I am going to make this brief but to the point.
I have been part of the progressive netroots community since the Howard Dean rah rah days. I certainly admire and respect the successful growth & influence of the netroots community.
However, I fear that most prominent leaders of the netroots community in 2008 are about to lead us to another very disappointing loss in November.
What has transpired in the last 90 days has reminded me of all the hoopla of the Ned Lamont failed GE bid & the collapse of the Howard Dean campaign.
These past two painful defeats, displayed front & back the deep disconnect between mainstream off-line general election voters as compared to the Left wing netroots democratic base.
Today, just like literally 50% of All Democratic voters, I strongly believe that our " prominent net leaders" are about to lead this whole community to another HUGE DISAPPOINTMENT in November.
Only this time, the implications would be Much More & the Defeat Much larger than Lamont or Dean.
There seems to be Only a Very Few bloggers who see what 50% of us see. One of them is no other than MYDD founder Jerome Armstrong. All his past writings in the last 3-4 months have indicated an unbias understanding of what Senator Barack Obama is facing in November.
While people like Markos, Chris Bowers & Matt Stoller are leading the charge for 75% of the entire netroots community who are howling, rooting & going all out on the " Obama 2008 Victory train".
Can the Obama express train take this primary ? Honestly, at this point, yes. I have already accepted that fact.
But can Sen. Obama take the train all the way to the white house?
Personally, as a loyal democrat, a proud Latino- NO!
I will vote for Senator Obama in November.
But just like half of all democrats, I fear & have accepted the very strong probability that Markos, Ted Kennedy, Jesse Jackson is about to lead our party to another VERY PAINFUL November. For those of us over 50 yrs of age, its 1984, 1988 all over again.
I repost this EXCELLENT link by Jerome Armstrong.
This pretty much sums up the reality. Not the Hype by the mainstream media & its netroots ally for 2008. ( Wow, how things have changed)
http://tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=bf 08a566-7c44-446a-aa34-7889b0f24b5a
Let me end by saying that, A Massive defeat by Sen. Barack Obama in November will be 3 steps back in terms of credibility & advancement of the netroots community. Its the 3rd ( and largest) horse that this community would have went all out & lost.
Then people here wonder why mainstream democrats never take us seriously. Its almost a total disconnect with mainstream general election voters.
P.S. The netroots community slaps Joe Lieberman in the dem primary. The General electorate in Blue Connecticut comes back & Slaps the entire liberal netroots community upside down in the General election. This November is a movie that many of us have seen before. Some just have a stubborn short memory.
A new SurveyUSA poll released today for Kentucky shows Sen. Hillary Clinton crushing Sen. Barack Obama, 58% to 29%, in the closed Democratic primary to be held on May 20.
Key findings: Clinton leads in all parts of the state including 4 to 1 in Eastern KY. She is beating Obama by 20 points among men, and is leading Obama by 37 points among women.
SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky shows Sen. Hillary Clinton crushing Sen. Barack Obama, 58% to 29%, in the closed Democratic primary to be held on May 20.
Regardless of the candidate you support for President, be it Obama or Clinton, we have a key component that needs to be addressed before the general election on November 4th of this year. To be President of the United States of America, one has to garner 270 votes in the electoral college- as many of us will grimly remember, you can eke out a win in the popular vote total, only to be denied the Presidency.
Senator Bill Nelson (D-Florida) today announced he would be sponsoring legislation to reshape the way primaries are run, as well as for restructuring (or disbanding) the electoral college. This is an interesting proposal- certainly something we should all pay attention to. Until then, however, the goal is still 270 electoral votes.
Now, many arguments have been tossed back and forth between Obama and Clinton supporters about whom can outperform whom in the General Election vis a vis the electoral votes they can garner. They are certainly valid arguments to be made, but at this stage of the game, it's very hard to predict what the end result will be when we're still over half a year out.
Doing some research based off of current polling from Rasmussen, Gallup, SUSA, and Quinnipiac, I have come up with a startling realization as to who can take the electoral college, though. Of the Democratic candidates, the one who can take 270 votes is... Senator Barack Obama AND Senator Hillary Clinton. Unfortunately, they can also both lose, and as it stands now, they stand a very good chance of doing so.
Here's how.
· LA-Sen: Kennedy Kicks Off Campaign ... (DailyKingFish)
· Adventures in confounding variables (desmoinesdem)
· Wake Up Wal-Mart Continues to Rock Wal-Mart (notlarrysabato)
· John McCain is advertising in Mississippi (cottonmouthblog)
· Two Reids on the Ballot in 2010? (Sven at My Silver State)
· LA-01: A Democrat Steps To The Plate (DailyKingFish)
· Jim Webb will not be Obama's running mate (lowkell)
· NM-Sen: Tom Udall raises $2.1 in 2Q (fbihop)
· Pea pod protesters at Denver McCain event threatened with arrest (em dash)
· Nevada Democrats Now Hold 5% Voter Registration Advantage (Sven at My Silver State)
· MN-Sen: Coleman caught repeating debunked China/Cuba myth (MN Campaign Report)
· Virgil Goode in a Hummer (lowkell)