MyDD :: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV

Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV

by rfahey22, Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:24:52 PM EST

Nice. Obama's now up by 2 in Nevada. Granted, this is statistically insignificant, but last month McCain was up by 3, and two months ago he was up by 6. Clearly the momentum is in Obama's favor. The improvement seems to have come among self-identified Democrats.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c ontent/politics/election_20082/2008_pres idential_election/nevada/election_2008_n evada_presidential_election

Tags: Obama, Nevada (all tags)

Permalink :: 13 Comments :: Post a Comment

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (none / 0)

It's the first time Obama has lead in Nevada, I believe.
Good news, not just because of the five electoral votes, but because of NV-03, as well - one of our top House pickup opportunities.

Obama/Biden 08

by W126 on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:28:15 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

Plus Rasmussed says he is down by only 10 in AR. AR!!

Obama/Biden 08

by W126 on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:31:43 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

He was down 9 last month. But two months ago he was down 29.

by elrod on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:39:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

I'll get excited when I read he is down 10 or less in WV, KY, or AL. That would setup a landslide of historic proportions in the rest of the states.

"The true measure of a man is how he treats someone who can do him absolutely no good." Samuel Johnson

by MS01 Indie on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:40:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

He has been within 10 in WV (none / 0)

http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/G raphs/west-virginia.html

45-37 in the latest poll.

by BlueEngineerInOhio on Fri Jul 18, 2008 at 01:05:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: He has been within 10 in WV (none / 0)

That is exciting. Now for KY and AL.

"The true measure of a man is how he treats someone who can do him absolutely no good." Samuel Johnson

by MS01 Indie on Fri Jul 18, 2008 at 11:18:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 2)

"Every district, every State" (Dr. Howard Dean 2005)

"harlequin speech of suicide, demanding instantaneous lobotomy"

by nogo postal on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:37:33 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 3)

There are four states, besides Missouri and Colorado, that I think will really shock Republicans and pundits into rehab. Nevada is one of them.

Barack Obama is my President. He'll be yours, too.

by Jeter on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 05:53:45 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

What are the other three?

by Angry White Democrat on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 06:51:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 2)

I think Jeter plans to release them on a weekly basis.

by DPW on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 07:15:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

I don't see why. Clinton carried it twice. Gore was within 4%, Kerry 3%. The influx of people from California, an increasing Hispanic population and the growth of Clark County have all lead to a state becoming less R and more D.

by conspiracy on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 07:28:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (2.00 / 1)

This makes sense. If Obama is leading nationally by several points then he figures to lead in Nevada. The state is close to even partisanship with the nation. I believe the partisan index in 2004 was very slightly blue. Still, I wouldn't be confident in that holding up in 2008. We need to win the national popular vote by 2-3 points to be sure of dragging Nevada along.

We'll see this more and more. I know most political followers are hung up on state polls. It's a natural tendency since state polls are more vital in primary season. But in a presidential general election the state polls always lag national polling. National polling is the most vital focus, and the states slowly fall in line, normally in close proximity to their recent partisan index level.

I live in Henderson. The problem, as always, in Nevada is under performance in Clark County. It's not quite as bad in presidential years but the rural cow counties turn out in greater reliability to Clark.

by Gary Kilbride on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 10:29:18 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama +2 in NV (none / 0)

I read this as "NJ" and panicked for a second.

We should be able to deliver bottled hot water to dehydrated babies.

by Jess81 on Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 11:41:15 PM EST

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