Obama has been consistent in is realizing that his brand of authenticity rests with his opposition to the continued occupation of Iraq by American forces. His op-ed in the NYT's today continues it for him.
I was sorta reading through it, waiting to see some sort of shift to a more centrist point, and really didn't see it in there over Iraq. Good. I expected that he'd stay with the Mark Warner line of "getting out of Iraq as we were careless getting in" that reassures, and not explain what Richardson criticized him on over what "residual troops" means. In that, I share the healthy skepticism of Steve Clemons. But toward the end, I thought this was bold:
Obama is seriously misguided about what we need in Afghanistan, its more roads, not troops, that will serve the purpose of opening up Afghanistan. The last thing we need is more US military in Afghanistan. Why in the world would Obama want to diminish the NATO-led mission in Afghanistan by making it more US-based?
Juan Cole's blog post on the topic is right on the money, in regards to mostly agreeing with Obama, but finding that his 'residual forces' solution Iraq is probably a non-starter, and that Obama's plan for 10,000 more troops in Afghanistan is historically uninformed.
I suppose, if I were to garner into the territory that Obama deems as cynical, I would see Obama's moves of wanting to maintain a presence in Iraq, and play a bit of a 'tough-guy-in-someplace-other-than-Iraq' role by choosing to ramp up 'search and destroy missions' in Afghanistan as a way to bolster his defense against "false charges about flip-flops and surrender" from the Republicans. Cole has those same 'dangerous and cynical' thoughts about Obama:
If the Afghanistan gambit is sincere, I don't think it is good geostrategy. Afghanistan is far more unwinnable even than Iraq. If playing it up is politics, then it is dangerous politics. Presidents can become captive of their own record and end up having to commit to things because they made strong representations about them to the public.
But one thing this op-ed by Obama does show, is that Obama sure does know how to frame a position that's going to get him attacked from the right, by making sure he also gets something in there that the left will also attack him for-- what's that called? Which group invented that term?
I have to come back to asking who in the Democratic world is telling Obama to diminish NATO in Afghanistan by adding "at least two additional combat brigades" and "more helicopters" -- nearly making it to seem another US occupation? Is that Sam Nunn? I'll have to opt for the cynical translation of this, instead of believing that Obama actually thinks he'll lead the Democratic Party into a deeper US military entrenchment of Afghanistan.
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