In response to a number of questions about this subject I am providing this guide to the Oregon elections process. Sorry for reposting but it formatted it wrongly when I edited it. Cross posted from Daily Kos (http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/5/19/ 124239/061/359/518313)
The following is a combination of basic facts about Oregon's election process and how to track results and a response to some questions asked in response to my last diary on this subject:
Q: So when did this whole Vote by Mail thing start?
A: Vote by Mail became law in 1998 as the result of the passage of an initiative backed by former SOS Phil Keisling (D). However, what really spurred this development were two factors. First, the 1990s had seen a steady but substantial increase in the number of people voting by mail with somewhere between a quarter and a half of all ballots being cast that way. Second, when Senator Bob Packwood (R) resigned due to allegations of sexual misconduct in 1995, the state decided that, in order to conduct a fairly quick special election to fill this vacancy, they would do it entirely by mail.
Q: Does it make a difference in turnout?
A: Yes, it does. Oregon has always been a high turnout state, turnout in the 1996 general election was 71%, but it has gone up since vote by mail became law. Turnout in the general election since its passage has been 80% (2000), 69% (2002), 86% (2004) and 71% (2006).
Q: So how does this process actually work, how do you vote?
A: I'm glad you asked. Here is my summary (mostly copied from my Friday diary btw):
1. Register to vote at least 21 days before an election. A bit restrictive I know but it is what it is.
2. Receive Voters' Pamphlets for primary and general elections somewhere around 2-3 weeks to as much as a month before the election, containing the normal candidate entries, arguments on ballot initiatives, etc. This information is also available online at: http://www.sos.state.or.us/elections/may 202008/guide/cover.html
3. Receive a ballot about 2-2.5 weeks before an election. The ballot comes inside an outer envelope which contains a return envelope and a "secrecy envelope" (more on that later) along with a pamphlet detailing basics about the ballot initiatives if any are on the ballot for that election.
4. Fill out your ballot (a sample from Multnomah County showing the candidates for all districts in the county is seen here: http://www.co.multnomah.or.us/dbcs/elect ions/2008-05/sample_ballot_democrat.pdf either at home, at a booth at the County elections office or anywhere else you wish.
5. Seal the ballot inside the secrecy envelope and then seal that inside the return envelope. Sign the return envelope.
6. Either mail it in (proper postage must be attached) (before Friday only since ballots must be received by election day) or drop it off at any of your county's drop boxes by 8 PM on election day (Multnomah County's List of Drop Boxes is provided here: http://www.co.multnomah.or.us/dbcs/elect ions/election_information/drop_sites.sht ml
7. The signature on your return envelope is then scanned and compared with the one in the registration database. If it matches they open the return envelope (storing it separately) and the ballot inside its secrecy envelope is placed on a tray to be counted.
8. The fact that you have voted is registered and political parties/other interested groups can check the list so they know who still should be targeted. The upside of this is that once you vote you stop getting campaign calls, mail, canvassers, etc.
Q: So how are ballots counted?
A: As follows:
1. When a ballot is received, it is scanned and compared with that on file by computer or by hand.
Q: So how is security ensured and have there been any incidents of fraud under this system?
A: Security is ensured because paper ballots mean that we can always go back and check the results. Also, the ballots are quite easy to understand and fill out. As to fraud, there has not been a single significant incident of fraud since the system was put into place (and trust me there are many interest groups that would love to find such examples). In addition, Oregon's open government laws, some of the strongest in the nation, make it easier for almost all election records to be examined by any interested citizen.
Q: How do I track results?
A: Oregon's SOS does not have a live results page, so we have to rely on the local media. The best are:
The Oregonian (Statewide Newspaper of record): (http://www.oregonlive.com/)
KGW (NBC affiliate in Portland): (http://www.kgw.com/).
Q: How long will we have to wait for results and will there be exit polling?
A: Results will typically be released on the following schedule (all times Pacific):
8 PM-Ballots due, Multnomah County releases its first count (ballots cast before Monday night), expect this result to be skewed in Obama's favor.
9-9:30 PM-Major counting completed of ballots cast prior to Monday/Tuesday in most counties. Results are typically updated every 30-60 minutes.
11 PM-Most results apparent. If the margin is 3% or less we may have to wait over night but anything more than that they'll have called it by now.
12 PM Wednesday-Count completed typically by this time.
Exit polling is conducted by calling those who have already voted as well as those who have not voted but can be expected to vote. It actually tends to be more accurate as a result since they can base their sample off those who have indeed voted rather than a random sample. Therefore, it would be no surprise if at least the Presidential Primary were called either at 8 PM or shortly after.
Q: What are the key counties?
A: The following are the seven largest counties in the state:
Multnomah (Portland, all the way east to Mt. Hood): 402,000 registered voters.
Washington (Suburban, tech-heavy and agricultural): 257,000 registered voters.
Clackamas (Suburban and agricultural, fastest-growing urban county in the state): 213,000 registered voters.
Lane (Eugene, Springfield and other assorted communities, mix of urban, suburban and rural): 197,000 registered voters.
Marion (Salem (OR's capital), mix of assorted industries/communities): 142,000 registered voters.
Jackson (Medford, Ashland, the largest R leaning county in the state): 115,000 registered voters.
Deschutes (Bend and Central Oregon, one of the most beautiful places in the state): 88,000 registered voters.
So that's it. Let me know any questions or comments you have.
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