The special election in Mississippi's first district today will likely be our final opportunity before November to turn a red seat blue. Coming on the heels of our wins in IL-14 and LA-06 earlier this year, a win by Democrat Travis Childers in MS-01 today would provide that magical third instance that proves the trend and would set in motion a whole new "GOP screwed in November" narrative. The NRCC knows this, which is why they've spent at least $1.4 million on the race; and it's why they brought out the big guns to campaign with Republican candidate Greg Davis yesterday:

Davis spent the final day before the election rallying with Cheney, Sen. Roger Wicker (R), Gov. Haley Barbour (R) and Lt. Gov. Phil Bryant (R), whipping up voters from Tupelo to Oxford to Batesville to his base in DeSoto County, where Cheney was set to appear.

Former Sen. Trent Lott (R-Miss.), Sen. Thad Cochran (R-Miss.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) have also helped in recent days.

Yet, despite this, Chris Cilizza reports that things are not looking good at all for Davis:

Despite the onslaught of spending, knowledgeable sources on both sides of the aisle insist little has changed in the last 21 days. Childers is believed to have a mid single digit lead over Davis with Republican strategists turning pessimistic about their chances in the last 48 hours or so.

The Thorn Papers concurs:

A little bird just informed me that the Republicans' own internal polls are showing Childers up five.

Not that that should prevent anyone from, as Jonathan urged earlier, to phonebank for Childers today. Still just under an hour of voting left.

Hat tip to Cotton Mouth Blog for the links.

Check back here for live results once polls close at 8pm EDT.