Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split from Michigan

Just in via email, the Clinton campaign responds to the Obama campaign floating the possibility of seating all of the delegates out of Michigan, but with a 50/50 split. Here's campaign spokesman Phil Singer:

When it comes to counting votes, the Obama campaign seems content to only count the ones that it got.  Senator Obama voluntarily removed his name from the Michigan ballot and wants a backroom deal that ignores the nearly 600,000 Americans who voted in Michigan.  Instead of distorting Senator Clinton's words, the Obama campaign ought to honor the votes in Michigan and Florida, respect the bedrock principles of our democracy and stop giving the Republicans an issue to use against Democrats in the fall.

This response from the Clinton campaign isn't terribly surprising. By accepting a 50/50 split of pledged delegates out of Michigan and Florida, Hillary Clinton could have actually netted an overall increase of delegates to the convention, as superdelegates would have likely been seated along with the pledged delegates (and more Michigan superdelegates support Clinton than Barack Obama). However, such a move by the Clinton campaign might have been viewed as a crass departure from the campaign's calls to have the state's delegates reflect the sentiments of the voters in the state (whether from the January primary or another subsequent contest). As a result, there was little likelihood that the campaign was going to accept the proposal floated by the Obama campaign even if they had had some interest in doing so (and it's not clear to me at all that they had such an interest in the first place).

So the situation still seems to be very much up in the air. I'm assuming that some sort of solution is going to occur -- though such an assumption might be like those that held that the nomination process was going to wrap itself up a month or two ago. As such, it remains to be seen just what's going to happen.



Display:


Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

told ya....


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:32:12 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

?
What the heck does that even mean?
by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:42:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

What is Obama afraid of in a revote? (none / 0)

If he is ahead, he will probably win...


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:32:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

I am so increasingly disappointed with Singer's analysis. Nowhere in this post did he mention that MAYYYYBE, just MAYBE Clinton denied the proposal because it would effectively allow Obama to STEAL votes that weren't his.

Uncommitted, even if you can count ALL of them for Obama is still not 50% of the count.

Gee Singer, when did you become an obamaphile?


by apolitik on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:38:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

I hate to rag on the front-pagers, but I don't think he gets the Clinton campaign.  There was not the slightest chance in hell she was going to accept this proposal.

It very likely wouldn't even get her the benefit he says it would get her, because she is probably getting the Florida and Michigan delegates anyway, when the Ausman Challenge is heard by the Rules Committee, probably this month.  Superdelegates are appointed by the DNC Charter, which has a relationship to the DNC Rules like the U.S. Constitution has to U.S. statutes.  The Rules Committee can only make rules, not amend the Charter, so I don't think they actually had the power to strip Florida and Michigan of their superdelegates.  They most likely did have the power to strip them of their delegates, just not their superdelegates.


by Trickster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 04:42:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Credentials Committee... (2.00 / 1)

There is some interesting discussion about the possibility that Clinton may end up with control of the Credentials Committee.

Perhaps, Obama's getting afraid that unless he does something soon, MI and FL will end up being seated as they were voted.

That would certainly change the MATH.

Maybe he is starting to regret that he blocked the revotes.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:36:39 PM EST

"Control" of the Cred Commit doesn't (none / 0)

matter.

Basically any faction within the Committee can raise a minority opinion to a floor vote.  There is no way Clinton can control the floor vote.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:38:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Control" of the Cred Commit doesn't (none / 0)

I understand. See my comment below. That means that he will need to hold together his delegates to vote NOT to seat the delegations of MI and FL. That will be quite a vote.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:41:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Credentials Committee... (1.00 / 1)

"Maybe he is starting to regret that he blocked the revotes."

Agian.  The Clinton folks keep saying untruths until they acutally believe them.

Sad.


by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:44:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh, he certainly did! (2.00 / 3)

A top Michigan Democrat expressed frustration Wednesday with Obama for not embracing the state's proposal.

"The Obama people are blocking it in the Legislature," said the Democratic source, who has not backed either candidate.

The source also said negotiators repeatedly and unsuccessfully have reached out to the campaign for input and cooperation.

The source said that Obama's campaign has been asked to craft an alternative or to meet with the Clinton camp to work out an acceptable compromise, but that those requests have been met with silence.

Michigan revote plan goes down to the wire

...and the people of Michigan know it very well.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:55:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Oh, he certainly did! (none / 0)

In the article, two unnamed sources contridict eachother, one says its Obama, one says its "both sides"
Further the article does not mention how the republiicans have been blocking revotes.

The clinton's link with the GOP grows and grows

Sadder still


by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:01:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Wrong... (2.00 / 2)

That's not true at all.

For those of us who watched this for weeks (look at my diaries) it was abundently clear who was playing the obstruction game. I'm sure you know that your candidate was behind blocking the revotes.

If Obama had be in favor of revotes, there would have been revotes. That's a fact. He decided to play the game this way. That was his decision. So, this is how it is going to go down.

He blocked the revotes. He has to now deal with the consequences.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:10:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You mean the consequences where he (none / 0)

wins the election,

and Clinton loses a floor vote... which means absolutely nothing.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:58:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Paralysis... (2.00 / 2)

He's like a deer in the headlights who doesn't know whether to go forward or back.

I saw a deer killed that way, its not wise.

Thats why a good moral compass is important. People with a solid moral compass just know what to do.

It happens instantaneously. You don't disenfranchise voters. If you are ahead or behind, IT DOESN'T MATTER... you do whats right.

Obama folks, go ahead, flame me.


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:37:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If Obama does nothing he will win by (none / 0)

default.

He has no reason to do anything different.

To do so would be against his best interest.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:40:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If Obama does nothing he will win by (2.00 / 3)

that's right. he doesn't see losing the general election as a consideration. it's get the nomination at all costs, even if the techniques necessary to do so make it worthless.


by campskunk on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 01:13:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Two things in life are certain. Death and Taxes (none / 0)

Winning or losing Fla is not certain by any means, particularly months out before the GE campaign has started.

Also.. who says Dems have to win Fla to win the GE?  

Certainly hasn't gone so well of late.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:17:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Two things in life are certain. Death and Tax (none / 0)

well, it would have helped in 2000. and 2004. but you're right- florida doesn't count.


by campskunk on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:51:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Flame you? (none / 0)

 rofl, Hell, I want to thank you, I haven't had a laugh like that in days...whew...lemme quote it, so we get to see it in print twice

"Thats why a good moral compass is important. People with a solid moral compass just know what to do."  

That was beautiful, architek. Kudos.

Obama 08


by Kordo on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:04:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

50/50 is 0/0 (2.00 / 3)

He's blocked all revote efforts.

That is the truth as in it is a fact.  It will not be forgotten.


by bellarose on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:36:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

If there are two competing solutions brought by minority CC vote to the full delegation, and seating as-is is defeated (which I imagine it would be:  the delegates are the hardcore of the die-hards,) unless at that point, Obama will win regardless of the original FL/MI delegation and another vote is brought to seat a 50-50 split (which if its supported by Obama, WILL pass,) then ultimately there is "A solution" to the issue.

Clinton can, and will argue this, but ultimately, if the votes are not there, its meaningless... an imperfect solution will move forward, and so will the electoral process.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:36:46 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

This will require that almost ALL the delegates of one candidate of the Democratic Party vote to disenfranchise two critical electoral states on the floor of the convention. It would be quite a spectical.

The electoral process may go forward, but the illegitimacy of the process will be laid bare.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:40:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (1.50 / 2)

The issue will have been discussed and rediscussed, and the vote-in-full proposal will be seen for the Politically motivated "solution" that it is, just as a 50-50 split is Politically motivated.

By the way.. before you start throwing around the "disenfranchisement" word... you might want to consider what allowing a large media market to go first does... it is massively beneficial to either the establishment or individually wealthy candidates.

Florida going first disenfranchises 280 million people.

Dean's DNC was right to sanction them.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:44:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

Spot on.


McCain: The Past, Obama: The Future
by KathyM on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:53:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

Well said.


I'm as strong as a bull moose, and you can use me to the limit. - Teddy Roosevelt
by fogiv on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:28:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (1.00 / 2)

That might be true if an uncontested election is perfectly legitime..

But alas its not

and the clinton folks just make up rules as they go along.
Perhaps that is how they can amass such wealth...
 


by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:48:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

Why do you keep lying?  Do you think you're changing anyone's mind?


by bellarose on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:37:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Maybe she should just accept this for MI (2.00 / 1)

but certainly not for FL


DEMOCRATIC 08!
by rigsoHC on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:38:40 PM EST

Re: Maybe she should just accept this for MI (none / 0)

Hillary is really rolling the dice here. Clinton would rather put all of the delegates at risk and risk disenfranchising Michigan Democrats entirely, than accept a neutral solution.
The original vote is too flawed to play any part in reaching a solution to the Michigan delegate conundrum.

Hillary just said no to Michigan's best shot at having their delegates seated at the convention. The people of Michigan won't be happy with Hillary's stubborn refusal.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:15:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hogwash (2.00 / 2)

She even arranged for financing for whatever fair primary vote the Michigan legislature would pass.  And now you accuse her of refusing to accept a "neutral solution" because she rejects the 50-50 split that is a deadly insult to Michigan voters?


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:31:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hogwash (2.00 / 1)

And HOW is it a neutral solution to split 50/50 when she WON? If the shoe were on the other foot, Obama wouldn't take this deal either. If he wants to EARN those votes, why not agree to a revote?


by allimom99 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:42:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A revote is fine in practice but noone (none / 0)

can agree to pay for it.

What if Hillary footed the bill for Michigan and Florida since she gets the tacit benefit.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:47:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A revote is fine in practice but noone (none / 0)

That's not true. The money is available and has been offered.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 03:26:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A revote is fine in practice but noone (none / 0)

Bullshit.  The disenfranchisement of the voters will be a revote, what people dont realize.  Everything else is politics ....


'The only people for me are the mad ones, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing ...'
by stryan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 03:40:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A revote is fine in practice but noone (none / 0)

I don't know what you're talking about (or why you're so angry). I was only talking about the money for a revote, which has been offered.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 03:52:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The funds were offered too late. Money had (none / 0)

to be in place in Jan to have a decent shot at holding primaries.

Caucuses quicker... but Hillary isn't a fan of those.

It seems that Clinton supporters think timing is irrelevant to anything... when you vote, when you pay for stuff.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:18:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The funds were offered too late. Money had (none / 0)

You make no sense. How could money be offered in January when the elections and controversy hadn't happened yet.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:14:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It wasn't a secret in Jan that FLA/MI get 0 (none / 0)

delegates.

Back then funding could have done something in a timely manner.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:19:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It wasn't a secret in Jan that FLA/MI get 0 (none / 0)

They were holding elections in January, not trying to figure out how to fund another election. You're making no sense at all.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:20:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Clinton/Dean/Obama ALL KNEW FLA and Michigan (none / 0)

were beauty contests in January.

The Committee ruling was made months before.

If it was such a huge issue for Clinton that Floridas votes result in delegates, then the time to actually get something done was actually in January.

Yes... when they were voting.  There is a 2/3 month lead time in a new Primary.

Thats when funding would have made a meaningful difference.

Of course... IA/NH might have had something to say about it then.. but thats the hypocrisy of complaining about this now.

Clinton didn't want the downside of fighting for the Fla/Mi delegates until AFTER IA and NH get delegates assigned.

As is, there was movement in the state delegation assignments after the fact, likely as a result of disapproval of Clintons new position on the Fla/Michigan delegation seating.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:31:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton/Dean/Obama ALL KNEW FLA and Michigan (none / 0)

You're seriously grasping at straws. Your original false assertion was that there wasn't any money. Now you're saying they should have been planning a re-vote before they even voted. The DNC does not have the power to tell a state that they can't hold their election.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:36:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton/Dean/Obama ALL KNEW FLA and Michigan (none / 0)

Not grasping at anything.

First...  WHEN the money is available is critical.  Providing the money late has exactly the same result as not providing any at all.

Secondly, while you're correct that states can choose when to vote, you'd be incorrect to assume that if the vote is outside their committee rulings that that vote means anything.

Yes, Florida could have held a vote in July of 2007, if thats how they voted.  That doesn't mean their delegates get seated in the convention, in regular order.  In fact, as we know it means precisely the opposite.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:55:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton/Dean/Obama ALL KNEW FLA and Michigan (2.00 / 1)

I think that splitting the delegates 50/50, effectively not counting any vote, is not only a "beauty contest" but the Champion of beauty contests.

I wouldn't swing that moniker around so freely when basically Obama wants to neuter Michigan into "vanity state" status.


by novayahavoc on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 01:43:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh and... I'm not even a little "angry" (none / 0)

for what its worth


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:18:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Oh and... I'm not even a little angry (none / 0)

Then you should be able to express yourself without profanity.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:16:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Oh and... I'm not even a little angry (none / 0)

I just looked again and the "angry" wasn't in response to you. It was someone else who jumped in on the thread with profanity.


by LakersFan on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:18:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hogwash (none / 0)

The ONLY reason Hillary won is because the more ethical candidates removed their names from the Michigan ballot.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 07:22:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hogwash (2.00 / 1)

It's not.  50/50 is 0/0.

This is the Obama campaign with it's win at any cost mentality.  


by bellarose on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:40:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hypocrisy- coming from a supporter of (none / 0)

the kitchen sink campaign.

Both campaigns are trying to win at almost any (not any.. but almost) cost.

 


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:21:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You should ask the people of Michigan (2.00 / 2)

What Obama wants to do is nullify their votes.

Its quite possible he won't get 50%, but he also might get more.

Why can't they simply have another vote?


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:40:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Start a collection for a vote and (none / 0)

we'll figure it out.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:41:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Maybe she should just accept this for MI (2.00 / 1)

I love the "concern" for Michigan voters such as myself!  It's all Clinton!  Obama's just being neutral!

Being seated doesn't reflect the hundreds of thousands of us who voted... and more of us voted Hillary.

And all I hear from the Obama crowd online is "Michigan shouldn't matter!" but now I get the vatic word from above that "Oh, we matter, if it's divided evenly!"  Why, that's the only way!

No.  This isn't Clinton's fault.  No, 50/50 is not a fair compromise.

My vote may not matter to any of you now, but it sure will come November.


by novayahavoc on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 01:40:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

This seemed very staged by BO today - (2.00 / 1)

I mean he is basically just blocking the vote there.  But what it indicates is that HRC's strategy is working, she has turned this into a cause celebre - he now feels he has to say something about the situation.  Once he starts talking this could turn into a slide of double talk for him.....


by Molee on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:44:00 PM EST

Re: This seemed very staged by BO today - (none / 0)

Please give some examples to as how he is blocking a vote


by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:49:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: This seemed very staged by BO today - (2.00 / 1)

His lawyers have been in MI blocking every move they've made towards a revote.

Everyone wanted a revote there, except your candidate.  Democracy is of little importance to him.


by bellarose on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:43:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: This seemed very staged by BO today - (2.00 / 1)

Exactly. Now that he has weighed in on the subject he can't ignore it any more--but his proposal doesn't pass the laugh test.

Now he's locked in to negotiating a fair solution.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:32:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Smell test.. it doesn't pass the smell test.. (none / 0)

it doesn't smell right..


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:41:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Clinton just rejected a fair solution. (none / 0)

She rolled the dice.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 08:37:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

Dear Candidates:

Just support the Stupak plan and shaddup already!

Sincerely,
The nation


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:44:57 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

Good, FL and MI should lose their votes.  Can any democrat not capitulate?  Seriously?

I am so sick of us as a party getting all weak kneed everytime someone breaks the rules then whines about it.  Just like with Bush and FISA and Bush and everything else, we will cave, cause we don't have the guts to stand up for it.


Tony Romo for Secretary of Awesome
by kasjogren on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:48:07 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

that is the centrists way of doing things

It leaves with horrid policies such as Don't Ask Don't Tell and the Iraq war.


by gil on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:50:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Maybe Obama (2.00 / 2)

should accept the consequences of his political decisions.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:50:38 PM EST

You mean like treating caucuses seriously (none / 0)

That consequences thing works both ways.

Clinton's team screwed the pooch, and now is clawing desperately to somehow flip "automatic delegates" (her teams original term, not mine.)


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:53:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

FL/MI is the topic (none / 0)

...you know, where the actual voters cast a ballot.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:56:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

FL/MI is only an issue NOW.. because (none / 0)

Clinton needs them in the primary.

Before, notsomuch.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:08:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: FL/MI is only an issue NOW.. because (2.00 / 1)

Yes, she needs votes from voters who voted for her.

That's called democracy.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:11:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

She didn't need them before she saw (none / 0)

the writing on the wall.

Its not about Hillary caring for Florida... its all about Hillary caring about winning.  I don't blame her, but then I don't blame Obama for playing the same game in reverse.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:22:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Here's the problem with that thinking (2.00 / 1)

Do you want this thing to be about motives?  Because you can never really know what somebody's motives are, and in fact what's most likely is that, as you say, both candidates have similar motives.

Or do you want it to be about right and wrong?

If the latter--and really, it must be the latter, judging this thing on guesswork about motives is nonsensical--then yes, there is value in the principle of sticking up for the Rules Committee's authority, and there is value in the principle of maintaining an orderly primary process . . . but government by the consent of the governed is the bedrock value upon which this nation was founded.  It's why they dumped all that lovely tea into Boston Harbor, and it's exactly what the words of the Declaration of Independence are about, and it's the first three words of the Constitution, the words that give the rest of the Constitution its validity: We The People.

p.s. And just as a kicker, there is also the old electoral suicide angle.  Remember that angle could persist for elections to come if Democrats piss off two of the most important swing states in the country by refusing to count their vote in the closest and most exciting Democratic primary contest ever.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:38:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Originally there were no Political Parties (none / 0)

and the framers thought they were A Bad Idea (TM)

however... we've decided in our later wisdom to form parties, and eventually we've settled on a primary system.

A system must have some order.  The system is set up the way it is, and if "we" don't like it then "we" can suggest changes next go around.

To change the system mid-stream is fundamentally inappropriate.

Timing is important, and makes all the difference to what a voter knows.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:43:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Also.. I can tell you the motives of both (none / 0)

candidates without hearing them speak during an election.

They want to win.  Anything else is setting up wanting to win.

Winning is the only motivation, by definition.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:50:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I wouldn't go that far (none / 0)

I'm cynical, but not so cynical that I think that every candidate is willing to do literally anything--e.g., take the capital by force and set up a police state--in order to win.  This particular principle, the principle of giving votes to the states, might be considered a pretty important by a candidate whose soul is tied to democracy--and the principal of not pissing off two mega-important swing states might be considered pretty important by a candidate whose soul is tied to the Democratic Party.

Now, having said that, I do agree that winning is a presumptive motive and the most likely motive for any decision by either candidate.

That still doesn't make motive a good way to judge this thing.  It's a terrible way.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:03:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Doesn't matter if motive is "right" to (none / 0)

judge something with.

The fact is that these are politically motivated viewpoints.

The fact is these candidates will fight basically til bloodied to win.

Finding a "fair" solution is impossible when basically everyone picks partisan sides in what is an important contest.

This is not a Little League game.  There are no impartial referees and there is (sadly) no Mercy Rule.

See elsewhere for my thoughts on Florida and my opposition to pandering to them for their EV.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:13:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Are you people really Democrats? (2.00 / 1)

How could you say that?

All states are important. There are no exceptions. The people of Florida and Michigan have been through hell, lets not make it any worse for them.


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:45:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The People of Florida != Fla Dem legislature (none / 0)

Its important to note and repeat again ad infinitum, that if you have a large media market out front then non-establishment, non-wealthy candidates get immense benefit and thus 280 Million Americans get disenfranchised.

The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:51:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

ugh... too much comment juggling.. (none / 0)

meant to say Establishment and Wealthy... but you get the point


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:27:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

But, It didn't have to be this way... (2.00 / 1)

If Obama had had the courage to permit revotes, then it would have been solved. He likely would have won, or done well enough, and the issue would have been defused. By blocking the revotes he created a catastrophe. That's where we are.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:49:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

It didn't have to be this way... agreed (none / 0)

There could have been revotes... but thats also naive because you need to settle on impartial (DNC maybe?) rules and implement them independently of the state legislatures.

Ultimately the GOP could veto any revote.

The system itself is broken.  I agree with you.  There is no solution in this electoral cycle.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:54:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Here's the problem with that thinking (none / 0)

Why didn't HRC stand up to this so-called disenfranchisement before Michigan voted and before she knew she needed the delegates?

Changing the rules in the middle of the game to try to win a nomination contest on the basis of two states where Obama was not permitted by the party to campaign and where, in one state, his name wasn't on the ballot in respect of the party's rules is not a result that Clinton is seeking out of pure principle.  

The risk in the general election that FL and MI will be swayed on this issue has a lot more to do with HRC's overheated rhetoric on this point, and cries of "disenfranchisement" than with anything Obama has done.  


by OaktownDad on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:56:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Why should she have? (2.00 / 1)

Was there some kind of time factor involved?

Or maybe she was hoping that the DNC threat would lead FL or MI to re-schedule their primaries.  Ever think of that?

What was Obama's opinion at the time?  Did he have one?

How 'bout Edwards?  What was he saying about it?

The short answer is that everybody was waiting to see what happened, and nobody wanted to commit themselves.  None of those people were in the campaign to lose the primary, and for damn sure they weren't there to piss off Florida and Michigan and lose the general.  Each of them imagined that she or he would be the one leading in those states, and, when the time was right, i.e., just before the primary when people in the state have started listening and it's the perfect time for you to curry favor in that state for a short-run boost right before the primary, you come out in favor of seating the delegates.

Delivering that message during the heat of the Iowa/New Hampshire season just doesn't make sense.  Once I heard about the delegate strip, I assumed all along that the leader would call for them to be seated just before the respective primaries, and that the leader would almost certainly ultimately get his or her way--just because it's suicidal for the party to disenfranchise those two states. That's really a non-starter of an idea; those states could hold a grudge against the Party for decades to come after getting brutalized like that.

The other reason it always seemed apparent that those delegations would evetually be seated is simply that denying the vote to these two states as a penalty for some political maneuver their legislatures carried out would be totally at odds with numerous positions that the Party has taken over the last couple of decades.  Democrats have stood time and time again for enfrachisement, for making voting easier and for counting all the votes.  Are we suddenly to stand against it?


by Trickster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 05:00:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes there is some kind of time factor involved (none / 0)

(in primaries especially)

Talking heads on TV estimated at least a couple of months if not 3.  You have to organize polling places, print/organize ballots or voting machines, reschedule the school days and hire and train election workers.  Plus you have to check that each step meets with state and federal guidelines.

You simply can't turn an election around on a dime, particularly in a place like Florida... which is frankly the larger of the issues from an organizational viewpoint.

It seems that if you raise the issue in May, you're more likely to have a Fla revote at or around the convention, than when it seriously mattered.

If electoral disenfranchisement was such an issue for Hillary she should have started raising her voice in Jan.. but ultimately that would have gotten her killed in NH.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:35:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Maybe Obama (none / 0)

Both candidates are experiencing the "consequences" of the DNC's decision.


by rfahey22 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:55:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I agree (2.00 / 1)

What a disappointment the DNC leadership has been.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:58:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I agree (none / 0)

That is probably the one aspect of this mess that everybody agrees with.


by rfahey22 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:00:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I agree (none / 0)

Yes.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:05:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Me too. I don't understand their logic.. (none / 0)

To impose that asinine rule on Michigan and Florida at the beginning made absolutely no sense.


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:47:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Me too. I don't understand their logic.. (none / 0)

The DNC imposed their ruling back in August 2007, to give the state legislatures a chance to re-schedule their primaries.  Fl & MI legislators (both GOP & Dem) thought they were bluffing and actually laughed at them.  Now they are forced to live with their decision.


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:04:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Maybe Obama (none / 0)

We're all experiencing the consequences of Michigan's and Florida's decisions.  If they had just scheduled their primaries for February or March, they would have been critical battlegrounds.  If they had scheduled them for March or April, the attention paid to those two states would have been massive.

Instead, they had two low turnout elections, most of the candidates weren't on the Michigan ballot, everyone assumed the elections wouldn't count for anything, and newspapers ignored the results in favor of publicizing the GOP results.


by Skaje on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:06:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Florida (2.00 / 1)

had a record turnout.

All of the candidates played on a level field.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:16:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Technically, Hillary had a lot more name (none / 0)

recognition at that point.

Timing is everything.   I severely doubt that Fla and Michigan would have voted in the same way on May 5th.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:26:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Recognition works both ways (none / 0)

If it had been reported that Hillary had WON Florida and Michigan, perhaps she would have had the momentum going forward to future contests.

It's all conjecture now.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:38:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Right- which is why its a bad idea to (none / 0)

rewrite electoral history.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:44:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Exactly (none / 0)

Glad you agree that the counts for FL/MI are valid.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:49:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Nope.. I don't agree. I think the delegates (none / 0)

should stand as assigned...

0


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:51:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

So no FL/MI delegates? (none / 0)

Not even 50/50?


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:58:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If it were me, 0, yes (see below) but the (none / 0)

politically appropriate answer for the candidates lies between 50-50 and as-is.

However, Clinton has no leverage.  What can she offer Obama?


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:06:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Offer Obama? (none / 0)

How about a Democrat winning the GE; or is Obama that confident?


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:22:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama has a path not including Fl (none / 0)

Frankly Fla is rough... it trends Red.. I doubt even Clinton can win there, and why SHOULD the election be decided in Fla anyway?

Obama clearly has a different map, and one that can add up to more than 270 EV if he's even remotely competent, which he appears very much so.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:26:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't agree (none / 0)

but then again, I don't see Obama as being electable in any circumstance.

So we disagree.


by Coldblue on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:45:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Look regardless of what anyone thinks they want (none / 0)

They need to get to vote and have it count... if the first vote is really under a cloud, then we need to do whatever it takes so they can vote again.

What is the current status, is Obama okay with that? (a revote) in either stste?


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:50:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Short answer... (none / 0)

NO


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:52:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama has a path not including Fl (none / 0)

Very clearly a different map, that does not include MI of FL. They hate him for disenfranchising them from the nominating process.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:51:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Other states EVs are just the same in (none / 0)

essence as every other.

Also... I'm not convinced that Fla won't vote for Obama because of this.  Voters in large numbers have very short attention spans.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:56:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Other states EVs are just the same in (none / 0)

You'd better hope so...


by MediaFreeze on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:03:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Relying on Florida for a sane government (none / 0)

hasn't worked out well for us in the last couple of cycles.

Thats the reason why I'm not keen to rely on Fla.

Having said that... voters have very sheep like behavior and base their voting decisions on the most simplistic and short term factors.

Very few voters will ultimately vote against Obama because he "disenfranchised" them.  They'll vote for McCain because "He'll protect the Jews" or something retarded.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:07:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Technically, Hillary had a lot more name (none / 0)

I believe the normal date for the Florida primary was March...I doubt it would have been much different if it had been held on Feb 5k, or the normal date in March (except of course there would be far fewer votes for Edwards and the also-rans). Does "May 5" refer to a theoretical re-vote? If so, it's really hard to see how that would be anything but a fiasco, no matter who "won"...turnout would have been far lower, confusion would reign. It's one thing to have a re-vote in a small state where it's not much of a challenge to contact every voter, but in a big state like Florida, especially with the "snowbirds" who are mostly up north by May, it would have been a disaster.


by Alice in Florida on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:57:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Brain fart.. sorry.. Feb 5th. (none / 0)

May 5th is stepdaughters b/d.

And Obama gained a huge degree of electoral credibility by Feb5... or we'd have already have a presumptive candidate.

To argue that somehow Obama didn't gain immense name recognition and electoral viability between Florida and Feb 5 is a fairy tale.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:02:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

But (none / 0)

There are 50 states, lots of 'em are screwed up politically, lots of 'em have GOP legislatures, etc. etc.  If you expect all 50 states to fall in line like sheep, your expectations are going to be cruelly disappointed time after time, especially as this idea of constantly playing 2nd fiddle to IA & NH becomes increasingly more unpopular (and rightfully so).

The DNC has to deal with that some way--I don't know how, but some way--without creating this sort of train wreck.  And really, you only need about a 3rd-grade education in politics to know that playing chicken with Florida and Michigan is absolute suicide.  Principles are nice, but geerally they don't trump drawing breath and metabolizing and stuff like that.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:07:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I wrote about this on the Evil Orange site (none / 0)

The solution is to either recognize federally that we have political parties, and legislate them some power to set dates of primaries/caucuses for states or use a carrot and stick approach...

Fund raise within the DNC/RNC for alternate caucuses if local parties somehow cannot hold elections due to local legislatures.

Seat delegates of states that work within the national framework first.  States parties that vote to hold elections outside of the absolute dates that the national party sets would be seated after all other states seat (and with cumulative 50% penalties for each week before the "first")


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:20:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 5)

Good for her! A 50-50 split is meaningless. It means the voters of Michigan don't count. Screw that. Fight it on the Committee. Fight it on the floor if need be. Obama should have supported a re-vote. He didn't. Now he should get nothing, or nearly so, from Michigan. He took his name off the ballot. He did it to make Hillary look bad. And, despite all the smoke that has been blown, nobody told him to. Now, Hillary should get all her delegates, and the State party should find some way of apportioning the uncommitted delegates.

And, now, can we finally put to bed the childish and facile Obama-supporter argument that the "rules" somehow require that the delegations from Michigan and Florida not be seated. There is no such "rule," as that word is normally understood. There was a provisional decision by the DNC that everyone who mattered understood from the beginning was open to reconsideration by the Committee and/or the full Convention.

Take it to the floor if need be, and let Obama and his "new kind of politics" delegates openly vote to exclude two of the biggest states in the country from the Democratic nominating process and render the votes of millions of Democrats meaningless. At that point, there will be no phony "rule" to hide behind, no Hillary hating Howard "48 State Stategy" Dean or Donna "I'm impartial" Brazille to take the heat off Obama.


by freemansfarm on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:53:39 PM EST

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (none / 0)

You know all this "take it to the floor" dialogue is disturbing.  I will vote for either nominee, but if it is "taken to the floor" and she some how overturns the rules that each candidate agreed to regarding MI & FL mass chaos will ensue and their is no way she wins in the GE...No way.  It will tear the party apart.  Is that what you want?


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:58:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 1)

Read my post. There is no such "rule." Just repeating that there is won't make it so. As for tearing up the party, don't you think leaving two of the biggest states, both of which we have a chance of winning but neither of which is in the bag, is going to do that more than a floor fight? Right, leave MI and FL out it in the cold, that will help us a lot in the GE!


by freemansfarm on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:01:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (none / 0)

Ok...you wanna talk about disenfranchisement?  You have your so-called Obama argument....Let me throw this out to you.  

Clinton has stated many times that pledged delegates are not pledged delegates and they have the right to vote for whichever candidate they wish.  Now being those pledged delegates were assigned to each candidate based on the people's vote of that state, if they choose (or are given permission to change their minds via Hillary's comments) to switch candidates are they not disenfranchising the hundred of thousands that voted in that state.


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:11:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 2)

No, I don't want to talk about disinfranchisement. Try reading my posts before you respond to them.

There is no disinfrachisement, there is no "rule" that says the MI and FL delegations can't be seated. The real rule says it up to the Committee and the Convention. I say fight it out there and let Obama make the argument that these states shouldn't count.


by freemansfarm on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:17:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (none / 0)

It's going to be a hard sell since she signed this:

Four State Pledge Letter 2008
Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina
August 31, 2007

WHEREAS,  Over a year ago, the Democratic National Committee established a
2008 nominating calendar;

WHEREAS, this calendar honors the racial, ethnic, economic and geographic
diversity of our party and our country;

WHEREAS, the DNC also honored the traditional role of retail politics early in the
nominating process, to insure that money alone will not determine our
presidential nominee;

WHEREAS, it is the desire of Presidential campaigns, the DNC, the states and
the American people to bring finality, predictability and common sense to the
nominating calendar.

THEREFORE, I Hillary R. Clinton, Democratic Candidate for President, pledge
I shall not campaign or participate in any state which schedules a presidential election primary or caucus  before Feb. 5, 2008, except for the states of Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina, as "campaigning" is defined by rules and regulations of the DNC.  

-NYTimes


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:30:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Why? (2.00 / 1)

She honored that pledge.  It's done with now.  It has nothing whatsoever to do with the seating of the delegations.  Never did.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:10:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you've gotta be kidding me? (none / 0)

  Is that the new line coming out of the Rabbit Hole? It's a solemn pledge, until it's inconvienient? wow....maybe you really should be supporting Hillary...


by Kordo on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:52:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

What are you talking about? (2.00 / 1)

The pledge was not to campaign or participate in the primary.  The primary happened a long time ago.  The pledge has nothing at all to do with post-primary events.  It doesn't even mention them.

I wouldn't be talking about it in public if I didn't understand it, but then again that's just me.


by Trickster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:35:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

"depends on the definition of 'is'" (none / 0)

Do you really want to go down the path of semantical argument?  It won't go well for the Clintons.  Seriously.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 12:38:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "depends on the definition of 'is'" (2.00 / 1)

I'm sure your "definition of is" argument has some sort of logic or carries some sort of message that has something to do with what we're talking about, and isn't just a meaningless and gratuitous shot at the Democratic Party's greatest living member. I just can't figure out what that logic or message is.

In any case, this is not "the path of semantical argument."  I know contract law, and I am familiar with both the language and purpose of the pledge, as well as the activities of the campaigns that participated in it.  The pledge has nothing at all to do with post-primary activity.

Trust me on this one.  No campaign has even asserted that it applies to post-primary activity.


by Trickster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 04:30:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The general electorate doesn't know contract law (none / 0)

.  Pretty much the only thing that can get a candidate in deep probs with the electorate other than on-camera mischief is hypocrisy.

Voters don't know much but they know semantical games when they see them

I'll give you another example that I hope doesn't offend your delicate sensibilities

"I voted for that bill, before I voted against it."

Ultimately the reason for the pledge was so candidates could support Iowa and NH's first in the nation standard.

I'm not sure anyone foresaw a candidate later making a mockery of the pledge with procedural fights... but next time the language will need to be more comprehensive.

You know a politician is lying because their lips are moving.  That includes Clinton, Obama and McCain.

Sorry to burst your bubble.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:13:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Don't worry (none / 0)

My bubble is immune to incoherence.

The pledge is what it is.  It's not everything that has anything to do with the covered states.


by Trickster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:25:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm from Florida (1.66 / 3)

 Kindly quit using my state's situation as some kind of mythic dragon only Hillary can slay. We broke the rules, we're gettin spanked. You know as well as I that that 50-50 split is the best either candidate can expect. Talking about me and my state like your're some kinda of champion-of-my-interests makes you sound as shabby as her...

Obama 08


by Kordo on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:47:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I'm from Florida (none / 0)

First of all, with all due respect, you are not the official spokesperson of your state. Secondly, as I've said all along, I am not purporting to "champion" your state's interests. If I'm "championing" anyone's interests, it's Hillary's.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 09:46:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I'm from Michigan (2.00 / 1)

And so don't talk about my State.  I know that Michigan is a swing state, even though it's edged blue in the last several Pres elections.

If the Obama Unity Train thinks that voters here will give a whit if delegates are seated over "the vote doesn't matter" meme, you're wrong.

And if you think our elected Democrats -- you know, those Superdelegates -- are going to take kindly to Obama rejecting a revote (a revote that the Clinton campaign and private donors offered money for) when the State is cash-strapped, you're wrong.

And if you think they're going to come to the full fore when Obama sits back and allows his "grassroots" supporters, y'know the kind on so much of the blogosphere, to throw this albatross on them as State/Local dems as the sole source of this fracas, you're also wrong.

I support my State and Local Dems that are trying to turn back 12 years of Engler Governorship.  I support them for trying to diversify our State economy since the Auto industry isn't doing that well.  Dig?

Michigan Democrats are going to be divided and disorganized.  You'd better hope Obama can curry some favor with Democrats outside of Detroit, and especially with the Governor here to drum up the base.

Otherwise, I think you can firmly expect Michigan to go Red this November.

But, rules are rules, right tovarisch?


by novayahavoc on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:01:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 1)

Obama bears the responsibility for "tearing the party apart," based on his gameplan to block the revotes in MI and FL and then deny them fair representation at the convention. It is that simple.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:04:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Not only is freemansfarm correct (none / 0)

that there is no rule . . . but no candidate ever agreed to stripping the MI & FL delegations.  I know for a fact that both the Obama and Clinton campaigns made studiously neutral statements along the lines of "hopefully this thing will get worked out" when it happened.


by Trickster on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:09:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You're right. Candidates didn't agree (none / 0)

This is a DNC issue.. and I think its important that the DNC doesn't cave to the Fla blackmail attempt.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:35:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: You're right. Candidates didn't agree (none / 0)

It's not up to the DNC. They have already spoken, but they don't have the last word.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:04:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Repeating a lie doesn't make it true (none / 0)

For any contentious decision the committee will raise a minority opinion to a vote.

The seated delegates (which Obama has more of) will vote, and they need 50% of currently seated delegates to win on the floor.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:02:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Reposted from above.. but you're basically (none / 0)

parroting the same tired talking point.

---

The issue will have been discussed and rediscussed, and the vote-in-full proposal will be seen for the Politically motivated "solution" that it is, just as a 50-50 split is Politically motivated.

By the way.. before you start throwing around the "disenfranchisement" word... you might want to consider what allowing a large media market to go first does... it is massively beneficial to either the establishment or individually wealthy candidates.

Florida going first disenfranchises 280 million people.

Dean's DNC was right to sanction them.

---

The rules aren't about just this election.. they are about elections going forward too.  We don't want the excellent but lesser known candidate in the future automatically losing due to Cali or Florida deciding they can schedule whenever they like- because in 2008 the Dems didn't enforce these rules now.

Frankly I'm tired of people twisting words like disenfranchisement for political purposes.  There is a bigger issue than Florida or Michigan here...

Don't disenfranchise 280 million Americans for years to come because it will gain your candidate a few dozen delegates, that won't even make a difference in the outcome of the primary.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:00:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Reposted from above.. but you're basically (2.00 / 1)

Instead of reposting your shopworn arguments, maybe you should read what I posted.

I never used the word "disenfranchised," because that isn't the point. The point is that these important States will be left out if Obama has his way. And I don't think that will help us in the GE, nor do I think it sits well with most Democrats, even if it is not techincally "disenfranchisement."

As for the word "rule," it simply doesn't apply. There is no rule. The DNC made a decision. Everyone in both camps knew that was not the last word. That's not a "rule."

And, I see that you are the one throwing around the "disinfranchisement" argument. I fail to see how a big state going first "disinfrachises" anyone. Nor do I think that Iowa and NH should always have the first say. But all of that is neither here nor there. There is no "rule," there is no "disinfranchisement." There is politics. Obama likes to play rough. He likes to go by the letter of the law (ask that former State Senator in Illinois). Well, now it's time for Hillary to play rough. The "rules" say she can fight in in the Committee and/or on the floor. Too bad if
Obama doesn't like it.


by freemansfarm on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:08:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Fla is trending Red and frankly the Dems there (none / 0)

are very conflicted.. just see DWS and any number of Cuban/Israeli focused candidates.

Frankly I'm tired of pandering to these nationally just for 27 electoral votes.

Obama has another path to 270.. why doesn't Hillary?

As for rule... yes there is a rule.  Iowa has to schedule 7 days before any other, per state consistution, and then both political parties agreed to the rule of 3 other states going before the other 46 states.

As for the remainder of your comment, there is no prize for second place.  I'm sure Obama will enjoy his victory (provided he has 50%+1 of delegates by then, which he's extremely likely to do.)

I guess Hillary gets a Pyhrric victory.  That and a couple of bucks will buy you a subway ride.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:18:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Fla is trending Red and frankly the Dems there (2.00 / 3)

Wow. So much for a "50 state strategy." So much for every state "counting." I guess that was all just tacital Obama rhetoric of convenience.

Anyway, merely repeating ad nausium that the "rules" require the exclusion of these two state delegations won't make it so.
There isn't, for the umpteenth time, any such "rule" requiring this "punishment." The DNC does not have the authority to make such a rule that is binding on the Committee or the Convention. Even Dean has admitted this. The DNC made a decision, it did not promulgate a "rule." Everyone, the DNC, the Obama campaign, and the Hillary campaign knew then, and know now, that the Committee and the Convention have the authority to reverse that decision.

Everything else is hot air and pablum for the children.


by freemansfarm on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:28:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Fla is trending Red and frankly the Dems there (none / 0)

You're never going to win EVERY state.  You should compete in every state, but not pander to every state, and especially not to a state with two exceedingly divisive constituencies, that cause us no end of trouble nationally.

As for the "Rule" debate, I'll reject and denounce.

The Committee made a decision.  Ultimately the DNC gets to decide who shows up.

Any belief otherwise is sheer fantasy.  Florida "delegates" showing up would not make a hill of beans worth of difference, if they are not recognized by the DNC.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:34:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Fantasy (2.00 / 1)

"Ultimately the DNC gets to decide who shows up.
Any belief otherwise is sheer fantasy.  Florida "delegates" showing up would not make a hill of beans worth of difference, if they are not recognized by the DNC."

You are simply wrong. The DNC's decision is subject to review by the Committee, and the Committee's decision is subject to review by the full Convention.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 09:59:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Repeating a lie doesn't make it true (none / 0)

For any contentious decision the committee will raise a minority opinion to a vote.

The seated delegates (which Obama has more of) will vote, and they need 50% of currently seated delegates to win on the floor.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:01:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

and the "Committee" doesn't have control (none / 0)

or power because of the minority opinion system.

The delegates have both control and power.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:35:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes. (none / 0)

And that's why Hillary should take it to the floor, if necessary.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 10:01:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

So she can win a phyrric victory (none / 0)

as I mentioned.. that and 2 bucks will buy you a NYC subway ride.


by Priest Valon on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 11:38:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Fla is trending Red and frankly the Dems there (none / 0)

December 1, 2007
"In a widely expected move, the Democratic National Committee voted this morning to strip Michigan of all its 156 delegates to the national nominating convention next year. The state is breaking the party's rules by holding its primary on Jan. 15. Only Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada are allowed to hold contests prior to Feb. 5." -NY Times

August 26, 2007
"The DNC's rules and bylaws committee, which enforces party rules, voted yesterday morning to strip Florida of all its delegates to the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver -- the harshest penalty at its disposal." -NY Times

Now about those "rules" and to boot Hillary's boy Ickes voted in favor to strip the delegates of MI and FL


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:38:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Tell me something I don't already know (none / 0)

The DNC committee, and the full DNC, made their "enforcement" decisions, yes. And everyone, Ickes included, knew that these decsions would be open for review by the Committee and the Convention. Is that so hard to understand?

There was no "rule," there was a provisional determiniation by a body that knew it did not have final authority. Obama went to Harvard Law School, Clinton to Yale Law School, they both understood the distinction, even if you don't.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 09:54:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Fla is trending Red and frankly the Dems there (none / 0)

I have been saying for the longest... don't count FL or MI today, don't count on them in November to vote Democratic.


by stefystef on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 03:02:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama's path (none / 0)

Oh, you mean the one where he wins all those red states in the GE? That IS funny. And BTW, he won't win in Iowa post-Wright, so don't go there. And probsbly not Ohio either.


by allimom99 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:49:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The electoral vote arguement is BS (none / 0)

Both Dems can win if they are even remotely competent.

The difference is.. we KNOW Obama has great organization and strategy.  Clinton... soso.

Ultimately, the arguement would be on the Clinton's side if they were winning in any criteria except for volume of sand in their collective vagina's.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:31:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Regarding "disenfranchisement" (none / 0)

Maybe it's time to admit that there is no such thing as a totally fair nomination process. Caucuses are unfair, big state primaries are unfair, superdelegates are unfair...of course the general election is massively unfair. Either you have a small, unrepresentative group like Iowa caucus-goers (or New Hampshire primary voters) getting undue influence, or you have good ol' m-o-n-e-y having undue influence...everyone is "disenfranchised" in different ways. The more Democrats do to try and make the process "fair" (proportional delegate selection, open primaries and caucuses and whatnot) the screwier it gets...maybe it's time to admit that it's impossible to have a perfectly "democratic" process for choosing a party's nominee.


by Alice in Florida on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:11:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Maybe but what's happened so far is intolerable (none / 0)

Come on..

We can certainly do much better than this before we give up!


public option=not affordable for middle. It cant cover all affordably, google adverse selection for why
by architek on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:52:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 1)

If I could write as well as you, this is the post I would write. Well said!

Obama had the chance for a full fair revote and he blocked it. Now we will just have to seat them as they are, or fight about on the floor. He has the responsibility for this mess now.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:00:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Seat Michigan and Florida as Is! (2.00 / 1)

Thank you.

And, yeah, let Obama explain at the Convention why he was against a re-vote. And let him explain how a pseudo-rule should stop these 2 states from counting.


by freemansfarm on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 09:56:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

It's not right to have them not seated and it's not fair to have it count as is (Obama not on the ballot).  So Obama says 50-50 pledged delegate split and I'll let you take the supers with you.  She says no....So how do we end this.

Her way of counting as is....is ridiculous to any objective person.

So how about 55-45 for her???  57-43???  I don't know but she has to come up with a better counter offer than as is.


Toot, thank you for raising such a terrific person...You done good and we will have you in our hearts.
by hootie4170 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 09:54:21 PM EST

No! (2.00 / 3)

Candidates don't get to sit around and decide how to split up votes. Voters decide who the votes go to.

That's DEMOCRACY.

Anything else, shows a contempt for democracy.


by MediaFreeze on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:02:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The voters DID vote. They didn't count because (none / 0)

they broke the rule.

Had Florida Dem's at least voted against the repugs, then I'd have more respect for them, and think their delegation should be seated... but they disenfranchised themselves.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:06:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

the 2nd they = the Fla dems. nt (none / 0)


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:07:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

Nothing less than a 58%/42% split, which is based on the 55%/40% results from the primary. I will accept 57%/43%, which is based on the exit polls. Obama should not be rewarded for something he did not participate in and by participate I mean leave his name on the ballot for the voters to decide on.


Restore America's Strength.
by RJEvans on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:07:59 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

You realize, of course, that Clinton voluntarily agreed not to "participate" in these contests, right?


by OaktownDad on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:59:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Taking part in the Mi Primary was an ethical lapse (none / 0)

on Hillary's part.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 07:38:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

By "participate," you mean campaign, but I think we all agree that in order to "participate" in an election, you must put your name up for a vote. Obama did not and he should not be rewarded.


Restore America's Strength.
by RJEvans on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 03:28:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Would it that (2.00 / 2)

Kerry had been such a fighter....

Alas.


by Radiowalla on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:12:21 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (1.00 / 1)

Newsweek's Romano thinks Hillary may have raised only $7 million in March. Seems she has lied again.
http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump /archive/2008/04/04/hillary-s-cash-crunc h.aspx

McCain: The Past, Obama: The Future
by KathyM on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:13:38 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (none / 0)

Maybe we can do the half-Nelson after all, then.  The point that a lot of people here miss, or choose to ignore, is that the "primary" in both states was fundamentally and irreparably flawed.  Frankly, that is about the only thing that is clear, anonymous "Democratic insiders" to the contrary.  Once everyone acknowledges that basic fact, we can talk about solutions.


by rfahey22 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:16:50 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

How did we permit this process to degenerate into a bargaining between the DNC and the two campaigns??????? Why should counting votes depend upon the caprice of a political candidate?

This campaign is not and never has been about Clinton and Obama, it is about voters. It is grotesquely corrupt for party bosses to get together and divide up a delegation without any reference to the voters what so ever.

shame on the Democratic party

shame on America


by Alice Marshall on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:20:34 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

These are noble sentiments, but the Democratic primary has never been, well, democratic.  Each state has different rules for registration and different ways of measuring a candidate's support (primary vs. caucus).  Moreover, the very existence of superdelegates is profoundly undemocratic, as is the way that the DNC allocates delegates among the states (and even the ways in which state parties decide to allocate delegates among different regions of a state).  No solution for the seating of Michigan and Florida will change that.


by rfahey22 on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:27:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 3)

Democracy NOT Obamocracy!


by superetendar on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:21:48 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (2.00 / 1)

RIGHT ON!!!
Wish the DNC would stop being afraid of Obama.
by stefystef on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:57:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (2.00 / 2)

This is really simple:

55% Clinton
40% Uncommitted

=

55% Clinton
40% Obama

Yes, yes. I know Edwards was around. But hey, he dropped out. Do we really want to go there?


by neverfox on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:53:44 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (none / 0)

I agree.  Obama won't agree til he has a large enough cushion to win regardless.  He's a fighter for sure.


by Priest Valon on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 10:56:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (none / 0)

This is really simple if you like Soviet style elections.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 07:36:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (none / 0)

yeah i mean who cares about being fair, to the edwards voters right?

fair really only means fair to Hillary.


Dream for tomorrow but fight for it today.
by TruthMatters on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 07:41:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (2.00 / 1)

Really? Since this is the dumbest idea ever and Obama has now tried it 2 or 3 times. He wants to put it out there and then look like he's being cooperative and trying to find a solution, but all it does is make him look like GWB - win at all costs - but then, that's what he does best.


by cmugirl90 on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 06:19:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 (none / 0)

YEAH! Well said.


by LindaSFNM on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:12:13 PM EST

Re: Clinton Campaign Rejects 50/50 Delegate Split (none / 0)

i really think she oughta just accept this. She did kind of know they wouldn't count, and now is trying to have it both ways.


"there is nothing wrong with America that cannot be cured by what is right in America"-William Jefferson Clinton, forty-second President of the United States
by DiamondJay on Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 11:37:15 PM EST

Now it's on Clinton's head. (1.00 / 1)

Instead of accepting a reasonable compromise that would provide a plausible, feel-good way of seating MI, the HRC campaign is now the camp that is pushing MI away from the Democratic party by its continuing (and ludicrous) claim that the MI primary results were a reasonable and a fair indication of voter preference.

All the talk of BHO being the obstructionist may now cease.


Nos causidicus Obama , ergo nos non suadeo
by rb608 on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 07:32:47 AM EST

Re: Now it's on Clinton's head. (2.00 / 1)

"Feel good."  Michigan voters aren't feeling too good right now.  We want solid policy solutions to a real economic crisis.

Our Governor is fighting to make this case for a new Michigan, and getting high negatives because we're still seen as in the economic toilet.

But sure!  We'll all feel better knowing some delegates can go to a big party in Denver and were split without any thought as to, you know, what and who we want.

I'm feeling so good right now!  Maybe I should spread this news to my cousin, before his house forecloses.  He sure could use a pick me up!


by novayahavoc on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 02:16:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

If a revote is so important... (none / 0)

...how come Clinton didn't push for it until right before the deadline.   She played a game of electoral chicken hoping that the delegation would be seated with 0 voted for Obama and she lost.  If she had pushed for a revote back in February, she would have had one.  Instead there just wasn't enough time to make sure that the vote was fair.


But in the unlikely story that is America, there has never been anything false about hope.
by thezzyzx on Sat Apr 05, 2008 at 08:38:19 AM EST


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