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Its Not a Question of IF, Its only a question of HOW MANY

" Its Not a Question of IF, its only a question of
HOW MANY Democrats will cross party lines or Stay at home on election day. Its not a question of how many whites & Latino democrats would not support the nominee, its only a question of by how much. It would be similar to the Reagan democrats two decades ago. The only difference today is the large Latino votes & Senior citizen voters are part of the 2008 block"

This is the best quote I've seen jointly given by democrat Henry Cisneros & GOP operative Al Castellanos on this issue.

All pollster agree on the findings. Polls in state after state show anwyhere from 25% to as high as almost 50% in states like Kentucky & West Virginia.

Democrats who would either vote for McCain in November or stay at home on election day.

Obama operatives can only work to try & minimize the percentages.

But even if numbers go at the low end of 25%, it would still be result in a devastating defeat for Obama in November.

Obama cannot afford to get Only 30%-35% of white voters. Obama cannot afford to get Only 55% of Latino voters.

Despite the Worst Republican Branding since Watergate, combined with a powerful media bias, we have a democratic nominee who would at best, give millions of democrats so much uncertainty until election night.

While we will increase our congressional house seats in November due in large part to the serious brand damage of the GOP, we will need lots of sleeping pills, lots of luck, and lots of divine intervention if we are too see a President Obama.

Its Kerry all over again. Obama has Absolutely No Room for error in the electoral map in November. There is No Wiggle room. Nothing.

We may all witness a relatively close popular vote race but a landslide electoral map defeat in November.

Not only possible, but extremely possible.

What a country. Only in america can you pick a weaker candidate for President.

There can be no "fair" re-vote in MI and FL

One more time, from the top.

Aside from the fact that there is an excellent reason the DNC penalized MI and FL in the primary presidential race. Aside from the fact that both MI and FL were warned under no uncertain terms what would happen if they tried to "cut in line" without due process. Aside from the fact that both Obama and Clinton agreed, on film and on paper, to the DNC's decision to de-legitimize MI and FL's out-of-turn selection of the presidential nominee.

MIsleading Democrats? Clinton/Obama support crossover.

I watched Meet the Press yesterday and I was struck by some comments made by the panel with regard to crossover support.  Specifically they were parroting the BO claim that HRC supporters would support him, but not vice versa.  Am I missing something?  The most recent data that I seem to have seen does not support this - in fact - I believe its the reverse.

"According to Mississippi exit polls, 60 percent of Clinton voters say the New York senator should not make Obama her running mate, while only 34 percent say she should."

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/200 8/03/11/exit-polls-clinton-voters-say-no -to-obama-for-vp/

"On several counts, Obama voters were more charitable toward Clinton than vice versa:

-58% of Obama voters said he should pick Clinton for vice president if he wins the nomination; 38% of Clinton voters said she should pick Obama as her running mate if she wins.

-72% percent of Clinton voters said they would be dissatisfied if Obama wins the nomination. 57%t of Obama voters would be dissatisfied with Clinton.

_ 44% of Obama voters said Clinton has offered clear and detailed plans to solve the country's problems. Only 23% of Clinton voters said that about Obama."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2008/03/11/AR2008031102194. html

"In the new Franklin & Marshall College Poll (read it HERE) some good news for Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-NY, and some troubling news for Democrats.
Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, 51% to 35% -- increasing her lead from February, when she was up 44% to 37%.  She leads among young voters, wealthier voters...voters in virtually every demographic group, with the exceptions of Philly voters and non-whites.
In a sign of just how divisive and ugly the Democratic fight has gotten, only 53% of Clinton voters say they'll vote for Obama should he become the nominee. Nineteen percent say they'll go for Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and 13% say they won't vote."
Sixty percent of Obama voters say they'll go for Clinton should she win the nomination, with 20% opting for McCain, and three percent saying they won't vote.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/ 2008/03/keystone-democr.html

Hhmm...  What is going to happen?



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