registered voter, than he does for State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, who is the darling of the Tea Party set. Well, she's not leaving anything to chance apparently. In an Internet-only ad that could only be described as insane, Carly Fiorina has yet again demonstrated that she's ready to set new lows for the California GOP. And here, I thought that Chuch DeVore was the lunatic of the bunch or should I say flock.

But these are desperate times for Carly the billionairness and destroyer of corporate valuations. According to a Public Policy Institute of California (pdf.) poll conducted in mid January, Tom Campbell is leading both Carly Fiorina and Chuck DeVore in the race to win the Republican nomination for the right to challenge Senator Barbara Boxer in the fall.

Campbell polls 27 percent among likely voters compared to 16 percent for Fiorina and 8 percent for DeVore. But there's still 48 percent who haven't focused or made up their minds. The margin of error for primary voters is 5 points.

 

 

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Diaries

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