Rasmussen has a couple polls out today. One for New Hampshire and one for Nevada.
In New Hampshire, Obama is up 11. Just a few days ago, ARG had a poll with Obama up 12, so things are looking pretty good for New Hampshire at the moment. I've heard the media talk about how strong of a chance McCain has there, but the polls are not backing that up at the moment.
In Nevada, he is showing Obama down 3, but that is a 3 point improvement over a month ago.

Cross posted from My Silver State.

Remember 2004? When the incumbent Senate Democratic Leader was beaten when he was running for reelection in South Dakota? The first time the Republican  Senate Leader Bill Frist broke one of those so called DC "gentlemen's agreeements" of not actively campaigning against the leader of the other party?

You want that to happen again in 2010?

No? Then follow me below the fold to see what you can do NOW to stop the Republicans from beating Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in 2010!

Please be aware that the pop vote totals on Real Clear Politics are non-representative of the real totals, as they exclude several states who haven't fully reported their popular vote totals.

Spin cycle:  take a look at the map of Obama wins in his campaign website.  You'll see that rising "O" symbol stamped like cattle brand on those states that Obama allegedly won, bathing them in the kind of celestial light normally reserved for depictions of holy images and saints.

According to that map (look for it in the BO.com website), he won 27 out of 41 states, including Texas, Nevada and Missouri.  But just like the foundation of his candidacy, this is one big, fat lie.

MR. OBAMA, YOU DID NOT WIN TEXAS.  You lost the popular vote.  Nevermind that you're walking away with more delegates.  You got more delegates because of those caucuses, which are fundamentally undemocratic.  We don't want to hear that kind of talk, after we Democrats suffered through the same judgment in 2000, when our candidate Gore won the national popular vote but Renquist and Scalia stole it for Bush.  The will of the popular vote must be upheld.

MR. OBAMA, YOU DID NOT WIN NEVADA.  Like Texas, you lost the popular vote.  You may have walked away with one more delegate, but a majority of Nevadans chose Hillary Clinton to be the next president over you.  This is indisputable.

But you seem to love that pledged delegate argument in pushing the fairy tale that you won both Texas and Nevada.  If this is so, then you should be consistent with MISSOURI.  While you won the popular vote count by the tiniest margin (1%) in that state, both Hillary and you walked away with the same number of 36 pledged delegates.  By this count, and by your perverted measure of victory, you didn't win Missouri.  You tied Hillary in pledged delegates.

Stop the fuzzy math.

The press is also noticing this fantastic claim:

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/ 2008/03/obama-website-c.html

Is this how Obama will win our nomination?  By claiming fake victories, and fudging the math?

New memo from Nevada state democratic party (pdf), published by Jon Ralston fo the Las Vegas Sun shows Democrats now hold an advantage statewide of nearly 35,000 voters over Republicans (compared with with a deficit of 5000 voters at the 2006 election.)

This surge, which has been building since 2004, accelerated greatly in the final months of 2007 and reached the tipping point on caucus day in January (when Democrats gained over 10K new registrations and Republicans lost nearly 5000K).

These figures are highly significant, because dating back to 2000, Democrats have lost three statewide elections (Presidential in 2000 and 2004; Gubernatorial in 2006) by fewer than 25,000 votes.

Moreover, its impact is most evident in the highly competitive 3rd Congressional District, where Republican incumbent and George Bush rubber stamp Jon Porter narrowly held his seat in 2006, winning with 48%, and a margin of fewer than 4000 votes (against a little-known, first-time candidate who entered the race in February.) The district, once solidly republican, now has a 20,000 Democratic voter registration advantage.

Good news for Demcoratic challenger Robert Daskas, who has been campaigning full time since last year.

The new registration figures have also erased Republican margins of several thousand voters in the two most competitive state Senate districts (5 and 6), of which the Democrats need to pick up only one to take a majority.

The party memo concludes that, given this registration advantage, and even assuming "No Party" (independent) registrants vote in the same proportions and with the same breakdown as in 2004, only 27.4% of the new registrants need to turn out and vote Democratic to swing the state to blue in this year's presidential race, and in CD3, only 11% need to turn out and vote Democratic to swing the seat to Daskas.

So here according to Rasmussen are three GE states and polling on where states currently see them...

Nevada

McCain: 49 percent
Clinton: 40

Obama: 50 percent
McCain: 38

New Hampshire

Clinton: 43 percent
McCain: 41

Obama: 49 percent
McCain: 36

Colorado

McCain: 49 percent
Clinton: 35

Obama: 46 percent
McCain: 39

Links...

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/2008_presiden tial_election/nevada/election_2008_nevad a_general
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/2008_presiden tial_election/new_hampshire/new_hampshir e_2008_presidential_election
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c ontent/politics/election_20082/2008_pres idential_election/colorado/colorado_2008 _presidential_election

----------------

Outside of "It's too early for these polls" what is the response from Hillary supporters as to why we would select Hillary if we wanted to win?  It seems to me, that if Hillary wins the nomination, we are fighting the Kerry and Gore Strategy which is basically a 20 or so state strategy, while with Obama we have a much wider canvas to paint with.  Feel free to tear this argument down, i am just curious to see how Hillary supporters feel about this.

Take a look at Barack Obama's "State of the Race"...claiming to have won 19 of 30 states.

It looks like Senator Obama's web team has just about as much experience as he does!

We know the Obama nutties are going to pull a lever for Democracy and say that technically, he won more delegates out of Nevada.

Please tell me, how we, members of the Democratic Party, people who are supposed to fight for the people's agenda, the people's voice, how we can say that Obama won the Nevada caucuses.

Barack Obama    Illinois    Democratic    4,805    45.12%
Hillary Clinton    New York    Democratic    5,407    50.77%

Only in Republican America does Obama win Nevada.  The campaign team needs to explain this ASAP.

Cross-posted at Daily Kos

The Florida primary is now history, and it appears that twice as many Democrats turned out in 2008 than 2004. What did they tell us and how loudly did they say it?  Any analysis tells us that Florida Democrats wants Hillary Clinton to be the nominee, and they said it with persuasiveness loudness.