420 House Races filled - 2 more to go

Candidate filing is now almost complete and whilst we won't do as well as 2006 we still have candidates in at least 420 districts.

Below the fold for details and once again go and take a look at the 2008 Race Tracker Wiki.  
**I have included Cook PVI numbers where possible after blogger requests to do so!**

3 more House races have a Democratic candidate that has filed in the last three weeks:
LA-01 - R+18,
LA-07 - R+7,
NY-03 - D+2.1,

But two more races go back to being uncontested:
AL-01 - R+12, (Our candidate withdrew but it is my understanding that the party can nominate a replacement!)

VA-01 - R+9, (Our candidate has suspended his campaign. If he withdraws the party can nominate a replacement apparently.)

And two more races will not have a democratic candidate on the ballot in November:
LA-05 - R+10,
WI-05 - R+12,

So 420 races filled! This of course includes 236 districts held by Democratic Congresscritters.

But we also have 184 GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic opponents.

So here is where we are at (GOP Districts):
Districts with confirmed candidates - 184
Districts with unconfirmed candidates - 0
Districts with rumoured candidates - 1
Districts without any candidates - 1
Filing closed - No Democratic candidate - 13

The GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic challengers are as follows:
AL-02 - R+13,
AL-03 - R+4,
AL-04 - R+16,
AK-AL - R+14,
AZ-01 - R+2,
AZ-02 - R+9,
AZ-03 - R+6,
AZ-06 - R+12,
CA-02 - R+13,
CA-03 - R+7,
CA-04 - R+11,
CA-21 - R+13,
CA-24 - R+5,
CA-25 - R+7,
CA-26 - R+4,
CA-40 - R+8,
CA-41 - R+9,
CA-42 - R+10,
CA-44 - R+6,
CA-45 - R+3,
CA-46 - R+6,
CA-48 - R+8,
CA-49 - R+10,
CA-50 - R+5,
CA-52 - R+9,
CO-04 - R+9,
CO-05 - R+15.7,
CO-06 - R+10,
CT-04 - D+5,
DE-AL - D+7,
FL-01 - R+19,
FL-04 - R+16,
FL-05 - R+5,
FL-06 - R+8,
FL-07 - R+3,
FL-08 - R+3,
FL-09 - R+4,
FL-10 - D+1,
FL-12 - R+5,
FL-13 - R+4,
FL-14 - R+10,
FL-15 - R+4,
FL-18 - R+4,
FL-21 - R+6,
FL-24 - R+3,
FL-25 - R+4,
GA-01 - R+?,
GA-03 - R+?,
GA-06 - R+?,
GA-07 - R+?,
GA-09 - R+?,
GA-10 - R+?,
GA-11 - R+?,
ID-01 - R+19,
ID-02 - R+19,
IL-06 - R+2.9,
IL-10 - D+4,
IL-11 - R+1.1,
IL-13 - R+5,
IL-15 - R+6,
IL-16 - R+4,
IL-18 - R+5.5,
IL-19 - R+8,
IN-03 - R+16,
IN-04 - R+17,
IN-05 - R+20,
IN-06 - R+11,
IA-04 - D+0,
IA-05 - R+8,
KS-01 - R+20,
KS-04 - R+12,
KY-01 - R+10,
KY-02 - R+12.9,
KY-04 - R+11.7,
LA-01 - R+18,
LA-04 - R+7,
LA-07 - R+7,
MD-01 - R+10,
MD-06 - R+13,
MI-02 - R+9,
MI-03 - R+9,
MI-04 - R+3,
MI-06 - R+2.3,
MI-07 - R+2,
MI-08 - R+1.9,
MI-09 - R+0,
MI-10 - R+4,
MI-11 - R+1.2,
MN-02 - R+2.7,
MN-03 - R+0.5,
MN-06 - R+5,
MO-02 - R+9,
MO-06 - R+5,
MO-07 - R+14,
MO-08 - R+11,
MO-09 - R+7,
MS-03 - R+14,
MT-AL - R+11,
NE-01 - R+11,
NE-02 - R+9,
NE-03 - R+23.6,
NV-02 - R+8.2,
NV-03 - D+1,
NJ-02 - D+4.0,
NJ-03 - D+3.3,
NJ-04 - R+0.9,
NJ-05 - R+4,
NJ-07 - R+1,
NJ-11 - R+6,
NM-01 - D+2,
NM-02 - R+6,
NY-03 - D+2.1,
NY-13 - D+1,
NY-23 - R+0.2,
NY-25 - D+3,
NY-26 - R+3,
NY-29 - R+5,
NC-03 - R+15,
NC-05 - R+15,
NC-06 - R+17,
NC-08 - R+3,
NC-09 - R+12,
NC-10 - R+15,
OH-01 - R+1,
OH-02 - R+13,
OH-03 - R+3,
OH-04 - R+14,
OH-05 - R+10,
OH-07 - R+6,
OH-08 - R+12,
OH-12 - R+0.7,
OH-14 - R+2,
OH-15 - R+1,
OH-16 - R+4,
OK-01 - R+13,
OK-03 - R+18,
OK-04 - R+13,
OK-05 - R+12,
OR-02 - R+11,
PA-03 - R+2,
PA-05 - R+10,
PA-06 - D+2.2,
PA-09 - R+15,
PA-15 - D+2,
PA-16 - R+11,
PA-18 - R+2,
PA-19 - R+12,
SC-01 - R+10,
SC-02 - R+9,
SC-03 - R+14,
SC-04 - R+15,
TN-01 - R+14,
TN-02 - R+11,
TN-03 - R+8,
TN-07 - R+12,
TX-03 - R+17,
TX-04 - R+17,
TX-06 - R+15,
TX-07 - R+16,
TX-08 - R+20,
TX-10 - R+13,
TX-12 - R+14,
TX-13 - R+18,
TX-19 - R+25,
TX-24 - R+15,
TX-26 - R+12,
TX-31 - R+15,
TX-32 - R+11,
UT-01 - R+26,
UT-03 - R+22,
VA-02 - R+5.9,
VA-04 - R+5,
VA-05 - R+6,
VA-06 - R+11,
VA-07 - R+11,
VA-10 - R+5,
VA-11 - R+1,
WA-04 - R+13,
WA-05 - R+7.1,
WA-08 - D+2,
WV-02 - R+5,
WI-01 - R+2,
WI-06 - R+5,
WY-AL - R+19,

The following GOP held districts have a candidate that is expected to run but is yet to confirm:
None at this stage

The following GOP held districts have rumoured candidates - please note that some of these "rumours" are extremely tenuous!
VA-01 - R+9,

The following districts have not a single rumoured candidate:
AL-01 - R+12,

And last but not least the list I did not want to have to include.
The following Republicans will not have a Democratic opponent in 2008:
AL-06 - R+25,
AR-03 - R+11,
CA-19 - R+10,
CA-22 - R+16,
KY-05 - R+8
LA-05 - R+10,
TX-01 - R+17,
TX-02 - R+12,
TX-05 - R+16,
TX-11 - R+25,
TX-14 - R+14,
TX-21 - R+13,
WI-05 - R+12,

Finally due praise to those states where we have a full slate of house candidates - Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennesee, Utah, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia and Wyoming.

Thats 42 states with a full slate!

There are also 6 states where filing has closed where we do not have a full slate: Arkansas, California, Kentucky, Louisiana, Wisconsin and of course Texas.

It is also great to see candidates in AZ-06, CA-42, FL-12, LA-06, MS-03, VA-04, VA-06 and WI-06; 8 of 10 districts we did not contest in 2006! The other 2, TX-11 and AL-06, will again go uncontested by Team Blue in 2008.

With 13 uncontested Republicans we will not reach our great 2006 effort of 425 races filled but we will do really well nonetheless.

* Tips, rumours and what not in the comments please.*



Display:


Re: 420 House Races filled - 2 more to go (2.00 / 4)

Not a bad outcome at all.


by BENAWU on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 01:18:41 AM EST

Thanks for the info! (2.00 / 1)

Recommended.


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 01:21:13 AM EST

Re: 420 House Races filled - 2 more to go (2.00 / 1)

It is so good to see your well-researched diary again.
I have missed you.
by susie on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 01:28:57 AM EST

Re: 420 House Races filled - 2 more to go (none / 0)

Thanks Susie. At this end of filing it always slows down somewhat so the diaries become less frequent.


by BENAWU on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 02:31:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I would suspect there are... (2.00 / 1)

...a lot of folks like myself that have been following your diaries on this topic for quite some time; however, maybe we don't acknowledge our gratitude for your laser-sharp focus on this very important matter!

For myself--and maybe for them too--THANKS! This is great stuff!


by bobswern on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 03:10:38 AM EST

Re: I would suspect there are... (none / 0)

Thank you so much.


by BENAWU on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 09:48:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Woof! (none / 0)

There is a change coming, and it smells like masive victory for the Democrats.  I think the Democratic party is quickly moving past it's recent petulant adolescence, and the Republicans will get such a thorough whipping that they will (eventualy) reform from their post-Reagan extremist-pandering (which is really not Conservative, anyway).

This is good for the country.

Thanks for the detail work!

-chris


Donate!
by chrisblask on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 07:25:51 AM EST

Re: Woof! (none / 0)

Let's hope you are right dude.


by BENAWU on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 09:47:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 420 House Races filled - 2 more to go (none / 0)

Great work-

[rec'd]


lemon716, mydd's little lemon drop;
by alyssa chaos on Sun Jul 13, 2008 at 12:13:57 PM EST


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