When Does The 100 Years Begin?

As Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have escalated their criticism of John McCain's comments that it would be "fine with him" if we're in Iraq for 100 years, the RNC, conservative columnists and McCain himself have pushed back trying to get out ahead of what they fear could be this cycle's "I voted for it before I voted against it."

Charles Krauthammer began his column on the subject as follows:

Asked at a New Hampshire campaign stop about possibly staying in Iraq 50 years, John McCain interrupted -- "Make it a hundred" -- then offered a precise analogy to what he envisioned: "We've been in Japan for 60 years. We've been in South Korea for 50 years or so." Lest anyone think he was talking about prolonged war-fighting rather than maintaining a presence in postwar Iraq, he explained: "That would be fine with me, as long as Americans are not being injured or harmed or wounded or killed."

And lest anyone persist in thinking he was talking about war-fighting, he told his questioner: "It's fine with me and I hope it would be fine with you if we maintained a presence in a very volatile part of the world."

Well, the campaign to bring the full context of McCain's comments to the fore is working and, which is fair enough, but as Josh Marshall explains, it's McCain who's being disingenuous with his explanation and the media is allowing him to do so...again.

Now McCain and his handlers are trying to say he wasn't talking about 'war' in Iraq or even an 'occupation' but only a 'presence' in which no US military personnel are killed and seemingly one which doesn't cost anything either.

If reporters who've bought into McCain's explanation actually think this is true, then the logical follow-up is to ask: if he is only happy continuing the 'presence' in Iraq for a century under his fantasy conditions, how long is he willing to continue it with a price tage of $100 billion and hundreds of US military fatalities a year? Or how about $50 billion and only 500 fatalities a year. If he really wants to run away from the bold commitments he made as a primary season candidate, reporters really need to do some due diligence gaming out just what he means.

Indeed. Although credit where credit is due, one pundit who has been very skeptical of the right's apologia for McCain's view is Chris Matthews. On Hardball yesterday he hammered Pete Hegseth of Vets For Freedom with a question that should be asked of John McCain directly and of every surrogate who defends McCain's "100 years, hell, make it 1000..." construction: when exactly does McCain expect this 100 years of US violence-free presence to begin? (h/t E Pluribus Unum for the transcript):

Chris Matthews: "John McCain says we will stay there 100 years without getting shot at. When does that commence?"

Pete Hegseth, Exec. Dir. Vets for Freedom: "That's if we have an Iraqi government that can do the vast majority of the fighting out front."

Matthews: "Well, when does this 100 years begin?"

Hegseth: "It's already begun. And 100 years -- that statement is misconstrued over and over and over again."

Matthews: "No, that's not what he said...He said 100 [years] without casualties. I'm just wondering when we start not getting casualties."

[Hegseth bows his head and snickers.]

Matthews: "That's not funny."

Hegseth: "No, it's not. But it's not talking about leaving without any casualties."

Matthews: "He said no casualties, no wounded, no KIA."



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Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

Here's my question: where does anyone get the idea that any presence for the next century is ok, with or without casualties?  Are we going to fund this 100% peaceful base with oil revenues?  The walkback itself is a ridiculous position.


by rfahey22 on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:30:49 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

When McCain was asked by Sauerkraut about "50 years", McCain interrupted "make it a hundred".
That flippancy is a scary sign of the hair trigger temper that resides inside McCain.

I really don't want someone who's on the edge of being unhinged anywhere near the nuclear launch codes.


Let the children lose it Let the children use it Let all the children boogie
by toyomama on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:31:19 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

Beautiful question from Matthews!

My take has always been that the full and fair context is damning because it shows unrealistic, Bush-like optimism for something they've been trying and failing to achieve for the last five miserable years.

100 peaceful years may be acceptable, but why is it so goddamn desirable that we're willing to die for it now?


by JoeFelice on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:33:51 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

they're right, he plans to occupy Iraq that long and have bases there. Seems Obama may also, but call the bases not permanent. Iraqi's will see it as occupation and not being Japan or Germany or Korea, in that we didn't wage war on them, but on their government that they also wanted toppled, and given that they did not first aggress against us, we will have no rational or legal basis for staying past our welcome, which was about four years ago, or more?  So, they're right, but Hillary is on the stronger ground, because her plan is to outlaw mercenaries and cancel Bush's no-bid contracts and get all Americans out and all Iraqi's who've helped us, which is the only rational plan that will allow that violence to someday end, and allow us to be seen as honest brokers for peace, and not some dull witted empire.  


Hillary - alternative energy
by anna shane on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:36:01 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (2.00 / 2)

Josh Marshall's analysis, more than anything I have read to date, effectively explains why McCain's 100 Years comment is both dangerous and disingenuous.

I listed, and am listening to, General Petraeus and Amb. Crocker testify.  It is clear that these men are honorable men trying to do their very best under horrible policy paradigms.  Petraeus admitted that there is no light he can see, as yet, at the end of the tunnel (but does not give up hope).

Until there is light at the end of the tunnel, McCain's agument is distracting and misleading.  It is an argument that presupposes continued existence until we reach victory or success, which I understand that Petraeus understands to mean a stable nation that can effectively, if not perfectly, govern itself.

But it is clear from the testimony today, which has been overshadowed by events on the ground while testimony was being given, that to get to the starting point for McCain's 100 Years we may need to continue sacrificing blood and treasure for the benefit of what has proven so far to be incremental gains, and small incremental gains at that (as both men have, without admitting as much, reluctantly allowed today before Congress).  

McCain's 100 Years scenario envisions a time when what is happening in Iraq is not happening in Iraq.  And what is his plan for getting us to the starting gate for the 100 Years?  More of the same?  Staying the course?  I have yet to see his plan or thoughts on how we get there that does not involve not deviating from the present trajectory one iota.  

And, ironically, if we get there, if we reach the success needed to ensure no casualties, well that's when--based on Petraeus's testimony today--we will no longer need a significant presence of troops in Iraq.  Making the 100 Years scenario ethereal and imaginary as an inherent notion.

And yet there are those vocal in the minority of Democrats who think that this plan and this man as President is preferable to a plan of graduated withdrawal advanced by Clinton or Obama or by either candidate (if their candidate doesn't win).

That is a wholesale abandonment of Reason that makes the brain somersault back upon itself in contemplation.  


by LarsThorwald on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:40:59 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

I do agree that both Obama and Clinton have been disingenuous in how they've used the "100 years" comment.  He's talking about a small-scale, relatively cheap, minimal-casuality facility, not unlike those that we have in many countries throughout the world.

Not "100 years of war", the way the Democratic candidates falsely spin his sound bite.

I mean, does anyone claim that the first Gulf War is still ongoing?  We still have troops in bases in Kuwait, right?  Obviously Kuwait is a much friendlier nation and keeping a presence in Iraq is vastly more complicated.  If they want to challenge his statement, they need to point out how unrealistic it is to think that we can have a long-term presence in Iraq without high casualty numbers.  Acting like McCain thinks that 100 years of the current conflict is just fine is really intellectually dishonest.


by ChrisKaty on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:44:43 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

I think you're comparing apples to oranges here, since we didn't invade Kuwait, we were invited.
Our bases there are supply bases for Iraq and for the Navy ships and Air Force. We are not keeping combat troops there.

Also, McCain's goal is to win in Iraq, and he has said to the press that he would do "whatever it takes" to achieve that goal.
His dream of a "small scale minimal casualty facility" is simply unrealistic, given what we've done to create the hell that Iraq has become.
We have too many enemies, people are suffering, and we are a target.
I think the more realistic truth is that it will be 100 years before we can ever expect that kind of stability, whether we are there or not.


by skohayes on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 06:49:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

McCain even making the 100 years statement is intellectual dishonesty. He basically said Iraq, right now, is in the same situation as Japan or Korea. The question was one about the war, and he gave an answer about an illusory peace, and the Dems are right to hit him on it - if for no other reason than to get him to clarify his ridiculous position.


by TheSilverMonkey on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 10:21:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

Exactly -- hit him on the "illusory peace" bit.  My issue is that both Obama and Clinton keep quoting him as if he was talking about 100 years of the current war being acceptable, which he wasn't.  If they keep it up, they leave themselves open to a counterattack where McCain points out how they're misinterpreting his words, and he'd be right.

His comment, taken as he meant it, is absolutely attackable.  Attacking it as he DIDN'T mean it isn't necessary, and is potentially dangerous.


by ChrisKaty on Wed Apr 09, 2008 at 11:38:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

We're overplaying this comment by McCain.

McCain doesn't actually want a war with no end -- he foresees a situation like that with Korea and Japan, which is obviously acceptable to the general public.

There are other points to nail him on, and this one is getting tired.


by wolff109 on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 05:54:55 PM EST

Tired of this one? (none / 0)

We're just getting started.  And of course there's his 'bomb, bomb Iran' position.  And then there's 'there will be other wars'.  We've got plenty to work with.


No Way, No How, No McCain!
by GFORD on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 07:03:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

you're right, there are other points to nail him on. but this one is not yet tired enough, i think. he did say it, after all. and many voters probably still have not heard him say it, at least not on film or in an ad. let these shotgun blasts of his pile up, then re-release them staccato style. surely we will see obama's or clinton's comments over and over again until they're completely worn out, then we'll see them some more.


by hueydixiepearl on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 07:12:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

And exactly how do we get to that situation like in Korea and Japan?  Where there are no casualties?  McCain has an answer: we keep on keeping on like we have been until that shovel hits a pony.


by LarsThorwald on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 08:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

If the Iraqi Kurds invited us to establish a permanent military base on their territory and the Iraqi government consented, I would be in favor of such a move.  I don't see the idea of a long-term, peaceful, presence in Iraq as a scary boogieman.  Of course how to get from here to there is the question.


by markjay on Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 07:29:53 PM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

Well, let's see, the U.S. already has a military presence in 73 countries around the world.  What's a few more?  I think if we really try we can get that number up to 80 or so.


by the mollusk on Wed Apr 09, 2008 at 10:21:01 AM EST

Re: When Does The 100 Years Begin? (none / 0)

I saw this and Matthews was PISSED when he said
"Than's not funny".
by danfromny on Wed Apr 09, 2008 at 12:36:11 PM EST


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