Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia

This may be the dumbest move of the election, or the straw that breaks McCain's back. Either way, Barack Obama is throwing more chips into Virginia and opening field offices in the reddest parts of the state.

The Obama campaign plans to open 20 new field offices in the state -- and at least five of them are in very red areas where Dems have traditionally feared to tread, Obama's Virginia director of communications, Kevin Griffis, confirms to me.

The Obama team is setting up shop in Winchester and Bristol, both of which are in areas that voted for Bush in 2004 by at least 25 points. Camp Obama is also adding an office in Harrisonburg, which went for Bush by 13 and is in the reliably-red Shenandoah Valley.

There will also be a new office in Castlewood, which is in the coalfields near West Virginia and Kentucky and went for Bush by eight, and in Martinsville, whose surrounding county went for Bush by 13 points.

This is no head fake nor is this some move to make McCain spend more money in a red state. Obama is playing to win here. I am not in the campaign and do not have access to their internal polling, but obviously they are looking at numbers that indicate it is a real race. One more obvious thing is theat they are taking a page out of Mark Warner's 2001 playbook by working to cut into traditional Republican strongholds while racking up big margins in Northern Virginia. We'll see if this works.



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Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (2.00 / 3)

Go big or go home.


by Reaper0Bot0 on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:07:05 PM EST

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

This is great.  I love how this race pits an "air war" versus a "land war."


by rfahey22 on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:11:10 PM EST

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (2.00 / 1)

Yep - I love it - particularly since we know how effective field operations are in registering, persuading, and turning out voters.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 05:01:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I want a field office in every damn neighborhood. (none / 0)

No amount of money can compare to the effect of having legions of supporters doing groudwork in-person.

Well, unless McCain co-opts the sex industry as his advertising technique... but in that case he might deserve to win. :p


In this avalanche, the pebbles get to vote.
by Dracomicron on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:20:57 PM EST

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

Virginia, Colorado, Ohio. Win one of those and Obama is president. Lose them all then McCain wins. Iowa and New Mexico should be in the bag already but they aren't enough to get to 270.


by conspiracy on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:32:00 PM EST

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

I like having options.  Unlike McCain, who must win every tossup state in the country.  Nevada would also win it for us, or Missouri, or Florida (though if we're winning one of those states, I find it hard to believe we would have lost all three out of OH, CO, and VA).

Iowa, New Mexico, and New Hampshire are all in the bag.  Hard to see McCain winning any other states that Bush lost twice.  All we need is one more with at least 5 electoral votes.


by Skaje on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:43:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

Nevada (5) isn't enough with just Iowa (7) and New Mexico (5) unless you want a circus because the House will decide it at 269-269. But yeah, if he doesn't win any of OH, CO, VA I don't see MO or FL as being very likely.


by conspiracy on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:50:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

Yeah, the Nevada + New Mexico + Iowa + Kerry states scenario would be messy, but we'd win it.  This election is really going to come down to Ohio though.  Obama has like a 95% chance of winning the state, after that he's over 270 and the rest is frosting.


by Skaje on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 07:11:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Wow great news (2.00 / 2)

We are up to 8 offices here in NC.


by parahammer on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 04:59:18 PM EST

Re: Wow great news (2.00 / 3)

A friend of mine in Anchorage told me that they have 4 offices in Alaska!  And this is the very time in memory any Democrat had field offices in Alaska.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 05:02:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (2.00 / 3)

"This may be the dumbest move of the election, or the straw that breaks McCain's back."

I'm going for the latter.  Obama probably will not be able to win these areas, however, if he does better than Kerry, he'll win Virginia.


by TheUnknown285 on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 05:07:25 PM EST

Re: Obama Throwing More Chips Into Virginia (none / 0)

Viginia gets bluer in every election, I think - and with Warner's support, the sky's the limit.  Though, I hear Kaine's approval numbers are down a bit.


by NewOaklandDem on Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 05:28:44 PM EST


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