Zogby NC/IN - Steady

by elrod, Sun May 04, 2008 at 02:42:59 AM EST

Our favorite pollster's tracking poll shows no real change in the races in North Carolina and Indiana.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?I D=1497

Clinton and Obama both picked up two points in NC and the margin is still 9. That's in line with other polls.

Zogby actually shows Obama expanding his small lead in Indiana to two points. More to the point, Hillary Clinton actually lost a point and Obama stayed still.

This might be noise in Indiana. But it might also be blowback on the gas tax issue, which could be pushing Clinton voters into the undecided camp.




Tags: Zogby (all tags)

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cue the (none / 0)

I do not like this poll so its wrong comments :)


-- be excellent to each other
by kindthoughts on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:16:27 AM EST

I love how you can speculate so much (none / 0)

based on one percentage different from a poll done by Zoby. lol


by alright on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:45:02 AM EST

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (2.00 / 1)

This might be noise in Indiana. But it might also be blowback on the gas tax issue

Anyone who calls statistical noise "blowback" on any issue should lose their posting rights.


by reggie44pride on Sun May 04, 2008 at 04:05:47 AM EST

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (none / 0)

Pure speculation and wishful thinking on my part :)


by elrod on Sun May 04, 2008 at 10:31:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (none / 0)

Zogby...

Doesn't he think Obama won California?


by DTaylor on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:11:15 AM EST

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (none / 0)

any time you post facts on this blog that can be interpreted as favorable to Obama you'll be attacked. Thanks for posting the information though. There are still a few people here who don't drink the Hillary kool aid.


by jadegirl on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:35:30 AM EST

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (none / 0)

Like it or not Zogby usually have these poll numbers a couple days out and then they changes to conform with the other pollsters.

But as a Hillary supporter I like the numbers. This means he must win Indiana.


"The Bumble Bee flies because it thinks it can."
by LadyEagle on Sun May 04, 2008 at 05:43:28 AM EST

actually good news for Hillary! (2.00 / 1)

Since Zogby obviously pro-Obama by remixing set of responders towards Obama supporters (plus possibly modifying their answers), it means (with undecideds) the real numbers looks like C53-O44 in Indiana and
C48-O51 in NC. At least it is my prediction for Tuesday, but it is a possibility that Hillary will pleasantly surprise us in NC with tie.
Welcome to a Landslide without white Working class, Latinos, Women, Seniors and holding-on sweeties
by engels on Sun May 04, 2008 at 06:55:55 AM EST

Re: Zogby NC/IN - Steady (none / 0)

Post Super Tuesday Zogby has actually been really good.

Using Fivethirtyeight.com calculator, If Tuesday voting matches early voting, Obama will win by a minimum of 12 points or so in NC.


by Bobby Obama on Sun May 04, 2008 at 09:23:38 AM EST


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