Undoing Reagan

Note: This is the first in a series of irregular posts on the topic of Reaganism and its consequences.

In the late 1970s and early 1980s my mother never earned more $50,000 per year. And yet she sent me to private schools and then onto Stanford. Apart from a $500 per quarter Pell Grant, she paid for all of it. Beyond providing me with an education, she took us on annual European vacations and on annual Christmas vacations which rotated between Florida, the Caribbean and Colombia. She bought a home in Westchester County, New York and a vacation home in Rhode Island.

I was curious tonight and looked up my old high school's current tuition. It is now running $36,900 per year. That's 30 times more than when I was there. Stanford tuition now runs $12,460 per quarter or more than tuition, room & board, books combined ran for a full academic year when I attended. Four years of Stanford now runs more than $200,000.

To replicate my mother's feat, I would now need an income of $500,000. How is this progress?

What prompted all this is that I have been focusing more and more on the topic of income inequality. I was shocked and dismayed to learn that 74 percent at the nation's top 146 colleges and universities now come from families in the top quintile of income. And just three percent come from the bottom quintile. At the state-funded University of Virginia, just eight percent of the student body comes from the bottom half of income distribution. In short, the Sonia Sotomayors and Michelle Robinsons are increasingly a rara avis in the nation's top schools.

Rich households in the United States have been leaving both middle and poorer income groups behind. This has happened in many countries, but nowhere has this trend been so stark as here in the United States. As of 2008 the average income of the richest 10 percent is $93,000 the highest level in the OECD. However, the poorest 10 percent of the US citizens have an income of $5,800 per year - about 20 percent lower than the average for OECD countries.

That's income. Wealth is even more highly skewed. The top one percent control about a third of total net worth and the top 10 percent holds 71 percent. By comparison and on average in the rest of OECD, the top 10 percent have just 28 percent of total income.

Now for the truly shocking. I was reading Fighting Poverty in the US and Europe: A World of Difference by  Alberto Alesina and Edward Ludwig Glaeser. In terms of social mobility, being born in the bottom half in the United States is a life sentence of poverty. You stand a better statistical chance of becoming wealthy if you are born poor in Italy than you do in the United States.

Now consider rates of entrepreneurship. A 2005 survey showed that 28 percent of Americans would like to own their businesses. That compares to just 15 percent of Europeans. Yet Americans, it seems, are deferring their dreams while Europeans are living theirs. 14.7 percent of Europeans are self-employed while just 7.3 percent of Americans are self-employed. What's more, the rate in the United States is actually declining. In 1994, 9.1 percent of Americans were self-employed.

This is to me all quite startling and befuddling because Ronald Reagan, who remains an adored figure by American conservatives, won the Presidency in part by claiming that the GOP was the party that wants to see an America in which people can still get rich. But the facts demonstrate quite the opposite. Reagan's policies were nothing more than a redistribution of wealth upwards away from the middle class. By allowing the minimum wage to fall below the poverty line, he single-handedly created the working poor. The percentage of Americans living below the poverty line in 1979 was 11.7 percent. It is now 13.2 percent. And yet there is a guy in the NY-23 running for Congress by name of Doug Hoffman on the Conservative Party ticket who is proudly going around calling himself a "Reagan Conservative." How is the failure of the last 28 years not more evident?



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Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

This is a bang-up piece.  Thank you.


by SuperCameron on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 02:05:17 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

As reagan said "facts are silly things." One of the few instances of veracity that reagan exhibited. The truth does have a distinct liberal bias, and this is exactly why regressives like reagan invested forty years of think-tank and media induced efforts to perverse the meaning of the word and those who champion it (Like Jesus.).May I suggest to you all that you invest in Jakob Hacker's book "The Great Risk Shift". He succinctly breaks down how American society got into this mess, and who's responsible for it (Us, and the people we allowed to take office, like reagan, because of our inability to dis-regard appeals to emotion (Like racism.)over rationality.) Elizabeth Warren's (Yes, that one.)"The Two Income Trap" is also very salient also. Both of the books are available on amazon in paperback from re-sellers (For the low.). Read them, become enlightened, and pass them on.


onlinesavant
by onlinesavant on Mon Oct 26, 2009 at 11:51:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

What does "Reagan conservatism" is a meaningless statement. It's a personality cult.

Democrats, or liberals, aren't "FDR or JFK Liberals", we're New Dealers. For us it's about policy not personality.

When conservatives say they're like Reagan, they mean they liked his talk, his manner, his looks - his actions they try not to think about.


by vecky on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 02:32:59 AM EST

Very timely piece indeed. Even his own VP (2.00 / 1)

George H. Bush considered Reaganomics as "voodoo economics".

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/vood ooeconomics.asp

Coincidently Paul Samuelson wrote in his yesterday's must read NYT op-ed piece


Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and the governors of the European central banks avoided the preventive policies that could have averted most of the present meltdown. They had falsely believed that unregulated capitalism could dodge the bullet of depression. That's proved to be a wrong belief everywhere.

The 2008 election brought an end to Bush administration blunders, and to other post-Reagan "make the poor and middle classes subsidize the ultra rich" enactments. These are bad morals and not justified by higher growth efficiency.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/24/opinio n/24iht-edsamuelson.html


by louisprandtl on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 02:49:25 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

"That's income. Wealth is even more highly skewed." I'm so glad you pointed that out. An understanding of that concept is fundamental to understanding the true nature of the divide, and why solutions that look only at income disparities are completely inadequate.

I would suggest that people are prohibited from escaping wage slavery and starting their own businesses (or partnerships) by our Health Care Insurance schemes. Republicans should love Single Payer for that very reason, but they are so very very stupid.


1st Law of Obamadynamics: For every action, there is a greater than equal criticism. In advance.
by QTG on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:54:13 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

You're right. The lack of health care options for the self-employed is part of the drag on entrepeurneurship.

I'll have more on this down the line. The take away is that if Reagan's Revolution was to unleash individual intiative and innovation, it's actually done the opposite.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:31:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

I'm guessing you would be astounded by the salary of the Stanford President, and Professors have also done quite well.


by Bob H on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 08:16:26 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Even more by discipline. What GSB (Stanford Garaduate School of Business)professors has far outpaced the earnings of history or English professors.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:41:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 2)

The basic thesis is that the American middle class has experienced a shift of risk from the the wealthy and other institutions directly to the middle class that in prior generations were not so heavily placed on the middle class.  We are expected to address more liabilities and debts to maintain basic economic status.

Wage stagnation is part of it, but it is only one half of the coin. The other half is shifting of risk regarding healthcare, housing, retirement, education, and even a debt safety valve issue like bankruptcy. In the case of bankruptcy, after saddling you through various risky transactions with debt, you may have a much more difficult to time of addressing it under bankruptcy laws.

There are other ways as well- the size of the entities you are being asked to negotiate with in the private sector are becoming larger because antitrust laws are not being enforced. Nor are media concentration laws being enforced. And, if they are, they are watered down. So, you negotiate contracts that are heavily weighted against you because although there is not collusion, the entities are big enough to say take it or leave it without there being very many other choices. Your perception of your economic life is shifted because media must be more of a commodity to service not the need to make a profit, but to service the size and conservatism that these organizations have become.  

It is not simply a matter of American consumerism of products as is popularly believed. Americans can not keep within their means because all aspects of their economic life , whether needed or wanted, are too expensive or require greater risks.  Thus, it is also largely a function of covering the cost of the basic economic tools of being in the middle class or being exposed to greater risks.

There are several books I recommend. But one that I like a lot is "The Great Risk Shift" by Jacob S. Hacker. The book goes more deeply into the personal responsibility b.s. that we find from Reaganism, in which we shift from addressing the fact that markets are systemic issues regarding risk taking while pretending that economic outcomes are solely determined by individual action.  This does not mean that individual risk does not matter. It simply means that we have ironically shifted the situation in the U.S. in which individual risk has a decreasing impact of one's ability to get ahead.

The chief way to address this shift is to move from neoliberal capitalism, which both parties have been adherents to for the last 40 years (thus why we are all children of Reagan) to a more middle class version of capitalism, or one in which you maximize wealth for the largest number of people in society.

You do this through focusing tax policy like cap gains on middle class endeavors like small businesses, rethinking trade agreements to address labor issues, take incentives out of off shoring, cut the cost of health care and education (not just make it more affordable since it is already to costly compared to income to begin with), re-establish a system of retirement, re-create a balance in the bankruptcy laws, and many other proposals that are out there.


by bruh3 on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 08:18:41 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

In all fairness, if u made what ur mother made and ur kid went to stanford you'd recieve a lot of financial aid.  I myself went to a college that costs the same as stanford, between $200,000 and $250,000, and all I ever paid was $400 to reserve my spot and another $1000 for summer school one year.  I did also earn over $10,000 in private scholarships.  All in all with no help, I would have paid less than $25,000 to go to a top 20 school.  Not argueing that its ridiculous how much reagan economics has made life hard for those in the bottom 99%, just asking for some perspective.  Many on the other side would say that financial aid is the primary reason tuition has gone up so much, and we should prolly be able to counter that argument.
It is crazy that it costs so much to go to private high school, that a decent education can be so difficult to obtain, and that the same quality of lifestyle once enjoyed by so many is now for a priviledged few.  How exactly do we plan on reversing all of this?
by goodleh on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 10:04:30 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Stanford does not charge tuition to students whose families earn under $100,000 per year. But the chances of a kid who doesn't attend that $37K country day school or whose parents can afford a home in an upscale district with above average public schools getting into Stanford are slim and next to none.

The inflation in the post secondary education is staggering but it is more staggering on the secondary level.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:36:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

"I was shocked and dismayed to learn that 74 percent at the nation's top 146 colleges and universities now come from families in the top quintile of income. And just three percent come from the bottom quintile."

However, many top-line private universities have needs-blind admission. We admit -- yes, I am a professor -- and then give financial aid as needed, up to at some schools, full freight, tuition, room, board, books, travel. I suspect that does not even matters out completely.

I am inclined to agree that there is an issue here, but I don't believe it has much to do with Ronald Reagan.  You might look harder at the academic standards that schools supply and parents are willing to support, but I am not sure the challenge is there, either.

The size of the administrative burden, the number of Vice Presidents, Vice Chancellors, Associate Assistant Deans, university services,...seems to grow with time.


by phillies on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 10:09:17 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

Although many schools have needs blind admissions (notably, the Ivies do not), it is increasingly more difficult for the average middle- or working-class student to get admitted when competing against the college admissions industry.  I find it shameful that colleges reinforce this "buy your way into a good school" cynicism.  As the first child in my family line to attend college, I really feel for the kids who no longer have the opportunity I had; it's a national disgrace.


by orestes on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 05:55:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Everything to do with Reagan and I plan on proving it. Still in the research mode but I'll point out that it was Reagan who instituted in-state tuition at the University of California and it was Reagan who slashed the student loan program when President. These have had far reaching consequences.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:46:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

I have heard my friends say it has to do with academia shifting from being about academia to a) defunding by states in favor of tuition and b) toward being profit centers.


by bruh3 on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 07:40:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

If you want the full measure of how much has changed for the working class since Ronald Reagan was elected, compare my experience to the way things are now.

I graduated from the University of Wisconsin - Madison in 1980 -- before Reagan was even the Republican nominee.  Tuition the year I started was $280 a semester. I spent four years in Madison, none of it paid for by either of my parents.  I supported myself by delivering pizzas and got Pell grants, Basic Educational Opportunity Grants and other grants that are long forgotten remnants of the Great Society.

I graduated with NO student loan debt and even managed to save $3,000, which I used to finance a year in Taiwan polishing my Chinese.

My two brothers had basically the same experience, at least financially.

My public school teacher parents were able to put toward their retirement the money that today they would have had to spend financing the education of their three kids.


by kaleidescope on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 11:06:41 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Yours is precisely the story that needs to get out there. What our parents were able to do is entirely due to the politics of the Great Compression that Ronald Reagan destroyed.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:50:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

Calling it the Great Compression works with what Paul Krugman has written.  

But let's give credit where credit is due.  Lyndon Johnson -- in spite of Vietnam -- was the second greatest U.S. president-- after Lincoln -- ever.  As a kid I participated in marches where I yelled, "Hey hey LBJ how many kids did you kill today!!"

But when it comes down to it, Great Society programs really did help us in the working class to get our credentials and to retire with dignity. And as Justice Brennan said at the 200th anniversary of the Constitution, the Constitution is really about human dignity.

Getting affordable credentials for working people was done via income redistribution that LBJ -- believe me -- understood.

Republican reaction to that income redistribution has worked its course. It's up to us Democrats to recognize what need to be done, but also to execute that.


by kaleidescope on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 09:38:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

Your tags say it all, and explains much about where America is today: income inequality, Ronald Reagan, social mobility. Not much more needs to be said. Still, I look forward to more articles on this topic.

Damning Reagan is political suicide for Democrats as too many Democrats remain Reagan Democrats, not far from the Clinton moderates. But we are in a new age and it is possible that eventually, most people will come to appreciate how they were snookered economically by the Reagan-Bush thieves.

This is an old joke.

Carter: You know Ron, you can't fool all of the people all of the time.
Reagan: And that's you second mistake, Jimmy. You can.

I forgot what the first lesson was that Reagan taught Jimmy Carter. Reagan won, and that's all that matters, and it has been significant for thirty years now.


by MainStreet on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 11:55:19 AM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

Too many Democrats are cloaked Reaganites. I'm not even sure they realize that they have unwittingly adopted his mantra.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 06:33:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

"14.7 percent of Europeans are self-employed while just 7.3 percent of Americans are self-employed." A big reason for this disparity is that if you strike out on your own in America, you have no health coverage. Even if you could afford the outrageous premiums for the health insurance monopoly's junk "coverage," the deductibles and copays will eat up your startup savings in nothing flat. This excellent post provides yet another reason for single-payer, Medicare-for-all health coverage.


by laviolet on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 01:26:05 PM EST

Re: we think alike (none / 0)

http://www.mydd.com/comments/2009/10/24/ 1459/2063/4#4


1st Law of Obamadynamics: For every action, there is a greater than equal criticism. In advance.
by QTG on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 01:33:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (2.00 / 1)

Yes. One of the reasons I am a strong advocate for healthcare reform that goes beyond supporting this or that's politician is precisely because of the systemic way in which such lack of real reform is preventing people from moving ahead financially. What Charles attempts to do here is good, but it is not the full picture.

The issue is that we are being priced into poverty. Health care as  percentage of GDP is one way. That's why I am so focused on cost containment. There is no way that this wasted GDP is sustainable even if we were not in a globalized economy. The fact that we are increasing so much is why we are moving toward plutocracy. We are actively move wealth from the middle class to the wealthy. Healthcare is one way in which we are doing it. Banking another.

Meanwhile, we are saddling ourselves with debt from education that is unacceptable.

The educational point is one that needs to be underscored by numbers.

First the rate of inflation for tuition:

Year    College Inflation    General Inflation    Rate Ratio
1958-1996    7.24%    4.49%    1.61
1977-1986    9.85%    6.72%    1.47
1987-1996    6.68%    3.67%    1.82
1958-2001    6.98%    4.30%    1.62
1979-2001    7.37%    3.96%    1.86
1992-2001    4.77%    2.37%    2.01
1985-2001    6.39%    3.18%    2.01
1958-2005    6.89%    4.15%    1.66
1989-2005    5.94%    2.99%    1.99

http://www.finaid.org/savings/tuition-in flation.phtml

This rate of inflation in tuition is unsustainable.

The average student debt in 2008:

In 2008:
At * public universities, average debt was $20,200 -- 20% higher than in 2004, when the average was $16,850.
At * private nonprofit universities, average debt was $27,650 -- 29% higher than in 2004, when the average was $21,500.
At * private for-profit universities, average debt was $33,050 -- 23% higher than in 2004, when the average was $26,850.

http://projectonstudentdebt.org/files/Fi le/Debt_Facts_and_Sources.pdf

This trend is getting worse:

"New numbers from the U.S. Education Department show that federal student-loan disbursements--the total amount borrowed by students and received by schools--in the 2008-09 academic year grew about 25% over the previous year, to $75.1 billion. The amount of money students borrow has long been on the rise. But last year far surpassed past increases, which ranged from as low as 1.7% in the 1998-99 school year to almost 17% in 1994-95, according to figures used in President Barack Obama's proposed 2010 budget."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424 052970204731804574388682129316614.html

http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/ 07/09/debt

Providing more student loans will not solve the problem of cost when wages are stagnant since people will be unable to pay. Right now, the unemployment rate for those in their 20s is such that they are being called the lost generation:

http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-Econo my/idUSTRE57359120090804

They are not only going to be lost due to the fact that they will be unable to get jobs that will allow them to service this debt. They will be lost because they will not be able to pursue technical and business innovation because once they do get jobs, they will need to keep them to cover the basic cost of staying afloat rather than saving for the purpose of building their own business or taking risks. This risk taking is what the present plutocrats are killing.


by bruh3 on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 07:36:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Thanks for this. Very helpful. You're a great research assistant.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 08:06:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

I'll send you my bill.


by bruh3 on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 09:05:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

No question that income inequality continues to grow and that education is one area where that is most obvious. However, it is somewhat disingenuous to suggest that someone with an income of $50,000 in the late 1970s or early 1980s was not well up in the high end of the economic ladder - mininimally $150,000 in today's dollars, using the most modest way of calculating the change over 3 decades - expecially if you consider how much less of people's income went to housing and education in those days, ironically, the very point Charles is describing.


by KitBinns on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 10:04:38 PM EST

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Not suggesting that we were in the lower half of the income scale in 1980, we were comfortably upper middle class living first in Manhattan and later in Hastings-on-Hudson. After all, in 1980, median US household income was $17,710 in constant dollars and you're right $50k in 1980 would be about $150k today but here's my point you can't do what my mother did on $150k in 2009 dollars, it would take much more. Even for the upper middle class, there has been an erosion in living standards. For the poor, it's been an unmitigated disaster. For the upper middle class, it is more a limit of choices.

Look at Robert Wexler, the Congressman from Florida who is leaving Congress, a job he loves, for financial reasons. He earns $165k. That's not bad money and yet he can't afford to keep a house in his district, used his in-laws as his district residence until he got into trouble for that. But what's pushing his decision is the fact that he's got two kids whose college tuition looms large. And that means he has to go for the money.

And Wexler's dilemma is not an uncommon one.

So the question is why is housing and education taking up more of US household income? And the answer to that you'll find is in the mix of policies that the Reagan Administration ushered in.


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by Charles Lemos on Sat Oct 24, 2009 at 11:10:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

$150K is a lot of money. I have a hard time believing those who earn at that wage level aren't doing rather well for themselves.

Wexlers reason for leaving Congress are his own. I don't really buy the 'not enough money' excuse tho.


by vecky on Sun Oct 25, 2009 at 02:14:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 150K (none / 0)

That level of income certainly should support a comfortable lifestyle, and will - as long you don't make the wrong decisions. Budgets which prioritize: avoid new debt, pay old debt, invest for kids' tuition starting at or before birth, impulse control, and most importantly - don't get sick and don't get laid off.


1st Law of Obamadynamics: For every action, there is a greater than equal criticism. In advance.
by QTG on Sun Oct 25, 2009 at 08:45:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Undoing Reagan (none / 0)

Wexler is leaving because of the money. He's not the only one either.

Politics is increasingly a millionaire's calling.


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by Charles Lemos on Sun Oct 25, 2009 at 08:56:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

We will never "undo" Reagan (none / 0)

The Reagan years were much like the Roosevelt years in the 1930's.  Just like the New Deal, most of Reagan's policies(low tax rates on the wealthy, deregulation of many sectors) are here to stay.  


by Kent on Mon Oct 26, 2009 at 03:16:16 AM EST


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