I believe that the Clintons would like to do what's right with respect to gay rights. I believe that, if it were up to them alone, they would be in favor of gay marriage and gay adoption and full partner rights, emloyment and housing rights, etc. The problem is that it really is NOT entirely up to the Clintons, and they don't have a good record on the issue.
No sooner had Bill Clinton gotten elected in 1992 then he tried immediately to implement a policy of full gay equality of participation in the military. He believed he could accomplish this by executive order, forgetting that the US Congress also has a say in these matters.
The political right got together with military leaders like Colin Powell, and they rapidly built a solid wall of opposition to gay rights, mobilizing all of their forces. Those of us who supported Clinton had not been mobilized at all. We were not even informed beforehand that he was taking on this issue. He just sprang it on the nation and assumed that everyone would go along because he had been elected president (with a plurality of the vote).
And then Clinton was forced, by stiff opposition in the US Congress and a significant part of the public, to accept "don't ask, don't tell," which effectively reified the discrimination that existed before Clinton tried to do anything at all. This would have been like Johnson trying to open the lunch counters to Blacks and whites and then ending up with a legislative reiteration of Jim Crow instead. Yes, Clinton's heart was in the right liberal place, but she was utterly ineffectual at implementing her vision that time.
When you think about it, this is actually very similar to what happened with national health care. Hillary Clinton believed that she could design a complicated health care regime in isolation, and then all of the forces who opposed the plan would go along with it just because she said so. So, she didn't effectively work with Congress to find out what was politically possible or to obtain buy-in from the essential Congressional players.
What ever happened to executive legislators like John F. Kennedy, and Lyndon B. Johnson, who passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965 against much the same opposition that oppose gay rights today? Whatever happened to the leadership even of Ronald Reagan, who built conservative coalitions that successfully imposed on America an extreme right legal and cultural regime in so many areas of American life? Perhaps the most successful coalition of the first Clinton administrations, that moblized all of the forces of the Democratic coalition, was the powerhouse the Clinton's built to successfully oppose Bill Clinton's impeachment during the Monica Lewinsky scandal.
In the past, that's not the kind of broadstroke action we have been able to get from the Clintons, and there's no reason to believe today that they would do any better. In spite of all that has happened for gays in last 16 years, Clinton might be no more successful today at bringing equality to gays in the military than she was a generation ago.
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