of alternative realities, fear and the DNC.

all over the media and blogs, the pundits and BO supporters are calling this primary over and after reading the latest LA TIMES/BLOOMBERG poll i feel like i have entered the twilight zone.

here's a summary:

National numbers:
Obama 46, McCain 40, undecided 9
Clinton 47, McCain 38, undecided 11
Dates conducted: May 1-8. Error margin: 3 points.

Among voters 65 and older: McCain 47, Obama 41. Clinton-McCain matchup essentially tied.
Among voters 18 to 44: Obama 55, McCain 35. Clinton 48, McCain 35.
Among African Americans: Obama 79, McCain 3. Clinton 60, McCain 9, 23 undecided

as Ellen R. Malcolm, the founder and president of Emily's List wrote today in the washington post:

So here we are in the fourth quarter of the nominating process and the game is too close to call. Once again, the opponents and the media are calling for Hillary to quit. The first woman ever to win a presidential primary* is supposed to stop competing, to curtsy and exit stage right.

Why on earth should one candidate quit before the contest is finished? Democrats need not be so fainthearted. Both of the party's remaining candidates have raised tens of millions of dollars. Both have the respect of Democrats nationwide. Each has a progressive agenda that stands in stark contrast to Sen. John McCain and his adherence to Bush administration policies.

So why are some Democrats so afraid? We simply need to count every vote, let the remaining states have their say and see the process through to its conclusion.

Hillary Clinton certainly has the right to compete till the end. But I believe Hillary also has a responsibility to play the game to its conclusion. For the women of my generation who learned to find and channel their competitiveness, for the working women who never falter in the face of pressure, for the younger women who still believe women can do anything, Hillary is a champion. She's shown us over and over that winners never quit and that quitters never win. We'll cheer her on until the game is over. And we hope that when the final whistle blows, we will have elected the first female president and the best president our country has ever had.

*editor's note: the incredible shirley chisholm was the first woman to win a presidential primary in 1972

since the DNC created a nonsensical methodology for nominating its presidential candidate that in no way reflects the realities of the GE (ie. winner take all), i say:

go HRC go!



Display:


the DNC better change things next cycle. (2.00 / 4)


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 02:35:58 AM EST

the twilight zone (2.00 / 1)

will be in full force if Obama, as I expect,  implodes over the summer.  That will be the worst thing, as all the hope he's generated will be crushed when (a)people realize he can't win, and (b) he loses the general to McCain.

HRC, finishing this race in an admirable way, doing her work for our country, will be just waiting in the wings.  

The convention is going to be very interesting, and I hope for the sake of our country the press keeps on Obama and keeps exposing him for all of us to see.  He hasn't had respect enough for voters to actually allow us to see who he is, as he has failed to give us anything other than slogans, refused to debate, and has been embarassing in his debate performances.  And the silliness of whining about hard questions when hes running for the PResident of the United STates!  

Let the games begin.  Let's see how he does without the screaming, fawning crowds and media who just get chills up their legs when they see him.  Lets see how he does trashing a war hero.


by 4justice on Sun May 11, 2008 at 11:09:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (2.00 / 2)

I'm not sure what your point is with this post (other than "Go Hillary! Go!"). You point to a poll in which both Obama and Clinton kick McCain's ass, and an article by the founder of Emily's list in which she argues that the election is too close to call without explaining her basis for claiming that.

Personally, I think Clinton should stay in, and that her delegates should vote for her at the convention, in honor and recognition of the accomplishment that she has made in being the first woman to come so close to being elected president of the US. But I wish that she and her supporters would recognize that she isn't going to win, and that they and she would be more effective if they made the remaining month of her campaign about something other than her chance of winning. If she campaigned in Oregon that a vote for her was a vote for advocating for a stronger Universal Health Care plan at the convention and in the Senate next year, I'd probably vote for her. If she is still campaigning on her popularity with white people, I'll be voting for Obama.

As a pedant, I'll repeat someone else's point that Clinton isn't "first woman ever to win a [US] presidential primary." That honor goes to Shirley Chisholm, who won the New Jersey primary in 1972.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 02:57:45 AM EST

really? (2.00 / 2)

you have no idea what this diary is about?  read the last bit and maybe that will help you understand.

"But I wish that she and her supporters would recognize that she isn't going to win, and that they and she would be more effective if they made the remaining month of her campaign about something other than her chance of winning."

enough said.  but thanks for your comment.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:11:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 2)

I'll repeat someone else's point that Clinton isn't "first woman ever to win a [US] presidential primary." That honor goes to Shirley Chisholm, who won the New Jersey primary in 1972.


by ameridad on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:15:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 3)

you are correct - and i believe she said at the time ""I've always met more discrimination being a woman than being
black." things havent changed much - have they?
"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:21:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (none / 0)

Really!

She also won a total of 152 delegates.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:25:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 1)

im not sure at all how referring to chishoms' delegate count is relevant.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:29:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (none / 0)

You highlighted the claim that Clinton was the first woman to win a presidential primary. That claim is false. Mentioning that that claim is false, and honoring the woman who does have a right to that claim is not irrelevant.

If you hadn't highlighted that claim, it would have been off topic to correct the error in the essay you were quoting, but you highlighted a claim that is false and that erases Chisholm's accomplishment.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:38:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (none / 0)

Ah, sorry, I misread that comment (thus my last confusing comment). No, Chisholm's delegate count is not relevant, I just thought I'd add a bit more Chisholm primary trivia.

I'm not sure if she would have had more or less delegates if the 1972 primaries had been proportional.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:39:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 1)

i made the appropriate change to the diary - thanks.  here is some more nuggets of awesomeness from shirley:

"One distressing thing is the way men react to women who assert their equality: their ultimate weapon is to call them unfeminine. They think she is anti-male; they even whisper that she's probably a lesbian."

"The emotional, sexual, and psychological stereotyping of females begins when the doctor says: It's a girl."

"Prejudice against blacks is becoming unacceptable although it will take years to eliminate it. But it is doomed because, slowly, white America is beginning to admit that it exists. Prejudice against women is still acceptable. There is very little understanding yet of the immorality involved in double pay scales and the classification of most of the better jobs as "for men only." (1969)"

love.her.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:56:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (none / 0)

A truly great woman. I'm ashamed to say I didn't actually know much about her before this election.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:19:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 1)

So the purpose is to argue that the systam used is a bad one? It doesn't seem to me that anything except that one line has any connection to that.

So you are anti-proportional representation? How weird. Were you anti-proportional representation before this campaign? I've always thought that proportional representation was a much better system for pretty much any election than first past the post.

The system used in the US in the GE is possibly one of the worst systems possible (first past the post in lots of little chunks). It doesn't do a good job of matching the popular vote, it makes it unnecessary to campaign except in a few swing states, I can't see anything to recommend it.

The purpose of the primaries is not to serve as a dry run for the general election (since most primaries are restricted to either Dems or Dems and Independents, it doesn't work for that). It is supposed to determine who most Democratic voters want to have as the Democratic nominee. Proportional representation is a better system for this than first past the post by state would be.

As to the question of what would get my vote for Clinton in the Oregon primary, and whether that represents me unforgivably telling a female politician what to do, no it does not. I'm a voter, I'm expressing what would get my vote. That is something we all are free to do, and it is completely appropriate.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:35:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: really? (2.00 / 2)

NO - the purpose of the diary (from this reader's perspective) is to ask a reasonable person (let's call them an undecided unpledged delegate or an undecided voter) to look at this situation from an objective point of view (since we can no longer count on that from our journalists), which says that while Obama has some numbers in his favor, the party is nowhere yet unified in their belief that he should be the Democratic candidate for president.

Hillary has every right and indeed an obligation to take this conversation to as many people as are willing to listen.

Perhaps the Obama supporters who should be listening and paying attention to the passion and concern about the party and our country as expressed by Clinton and her supporters.


by pan230oh on Sun May 11, 2008 at 10:22:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This race is so close. (2.00 / 2)

If this had been different or that hadn't happened, Hillary would be on top.  It's such a unique situation.


Another Clintonista against John McCain
by psychodrew on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:11:45 AM EST

If Hillary hadn't lost, she would have won! (2.00 / 3)


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:13:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

a new republican (2.00 / 2)

gets its wings, every time you type.
by linc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:06:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: a new republican (2.00 / 1)

Do Republicans have wings?  Seems kind of odd that you would be comparing them to angels.  Dunno, maybe that's just me.


by The Distillery on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:29:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: a new republican (none / 0)

Well said, good sir or madam.  


John McCain: Healthcare for Kids? In America? No way
by bosdcla14 on Sun May 11, 2008 at 05:42:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

People who act like this (2.00 / 1)

aren't real Democrats.  They'll jump ship as soon as Obama begins lose his shine.


Another Clintonista against John McCain
by psychodrew on Sun May 11, 2008 at 07:54:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Out of gas (2.00 / 2)

she doesn't have any money to continue.

she's personally in debt to the tune of $11,400,000 and she owes about $4 to $5 million to others.

busted.

broke.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:11:58 AM EST

Re: Out of gas (2.00 / 1)

thank you for adding something substantive to the conversation.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:13:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

try running you computer without electricty (2.00 / 2)

what kind of baud rate do you get with a hand cranked modem?


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:14:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Out of gas (none / 0)

I think it's actually $10 or $20 million she owes -- it was $4 in March.


Trusted, but gagged.
by username4 on Sun May 11, 2008 at 08:22:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (2.00 / 2)

The DNC methodology makes more sense than winner take all IMO, and rewards hard work in every district in every state.

I don't think the race is over, and the media might be inappropriate.

However, stories like this are fair:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopi cs/uselection2008/1943910/Barack-Obama-% 27has-enough-super-delegates-to-win-Demo cratic-nomination%27.html


by Falsehood on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:13:59 AM EST

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (2.00 / 1)

but how on earth does it make sense to select a nominee with a different methodology than the GE?

"rewards hard work in every district in every state"  this is a nice sentiment, but it is about winning after all - non?

and the media is not only inappropriate - but disgraceful.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:17:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

why are they complaining now (1.40 / 5)

Clinton won the nomination in 92 and 96.  His vice president won the nomination in 2000.  

they never complained about the rules when they won - only now do they whine, like sore losers.

hell, just a few months ago, Mark Penn was bragging that Hillary would have the nomination wrapped up by Super Tuesday.  They loved the rules when she was inevitable.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:24:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: why are they complaining now (2.00 / 2)

Yes Al, people tend to be graceful when they are winning and bitter when they are losing.  Thus all the talk from Obama supporters earlier this year about leaving the party/protesting at the convention if Clinton had won by courting enough superdelegates.


by therealdeal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:30:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (none / 0)

PR means that every vote counts, which is almost as important as counting every vote.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:42:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (2.00 / 2)

If you, or Hillary, or anyone in her campaign, or any of her supporters had been making this argument 5 months ago, then it could be taken seriously. At this point, its just meaningless complaining. Even after super Tuesday, no one was making this argument.  It didn't start until after it became clear that Hillary was going to lose the pledged delegate battle.

Its the same thing with the pledged delegates vs. popular vote.  Up until it became obvious Hillary was going to lose among pledged delegates, the Clinton campaign was constantly talking about how this was all about delegates.  Then it became about popular vote, then it became about popular vote including MI and FL, then it became about general election matchups only in Florida and Ohio.  

After proposing 5 or 6 different metrics, its hard to take the complaining seriously.


by KevinT on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:48:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Point-by-point (2.00 / 1)

I have no idea why you just dragged that reeking corpse into here.

It makes perfect sense, because the electoral college actually does a relatively bad job of representing the interest of the people (remember 2000?). It's really good (and designed that way) at representing the interests of the states (e.g HUGE farm subsides 'nice pander to rural plains states', but no serious effort to raise gas standards). The Democratic system on the other hand does a great job of weighing the varied interests of our diverse constituency. That's why different candidates perform better in different states. It strikes a nice balance I think... even the interest of the party establishment is weighed in the form of super delegates (the only change I would make is getting rid of DNC supers... only have elected Dems as supers, that way all the supers would still be accountable to the voters).

Don't be so sure your candidate would have benefited from a winner-take all type of election... If it had been one, Obama would have certainly run his campaign differently, and might have still come out ahead.

"rewards hard work in every district in every state"  this is a nice sentiment, but it is about winning after all - non?

Yes, winning delegates in every district. It's a great system to represent the interests at the local level. Hillary's voters in Illinois matter because they help to bring the delegate margin down for her... in a winner-take-all election Hillary wouldn't have bothered having a field office in IL, unless polling showed she had a shot at winning it.

and the media is not only inappropriate - but disgraceful.

The media is just reflecting the reality of the race... we discussed this before, but they did the same thing to Jerry Brown, Bill Bradley, Howard Dean, Mike Huckabee, John Edwards in 04. Etc. etc.

It's not disgusting, they're just being realist.


by Tatan on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:52:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Point-by-point (none / 0)

Sorry my first blockquote was supposed to read:
but how on earth does it make sense to select a nominee with a different methodology than the GE?


by Tatan on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:57:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: of alternative realities, fear and the DNC. (none / 0)

Because EVERY state should matter, not just "swing states," primary or no.


by Falsehood on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:59:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

it's just spin (2.00 / 3)

if it was winner take all and Hillary was losing, she'd whine about proportionality.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:18:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: it's just spin (2.00 / 2)

but alas my friend, if it was winner-take-all HRC would have won it on super tuesday.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:22:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Stages of grief: Anger (1.75 / 4)

The stages are:

  1. Denial: "It can't be happening."
   2. Anger: "Why me? It's not fair."
   3. Bargaining: "Just let me live to see my children graduate."
   4. Depression: "I'm so sad, why bother with anything?"
   5. Acceptance: "It's going to be OK."

you'll make it.  only a couple of more steps.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:25:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

sincere question... (2.00 / 1)

are you paid to do what you are doing?


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:31:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: sincere question... (2.00 / 3)

I don't think anyone but the McCain campaign would pay AL Rodgers to do what he is doing...


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:44:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama doesn't need help on the internet. (2.00 / 1)

He already has free support from the large blogs, so why would he bother spending cash on smaller ones?  I think Al just enjoys a bit of conflict and the surreal spectacle of MyDD.  Honestly, some of the rationalizations that make it to the rec list can be mind boggling.

(also a sincere question) Is canadian gal getting paid to blog?


by dystopianfuturetoday on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:02:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama doesn't need help on the internet. (2.00 / 1)

lol are you serious?
i am not suggesting that all BO suppporters are paid.  but when not much substance is put into one's posts it makes you wonder...

and just for shits and giggles, Is dystopianfuturetoday getting paid to blog?


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:07:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama doesn't need help on the internet. (2.00 / 3)

As it happens, dystopianfuturetoday is actually an agent from a future reality, sent to introduce tiny changes into the time stream to ensure that Chelsea Clinton's granddaughter Erma is elected President of the World, overthrowing the last scion of the Bush clan. So, while pe isn't actually paid on a per post basis, pe does draw a monthly stipend from the Time Police.

Pe is the correct gender non-specific pronoun of that particular future.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:27:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Thanks for blowing my cover, letterc... (2.00 / 1)

... or as he is known in future times 'Crettel Skywanderer.'


by dystopianfuturetoday on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:39:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Thanks for blowing my cover, letterc... (2.00 / 1)

Ack! We'll have to scrub this entire day and start over.


by letterc on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:54:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Substance seems to be subjective. (2.00 / 4)

To an Obama supporter, this race has been over for weeks and the Hillary supporters of MyDD appear to be rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.  Obama supporters don't respond to the substance of your posts, because they would appear to be irrelevant to the larger political picture.

I don't mean to offend, but that is how many of us feel.

BTW, 'lol are you serious' isn't an answer.

Yes or No.  Are you paid to post?

To answer your question, no, I'm not being paid.  As much as I'd love to get cash for blogging, I don't think I'm good enough at it.  

IMO, It's pretty easy to see who is getting paid.

Clues:

1) Posting schedule resemble a work schedule.

2) Screen names that pander to some specific issue or contest. (ex. NancyInPA, 911Firefighter4Hillary)

3) Unlikely anecdotal stories that follow a desired political narrative.

4) No previous online history.  

5) They link to blogs that are only a few months old with few comments and no other topics but HRC (This applies to a few popular rec listers.)

6) A diary or more every day.  (Who has time to write that many diaries?)

7) Coordinated talking points with the campaign.

8) A long list of vague support comments in the diaries of other paid bloggers.

9) A willingness to latch on to any issue that benefits their candidate, regardless of its integrity.

10) Formulaic professional looking diaries.  Often with nice use of graphics.

11) The echo chamber effect - A slew of new diaries that all tackle the same topic.

I could go on, but without naming names, I'd be willing to bet cash money that some of the Hillary supporters on the rec list are getting a check.

I think many of these folks had there eyes set on DailyKos, but the community was too large to be influenced by such a small number of paid bloggers.  I believe they are playing MyDD like a harp.

It will be interesting to see who sticks around after Hillary closes up shop.


by dystopianfuturetoday on Sun May 11, 2008 at 05:09:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Substance seems to be subjective. (2.00 / 3)

There's clearly coordination among some Hillary bloggers. Others - the ones with poor writing skills - don't seem to be in the loop.

They pick a topic or theme of the day quite frequently. A few days ago the theme was that the DLC/Democratic party was undemocratic. We also got a slew of Hillary as mother and opposition to Hillary exists because of gender discrimination diaries.

One flaw in the presentation is that the responses to arguments challenging them are so weak.  Policy knowledge and often knowledge of politics and political history is frequently pretty minimal.

I'm sure that within a few years there will be news stories describing who these folks are and how it was put together. Whoever are involved will eventually want someone to know who they really are -- or else someone from the Clinton camp will drop the story on a journalist, probably inadvertently.  I'm curious to find out the ratio of posters to separate human beings and whether some of the women posting are actually men.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sun May 11, 2008 at 10:38:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Substance seems to be subjective. (none / 0)

i am not a paid blogger, rather on maternity leave (we have 1 year here in canada) with some time on my hands usually at night.  but i guess i should take your question as a compliment since by your own saying - the paid bloggers usually have good diaries?!?  but nevertheless, if you have read my diaries, for the most part i call out the media (since i work in that sector) in the primary because it has been beyond disgraceful.

that being said, im glad your firm in your convictions, but many - even BO supporters do not agree with you that this is over.  but you are the second BO supporter that has asked this - but strangely, you both sorta write the sameish..... hmm...


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:33:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

al is oneof the few (2.00 / 1)

people here that has his sense of humor intact. big need to lighten up a bit dders.


by citizendave on Sun May 11, 2008 at 08:36:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Bargaining (2.00 / 1)

At least give HRC VP.


Rrrinnggg... Time to change the government.
by Carl Nyberg on Sun May 11, 2008 at 01:07:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: it's just spin (2.00 / 1)

This is a ridiculous argument because even if you think this is a better system, it's not how the system was set up for this cycle.  The Obama camp developed a strategy to win based on how the system works.  If the process had been different then you can bet that the Obama camp would have come up with a different strategy to win.  Would they have been successful?  Who knows, but it's a little ridiculous and presumptuous to assume that HRC would be the winner based on the states won as they stand now.


by The Distillery on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:46:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: it's just spin (none / 0)

Besides, HRC's chief strategist couldn't even figure out the delegate allocation.  Once the whole "Hillary is the eventual nominee" thing flew out the window, they were plum outta ideas.


Congratulations Steny Hoyer! Our 2008 Chickenshit Leader Of The Year!
by RockvilleLiberal2 on Sun May 11, 2008 at 06:55:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: it's just spin (none / 0)

If there was a different system, the Obama campaign would have used a different strategy.

They used a strategy relevant to the delegate selection system. The Clinton campaign did not.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Sun May 11, 2008 at 10:30:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Good Post - Recommend (none / 0)

Can't argue with the logic - IF it is winner take all and we didn't have Fla and Mich in limbo plus Hillary bashing Obama over the head on 'hard working whites' - this would be a less acrimonious scorch earth primary then it had to be.


by optimusprime on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:40:02 AM EST

Forgot to add (2.00 / 2)

Compelling argument by Ellen for Hillary to remain I have to admit


by optimusprime on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:41:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary leaving is lose-lose. (2.00 / 4)

I think the argument that can be made for Hillary continuing to be in the race is two fold:

1) IT would be extremely unfortunate for the primary to go this long and WV, KY, OR, SD and MT not to get a voice in this race, somehow. It's unfair to them especally since neither Hillary nor Obama has "officially" clinched the nomination, even though the probability that Obama is the nominee is now around 99%.

2) IF Hillary drops and then Obama loses in WV and KY after Hillary dropping out it does not look good on the party and it's a narrative that the media and GOP will pick up on. We think it's sad when McCranky gets only 75% of the GOP vote after he is presumptive nominee, can you imagine how terrible it would look if Barack lost races after being the presumptive nominee? Granted, it wouldn't be with the numbers that are polling in the races right now, but he probably wouldn't win.

Even though I am accepting and supporting Barack as our nominee, Hillary shouldn't drop out or be forced out before June 3rd. It's a lose-lose situation for Dems.


Hillary supporter for Barack Obama in 2008
by zcflint05 on Sun May 11, 2008 at 03:54:20 AM EST

Re: Hillary leaving is lose-lose. (2.00 / 1)

I agree, but here's the REAL reason Hillary needs to stay in the race:

If she drops out now, then her supporters will be left to play the "what if" game.

What if she had won the last few states and the supers had flocked to her?

What if she had managed huge blow out wins and somehow retook the popular vote lead?

None of these "what if" scenarios are likely, but that wouldn't stop some people from suggesting them if Clinton bowed out at this point.

No, Hillary needs to continue on despite the inevitable conclusion. because if she doesn't, there are some people who will forever believe that Obama's win was only due to Clinton's exit from the race, not the other way around.


by jdusek on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:13:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

If the roles were reversed... (2.00 / 4)

If Hillary was ahead in pledged and superdelegates, if he were in grave debt and Hillary was flush with money, if Obama was attacking her until the last primary by saying he was more electable in the electoral college and that she might have a skeleton in her closet, do you think that you would want Obama to keep campaigning right up until the end of August, questioning her electability?

See, I don't think you would.


by Dumbo on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:24:06 AM EST

Re: If the roles were reversed... (2.00 / 2)

good point, i wouldnt love it - but it would be well within his rights to do that and for the supers to listen if true.


"Democracy! Bah! When I hear that I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg
by canadian gal on Sun May 11, 2008 at 04:28:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes, it would be within his right, (none / 0)

and their right (the supers) to listen to him.  And the rules say they COULD overturn the pledged delegate vote and give the nomination to Obama in that case.  

But they wouldn't.  In fact, the prospect of such a thing would be so loathsome that many figures in the Party would work to avoid it happening.  They would try to persuade Obama to get out, possibly by dangling some carrots in front of him.  They would try to get a majority of pledged and supers for Hillary so that she would have six months to campaign against McCain rather than four months defending herself against Obama and two fighting against McCain.

You're right about the rules, but I'm right about how the Party and the superdelegates would respond, and it would not be different.  If anything, it would be much more harsh and heavy-handed in its attempt to terminate Obama's campaign because Hillary have a long history of connections with Party insiders to call upon.

Remember what Hillary said.  The campaign will be over on Super Tuesday.  If she had swept those states, I think the calls for Obama to withdraw would have come far earlier than they did for Hillary.


by Dumbo on Sun May 11, 2008 at 06:10:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

See, here's the thing (2.00 / 1)

Of course it's "within her rights" to continue --- but just because that's true, does NOT mean it's the wisest course for the Democratic Party!

It's not "fear".  It's strategy.


by Slim Tyranny on Sun May 11, 2008 at 09:43:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]

within the rights of NY Dems (none / 0)

to start organizing to replace her when she stands for re-election too.


Rrrinnggg... Time to change the government.
by Carl Nyberg on Sun May 11, 2008 at 01:11:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A sad state of affairs (none / 0)

Absolutely frigging amazing how quickly what could have started as a worthwhile discussion degenerates into  school yard snit on this site. The level of intelligent discourse on both sides is nil.

Almost every post turns into my mommy can, should have or still can beat up your daddy. Or my daddy already slapped down you mommy, get over it. To which in both cases there is some equally stupid rejoinder.

It so gratifying to see that a site designed to promote Democratic Party ideals, discourse and policy has degenerated into little more then trench warfare.


Faced with the choice between changing one's mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everyone gets busy on the proof.
by jsfox on Sun May 11, 2008 at 10:42:52 AM EST

What are we afraid of? (none / 0)

I keep hearing that.  It must be the money quote, so let me respond.

"We" (meaning me and maybe some others) are afraid that by drawing out the contest too long we don't allow enough time for the Democratic party to come together behind the chosen candidate.

"We" are afraid that this schism will allow a Republican to win.

"We" are afraid that by continuing to attack the probably winner, the probably loser will give more ammunition to the Republicans.


accepting McLettuce is like being 9 years old and forced to eat your own cooking
by Sychotic1 on Sun May 11, 2008 at 01:42:23 PM EST


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