Good Afternoon,
Thanks to YellowDem1129 for a diary about Clinton resentment - I appreciated a counter to my entry on Obama supporter resentment.
This diary is a discussion of November, so many months away, and the chances of a Democratic nominee. The place where I currently live is one of those lovely towns where everyone knew Bush would not be re-elected in 2004. From what I've been told, the day after the election saw quite a few dazed residents, wondering if they would have to make good on their joke about moving to Canada.
I don't think anyone has to worry about that this cycle. We have yet to enter the general election, and most of the populace isn't really paying attention. Paul Krugman wrote a column about this: (http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/09/opinio n/09krugman.html)
Krugman is dead on here:
There's just one thing that should give Democrats pause -- but it's a big one: the fight for the nomination has divided the party along class and race lines in a way that I believe is unprecedented, at least in modern times.
The only people who can lose this election are US, if we don't show up and vote for healthcare, withdrawal from Iraq,a nd a responsible foreign policy. Think about 2004. John Kerry was successfully swift-boated and nailed - his campaign did not respond effectively, but it was still close.
Now compare 2004 to today, especially that little figure called a "Presidential Approval Rating." John McCain has lost his image as a maverick, and his policies had to be moved right for the nomination. He has not, and will not depart from Bush too far because McCain NEEDS that 28% to turn out and vote for him.
At the same time, he needs a lot more that 28% to win, and the country isn't ready for four more years of the past term's policies. This is the best chance Democrats have had for a landslide, and the nominee is going to get one, because voters are WORSE off than they were 4 years ago, and they know it. There is no way that the GOP can be more effective than in 2004, and there are many more factors working in Democratic favor.
This is our year, so take a chill pill and breathe easy on the outcome.
However, we still have to win that landslide. I have every faith that Democrats will win this election - but we need to win by a huge degree. Every vote that widens the gap will give the president a stronger case to push reforms through Congress.
We need to make this as big a blowout as possible as possible, but we don't need to drive ourselves crazy or frantic doing that. We still need to work as if the outcome was in doubt, but we don't need to have the same fear while doing that.
We're going to win.
Now let's go win big.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 60 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.