Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net...

tomorrow.  Some may be suprised to see my name associated with a diary so entitled.  But I figured it would be good to get this out of the way early b/c I know it's coming and use it as a means to ask a question.

An excellent website, DemConWatch (which I cannot endorse enough; the reporting is beyond any other news source, including the AP) has developed a chart to track the selection of add-on superdelegates.  Some may not of heard of this term, b/c the media has constantly refered to the superdelegates, but rarely says how they are selected.  Add-on superdelegates are selected at state, county and district conventions or by the Executive Committee of the state party.  

As you will see if you check out the website, tomorrow the State Democratic Executive Committee will meet to decide on the identity of the 4 add-on delegates that New York is assigned.  Given that New York is her home state, I have no doubt that every one of those add-on superdelegates will immediately announce their support for Hillary.  On this blog and possibly in the media this will be a big story, b/c it will the largest one day total of superdelegates for Senator Clinton this year, even if she does not get any other superdelegates.  I would also point out though that if you notice the state immediately preceding New York and those immediately after New York were all won exceedingly handily by Senator Obama and will equal the number of add-on superdelegates from New York.  And those are only the add-ons to be chosen this weekend.  Prior to Illinois' selection of its 3 add-on superdelegates on Monday.

Thus it appears that in the add-on superdelegates (which total 64 unpledged) they will split down the middle or there will be a slight advantage given to Obama due to the fact that he has won more states.  After the add-ons are divied up, there are 227 superdelegates left.  Of the 227, Senators and Governors make up around 30, U.S. House Representatives are around 65 and the 139 left are elected or appointed party officials and former chairs of the party and former Speakers, Majority leaders and Presidents and VPs.  Today, Obama won 3 House members and Clinton won 2 party official superdelegates.  Moreover, we learned today that Sen. McCaskill (an Obama supporter) is "feeling good" about the U.S. House.  

Given the fact that Sen. Clinton needs at best estimates 69% of the superdelegates (both add-on and already identified) left to win the election, how does she do it?  For months now, we as a community have been arguing vehemently points large and small: Should Clinton drop out, should Obama drop out, racism, sexism, gas taxes, Wright, flip offs, and so on.  Yet in that time, I have yet to hear logical path that Clinton has to nomination.  We all agreed long ago that Obama's going to win among elected delegates.  So since then, we have been arguing whether it was right or wrong for the superdelegates to choose the presidential candidate and what methods they should use to choose.  Yet in that time Obama has gained a net of over a hundred superdelegates and Clinton has gained almost no superdelegates.  

So on the day before Sen. Clinton's biggest superdelegate total this year, let me ask: HOW DOES SHE WIN?  Don't tell me whether she should win or what her qualities are that will make her a better president, but please tell me how.  B/c if she cannot win and given the superdelegate ratio over the past several months I don't understand how she can, then what is the point of continuing the campaign?  Why should we continue this primary race which is damaging the ability of the party to unite behind either one of these presidential candidates if the outcome is already determined?  

Just a question.


Poll
How likely is it that Hillary will get the supermajority of the superdelegates to win this election?
Not gonna happen
1%
5%
10%
20%
50%
70%
90%
95%
She's a fighter. She'll win them all!

Votes: 50
Results : Vote Link : Polls

Display:


Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

Where are the 4 delegates coming from ?


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:18:52 PM EST

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (2.00 / 1)

Sorry I see.

You can't be sure they would all declare for her , even if they wanted too it might not be tomorrow.

Why are you restless.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:20:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

New York, according to the diarist. ;-)


by aggieric on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:22:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

The DNC part of the superdelegate mix is the only group that she is ahead in. The majority of declared governors, senators, and congresspeople are all with Obama.


Proudly joining the legions of people and states that don't matter on May 20th.
by Obama Independent on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:20:21 PM EST

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

It might be 3 to Clinton 1 to Obama. Who knows. I would love to see 4 additional delegates plus some superdelegate endorsements.


Restore America's Strength.
by RJEvans on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:25:41 PM EST

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

I do not doubt that it will be all 4.  The add-ons are picked by state conventions and state Executive Committees; these organizations make sure to pick superdelegates that reflect the will of the state.  That has been the pattern since the Moreover, since this is her home state, I'm sure that Hillary will exert even more pressure to ensure that all support her.  Just as Obama will exert great pressure to ensure that Illinois add-ons will go for him.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:51:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

How? (2.00 / 1)

It's very simple - some superdelegates change their minds, for example.


Never let the bullies win.
by SluggoJD on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:29:40 PM EST

Re: How? (none / 0)

And every single one that has done so went going against Clinton.  Do you suggest that this fight continue even if one or the other gets 2025 or 2208 (which ever delegate majority you recognize)?  Do you want to fight until August?  Won't that destroy the Democrats chances in November?  Is that your goal?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:54:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: How? (none / 0)

Once one person gets to 2208, the fight is over. But till then it continues. I aint giving up till you cross the finish line. If you do it before me, I will clap for you. But till you dont, i will try my best to make sure you dont and i do.
That's Hillary.
by Sandeep on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:09:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton gains 4 delegates!!! +3 net... (none / 0)

eh its called speculation we do it all the time, I all 4 of them are projected to Hillary in my sig.

if they don't endorse her then we change it


Obama said, as Bill beamed. "Thank you, President Clinton."
by TruthMatters on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:32:49 PM EST

To the Diarist (2.00 / 2)

First, a technical correction: a majority of total delegates is what is required to win, not a supermajority (which usually means 2/3's).

Now then, the answer to your question lies in pointing out an erroneous assumption.  No delegate has yet voted.  And this is particularly important when talking about superdelegates.  They can change their minds as often as they like, and for whatever reasons.

So, our path to victory lies in proving that our candidate has it right on the most important issues of our day, that she is the best qualified not only to annunciate these issues but to actually do something about them, and that she is the strongest candidate to win the White House in November.  I have said that a "most votes" argument is important, not so much because of its technical merit, but because it gives superdelegates the political cover to switch to her if they are convinced that she is the most likely to win in November.

I think the odds are still against us - her supporters are very aware of this - but things are certainly moving in the right direction.  So we're just going to keep working hard, fighting for what we believe in, and see where the chips fall.


by bobbank on Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 11:52:07 PM EST

Well said, bobbank..... (2.00 / 1)


Obama supporter working to defeat McCain.
by Rumarhazzit on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:04:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

The error is yours here, and not the diarist's. The diary and poll explicitly noted that a supermajority of SUPERdelegates is what Hillary would need and that is a fact.


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:22:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (2.00 / 2)

You are incorrect.  No superdelegate has yet voted.  Thanks.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:42:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

OK, your fantasy.


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:48:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

Are you suggesting that superdelegates have voted?


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:00:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

I am reiterating the diarist's comment that Hillary needs a supermajority of superdelgates to put her over the threshold.  We are counting superdelegate endorsements here, not fantastic scenarios where committed delegates somehow have an epiphany and do the opposite of what they actually want.


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:28:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

So you do want to want to continue this fight until August?  Until every last inkling of an opportunity is eliminated to Clinton.  You know John McCain is not the nominee yet.  Until he's officially nominated by the Republican Convention in September, he's not the nominee.  Given the evidence I presented, explain to me how Clinton has a better chance than Romney.  The only difference I see is that they've stopped bashing their candidate and we haven't.

Like I said in response to your first comment, if I could end this tomorrow in favor of Clinton I would.  Just so we could end this bloodshed.  Do you want to continue to August...to November?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:12:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

I never said a supermajority is necessary to win the nomination.  I said SHE needs a supermajority of the remaining superdelegates to win the nomination.

Bob, I could understand that argument in Feb., but now in May it just doesn't make sense.  And the reason being is that in order to see the great benefits of Clinton candidacy after she has been promoting that over the past 17 months would convince superdelegates require us to ignore a lot of evidence to the contrary. Clinton received the support of over 200 superdelegates in 2007.  I signed up for Hillary's e-mails and I remember receiving countless announcements of superdelegates announcing their support for her.  They came towards the end of 2007 at a rate of 1 to 2 a day.  This was a element of her "inevitability" argument.  In 2008, Obama has received near 200 superdelegates' support.  All news reports indicate that Obama has a reserve of superdelegate support. This is announced in public spheres like Politico, AP, Washington Post, mrsuper.org, and DemConWatch.  Politico is reporting that it looks like Obama is going to win the majority of Capitol Hill superdelegates.  And that was before Obama earned the endorsement of 3 House members today, including Rep. Lois Capps (D-CA), who has deep ties to the Clintons.  And it seems like every single day Obama cuts Clinton's lead among party official delegates.

And it is not just among superdelegates that we are seeing Obama's position as the Democratic nominee becoming established, but in media focus and GOP attacks we are seeing that Obama is being treated like the nominee.  The media seems to lead with Obama all the time.  Their bashing him with Wright and Ayers, like they did with Clinton on Flowers and Vietnam.  The GOP is not even talking about Clinton (Politico) or if they do they praise her (as Bill Kristol did, you think he'll been doing that in October).

So to believe in your answer requires me to not believe in the overwhelming evidence to the contrary.  And if this was a city council election I could, the same if this was a county election, a mayoral election, an Assembly election, a state senate election, a House election, a Senate election or a gubernatorial election.  But this is a presidential election.  They've picked their candidate we need to pick ours.  This needs to be a time of healing and unity or else November will be a time of losing (not House or Senate, but presidential, no matter who we nominate).  Instead every single day, we're tearing each other apart.  Not only here, but EVERYWHERE.  

If we could end this tomorrow, but in favor of Clinton I would do it in a heart beat, b/c I HATE this war, I HATE this economy, I HATE this health care system.  I HATE where this country is going and we end it NOW.  So, if you can't tell me how she wins, perhaps you can tell me when we will know?  Or if you can't tell me that, then maybe you can tell me how do we win if we keep tearing at each other until August...or June?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:59:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

I did tell you.  But you want to believe the superdelegates are static and set in stone.  They aren't - that's a fact - they aren't.  So when your base premise is fundamentally flawed, any conclusions you derive from it are likewise flawed.  Odds still favor your candidate, but that's about as much as you can say right now.

You will know when this is over when the superdelegates choose to make it obvious, no sooner, no later.  When I say obvious I mean 50-100 of them shifting from one candidate to the other, because only that sort of movement has any hope of preventing this from going to Denver.  As for when they will do that, they say mid-June, but Dean has no formal power over them, so we shall see.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:06:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

So you don't mind taking this to convention.  Then answer my secnod queation: How do we win if we do that?  How do we not just hand this elecion to McCain?  How do we not tear this party apart as Kennedy did to Carter?  Or as Reagan did to Ford?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:15:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

Personally I don't mind at all.  I happen to think that our party elders timidity and disdain for competition is a big part of the reason that they don't do better.  And I think two or three months is an eternity in politics.  Think of how much has happened in this primary - Super Tuesday was a lifetime ago.

However..

This is all a tangent that you interjected to try to make this about me personally.  That was not my point.  Ultimately it matters not whether I am comfortable with going to the convention or not.  What matters is how these candidates and their political networks will feel about a contest so close that it could still break either way.  And my assertion is that neither will simply toss in the towel (nor would I expect someone with the gall to try to lead the most powerful nation on the planet to do so - remember the job we are interviewing for here).

How do we win if we go to the convention?

This is a very simple question to answer if one does not take an alarmist posture (which is so prevalent in our media right now).  Look at your estimated electoral college maps.  One of these candidates is beating McCain, right now.  When you see these head-to-head polls, understand that they already incorporate the effects of any voters who swear they will never vote for the other side.  And that's how they come out.

Imagine how much stronger either of their peformances would be with two or three months of solid, unified campaigning and financial support.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:26:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

The phrase is "six months is a lifetime in politics."  Two months, which is what it would be if we go all the way to the convention, is much less time to build a unified Democratic Party.  With more time, Carter, Ford, McGovern and Humphrey all couldn't bring their parties together.  I don't see why you are insistent on fighting beyond any hope of winning.  If this were any other type of election, I could understand it.  But this is the most important election in a generation and you are willing to throw it away.  That is either deep passion or anger that I cannot understand.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:17:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

Why do you insist on trying to provoke an emotional response by making this a personal attack on me?

For the third time: I am telling you that neither of these candidates will throw in the towel in a race so close that either could win it in Denver.  Nor would I expect them to, given that they have the audacity to apply for the job of President of the United States.

My predicts, my comforts, my understanding of the political processs - are all irrelevant to that point.

Aside from you total unwillingness to respond to what is actually written (as opposed to a condescending effort to ascribe feelings and values to me that are not mine), aside from the arrogance of your tone, I could not help but notice the glaring hypocrisy of what you wrote.

But this is the most important election in a generation and you are willing to throw it away.

Do you understand that half the party believes this is precisely why we cannot quit?  We've heard this argument many times now: please quit so that Barack can win.  We've already given you our answer: no.  He'll have to do something novel like winning on his merits (or abusing technicalities or process as he did in his Chicago political career).

I don't see why you are insistent on fighting beyond any hope of winning.

I have plenty of hope.  What happened to yours?


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 04:18:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

When did I attack you?  I am only trying to understand why you unwilling to see reality.  The only reason I see for your continuing support for Hillary is either a deep love for Hillary or a deep anger against Barack.  And all I was trying to disover is which one it is.  Beyond that I have nothing more to say to you on this subject, b/c you still have not told me a "logical" way for her to win the nomination.  You seem to assume that there is going to be a massive switch of superdelegates from Obama to Clinton.  You insist that this is a real possibility despite the fact that all switching has gone in the opposite direction.  If that's a realistic argument than why didn't John Edwards continue fighting until August 2004? or August 2008?  The reason is b/c it is not realistic.  It is a fantasy that will destroy this party.  So I'm done with you on this topic, b/c you refuse to see reason.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 11:33:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

I will defer to the Joe Andrew letter from now on in response to posts such as yours.  I'll give you the benefit of a doubt and assume you've found it and read it, as painful as it must be.  But I'll quote a few choice words for the others to chew on while we're here:

"Should this race continue after Indiana and North Carolina, it will inevitably become more negative. The polls already show the supporters for both candidates becoming more strident in their positions and more locked into their support. Continuing on this path would be a catastrophe, as we would inadvertently end up doing Republicans work for them. Already, instead of the audacity of hope, we suffer the audacity of one Democrat comparing John McCain favorably to another Democrat. When that happens, you know it is time for all of us to stop, take a deep breath and unite to change America."


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:42:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: To the Diarist (none / 0)

You'll have to forgive me.  I choose not to defer my critical thinking to others. :)

Actually there have been several excellent articles about this recently, including one over at HuffPo, that talked about the grave error in judgement Obama, his campaign, and supporters are making these days - because they are living in a fantasy land where this contest is negative.

It has been negative, from Obama.  But not from Hillary.  Not for a long while.  She has been able to focus on key issues like economy and healthcare while Obama continues to be distracted by an argument (with himself) over who is positive and who is negative.

I can't stress enough how positive and filled with energy the campaign is for Hillary supporters right now.  Now that the media has turned its back on the "oh hillary is so negative" meme, Obama's campaign had better adapt quickly.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 04:22:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Simple answer (none / 0)

Sen. Clinton wins the popular vote by >200k votes.  At that point, she is entitled (and she is expected to dominate the rules committee, so she would be entitled) to seat the FL/MI delegations as is.

If you seat FL/MI as is, the current delegate differential is only 12 (67 if you give all the MI uncommitted to Sen. Obama), with 31 for Sen. Edwards.  That is a difference that she can easily make up.


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:02:38 AM EST

Re: Simple answer (1.00 / 1)

no, rules committee is set by delagates.  popular vote does not matter.


by woodinville on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:15:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

No (2.00 / 1)

rules committee is not set by delegates.  No delegate is official until they are approved by the.....drumroll...the rules committee =)

The rules committee sets the delegates, not the other way around.

And the rules committee is picked by a complicated formula that gives precedence to....drumroll... the winner of the bigger states.

You should read AndrewWalker08's diaries for that.

And you are welcome =)


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:46:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Actually, the RBC is already set (none / 0)

The makeup of the RBC is currently is already set.  Clinton does currently lead 12-8 among RBC members that have endorsed, but 10 members of the committee haven't endorsed (including Donna Brazille who you Clinton supporters seemed convinced is in the bag for Obama and have been tormenting with malicious e-mails; a great plan to the FL/MI delegates seated).  Given the major issues with those primaries and the DNC's commitment to prevent a frontloading of the primary season, what makes you think there will be a majority for no penalty?

You can think it, but it's not going to happen.  The best you can hope for is a net gain of 20 from Florida and a net gain of 10-15 from MI.  And that's your best hope.  Even with that, Clinton would be behind by 100 elected delegates.  That leaves Clinton with a superdelegate lead that Obama has been cutting that superdelegate lead every single day and seems like with eliminate just after NC and Indiana.  So once again, I ask how?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:29:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Actually, the RBC is already set (none / 0)

Posting purely to stress how much I dislike Donna Brazille.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:29:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Actually, the RBC is already set (none / 0)

Excellent way to gain her support in the most important matter facing your candidate.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:19:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Actually, the RBC is already set (none / 0)

What a foolish thing to say.  You keep trying to personalize things when it is totally inappropriate - do you honestly suggest that Donna Brazille is stalking em, as we speak, reading my comments on MyDD, and using them to decide which candidate she will support?

Please.


by bobbank on Thu May 01, 2008 at 04:07:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Actually, the RBC is already set (none / 0)

Yeah, but you and I both know she received the e-mails that have been sent.  As well as the other vitriol sent her way.  But if wish to continue to slander a fellow Democrat, that's your choice.  I just don't think it's going to help your cause.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Fri May 02, 2008 at 08:33:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Simple answer (none / 0)

Wrongggg. This diary is great, because it requires the HRC supporters to conjure logic based in reality, and THAT is entertainment.  


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:25:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I am amused (none / 0)

see my answer to the comment above... and enjoy the show ... at your expense, of course =)


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:47:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't really understand why (2.00 / 1)

people keep saying "why doesn't she quit?"  She's already said she isn't going to quit, so wouldn't it be helpful to move on to other issues?  I have spent most of my life (and I'm not a young thang) voting for people who didn't win.  It's a state I'm utterly used to, but when people say my candidate should quit so that their candidate doesn't have to run against anyone (meaning, I should have no choice but to back their candidate) I wonder why they don't just work for the people and issues they care for and let me and others work for ours.  I don't need to be "healed" and I think most HC supporters are sincerely committed to giving this primary campaign for Hillary every last chance they can.  It okay for people to be sincerely committed to that, you know.  You don't have to like it, you can think it's quixotic, but it's not your committment you're suggesting giving up on.  I will go with causes I believe in --and even lost causes sometimes-- just because it feels RIGHT to me.  Is that clear enough?  I am grateful H.Clinton is in it for the duration, because I am too.

And I don't know for certain the cause is lost... because none of the superdelegates have voted, and this has been a very fluid campaign with two extremely strong candidates.


by Susan in Oregon on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:08:32 AM EST

Re: I don't really understand why (2.00 / 1)

Susan,

Thanks for your thoughts. I agree with them because I feel Hillary is the best for the country at this stage.

I am curious to know how things are shaping up in Oregon. Any first hand insights will be helpful. Based on the kind of blog comments I have read from people in Oregon, it seems very pro-Obama. Is that the reality or just virtual blog world?


by Sandeep on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:13:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't really understand why (none / 0)

It's hard to tell about Oregon.  I imagine Obama will win here, because he does so well with students and yuppies (even though many of them are not so young anymore... maybe their just -uppies, now) and Portland and Eugene are the big population centers, both pretty defined by their population of -uppies and students.  (There is not a significant AA population in this state.)

I know Bill Clinton has been hitting the smaller cities like Bend and Medford, both have lots of older voters and Latinos that may favor Hillary, but they are far less densely populated areas.  Bill had a great turn-out in Medford -- my kids and I were there.

I live in a smaller town that is an island of super liberals in a county that is very Republican.  This town is so blue that Dennis Kucinich won the 2004 primary in this town.  It seems pretty Obama-heavy here, but there are a few of us holding down the fort for Hillary.

The governor is a Hillary supporter, but he isn't a public figure that is very influential, I don't think.  So, I would agree that Oregon will go to Obama, but we'll try to keep the margin as small as we can!


by Susan in Oregon on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:28:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't really understand why (none / 0)

Good comment, and I whole-heartedly respect your position as it is much like my experience over the years backing losing candidate after losing candidate.  There are hard feelings however with respect to damage incurred over the course of the primary.  The diarist is making the point that Clinton's nomination relies heavily on the destruction of the other leading candidate to the point that remaining supers have no choice BUT to support her.  Not what I would call a noble course.  


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:34:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

There's no damage HC can do (none / 0)

that won't happen anyway.  It's not like McCain and the right won't shred him any less if Clinton treats him with the same kid glove treatment he got for so long from the media.

I am not so delicate to fret about bruising.  I think maybe Obama supporters are more sensitive about it because it goes against their narrative of a post-partisan candidate, on whom a blow cannot be landed.  The Hillary narrative is different; it's about being hit over and over and over, but getting up, re-locating that jaw-bone, and trying to get the job done.

Me... well, as Paul Simon said, I ain't no fool for love songs whispered in my ear.


by Susan in Oregon on Thu May 01, 2008 at 12:47:05 AM EST

Re: There's no damage HC can do (none / 0)

There's a difference between a Democrat shredding a Democrat and a Republican shredding a Democrat.  I read your previous comment and believe me I understand where you're coming from.  I've been exactly where you've been on many candidates.  The great strength of our party is the passion of its members, but that could also be the detriment.  Like I said to bobbank, if this were any other election I wouldn't say anything and just talk about my candidate, but that's not what this is.  This is a presidential election.  Not only is this a presidential election, but this may be the most important presidential election in a generation.  If John McCain wins, there's going to be a draft, b/c there is no way we are going to be able to continue this war against Afghanistan, Iraq and possibly Iran without one.  If John McCain wins, there is no health care reform, more conservatives of the SC and a burgeoning economic crisis.

I always thought that we support candidates to promote positive policies.  But the longer this primary continues, the less likely it is for those policies to be enacted.  If this had remained a positive promotion of both candidates, this diary would not exist.  The problem is that this has descended into a divisive destruction of both candidates that is harming our chance of changing this country.  And I'm tired.  I'm tired of witnessing death and tragedy and being able to do nothing.  I'm tired of seeing my air get dirtier and being able to do nothing.  I'm tired of being ashamed of my government for its unconstitutional, unethical and incompetent actions.  B/c if my protesting, my vigil-attending, my phone-calling and letter-writing has taught me anything, it has taught me that we cannot do the big things without the presidency.  We CAN'T lose and every day this continues we're more likely to.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:50:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: There's no damage HC can do (none / 0)

I respectfully disagree.  Clinton is constantly defending her attacks with the "this is what the republicans would do anyway" excuse.  That's a highly presumptuous position to take.  

I'm sure a thinking person like yourself might have found the ABC debate a little distasteful, or at least lacking in substance.  She won some points mybe, but at what cost?  I'm sure you appreciate Hillary more on policy after all.  

But, if you do feel OK with the tenor of the political discourse as of late, and are resigned  to the "reality" of the old "politics as usual", than you have your candidate.  Obama supporters are committed to fighting for change and understand that change cannot be delivered via the old, low road of "politics as usual".


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:56:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: There's no damage HC can do (none / 0)

I just don't think politics are going to be any less "usual" if Barack Obama is in the White House.  The only change I'm looking for is a Democrat for president.  I think HC has a better chance of winning in Nov., although if BO is the nominee of course he'll have my vote... but without any romantic notions of transcendence.


by Susan in Oregon on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:54:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: There's no damage HC can do (none / 0)

Fair enough.  Once again I am going to have to quote the Joe Andrew endorsement letter as it fits so topically into our onversation:

"I have learned the hard way that you can love the candidate and hate the campaign. My stomach churns when I think how my old friends in the Clinton campaign will just pick up the old silly Republican play book and call in the same old artificial attacks and bombardments we have all heard before.

Yet, despite the simple and overwhelming pressure to do anything and everything to win, Barack Obama has risen above it all and demanded a new brand of politics. People flock to Senator Obama because they are rejecting the hyperbole of the old politics. The past eight years of George Bush have witnessed a retreat from substance, science, and reason in favor spin, cronyism and ideology. Barack Obama has dared not only to criticize it, as all Democrats do, but to actually reject playing the same old game. And in doing so, he has shown us a new path to victory."


by haystax calhoun on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:46:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.