Indiana, 12 percent reporting and Clinton leads by 58-42, 16 percent. The CBS exit poll would seem to indicate a bit closer of a race, and Clinton leading among white Democrats by a 65-35 margin.
Update [2008-5-6 19:45:38 by Jerome Armstrong]: All the networks call NC before a vote is even released. The early voting must have sealed it for Obama, plus the African American vote. His numbers among blacks voters has increased to a remarkable 92-8 margin in IN, and a 91-6 margin in NC. So the early call is a split. Look for whomever wins by the largest margin in either state to have the edge with the spin.
Update [2008-5-6 20:0:47 by Jerome Armstrong]: With 35% reporting, Clinton leads by 57-43 in Indiana. The CNN exit polls of NC show Clinton winning by a 60-36 margin among white voters, but that is offset by the near-unanimous vote by blacks for Obama. It's tough to read anything else in the polls as mattering, among the demographic data, with this result in hand. And as far as the skin color goes, for the 17% for whom "Was Race of Candidate Important to You", they were by a 62-32 margin, Obama voters. And though Clinton wins among those that decided the day of the vote in NC by a 54-43 margin, its only a 49-48 margin for Clinton for the last three days. The racial split is only broken among the White 17-29 year-olds, which went for Obama by a 56-42 margin and made up 7% of the vote.
Update [2008-5-6 21:44:35 by Jerome Armstrong]: Obama up 56-42, by 14 percent, with 55% of the votes counted in North Carolina. Clinton up 52-48, by 4 percent, with 73% of the vote counted in Indiana. This is a win by Obama on the expectation level. The MSM has counted it as such, he took more delegates, and added to his popular vote total. No doubt, the scales were tipped to Obama's advantage on the expectations tonight. Obama's team expected to win Indiana, according to their spreadsheet, and North Carolina was an expected Obama blowout, a month ago. But the stakes changed, and that's been to Obama's advantage.
Update [2008-5-6 23:53:25 by Jerome Armstrong]: With 25% of Lake County in, and 91% of the vote in Indiana totaled, Clinton still leads the state 51-49, and by only about 20,000 votes. There are also remaining votes to be tallied in Porter & Laporte counties, which Clinton narrowly took, and a small rural Union county that Clinton will win. I think we have to conclude, that in the battle between SUSA and Zogby polling, the latter came out looking better this round.
Update [2008-5-7 0:8:22 by Jerome Armstrong]: Porter closes out, and Clinton's lead is up to about 21K. The voters remaining are in Union and Laporte counties, where Clinton leads. There are also remaining votes in three counties in the middle of the state where Obama won, and then Lake, which Obama leads. This could go on a while if Lake county makes it very close.
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