Obama's GOTV efforts will be very, very good for the down-ticket races. Add to that a right wing that's only lukewarm for McCain, and we may see a historic blow-out at multiple levels.

This is a seat where the AA increase could really make the difference.

Almosr everyday seems to bring another republican senate seat into play. The count has gone past 10 now, and some of those seats appear to be firmly in the dem column already. There is a similar phenomenon going on in the House. We, as democrats, are on the verge of a dramatic victory in November. The only thing that could stop it is that we don't do what is necessary to unite this party. The only thing that could let this victory slip away is to allow ourselves to continue to be mired in disunity.

And remember, kids: Every seat that's competitive means the cash-strapped republicans have to spend even more!

Obama is an interesting candidate when it comes to the South.  I don't expect him personally to do very well at the top fo the ticket.  However, he will have very large positive coattails down ballot.  Obama will lose because he will not be able to attract white Democrats, who will vote for white Dems downballot.  However, Obama will attract huge numbers of AA voters who will also vote for white Dems downballot.

Hmmm...I'd be wary.  It does depend somewhat on what the numbers are- mid/high forties or higher for Musgrove would be very exciting.  Numbers around 40% are expectable.

It's become a fetish lately- begun by the Obama crowd- to talk about pollings only in terms of the difference between the two support numbers given.  The conceit to that is that the Undecideds are truly neutral or can be expected to split 50:50.  Which is actually rarely the case.  Usually they split 60:40 or more- even 90:10- one way, and the trick is always about recognizing which way that is.

If memory serves correctly (caveat: it does less and less everyday)

In the beginning:  Colorado, New Mexico, Virginia, New Hamshire.

Shortly thereafter:  Oregon, Minnesota, Maine, Alaska

And now:  Texas, North Carolina, Nebraska, and Mississippi.

Idaho? (Larry Craig is still using the men's room at the capitol).

How do we get the two Wyoming senate seats in play?  Now that would be something to behold.  

My dream: Pick up enough seats to fillibuster proof the senate and still have enough to spare to run Leiberman out of the party.  

I thought I read that Kos has a poll about to come out on this race, so we may have some follow-up in the very near future.

but it doesn't seem likely.  Although Wicker looks like an idiot.

though I am patient and will wait for more polling data (to make a beautiful line) before I get too excited.

Patience people, the republicans still have a few tools in their tool box and until we show they won't work we shouldn't get too ecstatic...

That said...

w00t!!