http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/P PP_Release_042108.pdf

PPP Has Senator Obama up 49-46!!!

Combine this with SUSA only having Clinton up 50-44, the most reliable pollsters have this race as a toss up!!!

YES WE CAN!!!

We all witnessed that the Des Moines Register poll was the most accurate in Iowa.  It's results in the final poll were rather accurate, except for the percent of independents voting in the dem.  However, since they correctly predicted the surge of voters, it is more reasonable to assume that the dem/ind. id is fluid from day to day.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_of_po llsters_rating_the_n.php

had the DMR as the #1 rated Iowa poll.

Now they have CNN/WMUR as the #1  CNN poll.

Therefore, I am suspending my belief that Hillary is down 8 - 12 until the top pollsters in the state say she's down.  At this point, the race is back to winnable, and Hillary will win NH.

Right now, the race is even.

1.  abc/wash post    no poll

2.  cnn/wmur        Clinton 33 Obama 33
   
3.  cbs              no poll
   
4.   Pew/ap          no poll
   
5.  boston globe     no poll
   
6.  marist           no poll

the pollsters that have Obama out big are the worst rated: