The last polls from Zogby show:
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?I D=1499

NC: Obama leads 51-37
IN: Obama leads 45-43 (the 5/5 half was 47-41 Obama)

So it may be over for Hillary.  I still think he's off in one
of the two states, but other polls have shown Obama gaining
in Indiana (though still behind).  I really believe the AA turnout (especially among early voters)
will sink Clinton in North Carolina.  Thoughts?

Sunday night's polling shows the race having not moved at all. Clinton gained one point in NC and trails Obama by 8 (48-40) and still trails by 2 in Indiana (44-42).

http://www.newsmax.com/headlines/clinton _obama_zogby/2008/05/04/93355.html

Our favorite pollster's tracking poll shows no real change in the races in North Carolina and Indiana.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?I D=1497

http://zogby.com/

For what it's worth and it probably isn't worth much, Barack Obama's once 16 point lead in the Zogby tracking poll is now down to 9 points--46-37. This movement towards Clinton is now in line with the great majority of other polls out at this time.

In indiana Zogby has the race statistically tied, with Obama ahead by one, 43-42. Most other polls out have Clinton ahead by 7-10 points in this state. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/latestpolls/index.html

Zogby's final 2-day average came out and it shows Clinton up 10, 51-41.

http://www.newsmax.com/headlines/zogby_c linton_obama/2008/04/21/89838.html

A Zogby PA poll just out shows Hillary up on Obama 46-43 after leading him 47-42 yesterday.  Zogby says Obama actually polled at 46-44 over Clinton today, taking a lead in one day's polling. He had pulled in only 40% yesterday.

http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/Newsm ax_Zogby_Pa_race/2008/04/19/89395.html

The lastest from the pollster we love to hate:
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?I D=1484

Clinton 47%
Obama 42%

Obama only got 40% on today's half of the poll.  Perhaps this is the turnaround for Clinton; we shall see.  She's way ahead among Catholics, and I really think the debate is sinking Obama.  Don't be fooled by crowd sizes at campaign stops: they're overrated.

I think Hillary needs a 10%+ win; she'll need as much of that 8% undecided as possible to get it.  And I think she will.

There are two new polls out of Pennsylvania that were in the field yesterday, the first full day after the debate. And as you might expect, we're getting some mixed messages.

Zogby, which began its Pennsylvania daily tracking poll yesterday, showed Clinton gaining a net 3 points when the 17th, the day after the debate, was added to its 2-day rolling average.

John Zogby doesn't attribute the movement to a post-debate bounce for Clinton though, but does see a disturbing trend for Obama in the fall if he is the nominee.

"No ground really gained or lost by either candidate after Wednesday's debate. The one day sample had Clinton leading by 4 points. She is solid with Catholics, whites, Hispanics, and older voters. Obama holds his strong support among African Americans, the young , and Very Liberals. What is very significant here is that when we ask these likely primary voters who they would vote for today in the general election, Clinton scores 75% to 9% against McCain, while Obama leads McCain 72% to 14%. The difference? Only 11% of Catholic Democrats and 12% of white Democrats choose McCain in the match against Clinton, while 22% of Catholic Democrats and 18% of white Democrats choose McCain against Obama."

Rasmussen Reports, on the other hand, released a poll taken entirely over the course of yesterday and finds a 6-point turnaround in Obama's direction in the aftermath of the debate.

Rasmussen doesn't address whether the movement was in any impacted by the debate but this bit of analysis leads me to believe that there may be a slight inflation of Obama's numbers here and that in PA as we've seen elsewhere, we'll probably see undecideds and soft Obama supporters come home to Clinton in the end.

Obama's support appears to be a bit softer than Clinton's at this point in time. Six percent (6%) of Obama voters say there's a good chance they could change their mind before voting. Only 2% of Clinton supporters say the same.

Overall, with less than a week to go, 9% of Pennsylvania voters remain undecided, 3% say there's a good chance they will change their mind, and another 12% might change their mind. Among those who are certain how they will vote, Clinton leads 53% to 47%.

Zogby has definitely had some questionable results this cycle but I've found the statewide tracking polls to be interesting to the extent that they measure small shifts in real time, but it's only really helpful (if at all) once you have 3 to 4 days of results to go by.

Update [2008-4-18 13:46:14 by Todd Beeton]:And speaking of post-debate polls:

These results are based on interviewing conducted April 15-17, with Thursday night's interviewing the first conducted following the April 16 debate in Philadelphia. [...]

In Thursday night's interviewing, Clinton received a greater share of national Democratic support than Obama, the first time she has done so in an individual night's interviewing since April 3. That stronger showing for Clinton helped to snap Obama's streak of statistically significant leads in the three-day rolling averages Gallup reports each day. Until today, he had led Clinton by a statistically significant margin in each of the prior 11 Gallup releases.