Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky

Hillary Clinton held an event in Frankfort, Kentucky today and, according to CNN, intends to be there tomorrow and Monday as well, perhaps event through election day on Tuesday.

More from The Swamp:

[T]here will be no head-to-head combat before Tuesday's voting deadline in Oregon's vote-by-mail primary. After dropping in for a day of made-for-TV campaigning, Clinton scrapped her Saturday plans here and headed for Kentucky, which also votes Tuesday. That leaves Barack Obama alone in this state all weekend, starting today with a rally in the Southern Oregon town of Roseburg, and continuing tomorrow in Portland and rodeo hub Pendleton.

Say what you will about Clinton's schedule, but know this: Some of her allies say privately it's not close to the full-court press she would need to upset Obama in Oregon.

While, as Poblano notes, both Survey USA and ARG have the race in Oregon dead even among voters who say they have already cast ballots by mail, RCP gives Barack Obama a 14 point lead there.

Clearly the Clinton campaign thinks there's no catching Obama in Oregon and instead has decided to let Tuesday play out as expected -- 1 win apiece -- but hopefully exceed expectations in Kentucky as she did in West Virginia last week, exploit the "he's ignoring Kentucky" factor and try to come out of Tuesday with a gain in the popular vote.



Display:


Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 4)

How, pray tell, does she exploit the "he's ignoring Kentucky factor" by ignoring hard-working white voters in Oregon?


by DeskHack on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:44:03 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 4)

Just checked census figures - both states are 90% whites - a good "natural experiment" for the claim that Obama can't get votes from white voters.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:46:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

my white voters are better than your white voters (2.00 / 4)

I hope we don't see anymore of that.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:57:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Please. (none / 0)

White voters from Oregon drink latte's (sometimes with soy milk!)
White voters from Kentucky drink a cup of regular old Joe.
None of that fancy schmancy expresso garbage for them.
Ergo. Kentucky voters keeping it real.
Real White Voters. Who count.
Oregon voters are elitist pansies who can't keep it real.
She wins again! Gane Changer!!!!!!!!!!
I support our nominee President Barack Obama - and the Admins can't stand me, so I can't rec or rate. This is very mean if you were to ask me.
by TheFullBerry on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:12:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Please. (none / 0)

Snark?  I hope?

Hillary does worse in rural Oregan than urban Oregon.  Interesting, really.  The dairy farmers there prefer the so called "elitist".  Explain that, Hillary supporters!


It profits a PUMA nothing to give their soul for the whole world... but for McCain? --Sir Thomas More (if he were here now)
by LordMike on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:59:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama's really a right wing candidate (1.00 / 1)

and both urban and rural voters are beginning to realize that.

Rural is often more conservative, esp. in eastern Oregon.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 07:37:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary shines on environmental health (none / 0)

Thats an area where she really makes the difference clear. Hillary has years of solid work protecting children and families from hazards in the home and workplace. Obama is a sellout on those kinds of issues. There is no reason to believe he would be any different in the White House.

Obama has been pandering to the nuclear power industry. He has a spotted record on asbestos remediation during his 'urban activist' period.

He's trying to obscure that up now, but actions speak louder than words.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 07:45:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary shines on environmental health (2.00 / 1)

That's interesting, Hillary's best friends forever at Fox News say she's the conservative one, and that  Barack is the bolshevik.

I can't believe that anyone who calls other democrats "elitist latte drinkers" is progressive in any way shape and form.  Those are attacks that would come form Karl Rove's mouth.


It profits a PUMA nothing to give their soul for the whole world... but for McCain? --Sir Thomas More (if he were here now)
by LordMike on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:14:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama not a fighter for environmental health (none / 0)

The environmental health issue is a supremely important one for American families.

We have had an eight year moratorium on scientific progress on issues involving pollutants and workplace safety. Its not at all clear that Obama would represent an improvement.

On the other hand, Hillary has a very good record on environmental health, indoor air quality, lead safety, improving health standards.

Right now the US is becoming a dumping ground for products banned in other countries. Hillary would end that.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:50:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama not a fighter for environmental health (none / 0)

Personally, I'd be happy with her ending her legitimization of Fox News.  Since Fox is no friend to the environment, why she continues to patronize them shows a lack of commitment to this cause.


It profits a PUMA nothing to give their soul for the whole world... but for McCain? --Sir Thomas More (if he were here now)
by LordMike on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:16:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama not a fighter for environmental health (none / 0)

cough, cough

Obama's been on Fox News quite a bit, you know.


by colebiancardi on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:27:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes. Uttter Snark. (2.00 / 2)

Things are pretty bad around here if you think I would call Kentucky white voters REAL WHITE voters. But I completely understand how one could misread that with all the racist garbage being thrown around.


I support our nominee President Barack Obama - and the Admins can't stand me, so I can't rec or rate. This is very mean if you were to ask me.
by TheFullBerry on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:10:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Chicken Sh*t Obama - Afraid of Kentucky (1.27 / 11)

He won't even do a airport flyby?  What gives? Wants to negotiate with our enemies but doesn't have the balls to visit Kentucky or West Virginia. Fine an Dandy.


by minnehot1 on Sat May 17, 2008 at 10:58:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Interesting thing about Clinton supporters. (1.75 / 4)

Many will vehemently denounce sexism, then turn right around and make comments like "Barack doesn't have the balls."


John McCain: He flunked ECON 101.
by Shem on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:09:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (1.80 / 5)

But Oregon hard-working whites are pot-smokin' hippies, whereas Kentucky hard-working whites are whisky-shootin' Real Americans.  It makes all the difference...


Can't rec or rate -- next username, please!
by neeborMolgula on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:02:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

Not sure which state you made sound worse there.


by Bush Bites on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:15:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

SWEETIE-gate will HURT Obama Big in Oregon! (1.00 / 3)

Does Obama think that back to the land types are
gullible? Or that smart Oregon women like hearing women he doesn't know being called "Sweetie"? They DON'T.

Perhaps he thinks he'll do well in OR, but I think he's wrong.

That may not be true. We'll see. I lived in that area once and it was a very progressive place. Obama is light years behind the West Coast.

Sweetiegate, I think, will hurt him a LOT around there. They have no need for Eastern old style paternalistic insider politicians, even if they are half black. The insiders represent a level of corruption and backroom dealings that up until now the West seems to have mostly avoided. They don't want to start.

By all accounts, Obama is the insiders insider.

I thought Harpers said it the best with this.
http://www.harpers.org/archive/2006/11/0 081275

From "Barack Obama Inc.:
The birth of a Washington machine"

"I recall a remark made by Studs Terkel in 1980, about the liberal Republican John Anderson, who was running as an independent against Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter: "People are so tired of dealing with two-foot midgets, you give them someone two foot four and they start proclaiming him a giant." In the unstinting and unanimous adulation of Barack Obama today, one wonders if a similar dynamic might be at work. If so, his is less a midgetry of character than one dictated by changing context. Gone are the days when, as in the 1970s, the U.S. Senate could comfortably house such men as Fred Harris (from Oklahoma, of all places), who called for the breakup of the oil, steel, and auto industries; as Wisconsin's William Proxmire, who replaced Joe McCarthy in 1957 and survived into the 1980s, a crusader against big banks who neither spent nor raised campaign money; as South Dakota's George McGovern, who favored huge cuts in defense spending and a guaranteed income for all Americans; as Frank Church of Idaho, who led important investigations into CIA and FBI abuses.

Today, money has all but wrung such dissent from the Senate. Campaigns have grown increasingly costly; in 2004 it took an average of more than $7 million to run for a Senate seat. As Carl Wagner, a Democratic political strategist who first came to Washington in 1970, remarked to me, the Senate today is a fundamentally different institution than it was then. "Senators were creatures of their states and reflected the cultures of their states," he said. "Today they are creatures of the people who pay for their multimillion-dollar advertising campaigns. Representative democracy has largely been taken off the table. It's reminiscent of the 1880s and 1890s, when senators were chosen by state legislatures who were owned by the railroads and the banks." Accordingly, as corporate money has grown increasingly important to candidates, we have seen the rise of the smothering K Street culture and the revolving door that feeds it--not just lobbyists themselves but an entire interconnected world of campaign consultants, public-relations agencies, pollsters, and media strategists.

All of this has forged a political culture that is intrinsically hostile to reform. On condition of anonymity, one Washington lobbyist I spoke with was willing to point out the obvious: that big donors would not be helping out Obama if they didn't see him as a "player." The lobbyist added: "What's the dollar value of a starry-eyed idealist?"

Also, Obama's opposition to

FUNCTIONAL universal healthcare
is going to hurt him in Oregon which has a huge number of uninsured people.

People who want universal healthcare, not the price rises
that will come
 from Obama's broken plan. Also, they can't afford to wait till after 2012 for any kind of help.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 08:02:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: SWEETIE-gate will HURT Obama Big in Oregon! (2.00 / 1)

Wow, that's a lot of words!  Not sure how any of them related to the parent post, though.


Can't rec or rate -- next username, please!
by neeborMolgula on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:32:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: SWEETIE-gate will HURT Obama Big in Oregon! (2.00 / 2)

He calls his daughters sweetie too.  I read that in his book.  The pig.


by jimotto on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:29:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Harpers article (none / 0)

Thanks for this link.  I particularly liked reading this article realizing that it was written in Nov, 2006, and thus, cannot be tainted by claims of primary partisanship (okay, around here anything can be tainted by claims of partisanship, LOL).  I found it to be quite balanced in its depiction of Obama's evolution from "starry-eyed idealist" to Washington "player."  The big money system just doesn't allow for outsiders to get as far as Obama's gotten.  He may have started on the outside (as all politicians do), but now he is the insider's darling, truly an "insider's insider."

The way the system works, it's true (or has, at some point, been true) of all successful politicians--the Clintons' included--so how can I have a problem with that?  1) Bashing Clinton as the "insider" and 2) Heralding the "remaking" of the Democratic party.)  Yeah, right...

Watch politics for a few decades, and you'll see there ain't nothing unique about Obama's campaign rhetoric.  Hypocrisy's been around for a long, long time.


by ahw on Sun May 18, 2008 at 02:51:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 2)

Do you have evidence that Oregon whites are really
hard working?
by french imp on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:11:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

YOU try to find work in rural Oregon (none / 0)

you will have to work VERY hard just to do that.

Its beutiful, but good jobs are scarce. Crappy jobs are scarce too.

Its like the rest of America in 10-15 years.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 08:05:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

As long as there are one or more hard-working white in Oregon, and the majority of them have inhaled, my statement is true.

Really, though, "hard-working" is one of those stupid feel-good phrases that politicians have to throw around.  It doesn't actually have any meaning.


Can't rec or rate -- next username, please!
by neeborMolgula on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:34:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Nobody said Obama can't get votes (none / 0)

from white voters. Just that can't get them from a certain "type" of white voter.

And  here it is!


Anybody's vote is worth having. But not everybody's vote is worth campaigning for.
by Freespeechzone on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:42:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 1)

please note that at no time was HRC or her campaign cited as saying that was how they would play it., it was purely Todds speculation. One day it is hoped that more people learn the difference...


by zerosumgame on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:55:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

My understanding is that Oregon will have much higher level of voter turnout, given mail-in ballot, of about 70-75% compared to much lower turnout in Kentucky.  I've seen local media estimating as low as 25% in Kentucky, with wide variation between counties (some expected much higher than 2004, some lower based on absentee ballots).  So, even though HRC will thrash BO in Kentucky, his likely smaller advantage as a % of voting in Oregon may offset much of HRC's potential net gain there.  


by Kensingtonbill on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:40:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

she isn't ignoring Oregon, she's there too.  I'm not sure that it's accurate that she cancelled anything, it's nothing from her campaign. so I don't know what that's based on.  He's actually ignoring Kentucky, he admits it. it's like not studying for an exam and explaining your failure on  not having studied. he says that in response to his humiliating defeat in WV.  He's positioned to spin his loss. hillary, in contrast, is campaigning everywhere, she has a Oregon campaign plan that is about state issues, and she's clear about where she stands on the issues that affect Oregon.  She'll keep showing her momentum and keep increasing her lead in popular votes and it'll go to the convention, and we'll then have the summer to see how Barack stands up to pug attack ads (and how she does too).  It's fun, I think she'll come out the winner, the only way they can end it sooner is to bully her out, and that's been tried, too many times.  Barack will make a huge mistake if he does go to Iowa and proclaim mission accomplished. he's already looking arrogant and game-playing in his eagerness to debate John McCain but he's too cautious about his slim lead to debate Hillary. He's trying to win, and that's how he's playing it.  He gets to pick his own campaign style, but she gets to pick hers too, and she's going for all votes still out there.  Go Hillary!!


Hillary - alternative energy
by anna shane on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:06:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

When will she give her concession speech? (none / 0)

That's all there is left to do for the Clinton camp.

Go ahead and knock yourselves out in KT.

Hope the Clintons don't lose any money on this campaign, they have suffered enough.

Good luck.


We shall overcome. Yes we can.
by Sam Wise Gingy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:27:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When will she give her concession speech? (none / 0)

how rude you are, depressing.  Hope you enjoyed it, I sure didn't.  


Hillary - alternative energy
by anna shane on Sun May 18, 2008 at 07:46:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The sooner Hillary and her supporters face reality (none / 0)

the sooner we can get about the prime objective, beating McCain.

The more whining and moaning you guys do about what should have been, the harder it will be to win in November.


We shall overcome. Yes we can.
by Sam Wise Gingy on Mon May 19, 2008 at 12:44:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When will she give her concession speech? (none / 0)


"More War Years! More War Years!" ~John McCain
by Tommy Flanagan on Mon May 19, 2008 at 12:40:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

I guess after KY and WV Obama can decide if he wants a Democrat on the ticket who does well in Democratic contests in those states.

But would those folks vote for an Obama-Clinton ticket with Obama at the top of the ticket or even the other way around?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:44:55 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 2)

I don't know. I wouldn't write off WV.

Obama got like 29 percent of the Dem vote there and McCain got like 79 percent of the Repub vote there and Obama still got more votes than McCain.


by Bush Bites on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:17:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

Yes, but the republican candidate has already been selected, what's the point of voting in a primary when the outcome is already decided?
This is why I believe we're not hurting our party with this long, long primary. We're getting Democrats all over the US motivated and orgnaized, which will be crucial in the GE.

Only about 20 million votes have been cast on the republican side (showing the declining interest in the Republican candidate), and of that 20 mil, McCain has only garnered just under 9 million. Obama and Clinton have over 16 million each.


"Who are you for? That is the wrong question. It should be who is for you?" HRC
by skohayes on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:02:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 1)

Bill and Chelsea have events all over Oregon though leading up to Tuesday


by rossinatl on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:45:07 PM EST

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

What part of the state?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:47:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

According to Hillaryclinton.com Salem, Ashland, Hood River, and the I have a Dream Project event


by rossinatl on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:54:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 4)

I just went to see Bill and Chelsea in Milwaukie, OR.  They are going to be in Hood River tonight.  I was right up front and it was a really cool speech.  He still has that southern boy charm!


by JustJennifer on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:26:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (1.60 / 5)

Yeah, he can charm the pants off you, and a lot of other people.


by PhilFR on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:38:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 4)

I met him in '91 when he was running for President.  Then I could see the pants coming off charm.  LOL  Now he just seems pretty relaxed and funnny and, for lack of a better word, folksy.  LOL  His speech was peppered with phrases like "forever and a day" and his accent became pretty thick when he really got into the groove. I don't care what anyone says he was a great President and he has done a lot of good since he left office.  Thousands of people's lives are better today because of the work he has done with his foundation.  


by JustJennifer on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:42:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 1)

I guess you've never been on welfare.


by PhilFR on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:57:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 0)

I guess you have never lived in Africa and had AIDS.


by JustJennifer on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:07:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 1)

I guess you aren't one of the 500,000 children who died unnecessarily in Iraq under sanctions.


by letterc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 06:34:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

Ok, so you are saying Bill Clinton was not a good President?  And hey, hmmm.. I guess Sadaam Hussein wasn't responsible for the condition of the people in his country at all, correct?  Iraq was actually an annex of the US and we were 100% responsible for it's citizens?  

Not sayin' Bill Clinton was perfect, but I do believe he has and will continue to do good things in this world.


by JustJennifer on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:49:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

On Bill's legacy (none / 0)

I'd say that Bill ran a fairly competent centrist administration. Perhaps that's "good" in comparison to GWB. But I think the US needs and deserves a different kind of politics than he brought to the job.

As to his foundation work since, from the little I know it sounds interesting and positive.


by PhilFR on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:38:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

I don't disagree that he has and will continue to do good things in the world. I also think he has a massive amount of blood on his hands for spending a long time resisting efforts to design more humane sanctions on Iraq. While we did eventually get Oil for Food during his presidency, the US was a major force in delaying changes to the sanctions regime which killed hundreds of thousands. Once the sanctions regime was modified to allow Iraq to purchase more food, the death rates plummeted, so yes, the US (and Clinton personally) were more responsible for those deaths than Saddam Hussein. Saddam Hussein had plenty of blood on his hands, but  the pre-oil for food sanctions regime killed a comparable number of Iraqi civilians to the Iraq occupation under Bush.


by letterc on Sun May 18, 2008 at 07:27:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

You do realize that Obama has repeatedly expressed his support for the Clinton administration's welfare reform, don't you? (In fact, that's about the only Clinton administration initiative of which he's ever spoken favorably.)

According to The New York Times, Obama claims that welfare "reform" eliminated a divisive force in America.

Before welfare reform, you had, in the minds of most Americans, a stark separation between the deserving working poor and the undeserving welfare poor. What welfare reform did was desegregate those two groups.

http://wwsword.blogspot.com/2008/04/clin ton-obama-and-welfare-reform.html


Fortune strums a mournful tune for those whose campaigns peak too soon. --Bored of the Rings
by Inky on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:48:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (2.00 / 1)

Yes, I do. And I think he's wrong on this.

Your point?


by PhilFR on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:06:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Clinton Going All In In Kentucky (none / 0)

Perhaps I had none. It seemed to me that you, like so many other Obama supporters that I've encountered, were attacking Clinton (in this case Bill) in an attempt to score points for Obama over an issue in which Obama held the exact same position. I see this most often in reference to Hillary's vote on a bill to criminalize flag-burning, a bill in which Obama voted exactly the same way.

I'm glad that I was wrong about your intentions, and I apologize for misreading your comment.


Fortune strums a mournful tune for those whose campaigns peak too soon. --Bored of the Rings
by Inky on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:24:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

They're all far from my ideal (none / 0)

No. The more general point that I'm alluding to here, and have made in other comments, is that none of the people we're talking about here, neither Bill nor Hillary Clinton, nor Barack Obama, and what I would consider 'progressives'.  

I think Obama is the best of the lot, but I think we  who occupy the left flank of the Dem party should kid ourselves. A Dem president coming out of this cycle will be good, and hopefully better than Bill, but far from the prez of my dreams.


by PhilFR on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:30:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Left flank kids [them]selves (none / 0)

ROTFL!! I'm sorry, I know this is a typo (or perhaps a Freudian slip...), but I just spewed my tea reading this:

"I think Obama is the best of the lot, but I think we  who occupy the left flank of the Dem party should kid ourselves."


by ahw on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:02:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bill's in KY by Monday evening (2.00 / 0)

He and Hillary are campaigning together Monday night in Louisville, and I am so going! I can't wait to see them together.


Rules are not necessarily sacred, principles are. - Franklin Delano Roosevelt
by anna belle on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:49:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

I wonder what Sen. Clinton thinks she'll accomplish if, in fact, she's trying to rack up more votes than expected. I know she says she's not a quitter, neither is John Edwards, but he knew he wasn't going to win and accepted that fact graciously. Maybe she's just campaigning to show that she's no quitter with no expectation of anything other than salvaging her legacy but that's not how it's going to be written up in the books so I hope that's not what she's thinking. Perhaps it's just going through the motions. I wonder though what does her camp expect to happen at this point.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sat May 17, 2008 at 08:48:52 PM EST

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 3)

Give me a break, John Edwards was going nowhere while Hillary is running neck to neck with the Obama. Not only that Hillary is doing this with Chris Matthews and the rest of the blo-dry cable queens sniping at her every statment. If we had a truly unbiased media Obama would be toast by now.


by usedmeat on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:23:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

Neck-and-neck ?
Are we even talking about the same people ? NECK AND NECK ?
by Benjaminomeara on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:29:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 5)

She lost 12 contests in a row. That's not neck and neck.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sat May 17, 2008 at 09:39:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

Even to figure out who's one more votes, you have to settle an argument over which states to count (but, if you count every state, she will have won the popular vote when this is over).  I would say that's neck and neck.


by markjay on Sat May 17, 2008 at 10:06:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 2)

If by "settle" you mean decide whether to use one of a dozen sane methods, or pick out the one convoluted one that gives her a slim lead, then I guess you have a point.


by KyleJRM on Sat May 17, 2008 at 10:18:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 2)

The pop vote isn't a relevant measure so it's not neck and neck. If it was she could catch up. But she cant. Anyway, if the pop vote was relevant they'd have campaigned differently. However, if you want to use the "will of the voter" argument then you can't discount the caucuses or people who would have voted for Obama in MI and then she loses the pop vote anyway. If you're not willing to count those then you lose the moral basis of the argument.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:28:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (1.00 / 3)

Who says pop vote isn't relevant?  Sounds a lot more relevant to count actual voted and certified ballots than to count expected delegate votes that won't be cast until August.

People who would have voted for Obama in MI

So now you're claiming imaginary votes, if only he hadn't chickened out to avoid defeat.  
Soup Nazi says: NO VOTES FOR YOU!

***A


by adrienne4dean on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:40:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 2)

A new metric  - Winning the coin toss.

Hillary sets the rules.  Heads I win, Tails you lose.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:59:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Who says? The Clinton camp. The DNC. (2.00 / 1)


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:35:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

Shameless.


by interestedbystander on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:35:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"Obama's Weakening Support" McLaughlin (2.00 / 1)

Russett said after NC and before IN, that he was declaring Obama the nominee and that it was over and indisputable.  

Lawrence O'Donnell said that Hillary's speechh that night was her concession speech but others just didn't know how to read between the lines.

Others were carrying on about how Obama didn't campaign in WV when actually he had sent in double the ground forces Hillary had, spent well over twice as much blanketting the state with ads and opened twice as many campaign headquarters as Hillary.  And that got him 27%, even though he had been annointed for over over a week.

Gloria and others seemed to enjoy discounting the vote because they wer all women, old, conservative,uneducated and poor.  She didn't even read the CNN exit Polls afailable at CNN Election Central for every state.  The exits said that :

58% had college  and voted Hillary 61% - 30
14% had post graduate  - voted Hillary 55 -40
34% were liberal and voted Hillary 67% - 29
13% said very liberal and 72% picked Hillary
45% made over 50,000 and voted Hillary 61% -30
47% male voted Hillary 60% and Obama 30%

Is Clinton Honest? yes 64%  no  34%

Is Obama Honest?  yes 43%  no  55%

18% were Independents - Hillary 54 -32 Obama

Youth 17-29 years voted Hillary 59% - 35% Obama
Age 30-44 voted Hillary 66 - 24 Obama
Age 45-59 voted Hillary 67 - 24 Obama
Age 60 + voted Hillary 71 - 24 Obama

Hillary has been making inroads into Obama's core groups for several primaries, except the Black vote.  She was winning young people of all other races, for instance, and won all youth in California.  She has been getting more male, college, and higher income groups.  The overwhelming solidarity of the Black bloc skews the way the numbers in Obama's core groups in all of the other races.

Now there was some news in those figures. Didn't hear it from the "expert commentators" till John McLaughlin featured what he called "Obama's weakening support"  as shown in the WV primary and other exit polling lately.


by itsadryheat on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:45:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama's voters MISTAKEN on his healthcare position (1.50 / 2)

I think a few of them are starting to realize just HOW wrong they are - and telling others!

Thats Obama's biggest fear. Being unmasked as a phony.


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 08:07:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Amen! (none / 0)


by itsadryheat on Sun May 25, 2008 at 06:02:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

Yep ... and if she anyone BUT Clinton, the establishment, electorate AND media would have demanded her exit after WI ... or losing 11 straight primaries.


'The only people for me are the mad ones, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing ...'
by stryan on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:14:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

I think Kennedy got a lot of goodwill during the tail end of his run against Carter.

He was beat, but he kept going and made a great speech at the convention ("The cause endures, the dream shall never die....").

Reporters even started calling him "Gallant Teddy."

(I know everybody gets in a snit about Kennedy challenging Carter now, but that's the way it was then--everybody knew Carter wasn't going to have a second term. It was just a question of whether Kennedy or Reagan was going to have a first.)


by Bush Bites on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:24:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

I'm not sure "everybody" knew that.  If they did, I'm pretty sure they wouldn't have nominated him again.


by TL on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:27:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

Listen.

If a incumbent president is challenged from within his own party by a serious candidate, you know damn well that a lot of people think he'll be toast in the general.

Which, in fact, turned out to be the case.


by Bush Bites on Sat May 17, 2008 at 11:33:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

Well as Clinton attacked the leader even after it was clear that mathematically it would be near impossible for her to catch up she hasn't generated any goodwill as far as I can tell.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:30:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)


She doesn't have to.  If you see the parallels clearly, they're not 1980.  They're 1976- you have the post-Watergate purity Democrat anointed and constrained (and eventually ruined) by the Southern and union party establishment, versus the moderate Republican despised internally as not a True Believer.

There was a person who came in third in 1976, who won the last couple of primaries and didn't bow out despite narrow mathematical elimination.  He was championed by the hardcore people in his Party, not the suspect and opportunists and moderates.  He took it to the first ballot on the Convention floor.  And in so doing established himself as the preferred candidate of his Party for 1980 after the General election.  He knew the country was trending his way.

The elected fellow- Carter- hit some nasty limits and faded badly- the centrism of the year he was elected didn't last, and neither did the coalition he based his power on.

The candidate who lost at his Party's 1976 Convention after a long primary fight was Ronald Reagan.  He won quite easily in 1980- the 1976 primary positioned him perfectly.


by killjoy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 02:27:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

My God your comparing Ronald Reagan who appealed to democrats, republicans and independents had a natural charisma and boyish charm to Hillary Clinton? Give it up....she is done.....she continues to run out of both foolishness and arrogance. Members of her own party are becoming agitated by her. It is also be said that if she continues this on past June, that she may destroy any hopes for real leadership position in the Senate or the party as leaders turn their back on her.....and by the way her Husband has pretty much ruined his reputation as well with his behavior.


by adb67 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:33:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)


Keep on telling yourself that.  It may be a while, but you and your side will get over the egotistical hysteria and infatuation you're in.

Seriously, you and yours and Obama are in bed with the half of the Party that talks a great game but always disappoints, proves itself hypocrites, and sucks at governing.  A year from now you'll read all the Obama propaganda and admit the intensity of the stupidity and vanity of what you people are saying now.


by killjoy on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:45:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

I'll take that bet.


by interestedbystander on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:39:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (none / 0)

I have no hysteria over Obama. I was a John Edwards guy. Still think he was the best candidate. Clinton is a fraud...elected on the basis that her husband was President....she likes to embrace the god parts of his administration but fails to recall that it was secretive, antagonist towards its enemies...and as we have seen in some cases decietful. No Hillary is politics as usual.....Obama aint perfect but thank goodness he isnt Hillary or McCain....


by adb67 on Sun May 18, 2008 at 05:51:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

Off the top of my head, here are a few:

1) Give everyone a chance to vote for her while she's still actively campaigning.  It'll make it easier for her to get her supporters to be for Obama if she gives it her absolute best shot and gets beat fair and square.  If she quits on them, it'll be that much harder.

2) Burnish her own reputation as a fighter-not-a-quitter.  If she folds her tent now, that can't happen.

3) Amass enough delegate and popular vote strength to go to the convention to convince Obama to either put her on the ticket as the VP or put one of her supporters on it in her place.  Yes, Obama can win outright at the convention but he'd be stupid to ignore the 47% or so of the country who wants Hillary, and hopefully he and his top advisers have better sense than some of his more fanatical and vindictive supporters who not only want Hillary to lose but they want to do a public sack dance and humiliate her (and her supporters) as a bonus.


by beerwulf on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:28:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To what end and what purpose? (2.00 / 1)

If she concedes her supporters won't vote for Obama in Nov? Why not??

Being viewed as a fighter isn't enough to offset the negatives her rep has suffered. Bush is viewed as a fighter but also as irrational and divisive.

I don't know why she'd want VP. He won't let her run around like Bush lets Cheney run around. But maybe that's the plan. That seems to be the most reasonable one. As far as the rest of what you said about fanatical and vindictive, it seems that groups of her voters are actively trying to get McSame elected so they'd be the fanatics and the vindictive ones.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:34:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capable (2.00 / 1)

than him around. Hillary is that person.

Thats unfortunate, because obviously, Obama has a LOT to learn.

If he could 'stoop' to acepting a VP position from Hillary that would be a good way for him to get that experience. Smart people surround themselves with smarter people, they don't try to avoid debates, for example.

Thats a Dead giveaway.

If Obama is the nominee, his chances of winning the GE are slim for the simple reason that alienated a lot of Democrats already as well as alerted the GOP to the fact that he's not good in debates. (Not as bad as Bush, though, so in that we have a plus.)


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Sun May 18, 2008 at 08:18:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (2.00 / 1)

I love the ridiculous idea that the winner of the nomination would somehow decide to be the VP candidate.  It makes me laugh every time I hear it.  It would be like if the Giants after the Super Bowl said, "Hey Patriots, we know we won and all, but we think you might be a better team than us.  How 'bout you take the trophy?"


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 09:35:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

hmmmm....

bad analogy.  Sorry that you don't think that Hillary is on the same team as Obama and would bring all of her voters over.

but hey, if you want to think that people in the same primary are enemies in the GE, go for it


by colebiancardi on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:35:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

Ok, let's put it this way then:

It's like the Patriots saying to the Chargers after winning the AFC title game, "Hey, I know we won the game and all, but we think you match up better with the Giants for the Super Bowl.  Why don't you take this one and we'll wait til next year?"  

Better?


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:38:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

still a bad analogy.

Obama is not offering her the job of President, but the Veep.  It is like the all star games.


by colebiancardi on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:18:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

Ah, I see where the confusion lies.  I'm making fun of people who expect Obama, now that he has won, to let Hillary be the nominee and he'll settle for VP.  


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:22:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Redo (none / 0)

When you said, "If he could 'stoop' to acepting a VP position from Hillary," I thought you meant he would stoop to being VP, as in accepting it FROM her, rather than offering it TO her.  I've come around on the idea of Hillary as VP.  I am very nervous about the possibility that it will energize thus far lethargic Republicans, but I could be persuaded.


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:23:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Redo (none / 0)

I didn't make any statements regarding "stoop" - you've mistaken someone else's comments and applied them to me.


by colebiancardi on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:37:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Redo (none / 0)

Mea Culpa.  It was Architek.  I didn't look back when you replied.  Based on the fact that you are arguing (I think) for Obama to take Clinton as VP, you and I are not really in disagreement.  I don't have a preference for VP right now and I could be convinced Hillary is the best choice.  

I think Architek IS arguing for Obama to give it over to Hillary so that she is the nominee and he is the VP.  That is patently ridiculous, which is why I don't think you are advocating that position.


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:59:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (2.00 / 1)

That's certainly the position of the Clinton camp and her supporters. Obama never called anyone Judas.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:38:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (2.00 / 1)

You are certainly entitled to your opinion but she can't even manage a campaign. Is McSame tougher than the Clinton machine? That seems to be what you think. If so, and if Clinton can't beat Obama, then Clinton can't beat McSame.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 10:37:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (2.00 / 2)

The difference is that the Democratic primaries are completely unfair!  They disenfranchise millions of voters and are biased toward activists and toward sexist republican states that don't matter because Democrats can never win them.

Of course Hillary will win the General Election, since it's totally different.  It's completely fair and representative.  Since it uses the popular vote as its metric, zero democrats in red states are disenfranchised.

By the way, is anyone else excited to see President Gore's address tonight?  He's commemorating the seventh anniversary of our signing Kyoto by demolishing the last coal-burning power plant.  I actually have a ticket, I'm going to drive one of those new long range electric cars he pushed so hard for.  Isn't it amazing that I can drive from NY to Washington and back without recharging my vehicle?


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:11:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

You probably could with a plug-in Hybrid.  The self-install kits have been around for years, though the automakers are just now incorporating them.


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:25:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

I'd have one right now if that were true, no matter the cost.  Unfortunately, battery technology, the main limiting factor, is nowhere near that good.  You'd need about 500 miles of All-Electric Range to get from NYC to DC and back.  If you modify a Prius to avoid switching on the engine until the batteries are nearly depleted, you can swing 15-20 miles of light city driving.  Saturn is putting out an SUV in 2009 that preferentially uses electric and has a electric range of 10 miles.  The Chevy Volt concept car would theoretically have a range 40 miles.  The absolute cutting edge of usable commuter electric vehicles are in the 50-70 mile range, and they're tremendously expensive.  You might think, 'if we can do 70, we'll hit 500 in a few years', but you'd be wrong.  Battery technology has changed very little in 30 years.  We need a major breakthrough before people can make long commutes without using gas, and for major breakthroughs, we need major research capital from the government.  One bright spot of today's exorbitant oil prices is that they're pushing tons of private research money into the field.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 11:42:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hmm (none / 0)

I was basing my calculations on EDrive's kits.  

"With such a conversion you could expect to achieve 100 - 150 mpg for the first 50 miles of your commute."

I think that I was assuming it would be 100-150 for a long trip also, which is probably not the case.  Not sure how far you could get with one of these modifying a Prius.

http://www.soultek.com/clean_energy/hybr id_cars/Conversion_kits_to_convert_hybri d_vehicles_into_plug_in_hybrid_vehicles. htm

Here's an extreme example of a car that may be able to go that far, but is probably based on lots and lots of short (non-highway) trips.

"Jonathan Sawyer spent $30,000--and voided the warranty--to add a plug to his Prius hybrid, which can now travel more than 1000 miles on a single 12-gallon tank of gasoline."

http://pesn.com/2008/04/30/9500478_Prius _Plug-in_IEEE/


by ProgressiveDL on Sun May 18, 2008 at 02:06:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hmm (none / 0)

Thanks for the links.  It makes me sad that you need to put $30,000 into a $20,000 car just to get 83 miles to the gallon (plus, generating the electricity pollutes, and creating the huge number of batteries he put in there pollutes a LOT).  The smart Fortwo diesel can get 70 mpg and costs $11,590.  

The disheartening thing about trying to do better than gasoline is that it's really freaking impressive.  There's 35 usable megajoules in a gallon of gas, which weighs 8 lbs.  That's approximately 230 times the energy density of current lithium-ion batteries, and about 100 times what we think we'll have in 20 years.  Those numbers are very depressing, until you remember that you can't recharge gas.  But we still have a long way to go.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 04:09:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

That doesn't explain her inability to manage money or campaign effectively. She didn't complain about the process before.


John McCain on social security.
by heresjohnny on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:10:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

Obama supporters on this site are specifically prohibited from speculating about the role race has played in Obama's losses in Appalachia.  Why should Hillary supporters be able to lay a blanket of "sexism" over the entire South, then?


John McCain: He flunked ECON 101.
by Shem on Sun May 18, 2008 at 12:16:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

shem, why did you HR my comment?


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:13:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

He didn't realsie it was snark - come on shem, you're usually quicker than that ;)


by interestedbystander on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:43:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

my problem is, even if I was a Hillary supporter being genuine, that was nothing like hide-worthy.  That's basically their argument.  If they can't make their (fallacious) argument there's no point in debate.


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:47:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

Oh, god, this is getting surreal.  I just got mojo from a HRC supporter.  That's two for two raters that didn't read past the first paragraph!


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:50:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If you'd said 'racist,' you'd be banned. (none / 0)

Crazy, huh?


by interestedbystander on Sun May 18, 2008 at 03:56:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obviously Obama wouldn't want anyone more capa (none / 0)

Why was this hidden?  Maybe you don't like my snark, but a HR is totally unwarranted and blatantly abusive.  


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:12:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You explained yourself. (none / 0)

I've reversed it, my mistake.


John McCain: He flunked ECON 101.
by Shem on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:52:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You explained yourself. (none / 0)

thank you, but where do the guidelines say that something like 'sexist red states' is HR worthy to begin with?


by semiquaver on Sun May 18, 2008 at 01:54:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Blanket assignments of racism to states (none / 0)

are actually far beyond HR-worthy -- they're ban-worthy.  Why not blanket assignments of sexism?


John McCain: He flunked ECON 101.
by Shem on