Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived Racial Fears Does Not Work

Down in Mississippi, the Republicans ran a campaign where they targeted Democrat Travis Childers as being a pawn of Barack Obama under the theory that if they could mention Jeremiah Wright often enough they could scare voters into keeping the state's first congressional district in Republican hands. This wasn't their first attempt at such a move. Next door in Louisiana the Republicans tried to make another special election earlier this month into a referendum on Obama right at the time Wright was saturating the news -- only to lose a seat that had been in Republican hands for more than three decades.

Not only did Republicans lose last night in Mississippi, they lost bad. In a district that George W. Bush carried by 25 percentage points in 2004, Childers won by 8 points -- a swing of 33 points. That's right, 33 points. A great part of this is that voters are beginning to approach congressional elections more like they were parliamentary ones, backing the party instead of thinking just about the candidates themselves. Indeed, the results looked a lot more like the generic congressional ballot in which the Democrats hold a lead approaching 20 points than they do a contest simply between two well-matched candidates.

But it goes beyond voters saying yes to the Democratic Party in corners of the country where the Democrats didn't even seriously try to run in as recently as even a few years ago. This is at least in part a reaction to the deliberate attempt by the Republicans to obfuscate the real issues facing this country and attempt to make this election about the Reverend Wright and all that entails.

This tactic does not work. It did not work in rural Louisiana. It did not work in rural Mississippi. And it will not work elsewhere. Voters, whether suburban, urban or rural, do not want to be condescended to by elites in Washington, DC who think that they can be swayed by ethnic and racial and just pure dirty politics. Just because an election is held in a conservative part of the South does not mean that voters think about race like Jim Clark did in 1965 or Orval Faubus did in 1957 or Strom Thurmond did in 1948. Voters do not like being treated like they are racists by anyone, particularly by a party to whom they have given their support in recent elections.

And yet the leadership of the Republican Party appears determined to continue this strategy, pledging to continue to run ads making the election about Obama, talking about immigration as a "tar baby" for Obama and others, and generally acting in a way that would make Abraham Lincoln roll in his grave. Perhaps when Tom Davis said today that his party was "below the floor" he should have said that the Republican Party is in the much, in the gutter, in a place where the American people simply do not want to go. If this trend keeps up, Republicans will be lucky to only lose 20 seats in the House come November.



Display:


immigration failed for them in 2006 (2.00 / 3)

That was basically their national message, and it flopped badly.  I don't think it will change. Heck, McCain could never have won the nomination if it really mattered to most Republican voters.


New Jersey politics and news
by John DE on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:05:46 PM EST

Re: immigration failed for them in 2006 (2.00 / 2)

Gingrich warned them that attacking Obama would not work. I think they're fresh out of ideas and so they will probably keep doing it. The key is to make sure people remember that the Republican party led this country into a ditch.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:23:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: immigration failed for them in 2006 (2.00 / 2)

Out of ideas?  That's the ONLY idea the Republicans have had in 20 years... smear the opponent.  That's it.  They've run on nothing else.  No wonder they are panicking.  If smearing the opponent doesn't work anymore, what else do they have?


"This was never part of our arrangement, Specter" "I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!" "This deal keeps getting worse all the time!"
by LordMike on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:26:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: immigration failed for them in 2006 (2.00 / 1)

I disagree - he ran away from Obama as far as he could go! Watch the uTube video where he's adamant that he never endorsed Obama!


by suzieg on Thu May 15, 2008 at 06:17:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: immigration failed for them in 2006 (none / 0)

Actually the repug candidate was more liberal than childers. I do not understand why kossacs are happy. He was to the right of rhe repug candidate.


You may not agree with What I say but don't forget I am a Democrat
by indydem99 on Thu May 15, 2008 at 10:24:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: immigration failed for them in 2006 (none / 0)

How so?  Genuine, not rhetorical question.


by The Animal on Thu May 15, 2008 at 10:45:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (1.60 / 5)

There goes the whole rationale for Hillary's campaign.


by Hesiod Theogeny on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:06:19 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (none / 0)

Ok, that is a bit confused...so only poor white 'trash' are 100% racists but repukes are your champions now?


by zerosumgame on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:32:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 3)

Your comment was a bit confused.

Hillary's whole rational for screwing Obama out of the nomination is that white low income voters wont vote for him (hint...hint).

Well...apparently, they have no problem with him when the alternative is electing a Repubilcan.

So, there goes the whole rationale for Hillary's campaign.


by Hesiod Theogeny on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:40:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I've been wondering that. (2.00 / 1)

I mean, maybe the white low income voters don't hate Obama, or African-Americans in general. Maybe they just like HER, and they're not really all that likely after all to vote for McCain just because he's the same race she is, you know?


by tjekanefir on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:44:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I've been wondering that. (2.00 / 1)

People on these blogs have a tendency to believe they live on some virtual island.  If you look at polls, don't cherry pick, you will see that both Clinton and Obama are set up to smack McCain down hard.  

Thank God, only a couple more weeks and this crap will be over and we can start making fun of McRusty everyday.


by Xris on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:46:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Thank you (2.00 / 3)

for posting this.  I did a diary about how fear didn't work yesterday, but you write a lot better than I do.

Kudos to you Johnathon!


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:07:02 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Does Not Work (2.00 / 2)

The G.O.P. (Greedy Old Prostitutes) only ended up proving that Obama has one hell of a set of coattails, and Rev. Wright is irrelevant.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:09:15 PM EST

Are you intentionally ignoring that Childers (none / 0)

disowned and disassciated himself with Obama?  He even ran ads to that affect?


by LindaSFNM on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:10:40 PM EST

Re: Are you intentionally ignoring that Childers (1.66 / 3)

So what? House Democrats distanced themselves from Bill Clinton in 1994 when Republicans ran ads linking them to President Clinton -- and then they lost the House.

If Obama was truly toxic, it would have mattered what Childers said.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:13:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you intentionally ignoring that Childers (2.00 / 2)

arghh...too tired.

correction  If Obama was truly toxic, it would NOT have mattered what Childers said.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:14:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: tired (none / 0)

I just had this chill run up my spine...

It occurred to me that lots of people have no idea what trouble the Republicans are in this November, and many are unaware that there is an economic tsunami that's gonna smash the Country (world, really) during the next Administration.

Are the Republicans playing us?


by xdem on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:59:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: tired (none / 0)

No, they won't intentionally lose seats for any reason.

But they will certainly make use of the fact that they're out of power when certain things have to be done.


by Reaper0Bot0 on Thu May 15, 2008 at 12:01:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you intentionally ignoring (none / 0)

link?


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:14:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Are you intentionally ignoring that Childers (none / 0)

He disowned Wright.


To kill one person is murder. To kill thousands is foreign policy." - Chinese writer Moh-Tze
by ILean Left on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:48:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters (2.00 / 3)

Another important statistic to look at is the fact that, in a lot of the deep red counties that make up the MS-1, Childers did especially well. For example, in 2004, Bush won Alcorn County by a 60-38 margin over Kerry. Childers won it by the same margin. The same is true for other counties, like Itawamba, Tate and Union counties.


by unionfield on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:15:00 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 5)

John McCain is not vetted 2008 style and will be exposed.

Can't wait.


Yawn.
by spacemanspiff on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:15:09 PM EST

question (none / 0)

Do these special election house seats have to run agian in November?


by gil44 on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:18:19 PM EST

Re: question (2.00 / 2)

Yes.


Full Equality Now!
by cuppajoe on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:08:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 4)

Voters, whether suburban, urban or rural, do not want to be condescended to by elites in Washington, DC who think that they can be swayed by ethnic and racial and just pure dirty politics.

Exactly right, Jonathan, the Dems NEED to throw any charges of "elitism" back in the GOP's face this year. It's not like they haven't given us material to work with.

George Bush on personal sacrifice during time of war: I gave up golf.

Dick Cheney on the overwhelming majority of Americans opposing a war where thousands have died: "So?"

Obama might want to rise above the fray, and good for him, but I hope other left wingers will not be shy about painting Bush, McCain and co as the out of touch elites that they are.


by animated on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:19:43 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 3)

Obama has been good at reframing issues in this way. I think it's the lawyer in him which gives him such a great ability to go after the assumption and and challenge it.

We just haven't see him do it much in the Democratic nominating battle, but he has done it against the Republicans (for example, on security) and I'm sure he'll do it in the months to come.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:22:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 2)

For some reason, perhaps because, as this diary shows, this slimy tactic just didn't work, I just listened again Obama's NH speech:

We have been told we cannot do this by a chorus of cynics who will only grow louder and more dissonant in the weeks to come. We've been
asked to pause for a reality check. We've been warned against offering the people of this nation false hope.

But in the unlikely story that is America, there has never been anything false about hope. For when we have faced down impossible odds; when we've been told that we're not ready, or that we shouldn't try, or that we can't, generations of Americans have responded with a simple creed that sums up the spirit of a people.

Yes we can.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:19:59 PM EST

Beyond that (2.00 / 8)

Not only didn't work, but this is an opportunity to play right into Obama's wheelhouse AND pay long-term Democratic dividends.

Both Obama AND Childers (and other conservative Dems) ought to play UP their differences.  They ought talk about the fact that there ARE areas where they disagree... and then also talk about the areas where they DO agree and can work together.

You want a huge, powerful, Democratic majority that can deliver healthcare, end the debacle in Iraq, strengthen our national security, bring transparent government to DC, rewrite our tax code in a more equitable manner, and do everything else we've always fought for?

That's how you do it...

Convince America that the decision is in the primary... Convince them that the answer is vote Democratic.

Stake out the left, the middle, and even the center right -- crowd the GOP completely out of the mainstream picture.

This is an opportunity for Obama and conservative Dems to rewrite the rules about "where America is on the ideological spectrum".

Though I might be to the left of Obama on a few issues -- I would have absolutely NO PROBLEM with Obama becoming the fulcrum of a new Democratic supermajority.


by zonk on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:23:01 PM EST

Re: Beyond that (2.00 / 3)

This is a really smart bit of political analysis. Well-done!


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:45:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Beyond that (2.00 / 3)

That's worth reading twice!


by xdem on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:53:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Beyond that (2.00 / 1)

Three times even!


I'm as strong as a bull moose, and you can use me to the limit. - Teddy Roosevelt
by fogiv on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:55:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Beyond that (none / 0)

OK, four may be too much but...

nah, it's worth memorizing.

Well done!

-chris


Motley Moose: Progress Through Politics
by chrisblask on Thu May 15, 2008 at 01:37:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Beyond that (2.00 / 3)

Well said!!!!


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:00:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 2)

Seems like playing the race card doesn't work for the Republicans, or for a Democrat.


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:23:34 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (none / 0)

Huh?

Obama's a Democrat.


by Juno on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:26:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 2)

I believe he was referring to the Democrat who prized "white working class voters", and not the ones who lived in states Jesse Jackson won.


should we go outside? / should we break some bread? / are you'nterested?
by Firewall on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:54:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (none / 0)

LOL.


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:06:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

YES! (2.00 / 2)

Photobucket

FLYING ALL THE WAY TO THE WHITE HOUSE!!!

YES WE CAN!!!!!


I would say at this point we're starting to see a little desperation on the part of the woman who I support... NY Governor Paterson
by obamaovermccain on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:26:14 PM EST

Re: YES! (none / 0)

*shudders*


by Juno on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:39:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (2.00 / 2)

Juno, relax and have some fun!  You're way too serious.


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:12:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (none / 0)

Looks like someone has mental problems. You wonder why people are creeped out by Obama, you arent helping him any with your wacko worship.


by bsavage on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:44:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm more creeped out by (none / 0)

this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l9z-Aatd0 wA


by JJE on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:48:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm more creeped out by (none / 0)

That was kind of creepy (and sexist).  What about all the boys?


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:11:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (2.00 / 2)

It was a joke.


Yawn.
by spacemanspiff on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:48:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (none / 0)

Hillary can be Wonder Woman!


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:08:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (none / 0)

You are creeping me out with this superhero shit.


by bsavage on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:24:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (2.00 / 1)

hahah calm down it was just a joke!


I would say at this point we're starting to see a little desperation on the part of the woman who I support... NY Governor Paterson
by obamaovermccain on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:50:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: YES! (none / 0)

Yes, he is my HERO.


by hienmango on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:09:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Too true (none / 0)

You don't even have to bother in West Virginia.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-q4MDQ0c DI&eurl=http://rumproast.com/


by JJE on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:29:39 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 1)

This has nothing to do with the Democratic Party ot Barack Obama. It has to do with the voters rejection of Bush- in his last left stronghold. Voters have wrote him off completely even in the Deep South. Republicans could have avoided this if they had distanced themselves but they love their Bush.


by bsavage on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:42:12 PM EST

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 4)

McCain can't distance himself too much from the Republican base or they won't turn out for him. But that sure puts him on the wrong side of this moment in history.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:46:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Condescending to Voters, Playing to Perceived (2.00 / 2)

Well the evangelicals have already said they wont turn out in the same numbers. So McCain has no choice but to appear as moderate as possible. Its either that or a loss. Im sure he realizes that Bush is a plague on his election chances.


by bsavage on Wed May 14, 2008 at 10:49:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

They won't stop (2.00 / 1)

That's not the way they do things.

One of the ways the GOP has out-muscled us over most of the last couple of days is that, unlike the Democrats, they're not much into trial balloons. They figure out what their message is gonna be, and then they flood you with it from 1000 different directions for months on end until it becomes the CW.  The initial reactions of the public and press doesn't matter a damn to them, and truth is not even a factor.  They just keep flooding the airwaves with the message until, by golly, election day comes around and the message pushed enough swing voters across the line to make a difference.


by Trickster on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:05:42 PM EST

Re: They won't stop (2.00 / 1)

No, they won't stop.

Good.

Bill Clinton beat them, in part, by being better at their own game.  The mistake, imho, of the current Clinton campaign (Penn et al) was believing that still works.  It does - to an extent - but not the same extent as it used to.

Not enough extent.

Not enough to win.

And less all the time.

The GOP is doomed for the next several years.  They need to haul that aircraft carrier out of the water and rebuild it, and that don't happen quickly...

Not to get too far ahead of ourselves, but along the way we need to think about 2012.  You know the GOP is already starting to think down those lines.

-chris


Motley Moose: Progress Through Politics
by chrisblask on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:52:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Perceived? (2.00 / 1)

Perceive this.


McCain housing policy shaped by lobbyist.
by obsessed on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:17:22 PM EST

Playing to Perceived Racial Fears (none / 0)

Jeremiah Wright has NOTHING to do with "playing the race card." It has everything to do with "playing the looney tune card."


by soyousay on Wed May 14, 2008 at 11:23:29 PM EST

make Abraham Lincoln roll in his grave. (2.00 / 1)

Such tactics only work when those they're directed at don't stand up to them. That isn't Obama and his campaign. The rest of the party did a pretty good job of fighting back in 2006.


by Nomo Clintons on Thu May 15, 2008 at 12:51:10 AM EST

Re: Obssessed (none / 0)

Yo bro that's some real shit.  Damn it's going to be tough this fall to win over the hearts and minds of rural America.  If anything his best hopes are a lot of the racist voters stay home rather than vote for McCain.


by nzubechukwu on Thu May 15, 2008 at 02:09:10 AM EST

Playing to Perceived Racial Fears Does Not Work (none / 0)

"Playing to Perceived Racial Fears Does Not Work"

Who's going to break it to the Hillster?


McCain housing policy shaped by lobbyist.
by obsessed on Thu May 15, 2008 at 04:19:45 AM EST

Childers Ad (none / 0)

Why did Childers run an ad distancing himself from Obama?

Here

The Davis campaign has run ads blasting Childers for his ties to the Obama campaign and for not condemning the words of Obama's controversial former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

"This campaign has been one for the books," Childers says in his new ads. "My family has heard the lies and attacks linking me to politicians I don't know and have never even met."


by gaf on Thu May 15, 2008 at 04:38:35 AM EST

Gee, do you think it is because... (none / 0)

He never met Obama, and doesn't know him?  Which is EXACTLY WHAT HE SAID.

The dishonesty in your parsing of this issue is stunning...even for a clinton supporter.


Howard Dean is my go-to guy
by lojasmo on Thu May 15, 2008 at 12:32:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Childers Threw Obama Under The Bus, Backed It Up (none / 0)

This tactic does not work.

Perhaps that's because Childers held a press conference and ran commercials where he unequivocally distanced himself from Obama and threw him under the bus, backed it up, and ran over him again.

Childers, who is pro-life and pro-gun, told a Memphis television interviewer that "Senator Obama has not endorsed my candidacy. I've not been in contact with his campaign nor has he been in contact with mine."

Further, when asked if he would accept Obama's endorsement, Childers replied, "Let me tell you what sort of endorsements we're looking for and that we've had. We've had the endorsement of working people of north Mississippi, working families."

Jonathan, if you're going to report on this story, you should tell the whole story, even the parts that don't fit into your narrative!


by BigBoyBlue on Thu May 15, 2008 at 09:21:50 AM EST

Re: Childers Threw Obama Under The Bus, Backed It (2.00 / 1)

As I said above, it doesn't matter whether a candidate distances herself or himself from another when the candidate is really toxic.

In 1994, lots of congressional Democrats distanced themselves from President Clinton.  They still lost their seats and the House.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Thu May 15, 2008 at 09:46:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

When I glanced at the (none / 0)

title i thought it was a diary about Hillary Clinton. Then I remembered it was MyDD lol


by huwcs on Thu May 15, 2008 at 05:23:22 PM EST


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