I just got back to the 'puter from Invesco, and won't bother summing that WOW experience up, you were 'there' and know what I mean.
Who is McCain's VP? Teasers all day about an out-of-box pick like Lieberman, then Hutchinson, and then Meg Whitman. You have to say that the McCain spin around his VP pick has played the given landscape well.
But then, he winds up picking Pawlenty or Romney, so what exactly is gained? Here's my view, if it's one of these two (first though, a longshot chance that its Portman or Thune, and even more minor than Pawlenty) and what it means.
Pawlenty is a legacy choice almost. ie, McCain choosing his successor in 2012 to run against a President Obama. He doesn't want to choose Romney, and then lose, to find himself having a Kerry-like experience (ala Edwards). If he chooses Pawlenty, I almost feel like he sees the writing on the wall. There is a small chance that it works (something around running against DC under the 'reform' mantle), but its outside the realm of the likely.
Romney is a sign that McCain wants to win. That pick excites the base of the GOP that works. Its who their activists, the ones that show up to shout, want. McCain has never gotten along with that part of the GOP, but Romney does. In some ways, the Romney pick for McCain is like the Clinton choice for Obama. The medicine to win that neither wanted to take. Obama has the luxury, given the generic D over R lead, of opting out and still being in postion to win. McCain probably does not, especially for going with just another traditional pick like Pawlenty instead.
I've thought Pawlenty all week, but Ambinder is reporting that Romney could be Dayton this morning. You will know in a few hours and talk about it here... I'll be sleeping in in Denver.
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