That according to a poll just released.

As a stalwart republican state, Obama having any lead in the state at all bodes very well. I wouldn't rule out his taking  the state, although I think it more likely he ends up about 3-5 points behind.

Nevertheless, a most encouraging result. No let's hope SUSA doesn't get in too much trouble for robopolling in Indiana, where the practice is legally forbidden.

Can we stop the electability argument? SUSAs latest poll puts Obama at a +9 in OH against McCain, and as much as EIGHTEEN POINTS ahead of McCain with Edwards.

This is further evidence that so far in every single swing state polled by SUSA, a Obama/Edwards ticket is polling in many cases double of what Obama can do alone.

The matchups that perform better than the baseline are below the fold, and are ALL Obama/Edwards.

SUSA has polled a bunch of VP matchups and a straight generic Obama McCain matchup in Ohio and Obama comes out the huge winner!

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/ 05/23/ohio-vp-matchups/

Obama is up +8 in a straight matchup, and wins virtually every battle with VPs included.

Looks like great numbers for Obama in Ohio!!!!

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo rt.aspx?g=8873e7c5-a311-44e2-b01b-9df0a5 3afa30

This November voters in New Mexico will be electing a new Senator to replace the retiring republican, Pete Domenici.

In a hypothetical General Election for U.S. Senator from New Mexico today, 25 weeks to the vote, Democrat Tom Udall defeats either Republican Pearce or Republican Wilson by a nearly identical margin. Today, against Pearce, Udall wins 60% to 36%. Against Wilson, Udall wins 61% to 35%. Udall leads among both men and women, young and old, white and Hispanic, regardless of opponent. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over and vote Democrat; 1 in 10 Democrats cross over to vote Republican.

Obama leads overall 54-43, but according to SUSA, among the 43% who already voted, Obama only leads 49-48.

Oregon Women Move To Obama in Final Week Before Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Oregon today, 05/12/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton 54% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for KATU-TV Portland. Though the results are only slightly more in favor of Obama than SurveyUSA's most recent track point, released 11 days ago, before results of North Carolina and Indiana were known, there is movement in Oregon among women. 5 weeks ago, Clinton led by 7 among Oregon women. Today, Obama leads by 7. See the interactive tracking graph here. Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 24 points. Among voters older than Republican John McCain, Clinton leads, but just barely, and by a lot less than she had. See the interactive tracking graph here. 4 in 10 of likely voters have already returned a ballot. Among the actual voters, Clinton and Obama tie. Obama's advantage comes entirely from the 6 in 10 likely voters who tell SurveyUSA they will return their ballot before 8 pm on Primary Day, but have not yet done so. All voting in Oregon is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo rt.aspx?g=94e9005d-d8d6-46e2-b09a-697a4e 23a900

Landslide on the way for HRC in Kentucky.

Survey USA concludes, significant delegate and popular vote pick up for Clinton in Kentucky.

HRC 62
BHO 30
Other 6
Und 3

Clinton has a shot to reach 65 percent, and a small shot to cross the 70 percent threshold.

Clinton Poised for Ceremonial Trouncing of Obama in Kentucky: In a Democratic Primary in Kentucky today, 05/12/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Hillary Clinton decisively defeats Barack Obama, and is well-positioned to pick up delegates and popular votes, according to SurveyUSA's 5th pre-primary tracking poll, conducted for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Clinton leads 62% to 30% today, effectively unchanged from SurveyUSA polls released 4 weeks, 2 weeks and 1 week ago. Clinton gets 84% of the vote in Eastern Kentucky, 62% in Western KY, 61% in North Central KY and 52% in greater Louisville. It is unclear to what extent Democrats in Kentucky will conclude, before Primary Day, that the Kentucky contest has significance. Some may conclude that the nomination fight is over, and that the contest has no meaning. Others may see it as having great symbolic importance, and the opportunity to make a statement

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo rt.aspx?g=5a9590c1-a775-4dc0-8dee-9f75b0 29ae2c

Total blowout in Kentucky.

New Survey USA, Obama does not even cross the 30 percent threshold.

HRC 62
BHO 28

From SUSA:

Two weeks to the Democratic Primary for President in Kentucky, Hillary Clinton remains decisively atop Barack Obama, according to this 4th tracking poll conducted by SurveyUSA for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WCPO-TV in Cincinnati. Today, it's Clinton 62%, Obama 28%, effectively unchanged from SurveyUSA polls released on 04/29/08 and 04/15/08. Clinton leads in every region of the state and in every demographic subpopulation of consequence.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo rt.aspx?g=602e0e00-1895-4c69-81cc-96bcae 6aee9d

http://zogby.com/

For what it's worth and it probably isn't worth much, Barack Obama's once 16 point lead in the Zogby tracking poll is now down to 9 points--46-37. This movement towards Clinton is now in line with the great majority of other polls out at this time.

In indiana Zogby has the race statistically tied, with Obama ahead by one, 43-42. Most other polls out have Clinton ahead by 7-10 points in this state. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/latestpolls/index.html