I'm shocked!

A hardcore HRC partisan claims that something makes Obama unelectable.

Wow! I've gotta rethink my position on Obama vs. Clinton now.

I think its too early to tell whether the second round of the Wright controversy permanently damaged Obama.  This issue is just now dying back down again, and it is fresh on voters' minds.  We have seen consistently that these issues hurt Obama for a couple of days and then he bounces back.

I guess we'll find out more on Tuesday in the exit polls.

If polls mattered, Senator Obama would've won New Hampshire, California and Pennsylvania. If polls mattered, Senator Clinton would've finished closer in all the southern states, not losing a plethora of delegates to 20+ point blowouts south of the Mason-Dixon line.

If polls mattered, Senator Kerry would never have been able to run because Al Gore would be President. If Senator Kerry would've been able to run, he would've been President cause the polls said so.

If Exit polling mattered, Senator Obama would've won Texas by 2 points and Ohio by 4. If Exit polling mattered, Kerry would've won Ohio by 3 and the Presidency. If Exit polling mattered, Al Gore would've won Florida.

Polling is a media-created joke that solves nothing. It only embitters people when they're wrong, makes them confident when they perceive them to be right and leads to back and forth bickering on message boards between people who might otherwise be able to talk about relevant things.

Polls accomplish nothing. Votes do. How someone polls doesn't matter. What we have is votes. Votes matter because it isn't polls that decide what happens in November. It's votes. You don't trump votes with polls - that's what it boils down to.

If you averaged all the polls taken this season do you know what the likely outcome would be? Either 50.1% to 49.9% in favor of Obama or just 50/50. These things go up and down faster than.. well.. that'd be naughty.

But let's strive to be realistic. Polls are only good when they favor your candidate. And if there's two, we cherrypick.

Check out this paragraph:

However, those findings differ from a separate Gallup tracking poll of voters, which shows Obama with a narrow lead, 49%-45%. The daily tracking poll has a margin of error of +-3 points; the USA TODAY poll's margin of error is +-5 points.

The two surveys were taken over the same days, but the tracking poll includes more interviews and a higher proportion of interviews taken on Saturday. It reflects the views of those seen as likely voters; the USA TODAY results include all Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who were called.

If I read this right, the tracker is more up-to-date and more accurate. It has more respondents, and targets likely voters and not "all adults." This USA Today poll also caught more respondents earlier in the week when the Wright issue was fresher than did the tracker; at least th proportion of interviews suggest that.

On issues of Rev. Wright, I'll always take the most up-to-date information because he fades in and out of consciousness.

life.

The possible answer on the impact is: a small blip in Obama's numbers (due to the tag teaming between the righwing nutjobs and the Clinton camp in Wrightboating Obama via Guilt by association (GBA) in  keeping this  in the headlines and 24/7 on the TV shows) but I sense that it's impact is fading (probably more pronouncedly so with Dems and Indies). People are initially susceptible to GBA tricks but eventually they sort things out and tire of and turn against such trickery.

As for "electability," at the end of the day, Wrights words are NOT Obama's words (similar to how Doug Coe's words are not HRC's) and Wright doesn't think for Obama (as became clear from Wright's NPC appearance). OTOH, Clinton owns her Tuzla lie.

This time Carville says HRC has three "cojones".

Bastard!

Hillary was President of College Republican during her college years.

If Obama is guilty by associating with Wright, then Hillary is guilty by association with the Republican party.  

Explains why she's so cozy with McCain on his gas tax holiday.

I wonder why Hillary supporters never mention Hillary's association with the Republican party?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2008/05/04/AR2008050401881. html?hpid%3Dsec-nation&sub=AR

He lives in Illinois, but he's right over the line from Indiana. I want to know which candidate appeals Bill Bramanti.

I bet it's McCain, unfortunately. South Chicago Heights is very Republican.

When the Wright stuff first came out a few weeks ago, Obama took a bit hit in the polls.  He was in the low 40's in the tracking polls and Hillary was in the high 40's.  Then over time Obama sprung back up into the high 40's.

With Wright coming out again, Obama again took a hit but I think over time it appears that Obama is springing back.  His tracking poll is increasing in gallup and rasmussen and his polls in Indiana and North Carolina took a hit but they haven't gotten any worse.

I think what Obama must do over the next few weeks if vigorously push back with the stuff that he is doing right now by doing a lot of events that he appears very appealing such as family events, playing basketball in small town, etc.

This poll had some more entertaining Data.  Wright gave 33% of people a less favorable view of Obama.  Bill Clinton tied with Wright at 33% of people having a less favorable view due to him.  So Wright hurts Obama as much as Bill hurts Hillary.  While George Bush beat all with 38% having a less favorable opinion of McCain due to him.