How We Know Obama's Doing Something Right

More numbers from today's Washington Post/ABC News poll show Barack Obama at Reaganesque levels of popularity one month into his first term:

...68 percent of Americans approve of Obama's job performance to date, not atypical for an incoming president (it precisely matches Ronald Reagan's first-month rating, and trails George H.W. Bush's) but a striking counterpoint to George W. Bush's departing 33 percent approval last month. Bush hadn't seen a 68 in five and a half years.

This statistic on the relative levels of confidence respondents have in the President's ability to handle the economy vs. that of congressional Republicans is remarkable:

...Obama clearly holds the upper hand, both in overall approval and on the dominant issue of the day. He leads the Republicans in Congress by 61-26 percent in trust to handle the economy, the biggest such lead for a president in ABC News/Washington Post polls since late 1991. (Bill Clinton came close at the start of his first term.)

But I think it's this result that I find most satisfying and how I know he's doing something right:

Partisanship, though, seems inescapable: Obama's approval rating, 90 percent among Democrats, dives to 37 percent among Republicans - a rating equally as partisan (in the other direction) as Bush's initial approval after the disputed election of 2000.

ABC News predictably couches this in terms of "Obama's failed attempts at a post-partisan presidency." This laserbeam focus on a non-story, however, misses the substantive reasons that Democrats would support Obama's initiatives and Republicans would oppose them: they're progressive. Has Obama's fetishization of bipartisanship been the shiny object meant to distract the media from covering what in reality is a truly progressive agenda?



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Aside from perhaps the much maligned Nate Silver yours is one of the few voices in the sphere to speak of the reality of the massive progressive realignment we are finding ourselves in the middle of, instead of focusing on rather insignificant side shows and outstretched-hands-offerings, as too many progressive bloggers, including a bunch on this site, have done.  Aren't results what matter?  Look at the legislation already in the books, pushed through with breakneck speed, look at the executive orders so far, look at what is coming up next.

If we learned one thing from the Judd Gregg issue it is that Obama will come to Republicans, and he is willing to give a little, but that on basic principles the line in the sand is clear and distinct, impossible to cross.  The result is a strong bond with the public, which instinctively trusts him to usher in the changes that are sorely needed without much room for compromise or even reversal.

In general, Democrats are seen as on the right side of virtually every issue important to the American people while the Republican point of view is almost universally regarded as unworkable and undesirable.  Still, the public REALLY likes the fact that Obama made an honest effort to negotiate with Republicans, and they don't begrudge him one bit that the talks broke down and his allures weren't answered, because it is clear to the people that Obama has won a strong mandate in November. That logically had to mean that Obama's idea of offering Republicans a place at the table to get their input as one of many ideas to include in considerations is the acceptable form of bipartisanship rather than the wild idea dreamed up by the GOP that bipartisanship has to culminate in a 50-50 division of the decision making process and bills written into law.    

If some of our bloggers stepped back and saw the bigger picture they could perhaps see what is in the process of building here.


by devilrays on Tue Feb 24, 2009 at 12:50:46 AM EST

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It took from Nixon through Reagan all they way up to Bush two for the right to drag this country as far as they did...

Now, everyone in the liberal blogosphere expects Obama to undo the damage in 3 weeks!

Folks, dragging us away from the hard-stop and towards the middle again will take us MOST of his first term....

And, even that is not assured. We need to again stomp the Republicans FURTHER into being a marginalized Old White Regional Party, we need 63-64 Senators....

Replace Oly Snowe and Collins with REAL liberals, and HOPEFULLY hold onto Rollin Burris seat.

But, who knows if it we can get there?

Those bastards on the right, and their pig-bastards cronies in the board rooms of America have outsourced our entire manufacturing sector?

Obama will need a miracle along the lines of the Intel Microsoft Tech Boom that supercharged Bill Clinton's economy, to pull us back from the abyss.


Support the separation of Church and State: Vote YES on WA R-71!
by WashStateBlue on Tue Feb 24, 2009 at 01:36:39 AM EST
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Re: How We Know Obama's Doing Something Right (none / 0)

I wouldn't trust a poll of 1,001 respondents as statistically valid, especially when administered by media to people who use that media as their primary source of news and information. At best, the poll shows how well the media has been able to indoctrinate its audience with its propaganda. This is true of all media, whether it be liberal, progressive, centrist, conservative, etc.

That being said, the article indicates that people are believing and hoping that the economy will turn around with Obama at the helm, which is something that Bush propably wouldn't have been able to accomplish.  If Obama succeeds without generating a deficit that drags us down for decades, we can all breathe a sigh of relief.  Right now, it is just too early to tell.

By the way, be sure to read the whole survey, along with the breakdown of respondents. What I believe we are seeing is a continuation of the hope that Obama inspired in the electorate, especially among liberals and progressives.  If the economy and stock markets do not show signs of improvement in the next nine months, I expect a lot of panic and loss of Obama's shroud of hope.

Jeff V


by ruaqtpi2 on Tue Feb 24, 2009 at 11:42:32 AM EST

Re: How We Know Obama's Doing Something Right (none / 0)

The polls show a very clear picture of massive disenchantment with the Republican party.  This started in early 2005 and the erosion of trust in the GOP is ongoing today, with no bottom apparently in sight.  The election results show that quite obviously, and it is short sighted to dismiss scientific polls just because they are conducted amongst only 1000 respondents. After all, every poll we have seen since the election has been showing the same thing, which cuts the margin of error down to basically nothing.  A collection of polls in a given time frame merely reflect reality and the current public mood.  

Now, could the mood turn within the next 9 months?  Very unlikely. The Republican party as a whole and the Bush administration in particular are being blamed for the economic crisis, and people understand that it will take time to turn the economy around.  The GOP is in such trouble, PR-wise, that it will take a lot of time to make people forget the mess they created. They are not helping themselves by acting like petulant school children, stomping their feet on the school yard ground, trying to obstruct just to merely obstruct.  NOW they have suddenly all become budget hawks?  Ha.  Nobody is buying the hypocrisy.  They have created a shroud of misery about them that will keep them flirting with absolute insignificance - and more electoral losses in 2010 - and will make everyone else look good by comparison.


by devilrays on Tue Feb 24, 2009 at 12:02:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: How We Know Obama's Doing Something Right (none / 0)

    From Bobby Jindal's Response Speech later tonight:

    "Who among us would ask our children for a loan, so we could spend money we do not have, on things we do not need? That is precisely what the Democrats in Congress just did. It's irresponsible."

   Let me see if I understand this.  Reagan triples the debt, George H.W. Bush increases the debt, Clinton reduces the debt, and George W. Bush triples the debt yet again.  Yet for some reason it is only the Democrats in Congress who are asking our children for a loan.  What is it that I don't understand?


by tfindley on Tue Feb 24, 2009 at 07:49:57 PM EST


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