that both Obama and Clinton are along ways away from the days when McCain was above 300 on both of them.

and that I am glad they are both moving in the right direction

and that its weird that Hillary loses Michigan but Obama wins it.

college stuff is done by Poblano over at http://fivethirtyeight.com

He has his model looking pretty good (it beat the pollsters for the NC and IN primary).

He also takes into account all polls and weights them, thus a POS poll won't mess up the outcome.

But November is a long way off.  I still think McCain is favored in this election.  Depends on his performance and whether Obama really can pull the party together.  That would have been a tall order for either of them.

If we took the polls from five months ago as predictive, Clinton would have swept to victory and Obama would have won two states. Polls change.

That said, over most of the year, Obama has maintained either a lead or parity with McCain in both electoral and national polls. In fact, he's largely done better than Clinton up until recently when the heat has been on him and off her.

They are the accurate reflection of the very latest poll. The systems that weight, have their bias inherent in what they choose to weight, or not.  There is no bias in these maps, only the latest poll number in each state.

I agree with everything above, but would add one thing.  Obama, more than any other candidate in either party, has demonstrated an ability to move numbers.  I don't know what it is--the big rallies, the heavy advertising budget, the positive media.  Others have more valid opinions on that than I do.

But there is no one who has moved numbers like Obama has.  He is going to do very well in the fall.

The electoral maps here on mydd sow NOTHING because they are totally biased to one candidate. Wanna guess which one?