Why don't Obama supporters just admit it?

Look, I'm working my ass off to try to brace for an Obama nomination.  I'm really trying.  I'm trying to figure out how to get my mind around voting for him.  I get in the right mind set and someone here writes a comment that gets me back into defensive mode again.  

I'm still hoping against hope that Hillary ties or wins in Oregon and wins in Kentucky.  I'm hoping that these voters see through the media death sentence.  I've been here before, though.  I was hoping the same thing for Edwards in South Carolina.  I was hoping the same thing for Edwards in New Hampshire.  So I'm bracing myself also for a let-down and how to deal with this.  I wish Obama would stop doing 'victory laps' before this is over.  It smacks of arrogance to me.  It DOES bring out memories of competive men who are only happy when they bring you down.  I am hoping that this attitude plays out in unfavorably in the remaining states.  We'll see.  

Obama supporters have a certain perception that I believe is not true.  They believe that if there is any chance - any chance - that we feel Hillary was wronged within the campaign, we will hold out and vote against Obama.  They want us to come to 'their side' in the belief that not only is Obama winning, but also that this was a fair fight and that Obama is superior.  I believe the opposite is true.  I think if Obama supporters can practice a little modesty - that there were situations for the most part beyond their control that helped Obama win, but do not necessarily mean he is superior we may be able to come to a sort of truce.  

For example :  The media has overplayed racism and underplayed sexism.  
I'm in Wisconsin.  Here the pitch came to feverish level against Hillary.  She was running a nasty campaign.  NASTY.  Over and over.  On all of the radio stations, all you could here was pundits talking about this.  No counter-argument - it was stated as fact.  Her mailers, which tried to high-light their differences between their health care proposals was only talked about as 'negative'.  There was no talk about the substance of the proposals at all.  I will wonder for a long time if 'nasty' has the same tone when said about  a woman than about a man.  Why did Obama win Wisconsin?  There was virutually no support anywhere on the airwaves for Hillary.  

Caucuses :  Can Obama supporters admit that caucuses favored their candidate in ways that might not have happened if there were primaries?  No it wasn't simply that he was a better campaigner.  The demographics do change when there are caucuses.  Is that so hard to admit?  MUST Obama supporters attack every suggestion that circumstances might have favored their candidate?  CAN they admit that had circumstances been different, we may be looking at a different outcome today?

Florida and Michigan :  Can Obama supporters admit that things may have been different if this whole fiasco had not happened?  Maybe Obama still would be where he is today.  Maybe not.  Does it cost you so much to allow this doubt to rest?  

Anyway.  How much is only about winning?  How much of this is about electing the best person to the position. It seems to me that if you firmly believe that Obama is the best person to beat McCain or that his policies are so much better than Hillary's, you'd find ways to 'let go' some of the ego part of this race and help the Hillary supporters continue with the idea that they think Hillary is a better candidate even if Obama wins.  

I voted for Kerry even though I thought Dean was a better candidate.  Part of the peace with this was having many people agree with me that Dean was better but then move on.  Kerry was there.  He was the one we had to support regardless of whether the choice was the best one for our party or not.  

Ahh.  I hope people take this diary for what it is.  



Display:


Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 4)

Use of the term "Obamacons" is not conducive to an honest, civil discussion.


by TCQuad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:24:51 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 6)

I didn't mean to offend.  I'll change it.  Thanks.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:28:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

How do I edit?  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:28:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Uhh, there's an editing tool if you pull up your diary list, I believe.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:29:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

yeah.  I found it.  thanks.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:34:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 7)

And thank you for changing it! I've made a conscious effort to make sure I always refer to Clinton supporters as such; it does us no good to try and dehumanize the other side, we're all human beings first and foremost, and we all truly are on the same side.

For instance, this is the shining light of my life-

And no diehard Clinton supporters, Republican trolls, etc, are going to change that or make me hate the other side. Clinton and Obama supporters are real people with real feelings, reasons for supporting their candidates, and any attempts to diminish that or dehumanize them is ridiculous.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:42:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

adorable! n/t (2.00 / 1)


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:47:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 4)

You should put that adorable little guy in your sig and see how many TRs you get :)


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:48:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Girl. But can you even put a picture in a sig line?


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:53:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Beautiful!


Purity! Or else!
by ChitownDenny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:58:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Oh.  Mojo'd for the picture.


Purity! Or else!
by ChitownDenny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:59:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (none / 0)

My mistake.  And I just tested it and surprisingly enough, you can put a picture in your sig, but using one as large as that might become trying, no matter how pretty the subject matter.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:17:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Brilliant signature!! (none / 0)


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:45:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Brilliant signature!! (2.00 / 1)

I was just playing around to see if pictures fit in sigs, but I think I'll keep it.  I hope it's not distracting.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:53:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Diary rec'd for being inteligent and well-written. Diarist rec'd for being the same.


McCainuire, The Wrath Of Not Enough Naps.
by catilinus on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:53:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

what do you hope to accomplish? (none / 0)

what do you hope to accomplish with this post?


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:25:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Illegitimate (2.00 / 3)

Us Obama supporters feel that Hillary and her supporters are constantly trying to demean Obama's impressive wins. Impressive because of the place Hillary started from.  You have a hard time supporting Obama because you delegitimized Obama's win.

You are arguing about process issues. What I can't understand is why?  The rules were stated before the nomination started.  Obama had nothing to do with the DNC rules.

Even when my beloved Dean lost in 04, I didn't blame the rules (the media perhaps).  I never liked Kerry but I accepted him.


by Destiny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:54:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I sure as hell (2.00 / 2)

blamed the crap system when Dean lost.  If we had a system of primary election in this party that remotely resembled something fair, then Dean would have been our nominee and our president now.  Instead, we have a system that allow Iowa and New Hampshire to determine the narrative for the remainder of the season.  It sucked then and it sucks now.


by linc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:11:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

But Hillary won NH (none / 0)

Hillary won NH in a Hollywood-like, spectacular comeback fashion.

She couldn't have written a better outcome.

What hurt her was, by the time NH rolled-in, her war chest was bare, and her top donors were maxed out.  


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:30:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Wow, to have your memory (2.00 / 2)

Hollywood if hollywood were a cynical media that spent the entire week before and the entire week after talking about Clinton's real or unreal tears and how that was why she won.


by linc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:39:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

And for some reason (2.00 / 1)

I suspect you were right there with them... but maybe I am wrong, maybe you were constantly writing diaries then calling out the media for their sexism...


by linc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:41:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

the entire week? (none / 0)

the tears occured on the day before the vote and you don't address her cash crunch.

Deflect all you want.  The truth is hard to accept.

At some point you have to stop pointing fingers everywhere, and accept a bit of responsibility.  Nobody forced Hillary to hire Mark Penn or to blow  her bankroll by NH.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:32:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Thanks dad. (none / 0)


by linc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:41:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Thanks dad. (none / 0)

Way to ignore contrary facts, son


by Reaper0Bot0 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:49:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Denials of sexism (2.00 / 2)

are still sexism, no matter how you spin.  You and papa Rogers know very well that I am right about the media's sexism regarding Hillary's tears.  You know that a great many Obama supporters were just as gleefully culpable in pushing the meme that her tears were not genuine, but rather contrived.



You and papa Rogers sound like the history professor  that is more concerned with the date an event happened, rather than its significance.  
by linc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:21:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Illegitimate (2.00 / 4)

Us Obama supporters feel that Hillary and her supporters are constantly trying to demean Obama's impressive wins. Impressive because of the place Hillary started from.  You have a hard time supporting Obama because you delegitimized Obama's win.

Hillary has congratulated Obama after every single one of his wins. Her now fired campaign manager make one unbelievably stupid comment about the caucus states not counting or not being important or some such rot, and you guys will never let it go. Hillary has already paid quite heavily for the sins of Mark Penn. Why can't you show a little grace in victory?

Also, everyone knew from the outset that some candidate would emerge as the anti-Hillary. Given Obama's fund-raising abilities from the very first quarter of this race, why is Obama portrayed as such an amazing underdogs It was pretty clear from the beginning that the anti-Clinton big wheels in the Democratic party had consolidated behind Obama. Why the need to make the narrative even more heroic than it was?


Fortune strums a mournful tune for those whose campaigns peak too soon. --Bored of the Rings
by Inky on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:20:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Illegitimate (2.00 / 1)

O.K. let's leave Hillary out of this.  

Her supporters have a hard time supporting Obama because they think that he "stole" the nomination.  To back up this claim they constantly point to the process.

If they never admit that Obama won fair and square then they never will be able to support him.  In other words The process wasn't fair, if it were Hillary would have won.  

I feel angry because you demean and dismiss his victories by crying foul,


by Destiny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:39:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

She has not done so. . . (2.00 / 1)

Hillary has not congratulated Obama after every single one of his wins.  That's a false statement and undermines your argument about supporters showing grace.  I really don't care whether or not she congratulates him, I don't attribute her actions to those of her supporters.  I do call out supporters who parrot talking points (like she's ahead in the popular vote) without backing those points up with facts.

"For the second election night in a row, Hillary Clinton failed to acknowledge or congratulate Barack Obama after he won the day in dominating fashion"

source:
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/200 8/02/12/clinton-still-no-congratulations -for-obama/


by shalca on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:20:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: She has not done so. . . (2.00 / 1)

Thanks for that. I didn't see that article -- that was a mistake on Hillary's part and I'm surprised.


Fortune strums a mournful tune for those whose campaigns peak too soon. --Bored of the Rings
by Inky on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:40:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I appreciate the sentiments you express (2.00 / 1)

I'm an Obama supporter, and I am frustrated every time I see a fellow Dem say something rude and divisive.  That is double true when it is a fellow Obama supporter.  It is my hope that we can all keep some perspective that neither candidate should be defined by the worst of their supporters.

I do agree that caucuses bring out a different demographic (certainly more of the party activists) than a primary, and is not necessarily as representative of the state as a whole.  I don't really think that is what worked against Clinton, though.  She likely would have done much better in the caucuses if Mark Penn hadn't completely made the wrong call and let Obama get a head start on building a ground game.  If she had run her entire campaign like the last few primaries, we might be looking at a very different story here.

Peace


by protothad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:24:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 5)

I'm not sure why you felt the need to use the word "Obamacons", that's a new one on me, and particularly offensive, IMHO.

You think your candidate's been particularly wronged, but can you claim objectivity there? This is why I generally try not to make claims about the media except to note two things nobody can deny.

1) They're in it for the money, and nobody/nothing else.

2) McCain's the only one who got a free ride.

Besides, if your voting opinion is affected by a few people on the Internet, you need to really get a more realistic and grounded view of discourse on the Internet, or stick to meat-world. All the Clinton/Obama supporters I've met IRL have never, ever, ever, EVER displayed this level of animosity. The anonymous nature of the Internet plays to it, and there's trolls on all sides trying to further the divide.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:29:20 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

that's sweet!  Thanks


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:30:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

take "obamacon" and shove it... (none / 0)

"hey, you stupid blind robots! be nice to me, admit you really lost, and i might vote for your candidate."

this is a fu**ing ridiculous way to search for solidarity. you will NEVER finds solidarity down this path.


the time to rise has been engaged.
by catchaz on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:29:45 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

every week or so I come back to mydd.com to see if anything has changed, but I continually find more Obama bashing. I wonder if it'll last until november.


by mecarr on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:30:35 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

this isn't Obama bashing.  I'm sorry you took it that way.

I'm actually asking for a truce.  Can we agree to disagree on who is the best candidate, but that circumstances favored your guy and let it be?  

How this is bashing is beyond me.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:33:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

It's bashing as long as you use slurs.  You appear to have agreed to remove them, but I still see "Obamacon" about 8 times in your post.  Until those are gone it's impossible to have any discussion.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:43:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

fair nuff.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:44:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 3)

I appreciate your sentiments.  Here are a few responses:

1.  I agree that the caucus structure aided Obama, and he took full advantage of it.  The Clinton campaign's HUGE oversight in ignoring red-state caucuses killed it.  Just killed it.

And yes, caucuses bring out the hardcore voters and the liberals, but they also tend to bring out the longtime voters.  Obama's coup was to bring out young and new voters.

I don't think caucuses are necessarily anti-democratic.  At their best, they're the New England townhall meeting redux, where people demonstrate the commitment by putting some time in the process.  But they certainly are harder for many voters to participate in.

2) MI and FL certainly would have changed things.  I think Clinton would have won FL more narrowly, and I think Obama would have won MI.  

MI's Democratic leadership is responsible for their sorry mess, and FL's Democrats were complicit with FL Republicans.  You can find on Youtube a state Dem laughing in the chamber as he issues a formal "protest."  The Republican chair is laughing along with him.

And Clinton lied through her teeth about MI.  I'm still waiting for any Clinton supporter on MyDD to admit this.  Again, on Youtube you can hear her saying that everyone knows the MI results aren't going to count, and the only reason she left her name on the ballot was to avoid offending MI Democrats.  She left her name on the ballot for just this sort of contingency; unfortunately, by taking his name off the ballot, Obama effectively prevented her from taking outrageously unfair advantage of the situation.

3)  I agree with you about racism versus sexism in this campaign.  I think that, generally, sexism and misogyny are far more pervasive in American society than is racism.  That said, both candidates have benefited and suffered from their respective racial or gender identities.  Both side's supporters think the other side has played the victim far more.  I'll leave it there.


by deminva on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:09:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Ok ... I won't tell you that Obama is a better candidate than Hillary (we'd first have to agree on what qualities we think are important), but then don't tell me that it was purely because of "circumstances" (implying something completely external and uncontrollable) is why he is ahead.

One of them just ran a more effective campaign.
 


by v2r1 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:27:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

I can agree to disagree, agree that the campaign isn't a perfect measure of who's the best candidate, and respect your opinion of who that is.  Esp when you're being nice about the whole thing.

I won't say, "Oh, circumstances favored my guy, sure, his victory isn't really legitimate."  I hope that's not what you're asking for.  I think they each had some favorable circumstances and some challenges, and in the end there's no real way to say who got the luckier breaks.  It is what it is.

Thanks for posting so transparently about where you're at.  

Matt


McCain: because not everyone's ready to say goodbye to W yet!
by Matt Smith on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:29:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

Personally, I'm willing to let some criticism of my candidate roll off my back, and I'll even agree that the primary process is convoluted and in need of reform.  Just as long as we can all agree that the eventually nominee won according to the rules that were in place at the time, is the legitimate nominee, and is a waaaaaaay better choice than McCain even if not everyone's first choice.


by protothad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:33:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Is there anybody reasonable around these parts?  The essense of my diary was not intended to be inflamatory.  I'm trying to have an honest discussion.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:32:29 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

You chose to use a term that (a) sounds gut-level offensive, (b) deems people who support Obama either conservatives or con-artists, depending on which origin of the term you choose and (c) destroys any hope of having an honest discussion between supporters of two different candidates.

Playing the martyr at this junction isn't particularly appealing. I think your wish came true and people are taking this diary for what it is, but not for what you want people to think it is.

But let's look at what you said.

Wisconsin: Did she run a "nasty" campaign? Her flyer, that you mention in passing, stated "Barack Obama, Which of These People Don't Deserve Health Care?"

That's not a substantive discussion of the issue, that's negative politics. Call it "dirty", "negative", "nasty"... You're arguing semantics. You're interpreting one word as "sexist" rather than arguing about the substance: what was said that led to its use.

Caucuses, FL/MI: The time to raise these points is before the contest, not after the rules have been set. Obama won under the rules that were set. Arguing about what could have been doesn't make any sense nor is it a particularly wise use of time.

In the end, you'll have plenty of people who will agree with you that Hillary is the better candidate. Stating that Obama supporters should concede that they beat the better candidate isn't realistic or even logical.


by TCQuad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:56:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)


The blunt reality is that most Obama supporters have decided they are 99% right in their interpretation of things.  Because to be wrong about him and their party line on Clinton and the process is to be terribly and awfully and deeply wrong, to have been grossly wrong on the historical and moral premises of things.

There's an effect resembling that of Bush voters in November/December 2004 going on.  Swing voters who voted Bush famously told pollsters and exit interviewers one excuse after another for voting against Kerry that they heard in the media- despite admitting almost immediately that each of the slurs on Kerry had no real substance to them at bottom.  In fact, Bush was generally guilty of many of the charges leveled against Kerry.

The pollster conclusion was that these people had decided to vote for Bush out of desire to change little- i.e. deep personal-level fear of deep change, feeling the instability of the present condition.  And a sense that they were actually doing quite well individually despite the general sense of a reality of collective misery in the making.  So, all the wrongs of the present had to be projected on the candidate who represented dangerous levels of change, who was telling them (as gently as he could) that as a country we couldn't afford to keep sleepwalking in illusions.

It's wry fun to watch Obama supporters say they're 'change', and the next moment they cheer more endorsements by conventional Party establishment, especially the moderate/conservative part.  They keep on talking about 'hope', and it's an endless revisionism of the Nineties, exaggeration and demonization of what Clinton does, and ahistorical retroactive black/white judgmentalism.  It's a blocking out of things.  It's talking being radical but the facts are being tied to moderate or center establishment at best.  It's militant moderate-Leftism pretending to be more than it really is.


by killjoy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:20:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

The blunt reality is that most Obama supporters have decided they are 99% right in their interpretation of things.  Because to be wrong about him and their party line on Clinton and the process is to be terribly and awfully and deeply wrong, to have been grossly wrong on the historical and moral premises of things.

Just insert Hillary instead of Obama and it would be true.


by Destiny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:43:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

This makes absolutely zero sense (none / 0)

The candidate that is funded mostly from small donors, the one that has rejected lobbyists and is implementing a 50 state strategy, the one who has rejected membership in the DLC while being criticized for having too short a history in Washington... this is somehow the 'establishment candidate'?

Does rain fall up in your world?


by protothad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:39:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: This makes absolutely zero sense (none / 0)


Have you ever looked at the full list of prominent endorsers of Obama?  Does the word "Blue Dog" mean anything to you?  Are all the many parallels to Jimmy Carter's campaign and supporters and mantras completely invisible to you?

Carter was also merely a governor from Georgia, an "outsider".  But the Southern Democratic establishment decided he was their guy.

You can pretend that Obama won all those caucuses by high margins and got e.g. the Texas ones completely skewed in his favor by idealism.  Or you can look at the superdelegates and endorsers and caucuses and see that the establishments in all those Red State state parties organized to help him as much as possible.  You can pretend to yourself that they- the most conservative establishments of the Party- favor him because he's the more liberal of the two.  

You can actually look below the good-sounding but superficial criteria you've set for yourself.  If you dare, which you apparently don't.


by killjoy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:16:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: This makes absolutely zero sense (none / 0)

I'm a bit late on answering this because I've been a bit busy traveling for work the past few days, but on the off chance you check back I'll answer anyway.

I don't see how the endorsements support the argument that Obama is the establishment candidate.  Early on Clinton racked up the most endorsements.  It was not until Obama pulled ahead in pledged delegates (selected by voters) that super delegates and other endorsements began moving his direction.  This is rather normal; politicians interested in their own election will rally to the candidate that appears to help their down-ticket chances whether an establishment candidate or not.  Even now when Obama has pulled ahead in SD endorsements, its mainly from down-ticket candidates looking after their own chances.  Clinton still leads in endorsement from fellow DLC members.

Just because local party machinery is rallying behind the emerging front-runner does not make that person the establishment candidate.  An establishment candidate, in my opinion, is the one who can leverages his or her many years of service and relationships with other party leaders to gain endorsements and support.  The establishment candidate is often the early favorite for that reason.

Perhaps we are just working with different definitions of 'establishment' candidate.  To be fair, I don't consider Obama some sort of complete outsider or an insurgent candidate by any stretch.  He has spent time in Washington and has used it to to build alliances.  I just consider him less of an establishment player than Clinton, particularly with Clinton's prominent roll in the DLC.

Its been fun chatting about this.

Peace


by protothad on Mon May 19, 2008 at 02:17:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 4)

"Obamacons have a certain perception that I believe is not true"

I am not an "Obamacon." I don't know what an Obamacon is. Is it like a neo-con, or does the name mean a con job by Obama? Is it the opposite of a Clintoncon?

I support Obama, but I do not believe he was always destined to win. The campaign is where it is because of choices made on both sides, and by 3rd parties.

Obama more inherited Caucuses and Michigan-Florida debacles than he created them. I freely admit, if things had been different in the past, they would be different in present.

I can imagine 100 ways Obama could've lost this nomination in the past, or that Clinton could've won it.


McCainuire, The Wrath Of Not Enough Naps.
by catilinus on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:36:08 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 3)

I think that's the beginning of seeing each other as allies.  Thanks for that, cat.  We don't have to agree he's superior in every way to give each other support in the GE.  We can agree to disagree and move on.  I'd like that.  

I changed the 'obamacons' reference.  I assumed it was sort of like 'Hilliarites' on our side.  I'm not offended by that term, so I didn't think it would create a reaction.  I see that it does, and that wasn't the point of this diary so it's 'Obama supporters' now.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:38:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (none / 0)

I thought that Obamacons are republicans who voted for Obama in the primary?  


by colebiancardi on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:39:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Obamacans.


Hooray for John McCain!
by ragekage on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:42:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (none / 0)

I first encountered Obamacon to refer to conservatives (even those who have left the Republican party out of disgust) who came across to support Obama.

I've also seen it used to describe his supporters as people who have bought into the "Obama con".


by TCQuad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:02:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Honestly (2.00 / 4)


   it's what a frontrunner always does. Kerry did the same thing to Edwards in 2004, he largely ignored him...only debated him one time before those Super Tuesday contests.

 After NH, Gore simply ignored Bradley.

 It's not arrogance, it's political strategy. Clinton played that card when she thought she was going to be the nominee. She didn't work hard, she didn't fight for it. She didn't build a grassroots movement, she didn't put a team on the ground EVERYWHERE. She relied on money and big names.

  She had a perfect right to do that, but it backfired.

  What Obama is doing is not arrogance. It's simply political strategy. He's the obvious frontrunner, and he's acting that way. Same as Clinton when she was the obvious.

  I appreciate you trying to have a serious discussion and will gladly respond. As long as no Kool-Aid or cultist comments come my way, which they do far too often on this site.


by southernman on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:37:07 PM EST

Re: Honestly (2.00 / 1)

I think that it's hard to draw the parellel between Edwards and Kerry or any other contest in the recent past because the support is pretty close to evenly divided.  

It may not be arrogance, I just perceive it that way.  It's hard to shake perceptions.  And it's hard for someone to say they've won before it's easily admitable.  We haven't given up hope yet.  For Edwards, it was easier to admit when he dropped out that he wasn't going to win because he was getting such bad percentages.  This is different.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:41:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Every situation (2.00 / 3)


   is different in politics, but reality's are often the same. Obama's strategy simply smacks of a frontrunner's strategy. You call it arrogance, others call it confidence, still others call it far-sighted.

  Hillary did the same things when she was the frontrunner. As did Kerry 4 years ago, especially with Dean, but also with Edwards.

  You are right, the support is much more even today. But for Obama to continue to challenge Hillary, he then gives credence to the arguments that the nomination is still in jeopardy. It's not, unless it's taken from him. And if it's taken from him, that's not something he can change by continuing to challenge Hillary rather than McCain.

  I can see why it looks arrogant at first. But it's no different from any frontrunner strategy I've ever seen, for any race. Including earlier in this one when Hillary was the clear favorite.


by southernman on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:48:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Ok just vote against Obama (none / 0)

I am sure your heart is heavy but try leaving your computer OFF! Just turn off the computer and go read a book or something. Maybe you can go to the beach its getting warm, or at least to listen to the soothing sounds of the ocean. Honestly, if the comments are whats getting in your way then just log off for a  month and it will all be fine. Thats my advice. Oh yeah its ok to vote for McCain if you think he is the better canidate. This is a democracy and if you think McCain's plans for America are better than Obama's you dont need the support of an Obama supporter to make up your mind about that. If your still upset about the campaigns fairness to Clinton let me remind you this is POLITICS. When your not liked by people they are not nice to you. Someone was probally pissing people off over the years and had some hard core enemies. Thats life, not yours but hers. She made her bed played her cards and lost. Accept as Biden, Dodd, Richards, Edwards, Kucinich, Gravel, Supporters did. Your not first your not the last and they got treated way worse than Clinton and many had more experience.


by edtastic on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:39:48 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obamacons just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Why can't you guys stop telling us to "admit" things we don't agree with.

The media has overplayed racism and underplayed sexism.

No, I don't think it has. I think sexism exists, but I don't think it was a big factor in the Dem primaries, though it might have been in the GE. In every state more women voted than men. Being a women helped Hillary in the primaries, in my opinion. Sure, the media talked about racism, which I believe was a significant factor in some states. But guess what, they also talked a lot about the black vote as if it was a given for Obama. They did not talk about men being sexist, but they also did not talk about how women would naturally rally around Hillary because, well, in a lot of places they didn't.
And yes, a nasty campaign is nasty no matter the gender of the candidate.

Caucuses: We will over and over again admit that Obama had the advantage here. Because he played the game right! His campaign did not give up on these states and organized. This isn't about the demographics, its about the fact that Clinton stupidly conceded caucuses. So instead of realizing that her losses were due to poor campaign organization, you call them undemocratic and unfair. Cry me a river.

Florida and Michigan. Had all been fair in these states, Obama would have done much better. Hillary would probably still have won FL and maybe MI, but Obama would still be close enough that he would still have about a 100 pledged delegate lead.

I'm glad you are in what I believe is the vast majority of Clinton supporters that will support the nominee. But please, stop insulting us. I really do disagree with you on these points. I haven't been pretending to just for the sake of winning. Please respect that us Obama supporters have a different opinion than you.


democracy!
by BlueGAinDC on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:41:49 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Here's why I won't "admit it": Both campaigns have known that things were going to be this way since last January.  Both campaigns knew that there were going to be caucuses; both campaigns knew going in how they were going to be portrayed by the media if they took certain actions.  By the fall, both campaigns also knew that MI and FL were going to move their primary dates up and as a result weren't going to get any delegates.

Barack Obama and his campaign planned for caucuses, planned to counteract certain media messages about him, planned to play on the playing field as it's laid out.  Hillary Clinton and her campaign ignored caucuses almost entirely, with very few exceptions played into a lot of the media narrative about her, and when things didn't work out on the playing field as it was tried to retroactively change the rules.

Had the rules been different, there's little doubt in my mind that the Obama campaign would have adapted to the situation and operated according to different strategies; they've demonstrated throughout this campaign that they are more than capable of thinking ahead and tailoring their campaign to the situation on the ground.  I very much doubt that we would have seen the same strategic flexibility from the Clinton campaign, who up until last month seemed stuck in a particular paradigm and unable to get out of it.


Join the Matthew 25 Network and help Democrats win the next generation of evangelicals.
by mistersite on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:42:41 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

possibly.  Yes they both knew.  In order for your candidate to be 'right' does he have to hypothetically win every possible scenario?  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:49:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

I honestly don't know if he would hypothetically win every scenario; it would seem to me that there are certainly ways in which the calendar could have been set up in order to make it more difficult for him to win.

However, there are also things that could have happened that would have made it easier for him to win; the Republicans back in 2000 proposed a primary calendar that would go from the smallest states to the largest (a plan that was ix-nayed by the Bush wing), which I think would have made Obama, and maybe Edwards, even stronger.

Nevertheless, I think Obama's campaign clearly did a better job of planning their campaign for conditions as they existed, and have demonstrated the kind of strategic flexibility that makes me confident that they would have at least contended under any conceivable scenario.  Whether they would win would depend on a number of factors that simply can't be taken into account in a hypothetical experiment.


Join the Matthew 25 Network and help Democrats win the next generation of evangelicals.
by mistersite on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:55:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I believe that there are so many variables (2.00 / 4)

That would have swung this contest:

1.  If the Media had taken Edwards seriously he may have stayed in a lot longer.  He would have taken from both candidates and IMHO Clinton would have been the eventual winner.

2.  If Florida and Michigan hadn't moved up their primaries, then both would have happened later in the cycle.  Obama would have likely taken Michigan and Clinton definitely would have taken Florida.  Without doing the math, I am not sure this would have seriously changed the contest except it might not have dragged on as long.

Now, I was an Edwards supporter who really didn't have a dog in the hunt for the quite a while.  I have always thought that Obama and Clinton platforms were 95 percent the same, which is why I don't get why everyone is so het up.


accepting McLettuce is like being 9 years old and forced to eat your own cooking
by Sychotic1 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:44:24 PM EST

Re: I believe that there are so many variables (2.00 / 1)

I also thought this, to be honest.  The sexism and Hillary-hate on the dailykos brought me over to her side.  And then once on her side, I started seeing how much better her policies were than Obama's on a certain level.  

I know a lot of Edwards supporters also went to Obama.  Sounds like you didn't fall for either of the others.  I understand how that could happen.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:51:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Ughhh...John Kerry (2.00 / 4)

Ouch! Please stop saying "Kerry." He's one of my senators, and I still knew he was a horrible choice for a presidential candidate. He's just not a good campaigner.

I agree with southernman that Obama is acting like the frontrunner. That is what politicians do.

I think we are seeing the real Obama come out - a smart, tough politician, not the Chosen One. It's going to be interesting in November. Will any Obama believers feel betrayed when the Republicans come on full force and Obama responds in kind?

I still sent Hillary some more $$ - still love her best!


by VegMom on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:45:45 PM EST

Re: Ughhh...John Kerry (2.00 / 4)

Will any Obama believers feel betrayed when the Republicans come on full force and Obama responds in kind?

Speaking as an Obama supporter who's been with him from the beginning, I absolutely love that he hits back.  The reason I love it is because 99% of the time it's on the issues.  Look at this week's events for an example; Bush goes after Obama on the floor of a foreign state's legislature, and Obama hits him and McSame on the war.  Winner: Obama.

I don't have a problem with contrast or even attacks.  I have a problem with bad contrasts and irrelevant attacks.  The "new politics" isn't all kumbayah; it's a willingness to be honest about our similarities and our differences.


Join the Matthew 25 Network and help Democrats win the next generation of evangelicals.
by mistersite on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:50:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Let's Move On (2.00 / 2)

..it's too bad that most of the good thoughts contained in this diary have been subordinated to the "Obamacon" flap. Thanks for changing the title so that the conversation you intended might proceed.

I would like to focus in on your final comments - "how much of this is about winning?" I truly believe that Obama supporters have been missing the mark by focusing in on technicalities as if this were a game. It has also been disconcerting to see the Obama crowd spin the "presumptive nominee" stuff even though all states have not had their primaries and the votes and delegate counts remain very close.  

If it weren't for over-sized egos exercised some 10-15 years ago, the Clinton's wouldn't be fighting so hard to win their delegate majority today. Having said that, I put my money on their experience and wisdom from these very lessons, which Barack Obama still has in front of him. Why should we subject our country to the distraction of educating another non-Washington insider? I say that we do not have the luxury of time to do that.


by pan230oh on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:48:13 PM EST

Re: Let's Move On (none / 0)

Why should we subject our country to the distraction of educating another non-Washington insider?

Because Washington insiders have been a major problem for too long.

The reason "change" has been the fundamental message of the '08 campaign is because people are tired of hearing the same talking points echoed constantly. The insiders generate false controversy, simplify complex issues into 10 second sound bites and ignore substantial issues because they don't believe the American people would understand or would care about the subtle nuances of the real world.

I'll take a non-insider any day, as long as that person is intelligent, capable and willing to talk to the American public like they're adults.


by TCQuad on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:17:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Let's Move On (1.00 / 2)

so a chicago political insider is better?


by swissffun on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:36:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Okay (2.00 / 2)

1) there have been rough patches in the media for the both of them, claiming otherwise is ridiculous. This primary is not about who can cry racism or sexism the loudest.

2) I have no idea what the demographics of caucuses are because only two have entrance polls - Nevada and Iowa. They have advantages and disadvantages and primarily benefit small states with republican majorities (what with the activism involved - and activists are no bad thing, they are absolutely required for the Democratic party). Regardless, they shouldn't be dismissed half way though the cycle because your candidate didn't do well in them. Take it up after the convention. And yes, the rules do need to be straightened out so this ridiculous situation doesn't happen again. Perhaps universal primaries with identical rules with regards to who can vote (open or closed) and a reduction in superdelegates (or give them all half a vote).

Oh, and it is fairly well documented that Obama was organising in small Feb 5th states long before Hillary, which accounts for his victory on Super Tuesday.

3) If Michigan and Florida had stuck to the rules then I would predict a tie or an Obama win in Michigan and a fair win for Hillary in Florida (5-10 points). Enough to have made a difference? Not really, but as long as they are unresolved Hillary can argue to continue on and increase any resentment within those states.


by grass on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:49:35 PM EST

Since you are asking in earnest. (2.00 / 2)

I will try to answer you questions thoughtfully and sincerely.

1. Yes we think Obama is superior because we chose him. Just as people voting for Senator Clinton chose her for varying reasons, the same goes for us..for me..policies and consistency meant the difference.

2. Of course we want you to come to our side, given the fact that it is all but certain he will be the candidate, we realize the biggest threat to losing is not McCain, but ourselves. Unfortunately us Democrats are most notorious for shooting ourselves in the foot....we cant seem to count on each other to do what is best for the party and country all the time.

3.I disagree on your Obama arrogance or sexist statement.  Obama knows he has to show that he is confident and can fight McCain, also he knows this thing is basically locked and he needs to start addressing McCain now.  Obama has shown no signs of being a sexist, I heard the sweetie remark, but come on, you could read his body language and realize he was not trying to belittle anyone.

4. You think Clinton is the most electable and best candidate and I think Obama is...who is right and who is wrong.  What you think is your truth and what I thing is mine. It is not your place to appease me if my candidate is losing nor is it my place to do it for you.

5. For the first time ever in my adult voting life, I am seeing people speak out about the way we nominate our candidate (caucuses, delegates, supers delegates, penalties, blah blah) While I can certainly agree that there may be better ways and policies that should be discussed and maybe changed, in the middle or end of a election cycle is not the time to do so.  Also it should be pointed out that Jimmy Carter, Al Gore, Bill Clinton, John Kerry and others went through the same exact process...if we hate the process so much and it is so undemocratic why have we not changed it or discussed it before now, just like nobody was discussing MI and Florida DNC penalties until after super tuesday....be honest, does this really hold as credible at this moment in time...not to me and many others...in fact in our eyes it reeks of deception.  Change them if we must or need to but wait until after the election.

6. The media has taken turns assassinating both candidates...being objective as I possibly can be, I see where they have been overly unkind to Senator Clinton at times and I have seen them do the same with Senator Obama.  

If I missed anything...let me know and I will be glad to answer you on any topic as honest as I can.


by netgui68 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:54:04 PM EST

ok... i'll bite (none / 0)

1. i think this post would go a lot further without the "obamacons."  

2. i agree that SOME obama supporters should practice more modesty. (again, i think cutting it out with the "obamacons" crap would help).  I also agree that obama's "victory laps" (though this is a phrase i have seen used by the media, not necessarily by the obama campaign) does come off as arrogant.  especially before the meeting of the rules and bylaws committee at the end of the month.  truthfully, the only thing i can say with certainty about the required delegate count is that it won't be 2025, and it won't be 2209...

3.I agree that the media has played up the racism and played down the sexism. i believe that this is because the racism angle is more sensationalist or sexy; it sells better.  i agree that this in and of it's self is indicative of pervasive sexism in our society.  but the blame for this falls on the media, not on obama or his campaign.

4. i have never participated in a caucus and i agree that they are flawed and somewhat outdated.  i agree that perhaps caucuses have favored obama.  but i think to be honest one needs to question why exactly was it such an advantage? i also feel that the circumstances of the race would be different if clinton did not underestimate them so terribly.  that was the job of her campaign and they failed.

5. i agree that things would perhaps be different if florida and michigan had not been so monumentally screwed up.  but also, one needs to ponder the potential differences that would result if these states had not broken the rules and kept their primaries until after super tuesday:  both candidates would have had an opportunity to campaign and the voters in these states would have seen obama's early victories and could assess him as a viable candidate, which was still a persistent question in january.  there IS a reason  that we try to avoid front loading the calender with huge states.

6. so there it is.  my best attempt at an ego free response to your diary.  i hope it helps.


by elie on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:56:55 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Except for Obamacons I can deal with the vibe of this diary. I get it that people are bummed and hurt and don't want to get their faces rubbed in it. I think most Obama supporters here are being pretty even handed though.


by wasder on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:58:52 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

Can Obama supporters admit that caucuses favored their candidate in ways that might not have happened if there were primaries?  No it wasn't simply that he was a better campaigner.

Can you admit that it's both?  If you're going to do battle in a contest, you should do battle by the rules of that contest.  Obama's demonstrated that he's capable of winning the Democratic nomination by doing the things that secure the nomination.  That includes both primaries and caucuses.  If Clinton were better at winning these contests, she'd be ahead in the pledged delegate count.  She's not.

We can argue about whether that's good or bad, and we can argue about whether or not it's fair but no election is actually fair in any true sense.  Elections are games, and when it comes to the general election, I want the person leading my party to be the one who's shown the most flexibility, the most creativeness and most importantly, the strongest ability to win elections.  So far, Obama's demonstrated his ability to do these things.  Clinton hasn't.  She's run a good campaign.  She just hasn't run an extraordinary campaign.

I, too, started off with Edwards.  I volunteered for his campaign and we lost in New Hampshire, badly.  I still admire the guy, but he ran a poor campaign.  He didn't earn the nomination and though it saddens me, I'm okay with that.

Clinton spent a good deal of her time as a candidate discussing how it was a race for delegates and how, at the end of the day, that's all that matters.  When she thought that she could win by superdelegate edict, that was good for her.  Now that she's losing that battle, too, it's no longer fair and it's all about the rights of the people.  

Sorry: Rachel Maddow has it right.  It's like you're playing a game with someone who loses and then says "best 2 out of 3" and then, when she loses again, says "best 3 out of 5" and just keeps going.  

Obama as our nominee was never inevitable, but he's won this contest, and unless something ridiculous happens between now and the convention, he's our nominee and, most importantly, whether you like it or not, he's earned it.


I'm only a click away
by juliewolf on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:06:28 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 3)

Great diary. I disagree with many if not most of your points, but I think that you laid out your argument in a way that is conducive to civil discourse.

I agree regarding sexism in the media. I think certain pundits said gender insensitive things and then ignored the issues of sexism in their coverage. However, I also think that the media played a role in promoting racial divides by constantly insisting that Obama has a "white-voter problem" or that Clinton has a "black-voter problem".

Regarding the caucus and primary systems as well as Michigan/Florida, I feel that both campaigns knew beforehand what the rules were going to be and therefore molded their campaigns around these rules. Hillary Clinton thought that focusing on big states, combined with her familiarity among superdelegates, would net her enough delegates to win the nomination. Barack Obama saw that grassroots activism could help him win smaller states by large margins to get him the necessary delegates. Both campaigns knew that Michigan and Florida were off the table because they violated DNC rules. If both campaigns agree on a method of sitting those states' delegates, then so be it, but let's keep in mind that the Michigan/Florida state parties screwed voters over, not the DNC or either campaign. Whatever happens, we need to remember that both campaigns organized in the way that they felt would win their respective candidates the nomination. Obama's strategy so far has proved to be better. He played by the rules and his victories have been legitimate.


by chicagovigilante on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:07:08 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (none / 0)

You say that everyone on Wisconsin Radio said HRC ran a nasty campaign. Then you wonder if "nasty" has the same connotation for a male in politics. The word "nasty" is a nice word compared to what they would've used in a male vs. male campaign. The male vs. male term is "dirty" so I think HRC got off a little easy in Wisconsin, maybe the sexism worked in reverse here.


John McCain: Everyones nowhere man
by johnny sexton on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:07:10 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

We could debate forever (and have done so in fact) about who is the superior candidate.  What is not a matter of debate is who had the superior campaign.  The people who would do the best job of all as president could never be elected (and in fact would never run).  We need to find someone who will do a good job and run a campaign good enough to get elected.

Caucuses stink - no argument there.  Until this year, they favored the establishment candidate because of the built-in organization that comes from that.  Clinton did reasonably well in the caucus states in which she competed (Iowa, Nevada).  Obama's campaign was superior in that he competed in all the caucus states and created the organization needed to do well.

If Florida and Michigan were fair elections, I don't think they would end up making much difference.  Michigan would be well-suited for Obama, with a reasonably high African-American population and no Appalachian influence.  It would look quite different from Ohio.  Clinton would still win in Florida, but most likely by single digits if there was campaigning allowed.


by CA Pol Junkie on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:11:41 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

rec'd thanks for the honest discussion.  You're right.  There is a difference between the better candidate vs the better campaigner.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:15:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

An Honest response (2.00 / 3)

I don't believe that Obama is being arrogant.  I think he realizes that his time is better served taking down the real enemy - McCain.  Continuing to waste valuable resources  against a fellow democrat (and maybe running mate) when the race is over (my opinion not fact) is not a good idea.

I think the media has been harder on racism and than sexism because the racism has been more transparent.  I am not saying that sexism isn't happening only that the people doing it are better at it than the people who are race-baiting.  That doesn't make either okay.  It is easier for the media to play obvious clips than to try to explain innuendo.

Caucuses only favored Obama because HRC ceded those states to him.  She didn't even try.  If her campaign had played smarter and spread out their vast resources to these places, she would have done much better.  The caucus system did not screw Hillary, Mark Penn's total idiocy did.  I would imagine that even ardent HRC supporters think Penn  ruined her chances.

As for Michigan and Florida:  I would be happy to admit that had their original primaries mattered things would look differently.  In my opinion, Obama's victory would be more concrete at this point.  The race-baiting had already started in NH so the african american community would have come out in large numbers to vote BHO in Michigan.  The margins would not have been as large as later states but they would have made him very competitive.  If Florida mattered, all three candidates would have spent a great deal of time there.  Obama would have increased his popularity there as he has done in every state he visits.  He still would have lost but not by the current and disputable margin on the books.


McCain = bad Obama = good
by CAchemist on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:12:25 PM EST

I pretty much agree with your sentiments. (2.00 / 2)


by netgui68 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:17:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 2)

Being as constructive as possible, there's a fundamental problem with the idea being put forward in this diary. There's a world of difference between "let me mourn my loss and and be polite" (which I think the vast majority of Obama supporters are doing) and the idea being put forward here, which is that we are somehow being insulting and disrespectful for responding in any way at all to attacks against the presumptive Democratic nominee.

I may be wrong, but when I see the list from the diary being put forward in discussions here it isn't being put forward as part of the mourning process. It's being said as sincere and whole hearted efforts to delegitimized the nomination process and as much as I respect Sen. Clinton's supporters right to vent it does need to be debunked.

When I see diary after diary praising a group being formed in swing states to actively try and stop Sen. Obama from being elected because of perceived sexism against Sen. Clinton, I have to speak out. When I see people touting a popular vote that ignores the fact two of the votes being counted are illegitimate (one of which Obama wasn't even on the ballot for) and discounting another 4 states for the express purpose of saying whatever happens Sen. Clinton is the only valid choice for the nominee, I have to speak out. When I see people claiming that 15 of our primaries are illegitimate because Sen. Clinton ignored them and has had to downplay them to stay competitive, I have to speak out.

As much as I respect your right to vent, we need to think about tomorrow as much as today. Every time Jerome or a diary attacks Obama or the process that got us here, someone's attitude hardens for the general. There comes a time where the benefits of politely biting your tongue while this site vents is outweighed by the damage being down later down the line.

I fully respect Sen. Clinton was your first choice and there is much to praise about her. I don't accept the idea that in order to do that I need to allow you to trash the presumptive Democratic nominee and the process that got us here.


by werehippy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:15:00 PM EST

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

I'm sorry if you feel I was trashing him.  I'm not trying to trash him.  What I'm responding to is the idea that Obama supporters seem to want us to fight with them for Obama but also want us to admit that he's superior.  This is just my impression and I react to it adversely.  

I thought I'd work it out in a diary.  As I said, I'm bracing myself for an Obama nomination.  I am not part of these groups you mention who are trying to elect McCain.  I'm just me trying to get my head around all that's happened during this campaign.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:19:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why don't Obama supporters just admit it? (2.00 / 1)

And I'm sorry if I gave you the impression I was calling you out. This is certainly one of the more even handed diaries, and I have absolutely nothing to say against you working out your feelings here among the community.

I was speaking to the general state of things here. The Obama supporters won't let comments about Sen. Clinton leading in the popular vote, caucuses being undemocratic, and so on go by without response not because we want to pick fights or rub it in the face of Sen. Clinton's supporters, but because what we see here gives the clear impression that a large number, if not most of, the people making those arguments are gearing up to damage Obama in the general election.


by werehippy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:36:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Responding to your points, solidarity...... (2.00 / 2)

First, overriding everything else is the point that Obama won a fair fight.  The delegate selection process and rules in state after state were transparent, and Hillary had access to all the same information as Obama.  Hillary just lost.  It doesn't mean anything that some states had caucuses; it's simply every candidate's responsibility to prepare for that.  That Hillary fared worse is her own fault.  Hillary was the overwhelming favorite and blew it with bad decisions, both on the macro strategic level and on the micro level.

Being the big college football and college basketball fan that I am, I find myself coming back repeatedly to football and basketball analogies.  Hillary essentially was a huge favorite who just didn't show up ready to play.  She loses in an upset in a close game, and her fans essentially point to so many excuses, a bad call by the refs here or an uncharacteristic missed open jumper there, as responsible for the defeat, and complain they're still the better team.  But in the end all of that is nothing but sour grapes.  What matters is you prove you're better in the actual game and not just SAY you are, and one team showed up prepared and ready to go, and the other didn't.  So yes, Obama was superior when it mattered:  game time.  He ran a superior campaign, period.  Is he a superior nominee for the fall?  Obviously Democrats are deeply split on that question or this thing would have been long since over.  We're not going to change each other's minds in just the next few weeks, that's for sure, and maybe never.

Hillary made the same mistakes in state after state after state, much like a team of talented players who just keep losing and losing and losing because of bad coaching and lack of fundamentals and failing to come together as a team and failing simply to get their heads out of their asses.

Hillary could have won and been the nominee simply by being prepared for all those states, not just a few.  I really believe that.  It still would have been drawn out because Obama still would have the same loyal base and the same money, and it would have remained somewhat close.  But he still could have lost fair and square, and all but a few of us--even most black Democrats--would have been fine with that and rallied around Hillary.

The bottom line:  I can agree to disagree with Hillary supporters on who has a better chance of winning in November, and on who ultimately would be a better President.  But it WAS a fair fight, that's just the truth.  The voters have spoken.


by DCCyclone on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:15:16 PM EST

Perhaps the reason all the media in Wisconsin (none / 0)

were accusing Clinton of running a nasty campaign is b/c she WAS.

Why can't you just admit THAT???


by Deano963 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:17:01 PM EST

Re: Perhaps the reason all the media in Wisconsin (none / 0)

I saw 'nastiness' on both sides.  I don't think it was fair for Obama to talk about Hillary's health care plan as 'forcing you to pay for it even if you can't afford it'.  

I don't think using Krugman's article in the way that he did (quoting what Krugman said about McCain as against Hillary) was any better.  

So I can admit that they both did but Hillary got most of the negative attention.  It didn't help the discourse at all to only talk about it as negative without an honest discussion about what the true differences were.  


by searchforsolidarity on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:22:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

May I ask? (none / 0)

How pointing out that under Hillary's health care plan that had legally binding mandates would essentially be forcing people to pay for it whether they could financially afford it or not is being nasty.  I thought it was discussing policy.  Personally I am not for mandating it legally if you do not put caps in there in ratio to your income...Reason...it could be a huge corporate giveaway if they have legal rights to financially rape you...I saw this happen in my state when auto insurance became mandated...rates have risen over 48% just because they could...any ways...I would love to understand how you view this as being an attack on the person.


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