Guam Needs You :(

Guam is voting.

Right Now.

It's already May 3rd over there folks.  Spooky, I know.  Polls will close at 8 p.m., 6 a.m. eastern time, U.S.

There are eight pledged delegates, and five supers, at stake in this crucial but.. distant.. contest.  According to CBS news, turnout is expected to be: 3,000. The pledged delegates get a half-vote each, while the supers get a full vote, for a total of nine votes up for grabs.

Hmph.

I have no idea who is favored (nor does any journalist seem to care), but it is a caucus process, so I guess I'll predict Obama 75%.  Anyone else want to make predictions of Guam?  Please post any information you may have, and sorry for the short and rather uninformative diary.  I just thought we ought to talk about it.

Update: Full results are expected by noon eastern time. Rumor has it there are five people total counting the ballots. Based on our own poll, the internal MyDD prediction is: Barack Obama 56.4, Hillary Clinton 43.6


Poll
What do you predict from Guam?
Clinton - 90%
Clinton - 75%
Clinton / Obama - 50%
Obama - 75%
Obama - 90%

Votes: 34
Results : Vote Link : Polls

Display:


Re: Guam Needs You :( (2.00 / 3)

maybe the obama campaign wont be able to cheat in the Guam caucus.


by alright on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:34:30 AM EST

Yup, kind of hard to bus in 800 (2.00 / 1)

people from the mainland!


by CoyoteCreek on Sat May 03, 2008 at 10:05:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Guam Needs You :( (2.00 / 1)

Caucus = Obama wins by a nauseating margin. I assume that's how it works in Guam, since that's how it works most everywhere else. Have any of us been making calls to Guam?


by sricki on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:34:54 AM EST

Results (none / 0)

Obama wins 61% to 36%. Just reported.


by 4justice on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:40:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Results (2.00 / 1)

I can't find that anywhere.  Can you link?


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:49:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

here you go (none / 0)


http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/GU-D.p html
by 4justice on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:50:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: here you go (2.00 / 1)

Only 300 people voted on the whole island?

http://www.pacificnewscenter.com/default .asp?sourceid=&smenu=161&twindow Default&mad=No&sdetail=24091&am p;wpage=1&skeyword&sidate=& ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restat us=&reoption=&retype=&repmin &repmax&rebed=&rebath=& ;subname=&pform=&sc=1718&hn= pacificnewscenter&he=.com

Reports that results will not be in for a while.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:55:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

ps (none / 0)

expected, but I am not happy about it.  Puerto Rico will more than make up for this, as well as her expected wins coming up.


by 4justice on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:56:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Results (none / 0)

According to CNN, it's Obama 54, Clinton 46, with 63% reporting.


by sricki on Sat May 03, 2008 at 12:57:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

My understanding (none / 0)

My understanding is that it's more like a party-run primary, where you just cast ballots and leave.  I could be wrong though.

In any case: Marianas Variety endorses Hillary

http://www.mvariety.com/?module=displays tory&story_id=10696&format=html


by DaveOinSF on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:35:59 AM EST

Re: My understanding (none / 0)

Yeah - It's called a caucus, but people just go and cast ballots.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 03, 2008 at 08:08:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Guam Needs You :( (2.00 / 1)

I have read it described as a "primary" in some places but CBS seemed pretty certain it was a "caucus".  And I don't see a turnout of 3,000 as meaning a primary in the traditional sense heh.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:38:47 AM EST

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

Where the hell is Guam anyway.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:40:35 AM EST

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

Guam, "Where American's Day Begins"
(tourism slogan)

That's where.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:43:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

Floating somewhere in the Western Pacific, apparently. Not that that tells us much.


by sricki on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:44:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Guam Location (2.00 / 1)

In paradise. A little over 3,000 miles west of Hawaii and a little over 1,000 miles south of Japan. It's north of New Zealand and east of the Phillipines.


Dizzy Zzyzzy
by Zzyzzy on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:46:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Guam Needs You :( (2.00 / 1)

http://www.hillaryclinton.com/hq/guam/

Hill was all over it (so was Barack).

Check out the vid - "Hafa Adai brothers and sisters!"  Hill's gone native.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 01:42:30 AM EST

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

They call it a caucus but it's secret ballot and you can vote all day, so it's really a primary.

Guam can't vote in the general, which I imagine will play a role in the expected lower turnout.


by davisb on Sat May 03, 2008 at 02:04:57 AM EST

Guam is voting (none / 0)

that is so cool!

When I was doing a lot of theater and someone forgot their lines or blocking (stage movement) we would say they "went to Guam".  "Excuse me, I went to Guam for a moment"...

I have no idea why, but that was what we said.  


For Obama it now becomes: Faith, hope and CHANGE! And the greatest of these is Change!
by TeresaInPa on Sat May 03, 2008 at 03:13:34 AM EST

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

Hope Hillary nets them all (almost) to continue the MO.


by Sandeep on Sat May 03, 2008 at 05:47:22 AM EST

First results in: (none / 0)

11:10 p.m. Guam - The official results for the primary election for the Democratic Party have been processed.

Senator Barack Obama took Ordot's delegates with a vote over 37 to 18, While Clinton won Maina 22 to 19. Check back for full updates and results as they come in.

I don't really know what that means.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 09:24:44 AM EST

FYI (none / 0)

In 2004 Ordot went for Bush 61/38
Maina went 62/37
by DaveOinSF on Sat May 03, 2008 at 10:07:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Update (none / 0)

Guam has 8 pledged delegates, but they each get half a vote.  The 5 superdelegates each get a full vote.  So the total is nine.

Wierd.


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 09:27:08 AM EST

Re: Guam Needs You :( (none / 0)

http://www.pacificnewscenter.com/default .asp?sourceid=&smenu=161&twindow Default&mad=No&sdetail=24095&am p;wpage=1&skeyword&sidate=& ccat=&ccatm=&restate=&restat us=&reoption=&retype=&repmin &repmax&rebed=&rebath=& ;subname=&pform=&sc=1718&hn= pacificnewscenter&he=.com

"With 11 out of 19 precincts reporting, Senator Barack Obama is leading Senator Hillary Clinton by 6 percentage points. The total preference count so far is Obama with 768 to Clinton's 680."


by bobbank on Sat May 03, 2008 at 11:59:08 AM EST


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