Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again

In last night's Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, Hillary gained another point in the Democratic contest against Barack Obama (now C47 to O 44).  

Hillary has gained a net 11 points in the past 5 days, and today has her highest rating since March 9.

In other good news for Clinton, her unfavorable rating is 50, the lowest since March 13.  Obama's unfavorable rating is 49, up 4 points in only 4 days.

Against McCain, Hillary wins by 1 point, but Obama loses against McCain by a statistically significant 5 points.

Rasmussen writes:

This has been a difficult week for Obama. When the week began, he was even with McCain and outperformed Clinton in general election match-ups.

~snip~

Nationally, 56% of all voters say it's at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright's controversial views.

~snip~

New polling in New Hampshire shows that Clinton has gained ground on McCain in the Granite State while Obama is heading in the opposite direction



Display:


Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 13)

Obama is still losing ground.


TexasDarlin blog
by TexasDarlin on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:13:00 PM EST

Re: Hillary losing ground nationally (2.00 / 1)

What? Tracking polls are producing inconsistent results? Well that other one I disagree with must be wrong!


John McCain wants to make abortion illegal
by Lost Thought on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:18:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No! Nooooo...not the polls, anything bur the polls (2.00 / 1)

But random attack diaries are still solid and reflecting reality??

breathes deep


-- be excellent to each other
by kindthoughts on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:34:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obamites are smearing like never before (none / 0)

worst was the doctored tape making a Clinton staffer look like he was saying BS.  He got it pulled from YouTube and is going to sue.


by internetstar on Sat May 03, 2008 at 07:52:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obamites are smearing like never before (none / 0)

The person(s) who put that up took it down and actually apologized, from what I read.  it was not the obama campaign or obama who pushed that video and you know it...


by mariannie on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:28:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

He's under attack from two fronts at the same time (none / 0)

the rightwing and the Clinton camp which are tag teaming to try and down him. The rightwing is doing so because they'd rather face Clinton in the general (since they have readymade Clinton baggage to throw at her, and nothing energizes the Republicans base to come in droves to vote up and down for the Republican ticket more than the Clintons) should she be the nominee and because Obama has shown a tremendous capacity to:

  1. draw support from independents
  2. bring millions to the polling booths

And, the media is doing 24/7 Wrightboating Obama.

Those facts explain some weakening of Obama's numbers, but still he's stand quite strong (he pulled back into a tie w/ HRC in Gallup poll's numbers today).

Once he faces McCain head to head, with a unified Dem party on his side, Obama will crush McCain.


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:32:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

'bring millions of new and young voters' (none / 0)


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:37:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

more typos: (none / 0)

should read:
  1. the media is doing 24/7 Wrightboating of Obama.
  2. but still he's standing quite strong (he pulled back into a tie w/ HRC in Gallup's poll numbers, 47-47, today).

Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:42:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: more typos: (none / 0)

After all the garbage on him for the past few weeks (since before PA), he IS still standing and has not once broken down or screamed that is everyone else's fault and boo hoo he is such a victim.  He has held his own throughout so I don't see how anyone can say he is not strong or able to take a hit.  this stuff is very personal and he has remained above it all - unlike another politician who delights in playing the victim.
 
by mariannie on Sun May 04, 2008 at 03:32:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

According to people who are much more (2.00 / 1)

knowledgable than you are, you are completely mistaken.  ;-)


by macmcd on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:53:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

how elitist of you ;-) (2.00 / 1)


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:13:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Conspiracies are usually secret. (none / 0)

Hillary and McCain shout their undying love for each other from the roof tops.


by dystopianfuturetoday on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:15:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The Republicans are doing all they can to (none / 0)

make Democrats nominate Clinton.


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 07:44:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Your sig line is offensive. Jerome should ban you (none / 0)

for that alone.


by Molee on Sat May 03, 2008 at 10:12:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It's painfully factual (2.00 / 1)

Read it for yourself.


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:00:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bill Clinton went on Rush Limbaugh show (none / 0)

before TX and OH. Limbaugh asked his listeners to vote for Clinton. HRC praised McCain while simultaneously dismissing and denigrating Obama.

I said: "He's under attack from two fronts at the same time the rightwing and the Clinton camp which are tag teaming to try and down him."

McCain and Clinton need not explicitly co-ordinate. They can take cues from each other or just attack Obama because it's strategfically beneficial to both of them. McCain knows that Clinton has plenty of ready-made baggage/scandals and so attacking Obama can only help him.

"Tough people don't whine and complain"

Where shall we get started with Clinton camp's whining: whining about the media, caucuses, states that "don't matter", complaints about being outspent (when she also raised some $170mn, roughly the same as what Gore raised in his entire campaign including the GE and adding in matching funds. They splurged their money by throwing millions of dollars at Mark Penn etc, whereas Obama spent him money building a movement and registered millions of new voters as Democrats), on and on.


Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 07:58:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary losing ground nationally (none / 0)

Of course -

It doesn't matter that in almost every poll -
whether national, state, or matchups with McCain -
Obama has lost 7 to 10 points over the past week.

Nope.
The poop deck of the Titanic is still dry.


by johnnygunn on Sat May 03, 2008 at 09:34:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I wouldn't read too much into daily tracking polls (2.00 / 3)

It took Obama's numbers two weeks to recover after the initial Wright tapes were discovered; if his number remain where they are after next week, then there should be a reason for concern.

However, Hillary is without a doubt surging; let's see if Ace Smith can pull off the "biggest upset" in election history (I guess Obama supporters would say that Iowa already was the "biggest upset" in election history).


by Blazers Edge on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:22:11 PM EST

You really don't know NC (none / 0)

There is absolutely no way possible that Hillary Clinton can win North Carolina unless Obama is found to have a white family and a goat in Idaho. He would most likely still win even if he was dead.  

You obviously haven't been paying attention to early voting in NC which is now at over 300K and 38% of those votes are from AA's and overall Obama is leading early voting 65-35.


by sweet potato pie on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:30:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You really don't know NC (2.00 / 1)

How rude, he has a white family and he doesn't need a goat, he get get goat cheese wherever he shops.  People get to think and it hasn't turned into the 'race' contest yet, no thanks to Wright.  


Hillary - alternative energy
by anna shane on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:48:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You really don't know NC (none / 0)

Can I ask why having a white family would be damaging?


by grego101 on Sat May 03, 2008 at 04:59:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

NC early voters (none / 0)

If 38% of the early voters so far are AA's, it's not surprising they're supporting Obama as usual.

I heard BO's camp was doing a lot of GOTV for early voters in neighborhoods where they expect support: special polling stations? 24-hour shuttle?


by 1950democrat on Sat May 03, 2008 at 06:00:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: NC early voters (none / 0)

I am not saying Clinton will win NC but there was also very heavy early voting in Texas in the metro areas of Dallas, Houston and Austin. On election day, Clinton was able to cut into that lead with her strength among Hispanics and the corresponding election day voting strength in Houston/Dallas/Austin was neutralized because so many voters had already voted. AA turnout I believe was on par with 2004 while Hispanics turnout spiked.


by gomer on Sun May 04, 2008 at 12:35:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You fail to mention.... (none / 0)

1.) A great many of the early voting locations in NC are located in areas frequented by senior citizens. A natural demographic for Clinton.

2.) Many major colleges in NC have final exams scheduled on Tuesday, where it's expected that the exam schedule will cut into both: a.) the number of bodies on the street on Election Day for Obama, as well as b.) overall Obama voter turnout in the <25 segment.

That being said, I personally think the State will go something in the neighborhood of +6% or +7% for Obama, after all the votes are counted.

Hillary is going to win pretty big in Indiana, and that'll maintain the draw--the excuse for both camps to continue onward--after Tuesday.

This thing is far from over. We're talking massive landslide wins for Clinton in WV and KY, with another narrow win for Obama in OR.

OR and NC were supposed to be landlides for Obama just a couple of weeks ago. THAT is the story...plus whatever superdelegate machinations occur in the interim, of course.


by bobswern on Sat May 03, 2008 at 06:38:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You fail to mention.... (none / 0)

plus whatever superdelegate machinations occur in the interim, of course

Yeah, well those machinations are the superdelegates breaking heavily for Obama despite having a couple of bad weeks.

Hillary needs 2/3 of the remaining superdelegates, or she needs to convince some of Obama's to flip. She has never convinced a single SD to flip, and she  is way down in the post-PA endorsements.

Where are all of these superdelegates who are going to "see the light" and support Hillary? If they want her to win, why don't they pile on now when it can help her the most?


I just flipped off President George, I'm going to Disneyland
by alvernon on Sun May 04, 2008 at 07:36:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You really don't know NC (none / 0)

and there are many undecided voters who will go with Hillary. The early voting didn't help Obama in California or Texas, and wont here either


Steven Shaman Publisher Skywatch-Media News
by steve468 on Sun May 04, 2008 at 01:57:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 2)

i think its time both of them start thinking of running on the same ticket .

The party is split down the middle.

I think the sooner they join together the better.

I know nancy pelosi has some jealousy thing going on with Hillary Clinton , it would be advisable for her to let that go.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:22:13 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 0)

Lori, I have not always agreed with you but I do on this.  A Clinton/Obama ticket is our best chance for a November win.


TexasDarlin blog
by TexasDarlin on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:23:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

Why would you say this other than the fact that you hate HRC?

david


by giusd on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:29:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No (1.33 / 3)

More than 50% of the country hates Hillary. That is why she cannot be on the ticket and she won't.  Obama never considered her a viable option as a VP and they still don't. There are far more legitimately qualified women who could be even more helpful as VP than Hillary.


by sweet potato pie on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:32:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 2)

Obama has consistently superior judgment on matters of public policy time and time again

Dear Barry,

Thanks for the support on my energy bill.

With regards,

Dick Cheney


by reggie44pride on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:41:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Dear Hillary,

Thanks for your support on going to war in Iraq and threatening to obliterate Iran.

Dick Cheney and George W. Bush


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:44:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Did Kerry get a similar thank you note?


by reggie44pride on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:50:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Dear Barry,
Thanks for looking out for us slumlords.

Your Pal,
Tony


by durendal on Sun May 04, 2008 at 12:36:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

Really ~ Did you say that with a straight face?  Mister 1/3 of a first term Senator has such a track record that you can make that claim


by Mags on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:32:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Disagree; I give Clinton/Obama a seventy percent chance of defeating John McCain and any Republican not named Condoleeza Rice.  Putting Rice on the ticket would complicate matters for the Democrats.

I think Hill will have performed well enough by the final June 3rd primary where Obama will still be short by thirty or forty superdelegates.  Since superdelegates have proven to be absolutely gutless during this entire process, they'll leave it to Hill and Obama to settle the process and show some leadership or else it's on to Denver and probably a sure defeat for either of them to McCain.


by Blazers Edge on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:32:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Unfortunately, McCain will run this as an ad (none / 0)

if Clinton and Obama are on the same ticket:

I think that I have a lifetime of experience that I will bring to the White House. I know Senator McCain has a lifetime of experience to the White House. And Senator Obama has a speech he gave in 2002," Clinton says.
Link

and he'd have three birds in one shot. That remark by her dismissing Obama crassly (in a specious and self-serving manner) made a joint ticket between Clinton and Obama near impossible.
Obama's Pop. Vote LEAD = 600K | Clinton & McCain = WAR Authorizers
by NeuvoLiberal on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:36:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

It's the gas tax as much Rev. Wright.

It's why McCain has had a good week, and Obama's
slide is because of both issues.


by mikelow1885 on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:25:18 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

GREAT news TD!  Thanks for the good word!


Donate to Hillary Now!
by alegre on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:28:12 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

And why is she trailing in Guam?  Can she pull it out? http://guampdn.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article ?AID=/20080504/NEWS01/80504013


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:38:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

ehmm Guam doesn't have a vote in US presidential elections .

So what you just wrote now isn't borne out of reality.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:49:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

This is what you wrote

" She clearly can't seal the deal among Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders. This is a troubling development for her viability in the general election. "

- I'll live you to figure out what your recent comments have to do with what you initially wrote and my response to it .


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:58:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Wasn't it a joke? I thought it was.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:28:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Asian Am support for Hillary (none / 0)

Last I heard she had strong support among the Asian Americans in CA and WA -- who vote in November.


by 1950democrat on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:54:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Asian Am support for Hillary (2.00 / 1)

I should have said also, look at the method of voting: caucus vs primary.


by 1950democrat on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:54:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Tied in the Gallup Poll.....Obama bouncing back as usual...


I can see Lake Erie from where I live, so can I please run the Navy?
by hootie4170 on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:47:57 PM EST

thanks for the good news Tex. (2.00 / 5)

I have to laugh at all of the Obamabots.  They must not have anything else to do but to chew their guts out reading all of the positive Hillary diaries.  Thank you for being a part of the steadfast, honest, and good-natured Hillary supporters.  you are a treasure for all of us.


by macmcd on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:55:28 PM EST

Re: thanks for the good news Tex. (none / 0)

You are so deep.



Lost rate and rec for issuing a '1' to a trollish comment. The troll, not so much.

by map on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:47:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

not chewing guts out here, macmcd (2.00 / 1)

It's a close race between two candidates who are both better than any we've run for president in many many years, including HRC's husband.

Call me an Obamabot but Obama has a commanding lead that's just not going to go away, and for once, I think we have a close race where the better candidate is leading.

I really hope that all of you have an experience similar to mine when Edwards dropped out. I became an Obama supporter as a second choice, and when I started paying attention with an open mind, I wound up being thrilled with him and glad that my guy didn't win.

When Hillary finally throws in the towel and you stop searching for a hail mary fatal flaw in Obama and start to come to grips with the real meaning of Obama versus McCain, I think you'll undergo a pleasant metamorphosis.

I may not be able to convince you but John Sydney will do so in short order.


McCain housing policy shaped by lobbyist.
by obsessed on Sun May 04, 2008 at 01:49:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)


Well, when gains are on the order of 0.5-1% shift per day and moe is 3%, maybe so.

But I think it's pretty clear that the trend to Clinton is not over.  Just wait until Obama's numbers start to crumble in Orego.


by killjoy on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:00:13 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 2)

Polls: choose which lie you want to believe...

Anywho, the only interesting thing I find is that this is the first time I've ever seen Barack Obama's negatives so close to HRC.  Don't Obama supporters love to point to HRC's negatives to say she's less electable despite the electoral college map?  Well, I guess that's one less leg to stand on...


No candidacy is more important than the right to vote.
by hornplayer on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:18:18 PM EST

Obama's negs around 50% for months (2.00 / 1)

I've been seeing H and O negs both around 50% for months now. O-51 and H-50 comes to mind from early in the campaign.


by 1950democrat on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:50:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

Once Hillary's out, Obama's favorables will go way up, especially compared to McCain. See Al Giardano's Huffington piece today.


by applecrispbetty on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:56:44 PM EST

here's the link (none / 0)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/al-giordan o/operation-anti-chaos-the_b_99965.html


McCain housing policy shaped by lobbyist.
by obsessed on Sun May 04, 2008 at 01:56:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

i'm just waiting for tues, we at camp hillary (2.00 / 3)

need this little surge in polls to be shown on tuesay, a large IN win and a narrow NC loss, would be great! we can do it!  I can't wait for kentucky!


DEMOCRATIC 08!
by rigsoHC on Sat May 03, 2008 at 06:58:26 PM EST

Please drop the insincere healthcare talking point (none / 0)

The talking point is that HRC is better on healthcare because her proposal requires all people to buy insurance and his doesn't. You guys are hammering on this like it's the be-all end-all reason to support Hillary over Barack and I think you're being insincere and using it as a hollow talking point as you preach to the choir.

The truth is that both proposals are poor. Neither is single-payer, which is what we really need and deserve.

And anyone who has enough of a brain to get to mydd is not going to go naked on health insurance, so the HRC/Obama distinction is irrelevant.

However, obviously, either of our candidates would be infinitely superior to McCain/status quo on this issue, because at least they both force the insurers to take people with pre-existing conditions, so the only thing at issue is who will have the public relations ability and lack of indebtedness to lobbyists to be able to get it passed.

My gut, and HRC's previous failure in 1992, lead me to favor Obama on this issue.


McCain housing policy shaped by lobbyist.
by obsessed on Sun May 04, 2008 at 01:36:25 AM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

And now - Sunday - it's a tie.

Care to update your diary?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sun May 04, 2008 at 10:09:52 AM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (2.00 / 1)

TexasDarlin please make a new diary so we can put the one where its tied again up here on the rec list.

Thank you!!!


by Bobby Obama on Sun May 04, 2008 at 12:28:17 PM EST

Individual State Polls Matter (none / 0)

At this point in the game, what really matters are the state polls.

Obama is predicted to continue to take the over all delegate lead in the states remaining.

Support whoever you want but you can't ignore the delegate counts.

In any case, Hillary said she will support Obama if he is nominated.  When she speaks, I assume she speaks for all Hillary supporters.  So Hillary supporters, can I get you to make the same pledge as your great leader has?  


by hienmango on Sun May 04, 2008 at 12:46:02 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen Natl: HRC Gains Again (none / 0)

Oops, Obama back up by +4% in the Gallup.


by amadon on Sun May 04, 2008 at 01:28:24 PM EST


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